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🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵

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Legend
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Posted: #8126

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Cin/Wash Both teams to score 2+ YES -375 @SIA  *BB        ...very high risk! tailing NOT recommended! Washington TT over 2.5 or 3.0 if offered looks to me like a solid alternative though I won't play it as it increases my exposure too much on a correlated bet. I am expecting at least 3 from Washington but more probably in the 4 - 6 range......HOT day/ball carries more!  Hitter's Park to begin with!!  NATS are the highest scoring team in MLB!!! Two sub-par bullpens!!! Starters who appear to be weaker than average!  

 Damndest thing though

.....almost every friggn' time I list all the sound NET POSITIVES for a play, well, it frequently ends up like a bellyflop off the 3 meter board INTO A SHALLOW POOL

 

.....SIGH......sad.......... huge losses on the way.....

 

 

 
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Posted: #8127

GL clover on your plays @fubah2peace_5

 

What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion player with a beeper!
 
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Posted: #8128

TEXAS -128 @pinn        ...very close call here with +0.7 run edge only

 
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Posted: #8129

...and finally Tiggers line drops into my range with a +0.65 run edge or so...

TIGGERS -124 @pinn  

 
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Posted: #8130

 

PASS on  slumping Dodgers vs DBacks

 
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Posted: #8131

For value considerations today I was LEANING to (but not ultimately bet) 

Athletics for +2 preferred or +1.5

Royals  for +2 preferred or +1.5

Braves in a coin-flipper getting significant PLUS $$$

 
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Posted: #8132

 

I show Tampa at Seattle as another coin-flipper....

 
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Posted: #8133

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

TEXAS -128 @pinn        ...very close call here with +0.7 run edge only

 

And already trail 0 - 3 as Rocker has imploded after 1.0 ip allowing 5 hits and 3 earnies.

 
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Posted: #8134

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: TEXAS -128 @pinn        ...very close call here with +0.7 run edge only   And already trail 0 - 3 as Rocker has imploded after 1.0 ip allowing 5 hits and 3 earnies.

 

Now trail 0 - 5   just in 2nd inning as ROCKER has allowed 7 on base to LOSE the game already for Texas...

 
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Posted: #8135

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: TEXAS -128 @pinn        ...very close call here with +0.7 run edge only   And already trail 0 - 3 as Rocker has imploded after 1.0 ip allowing 5 hits and 3 earnies.   Now trail 0 - 5   just in 2nd inning as ROCKER has allowed 7 on base to LOSE the game already for Texas...

And it will get worse from here . . .

 
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Posted: #8136

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Cin/Wash Both teams to score 2+ YES -375 @SIA  *BB        ...very high risk! tailing NOT recommended! Washington TT over 2.5 or 3.0 if offered looks to me like a solid alternative though I won't play it as it increases my exposure too much on a correlated bet. I am expecting at least 3 from Washington but more probably in the 4 - 6 range......HOT day/ball carries more!  Hitter's Park to begin with!!  NATS are the highest scoring team in MLB!!! Two sub-par bullpens!!! Starters who appear to be weaker than average!  

 

Damndest thing though

almost every friggn' time I list all the sound NET POSITIVES for a play,

it frequently ends up like a bellyflop off the 3 meter board

INTO A SHALLOW POOL

 

....and of course, that is exactly what happened once again...  an_smash

 
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Posted: #8137

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

For value considerations today I was LEANING to (but not ultimately bet) 

Athletics for +2 preferred or +1.5

Royals  for +2 preferred or +1.5

Braves in a coin-flipper getting significant PLUS $$$

 

All 3 hanging in there...   

 
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Posted: #8138

Originally Posted by fubah2         Cinci/Wash ov 8.0 -170 alt-total *BB   (7-1)...  {{Cinn/Wash Both teams to score 2+ YES -375  *BB        ...very high risk! tailing NOT recommended! }}.........    Washington -107  ....  (7-1)

goldfinger 1964
 
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Posted: #8139

Originally Posted by fubah2     TEXAS -128  ...  TIGGERS -124   ....    peace

goldfinger 1964
 
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Posted: #8140

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

For value considerations today I was LEANING to (but not ultimately bet) 

 

Athletics for +2 preferred or +1.5

Royals  for +2 preferred or +1.5

Braves in a coin-flipper getting significant PLUS $$$

Had I bet those value bets,  Royals missed but the other two hit! 

 
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Posted: #8141

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: For value considerations today I was LEANING to (but not ultimately bet)    Athletics for +2 preferred or +1.5 Royals  for +2 preferred or +1.5 Braves in a coin-flipper getting significant PLUS $$$ Had I bet those value bets,  Royals missed but the other two hit!

I should bet these more often....

 
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Posted: #8142

@fubah2

 67% on +$.. I know small sample size, but yes you should! Haha - I’m not questioning you, you’re the best on here.. It’s the worst when they hit & you’re not on them. Your process is strong, Tex & Cincy just forgot they had to show up today! GL rest of the day Fubs an_cheers

 
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Posted: #8143

Quote Originally Posted by Dubcity4:

@fubah2  67% on +$.. I know small sample size, but yes you should! Haha - I’m not questioning you, you’re the best on here.. It’s the worst when they hit & you’re not on them. Your process is strong, Tex & Cincy just forgot they had to show up today! GL rest of the day Fubs an_cheers

 

Yeaaahh I've been skirting around it too long and those and my "woulda" list just keep hitting at a rate even higher than my bets for heaven sake....sheeesh.surprised

 
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Posted: #8144

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

PASS on  slumping Dodgers vs DBacks

 

GLAD I DID!!!  How many losses as a fav to AZ does that make now?!  

 
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Posted: #8145

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

...and finally Tiggers line drops into my range with a +0.65 run edge or so...

TIGGERS -124 @pinn

 

Needing my TIGGERS to hang on! an_nailbiter

 
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Posted: #8146

@fubah2

 clover

 
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Posted: #8147

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

...and finally Tiggers line drops into my range with a +0.65 run edge or so... TIGGERS -124 @pinn

 

My TIGGERS!  an_2drinks

 
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Posted: #8148

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: ...and finally Tiggers line drops into my range with a +0.65 run edge or so... TIGGERS -124 @pinn   My TIGGERS!

 

16 - 10 - 1   this week

 
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Posted: #8149

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: ...and finally Tiggers line drops into my range with a +0.65 run edge or so... TIGGERS -124 @pinn   My TIGGERS!   16 - 10 - 1   this week

But a bad weekend for me overall as my usual 2 BEST days (Friday and Sunday) lost too much juice.

 
 
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Posted: #8150

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: ...and finally Tiggers line drops into my range with a +0.65 run edge or so... TIGGERS -124 @pinn   My TIGGERS!   16 - 10 - 1   this week But a bad weekend for me overall as my usual 2 BEST days (Friday and Sunday) lost too much juice.

I did escape losing any bets on my usual WORST day, which are Saturdays.

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