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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵

    «First Previous 342343344 ... 367368369 Next Last»
    Paul39
    countrybob
    cd329
    MtTum
    fubah2
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    Paul39
    Paul39
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    Posted: Aug. 21, 2026 - 2:15 PM ET #8526

    gl

    glta
    Reply

    gl

     
    countrybob
    countrybob
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    Posted: Aug. 21, 2026 - 3:00 PM ET #8527

    @fubah2

     Blood bath

    Reply

    @fubah2

     Blood bath

     
    cd329
    cd329
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    Posted: Aug. 21, 2026 - 6:10 PM ET #8528

    @fubah2

     Gotta agree with you 100 percent on Miz's streak. Never seen this happen in my 46 years of placing bets everyday,lolll.

    Most end up having bad days, lot of times just because of their arm being tired, not miz. 23 is unreal. A bettor could lose alot of money betting for him to have that bad day. Thats one reason i hate betting against streaks. if you bet with the streak and lose, you can only lose once. You bet against the streak, the losing can happen forever lolllllllllllllllllllllllllllllll

    Reply

    @fubah2

     Gotta agree with you 100 percent on Miz's streak. Never seen this happen in my 46 years of placing bets everyday,lolll.

    Most end up having bad days, lot of times just because of their arm being tired, not miz. 23 is unreal. A bettor could lose alot of money betting for him to have that bad day. Thats one reason i hate betting against streaks. if you bet with the streak and lose, you can only lose once. You bet against the streak, the losing can happen forever lolllllllllllllllllllllllllllllll

     
    MtTum
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    Posted: Aug. 21, 2026 - 6:27 PM ET #8529

    Love seeing post like this cd329-the insight with streaks should be noteworthy to us all… Been trying to get better with totals as well as which dogs, first fives, everything… But anyway, my question would be, and pardon me Fubah for asking it in your thread, what kind of patterns have you seen with streaks in regard to totals versus dogs and favorites in general…I know last2thirst has great data on streaks and there’s a lot of good stuff out there, but like hearing it from the perspective of a 50 year gambler-thanks an_cheers peace_5

     

    after a swing and a miss I get to lay in the grass and look up at a beautiful blue sky…
    Reply

    Love seeing post like this cd329-the insight with streaks should be noteworthy to us all… Been trying to get better with totals as well as which dogs, first fives, everything… But anyway, my question would be, and pardon me Fubah for asking it in your thread, what kind of patterns have you seen with streaks in regard to totals versus dogs and favorites in general…I know last2thirst has great data on streaks and there’s a lot of good stuff out there, but like hearing it from the perspective of a 50 year gambler-thanks an_cheers peace_5

     

     
    cd329
    cd329
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    Posted: Aug. 21, 2026 - 6:54 PM ET #8530

    Quote Originally Posted by MtTum:

    Love seeing post like this cd329-the insight with streaks should be noteworthy to us all… Been trying to get better with totals as well as which dogs, first fives, everything… But anyway, my question would be, and pardon me Fubah for asking it in your thread, what kind of patterns have you seen with streaks in regard to totals versus dogs and favorites in general…I know last2thirst has great data on streaks and there’s a lot of good stuff out there, but like hearing it from the perspective of a 50 year gambler-thanks

     

    Honestly if you asked me this question last year or any other year, i could answer this for you.  But after 46 years of doing this stuff, i decided to not spend as much time on baseball as past years. So i switched to just following umpire streaks. I prefer to play over umps and alot of the umps have big time bias for either unders, overs, home team or road team. So only been doing this and some of the plays Fubah posts. I gotta start enjoying more things in life then gambling and if you are young, take what i just said.  If you spend all of your time gambling everyday, your gonna wake up and you will be in your 60's, saying where did the time go.  Put your money into some fund, go enjoy your life now and then when you are 60, you will have more cash then you could ever win gambling in 50 lifetimes lolllpeace_5

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by MtTum:

    Love seeing post like this cd329-the insight with streaks should be noteworthy to us all… Been trying to get better with totals as well as which dogs, first fives, everything… But anyway, my question would be, and pardon me Fubah for asking it in your thread, what kind of patterns have you seen with streaks in regard to totals versus dogs and favorites in general…I know last2thirst has great data on streaks and there’s a lot of good stuff out there, but like hearing it from the perspective of a 50 year gambler-thanks

     

    Honestly if you asked me this question last year or any other year, i could answer this for you.  But after 46 years of doing this stuff, i decided to not spend as much time on baseball as past years. So i switched to just following umpire streaks. I prefer to play over umps and alot of the umps have big time bias for either unders, overs, home team or road team. So only been doing this and some of the plays Fubah posts. I gotta start enjoying more things in life then gambling and if you are young, take what i just said.  If you spend all of your time gambling everyday, your gonna wake up and you will be in your 60's, saying where did the time go.  Put your money into some fund, go enjoy your life now and then when you are 60, you will have more cash then you could ever win gambling in 50 lifetimes lolllpeace_5

     
    countrybob
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    Posted: Aug. 21, 2026 - 6:57 PM ET #8531

    Fubah ??

    Reply

    Fubah ??

     
    MtTum
    MtTum
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    Posted: Aug. 21, 2026 - 7:03 PM ET #8532

    peace_5 Thanks cd well said ol goat always trying to get better-and thanks country Bob for rescuing-probably shouldn’t have asked that in fubs awesome thread… Continue all the wonderful post everybody and good luck!!!

    after a swing and a miss I get to lay in the grass and look up at a beautiful blue sky…
    Reply

    peace_5 Thanks cd well said ol goat always trying to get better-and thanks country Bob for rescuing-probably shouldn’t have asked that in fubs awesome thread… Continue all the wonderful post everybody and good luck!!!

     
    cd329
    cd329
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    Posted: Aug. 21, 2026 - 8:49 PM ET #8533

    Quote Originally Posted by MtTum:

    Thanks cd well said ol goat always trying to get better-and thanks country Bob for rescuing-probably shouldn’t have asked that in fubs awesome thread… Continue all the wonderful post everybody and good luck!!!

    When you asked that question of me, i didnt want to say the philly umpire was 16-5 bias to the over, cause score was already 2-0. And i will never do that. If it was 0-0 and just started i would have told you that play. But this is what i have focused on this year.  Alot less plays and way less time spent capping. Normally playing unders in any sport is the best options, cause you are always winning until the teams beat you. Why i like the overs in this case, is because you have 2 teams trying to score, plus you have a confirmed over umpire helping the teams to accomplish that goal.peace_5

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by MtTum:

    Thanks cd well said ol goat always trying to get better-and thanks country Bob for rescuing-probably shouldn’t have asked that in fubs awesome thread… Continue all the wonderful post everybody and good luck!!!

    When you asked that question of me, i didnt want to say the philly umpire was 16-5 bias to the over, cause score was already 2-0. And i will never do that. If it was 0-0 and just started i would have told you that play. But this is what i have focused on this year.  Alot less plays and way less time spent capping. Normally playing unders in any sport is the best options, cause you are always winning until the teams beat you. Why i like the overs in this case, is because you have 2 teams trying to score, plus you have a confirmed over umpire helping the teams to accomplish that goal.peace_5

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: Aug. 22, 2026 - 5:36 AM ET #8534

    Quote Originally Posted by MtTum:

    Thanks cd well said ol goat always trying to get better-and thanks country Bob for rescuing-probably shouldn’t have asked that in fubs awesome thread… Continue all the wonderful post everybody and good luck!!!

    @MtTum  peace_5

    @cd329  peace_5

        thumbs_up

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by MtTum:

    Thanks cd well said ol goat always trying to get better-and thanks country Bob for rescuing-probably shouldn’t have asked that in fubs awesome thread… Continue all the wonderful post everybody and good luck!!!

    @MtTum  peace_5

    @cd329  peace_5

        thumbs_up

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Aug. 22, 2026 - 10:22 AM ET #8535

     

                        

    Reply

     

                        

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: Aug. 22, 2026 - 10:59 AM ET #8536

    My Saturdays results are the worst of the season.an_burn_money  Fairly consistent failures.  Only 3 winning Saturdays vs 8 LOSER Saturdays (4 basically even)  Uncertain, but assume the way I perceive the 2nd game of a series has something to do with the failures.  Today may not be any different.  I'll know later this evening.  But maybe, because I skipped Friday (awful stomach upset) and will begin capping the series today this might change the perspective.  Or not.an_eek2  I'm hopeful but not optimistic. Still very concerned that regression may not be finished with me just yet an_nailbiter    

     

    Nevertheless, after almost 3.5 hours capping estimated rpg and bullpens for each series I am now just into today's games, and I may have several... The BETTER ones (if I have any) are designated by *BB, although my success rate is only slightly better and even then my overall win rate is my lowest in 3 seasons.

    Toronto -102  @pinn       

    ...I make it about +0.7 run edge for the Blew-it Jays, mostly due to a stronger edge on the mound (starter + BP), however, without a significant edge over the Yankees at the plate as well, that reduces the chances of a win to perhaps only 55% or so. If Vlad Guerrero starts, that moves up to 57% imv...

    an_police  Anyway, everyone is DULY WARNED, my Saturdays usually SUCK!  an_burningbagan_burningbagan_burningbag

    Reply

    My Saturdays results are the worst of the season.an_burn_money  Fairly consistent failures.  Only 3 winning Saturdays vs 8 LOSER Saturdays (4 basically even)  Uncertain, but assume the way I perceive the 2nd game of a series has something to do with the failures.  Today may not be any different.  I'll know later this evening.  But maybe, because I skipped Friday (awful stomach upset) and will begin capping the series today this might change the perspective.  Or not.an_eek2  I'm hopeful but not optimistic. Still very concerned that regression may not be finished with me just yet an_nailbiter    

     

    Nevertheless, after almost 3.5 hours capping estimated rpg and bullpens for each series I am now just into today's games, and I may have several... The BETTER ones (if I have any) are designated by *BB, although my success rate is only slightly better and even then my overall win rate is my lowest in 3 seasons.

    Toronto -102  @pinn       

    ...I make it about +0.7 run edge for the Blew-it Jays, mostly due to a stronger edge on the mound (starter + BP), however, without a significant edge over the Yankees at the plate as well, that reduces the chances of a win to perhaps only 55% or so. If Vlad Guerrero starts, that moves up to 57% imv...

    an_police  Anyway, everyone is DULY WARNED, my Saturdays usually SUCK!  an_burningbagan_burningbagan_burningbag

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: Aug. 22, 2026 - 11:13 AM ET #8537

    [Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]

    My Saturdays results are the worst of the season.an_burn_money  Fairly consistent failures.  Only 3 winning Saturdays vs 8 LOSER Saturdays (4 basically even)  Uncertain, but assume the way I perceive the 2nd game of a series has something to do with the failures.  Today may not be any different.  I'll know later this evening.  But maybe, because I skipped Friday (awful stomach upset) and will begin capping the series today this might change the perspective.  Or not.an_eek2  I'm hopeful but not optimistic. Still very concerned that regression may not be finished with me just yet an_nailbiter    

    Nevertheless, after almost 3.5 hours capping estimated rpg and bullpens for each series I am now just into today's games, and I may have several... The BETTER ones (if I have any) are designated by *BB, although my success rate is only slightly better and even then my overall win rate is my lowest in 3 seasons.

    Toronto -102  @pinn       

    ...I make it about +0.7 run edge for the Blew-it Jays, mostly due to a stronger edge on the mound (starter + BP), however, without a significant edge over the Yankees at the plate as well, that reduces the chances of a win to perhaps only 55% or so. If Vlad Guerrero starts, that moves up to 57% imv...

    Brewskies -159 @pinn   (Henderson must start)  Almost a *BB but not quite...anticipating facing  Perez (L)  But if Elder (R) is the Braves starter then this becomes a *BB.

    an_police  Everyone is DULY WARNED, my Saturdays usually SUCK!!!  an_burningbagan_burningbagan_burningbag

    Reply

    [Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]

    My Saturdays results are the worst of the season.an_burn_money  Fairly consistent failures.  Only 3 winning Saturdays vs 8 LOSER Saturdays (4 basically even)  Uncertain, but assume the way I perceive the 2nd game of a series has something to do with the failures.  Today may not be any different.  I'll know later this evening.  But maybe, because I skipped Friday (awful stomach upset) and will begin capping the series today this might change the perspective.  Or not.an_eek2  I'm hopeful but not optimistic. Still very concerned that regression may not be finished with me just yet an_nailbiter    

    Nevertheless, after almost 3.5 hours capping estimated rpg and bullpens for each series I am now just into today's games, and I may have several... The BETTER ones (if I have any) are designated by *BB, although my success rate is only slightly better and even then my overall win rate is my lowest in 3 seasons.

    Toronto -102  @pinn       

    ...I make it about +0.7 run edge for the Blew-it Jays, mostly due to a stronger edge on the mound (starter + BP), however, without a significant edge over the Yankees at the plate as well, that reduces the chances of a win to perhaps only 55% or so. If Vlad Guerrero starts, that moves up to 57% imv...

    Brewskies -159 @pinn   (Henderson must start)  Almost a *BB but not quite...anticipating facing  Perez (L)  But if Elder (R) is the Braves starter then this becomes a *BB.

    an_police  Everyone is DULY WARNED, my Saturdays usually SUCK!!!  an_burningbagan_burningbagan_burningbag

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Aug. 22, 2026 - 11:39 AM ET #8538

    I've got the Anaheim @TEXAS game pegged at 3 runs apiece. A coin-flipper.

    The total is set at 8 for a game I have figured 2 runs less. But I don't do unders because they almost always LOSE for me.

    Reply

    I've got the Anaheim @TEXAS game pegged at 3 runs apiece. A coin-flipper.

    The total is set at 8 for a game I have figured 2 runs less. But I don't do unders because they almost always LOSE for me.

     
    fubah2
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    Posts: 54696
    Posted: Aug. 22, 2026 - 12:54 PM ET #8539

     

    I have METS @  CWS as another coin-flipper. No play on the total.

    Reply

     

    I have METS @  CWS as another coin-flipper. No play on the total.

     
    cd329
    cd329
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    Posted: Aug. 22, 2026 - 1:07 PM ET #8540

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    My Saturdays results are the worst of the season.  Fairly consistent failures.  Only 3 winning Saturdays vs 8 LOSER Saturdays (4 basically even)  Uncertain, but assume the way I perceive the 2nd game of a series has something to do with the failures.  Today may not be any different.  I'll know later this evening.  But maybe, because I skipped Friday (awful stomach upset) and will begin capping the series today this might change the perspective.  Or not.  I'm hopeful but not optimistic. Still very concerned that regression may not be finished with me just yet        Nevertheless, after almost 3.5 hours capping estimated rpg and bullpens for each series I am now just into today's games, and I may have several... The BETTER ones (if I have any) are designated by *BB, although my success rate is only slightly better and even then my overall win rate is my lowest in 3 seasons. Toronto -102  @pinn        ...I make it about +0.7 run edge for the Blew-it Jays, mostly due to a stronger edge on the mound (starter + BP), however, without a significant edge over the Yankees at the plate as well, that reduces the chances of a win to perhaps only 55% or so. If Vlad Guerrero starts, that moves up to 57% imv...   Anyway, everyone is DULY WARNED, my Saturdays usually SUCK!

    What the hell are you doing? Did you forgot that you stopped for the season and how when you continue betting to the end, it eats up your profitsan_shakepeace_5

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    My Saturdays results are the worst of the season.  Fairly consistent failures.  Only 3 winning Saturdays vs 8 LOSER Saturdays (4 basically even)  Uncertain, but assume the way I perceive the 2nd game of a series has something to do with the failures.  Today may not be any different.  I'll know later this evening.  But maybe, because I skipped Friday (awful stomach upset) and will begin capping the series today this might change the perspective.  Or not.  I'm hopeful but not optimistic. Still very concerned that regression may not be finished with me just yet        Nevertheless, after almost 3.5 hours capping estimated rpg and bullpens for each series I am now just into today's games, and I may have several... The BETTER ones (if I have any) are designated by *BB, although my success rate is only slightly better and even then my overall win rate is my lowest in 3 seasons. Toronto -102  @pinn        ...I make it about +0.7 run edge for the Blew-it Jays, mostly due to a stronger edge on the mound (starter + BP), however, without a significant edge over the Yankees at the plate as well, that reduces the chances of a win to perhaps only 55% or so. If Vlad Guerrero starts, that moves up to 57% imv...   Anyway, everyone is DULY WARNED, my Saturdays usually SUCK!

    What the hell are you doing? Did you forgot that you stopped for the season and how when you continue betting to the end, it eats up your profitsan_shakepeace_5

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: Aug. 22, 2026 - 1:20 PM ET #8541

    Quote Originally Posted by cd329:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: My Saturdays results are the worst of the season.  Fairly consistent failures.  Only 3 winning Saturdays vs 8 LOSER Saturdays (4 basically even)  Uncertain, but assume the way I perceive the 2nd game of a series has something to do with the failures.  Today may not be any different.  I'll know later this evening.  But maybe, because I skipped Friday (awful stomach upset) and will begin capping the series today this might change the perspective.  Or not.  I'm hopeful but not optimistic. Still very concerned that regression may not be finished with me just yet        Nevertheless, after almost 3.5 hours capping estimated rpg and bullpens for each series I am now just into today's games, and I may have several... The BETTER ones (if I have any) are designated by *BB, although my success rate is only slightly better and even then my overall win rate is my lowest in 3 seasons. Toronto -102  @pinn        ...I make it about +0.7 run edge for the Blew-it Jays, mostly due to a stronger edge on the mound (starter + BP), however, without a significant edge over the Yankees at the plate as well, that reduces the chances of a win to perhaps only 55% or so. If Vlad Guerrero starts, that moves up to 57% imv...  

    Anyway, everyone is DULY WARNED, my Saturdays usually SUCK!

     

    What the hell are you doing? Did you forgot that you stopped for the season and how when you continue betting to the end, it eats up your profits

    @cd329

     cool Yeah, considered that.....LOL. peace_5   I am being very cautious/careful......selective.  Not risking enough to hurt.  Today I'll employ a strategy of betting in the the early games to see *IF* regression is still lurking I should have a fair chance of going 2 - 0 in the early starts (no worse than a split) ....then I'll decide if I want the stress of my evening picks (I have more)...If I'm up 2 - 0 I'd be playing with those two profits at no risk to my BR. We'll see....

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by cd329:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: My Saturdays results are the worst of the season.  Fairly consistent failures.  Only 3 winning Saturdays vs 8 LOSER Saturdays (4 basically even)  Uncertain, but assume the way I perceive the 2nd game of a series has something to do with the failures.  Today may not be any different.  I'll know later this evening.  But maybe, because I skipped Friday (awful stomach upset) and will begin capping the series today this might change the perspective.  Or not.  I'm hopeful but not optimistic. Still very concerned that regression may not be finished with me just yet        Nevertheless, after almost 3.5 hours capping estimated rpg and bullpens for each series I am now just into today's games, and I may have several... The BETTER ones (if I have any) are designated by *BB, although my success rate is only slightly better and even then my overall win rate is my lowest in 3 seasons. Toronto -102  @pinn        ...I make it about +0.7 run edge for the Blew-it Jays, mostly due to a stronger edge on the mound (starter + BP), however, without a significant edge over the Yankees at the plate as well, that reduces the chances of a win to perhaps only 55% or so. If Vlad Guerrero starts, that moves up to 57% imv...  

    Anyway, everyone is DULY WARNED, my Saturdays usually SUCK!

     

    What the hell are you doing? Did you forgot that you stopped for the season and how when you continue betting to the end, it eats up your profits

    @cd329

     cool Yeah, considered that.....LOL. peace_5   I am being very cautious/careful......selective.  Not risking enough to hurt.  Today I'll employ a strategy of betting in the the early games to see *IF* regression is still lurking I should have a fair chance of going 2 - 0 in the early starts (no worse than a split) ....then I'll decide if I want the stress of my evening picks (I have more)...If I'm up 2 - 0 I'd be playing with those two profits at no risk to my BR. We'll see....

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posts: 54696
    Posted: Aug. 22, 2026 - 1:28 PM ET #8542

    Good news.......Vlad Guerrero is back and batting 2nd. an_boggienight

    He hits LEFTIES fairly well!   Tied for top OBP vs L on the team.

    Toronto has been hitting lefties well of late...

     

    But it's MLB, so one swing of the proverbial bat, etc, etc  an_getaway

    Reply

    Good news.......Vlad Guerrero is back and batting 2nd. an_boggienight

    He hits LEFTIES fairly well!   Tied for top OBP vs L on the team.

    Toronto has been hitting lefties well of late...

     

    But it's MLB, so one swing of the proverbial bat, etc, etc  an_getaway

     
    cd329
    cd329
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    Posts: 23826
    Posted: Aug. 22, 2026 - 3:07 PM ET #8543

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by cd329: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: My Saturdays results are the worst of the season.  Fairly consistent failures.  Only 3 winning Saturdays vs 8 LOSER Saturdays (4 basically even)  Uncertain, but assume the way I perceive the 2nd game of a series has something to do with the failures.  Today may not be any different.  I'll know later this evening.  But maybe, because I skipped Friday (awful stomach upset) and will begin capping the series today this might change the perspective.  Or not.  I'm hopeful but not optimistic. Still very concerned that regression may not be finished with me just yet        Nevertheless, after almost 3.5 hours capping estimated rpg and bullpens for each series I am now just into today's games, and I may have several... The BETTER ones (if I have any) are designated by *BB, although my success rate is only slightly better and even then my overall win rate is my lowest in 3 seasons. Toronto -102  @pinn        ...I make it about +0.7 run edge for the Blew-it Jays, mostly due to a stronger edge on the mound (starter + BP), however, without a significant edge over the Yankees at the plate as well, that reduces the chances of a win to perhaps only 55% or so. If Vlad Guerrero starts, that moves up to 57% imv...   Anyway, everyone is DULY WARNED, my Saturdays usually SUCK!   What the hell are you doing? Did you forgot that you stopped for the season and how when you continue betting to the end, it eats up your profits @cd329   Yeah, considered that.....LOL.    I am being very cautious/careful......selective.  Not risking enough to hurt.  Today I'll employ a strategy of betting in the the early games to see *IF* regression is still lurking I should have a fair chance of going 2 - 0 in the early starts (no worse than a split) ....then I'll decide if I want the stress of my evening picks (I have more)...If I'm up 2 - 0 I'd be playing with those two profits at no risk to my BR. We'll see....

     

    Good Luck todaycloverpeace_5

    Just remember dont force yourself to cap games, because people are asking for plays. Theres always next year for more plays and football is around the corner. So be careful today and rest of the season, i dont want to see you lose your hard work(moneybag) go up inan_burn_money

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by cd329: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: My Saturdays results are the worst of the season.  Fairly consistent failures.  Only 3 winning Saturdays vs 8 LOSER Saturdays (4 basically even)  Uncertain, but assume the way I perceive the 2nd game of a series has something to do with the failures.  Today may not be any different.  I'll know later this evening.  But maybe, because I skipped Friday (awful stomach upset) and will begin capping the series today this might change the perspective.  Or not.  I'm hopeful but not optimistic. Still very concerned that regression may not be finished with me just yet        Nevertheless, after almost 3.5 hours capping estimated rpg and bullpens for each series I am now just into today's games, and I may have several... The BETTER ones (if I have any) are designated by *BB, although my success rate is only slightly better and even then my overall win rate is my lowest in 3 seasons. Toronto -102  @pinn        ...I make it about +0.7 run edge for the Blew-it Jays, mostly due to a stronger edge on the mound (starter + BP), however, without a significant edge over the Yankees at the plate as well, that reduces the chances of a win to perhaps only 55% or so. If Vlad Guerrero starts, that moves up to 57% imv...   Anyway, everyone is DULY WARNED, my Saturdays usually SUCK!   What the hell are you doing? Did you forgot that you stopped for the season and how when you continue betting to the end, it eats up your profits @cd329   Yeah, considered that.....LOL.    I am being very cautious/careful......selective.  Not risking enough to hurt.  Today I'll employ a strategy of betting in the the early games to see *IF* regression is still lurking I should have a fair chance of going 2 - 0 in the early starts (no worse than a split) ....then I'll decide if I want the stress of my evening picks (I have more)...If I'm up 2 - 0 I'd be playing with those two profits at no risk to my BR. We'll see....

     

    Good Luck todaycloverpeace_5

    Just remember dont force yourself to cap games, because people are asking for plays. Theres always next year for more plays and football is around the corner. So be careful today and rest of the season, i dont want to see you lose your hard work(moneybag) go up inan_burn_money

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Joined: Aug, 2012
    Posts: 54696
    Posted: Aug. 22, 2026 - 4:55 PM ET #8544

    Quote Originally Posted by cd329:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by cd329: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: My Saturdays results are the worst of the season.  Fairly consistent failures.  Only 3 winning Saturdays vs 8 LOSER Saturdays (4 basically even)  Uncertain, but assume the way I perceive the 2nd game of a series has something to do with the failures.  Today may not be any different.  I'll know later this evening.  But maybe, because I skipped Friday (awful stomach upset) and will begin capping the series today this might change the perspective.  Or not.  I'm hopeful but not optimistic. Still very concerned that regression may not be finished with me just yet        Nevertheless, after almost 3.5 hours capping estimated rpg and bullpens for each series I am now just into today's games, and I may have several... The BETTER ones (if I have any) are designated by *BB, although my success rate is only slightly better and even then my overall win rate is my lowest in 3 seasons. Toronto -102  @pinn        ...I make it about +0.7 run edge for the Blew-it Jays, mostly due to a stronger edge on the mound (starter + BP), however, without a significant edge over the Yankees at the plate as well, that reduces the chances of a win to perhaps only 55% or so. If Vlad Guerrero starts, that moves up to 57% imv...   Anyway, everyone is DULY WARNED, my Saturdays usually SUCK!   What the hell are you doing? Did you forgot that you stopped for the season and how when you continue betting to the end, it eats up your profits @cd329   Yeah, considered that.....LOL.    I am being very cautious/careful......selective.  Not risking enough to hurt.  Today I'll employ a strategy of betting in the the early games to see *IF* regression is still lurking I should have a fair chance of going 2 - 0 in the early starts (no worse than a split) ....then I'll decide if I want the stress of my evening picks (I have more)...If I'm up 2 - 0 I'd be playing with those two profits at no risk to my BR. We'll see....   Good Luck today Just remember dont force yourself to cap games, because people are asking for plays. Theres always next year for more plays and football is around the corner. So be careful today and rest of the season, i dont want to see you lose your hard work() go up in

     

    Sound advice  peace_5

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by cd329:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by cd329: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: My Saturdays results are the worst of the season.  Fairly consistent failures.  Only 3 winning Saturdays vs 8 LOSER Saturdays (4 basically even)  Uncertain, but assume the way I perceive the 2nd game of a series has something to do with the failures.  Today may not be any different.  I'll know later this evening.  But maybe, because I skipped Friday (awful stomach upset) and will begin capping the series today this might change the perspective.  Or not.  I'm hopeful but not optimistic. Still very concerned that regression may not be finished with me just yet        Nevertheless, after almost 3.5 hours capping estimated rpg and bullpens for each series I am now just into today's games, and I may have several... The BETTER ones (if I have any) are designated by *BB, although my success rate is only slightly better and even then my overall win rate is my lowest in 3 seasons. Toronto -102  @pinn        ...I make it about +0.7 run edge for the Blew-it Jays, mostly due to a stronger edge on the mound (starter + BP), however, without a significant edge over the Yankees at the plate as well, that reduces the chances of a win to perhaps only 55% or so. If Vlad Guerrero starts, that moves up to 57% imv...   Anyway, everyone is DULY WARNED, my Saturdays usually SUCK!   What the hell are you doing? Did you forgot that you stopped for the season and how when you continue betting to the end, it eats up your profits @cd329   Yeah, considered that.....LOL.    I am being very cautious/careful......selective.  Not risking enough to hurt.  Today I'll employ a strategy of betting in the the early games to see *IF* regression is still lurking I should have a fair chance of going 2 - 0 in the early starts (no worse than a split) ....then I'll decide if I want the stress of my evening picks (I have more)...If I'm up 2 - 0 I'd be playing with those two profits at no risk to my BR. We'll see....   Good Luck today Just remember dont force yourself to cap games, because people are asking for plays. Theres always next year for more plays and football is around the corner. So be careful today and rest of the season, i dont want to see you lose your hard work() go up in

     

    Sound advice  peace_5

     
    Way2Good
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    Posted: Aug. 22, 2026 - 4:57 PM ET #8545

    Winner winner chicken dinner!

    Even a broken clock is right twice a day.
    Reply

    Winner winner chicken dinner!

     
    Macwestie1
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    Posted: Aug. 22, 2026 - 5:43 PM ET #8546

    Toronto Blow Jaysmoneybag an_clap GLclover as well tonight mah man an_cheers@fubah2 peace_5

     

    What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion player with a beeper!
    Reply

    Toronto Blow Jaysmoneybag an_clap GLclover as well tonight mah man an_cheers@fubah2 peace_5

     

     
    Paul39
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    Posted: Aug. 22, 2026 - 5:50 PM ET #8547

    gl

    glta
    Reply

    gl

     
    fubah2
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    Posts: 54696
    Posted: Aug. 22, 2026 - 6:00 PM ET #8548

     This is not a bet or recommended pick:  for me it's a "woulda, but didn't"

    LEAN only to the over 8 alt-line on cards/PHIL ....I estimate 10.1 runs, give or take 2 runs either way.

    Reply

     This is not a bet or recommended pick:  for me it's a "woulda, but didn't"

    LEAN only to the over 8 alt-line on cards/PHIL ....I estimate 10.1 runs, give or take 2 runs either way.

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Aug. 22, 2026 - 6:27 PM ET #8549

    More LEANS I'm not betting but "woulda" if I wasn't so damn skittish about regression, which is compounded on me by being a Saturday.an_nailbiter

     

    ...in the Tampa/ORIOLES game I make the hometown O's for a decent +0.5 run edge and about a 54% odds to win, while getting PLUS $$$

    Reply

    More LEANS I'm not betting but "woulda" if I wasn't so damn skittish about regression, which is compounded on me by being a Saturday.an_nailbiter

     

    ...in the Tampa/ORIOLES game I make the hometown O's for a decent +0.5 run edge and about a 54% odds to win, while getting PLUS $$$

     
     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Aug. 22, 2026 - 6:38 PM ET #8550

    Quote Originally Posted by Macwestie1:

    Toronto Blow Jays  GL as well tonight mah man @fubah2

    BIG MAC!! BoL with your bets! clover <<<<<<<<<<<<<<< an_horse

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Macwestie1:

    Toronto Blow Jays  GL as well tonight mah man @fubah2

    BIG MAC!! BoL with your bets! clover <<<<<<<<<<<<<<< an_horse

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