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🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵

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Legend
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Posted: #8551

Saturday, Aug 22:

W Toronto -102 @pinn
W Brewskies -159 @pinn


 2 - 0    +2.00u an_2drinks  I broke the Saturday jinx!

 
Legend
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Posted: #8552

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

More LEANS I'm not betting but "woulda"

if I wasn't so damn skittish about regression, which is compounded on me by being a Saturday.  

...in the Tampa/ORIOLES game I make the hometown O's for a decent +0.5 run edge and about a 54% odds to win, while getting PLUS $$$

 

...Cubs/SEA game I have estimated for 8.2+ runs so an over 7 should have a decent shot....10 runs were scored in 9 innings last night facing BETTER pitching than they do tonight...

 
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Posted: #8553

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Saturday, Aug 22: W Toronto -102 @pinn W Brewskies -159 @pinn  2 - 0    +2.00u   I broke the Saturday jinx!

King Fubah... Brew was my play and I had a hard lean on BooJays who are on my do not bet list.. between my strong confidence in D$ Cease & your lean.. You help secure one of my 3 wins today... FuuuuuuuuBaaahhhh! I hope youre feeling great today... You are Gold!!

 
Legend
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Posted: #8554

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

This is not a bet or recommended pick:  for me it's a "woulda, but didn't"

LEAN only to the over 8 alt-line on cards/PHIL ....I estimate 10.1 runs, give or take 2 runs either way.

So, after just 3 innings,  7 runs have already been scored . . . an_cheers

 

 
Legend
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Posted: #8555

I have Baahhstin with a SOLID +2.0 run edge!!

 
Legend
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Posted: #8556

Angels/TEXAS is underway and I have TEXAS figured for only +0.5 run edge thumbs_down

Had I been in a mood for betting I woulda taken a +1.5 on Anaheim for a "value bet"

 
Legend
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Posted: #8557

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Angels/TEXAS is underway and I have TEXAS figured for only +0.5 run edge  Had I been in a mood for betting I woulda taken a +1.5 on Anaheim for a "value bet"

cool And right after I finished typing that, I looked up and Angels are already on the board with another runner in scoring position...

 
Legend
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Posted: #8558

CUBS were kinda tempting but, nah....too much uncertainty....

 
Legend
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Posted: #8559

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

CUBS were kinda tempting but, nah....too much uncertainty....

 

...and of course betting the waaaaaaaaay over-priced DODGERS at home is completely OUT OF THE QUESTION

 
Legend
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Posted: #8560

cool Now, finally, looking at the 3 late games . . . 

 
Legend
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Posted: #8561

I have CLEVELAND with a decent +0.8 run edge over the Rockies - who are without a decent batter (Goodman) and lost 1 - 9 last night when Cleveland bats were facing a mediocre righty starter (Gordon)......tonight Rockies send up roughly the same....

 
Legend
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Posted: #8562

Looking at the Reds/DBacks matchup,

on paper this looks like a sure-thing/LOCK for DBacks 

 

Better offense, better starter, better bullpen.  Logical play.

 
Legend
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Posted: #8563

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

This is not a bet or recommended pick:  for me it's a "woulda, but didn't"

LEAN only to the over 8 alt-line on cards/PHIL ....I estimate 10.1 runs, give or take 2 runs either way.

 

...and after 6 innings, 12 runs are in . . . thumbs_up

 
 
Legend
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Posted: #8564

cool In the final game,  I have PADRES with a SOLID +1.2 run edge against a very reasonable line given that edge...This is a "woulda" for me but I'm not going risk ruining a 2 - 0 Saturday, even if I figure about 66.6% chance to win

 

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