Posted:
#8101
SUNDAY FUN DAY ?!
Cinci/Wash ov 8.0 -170 alt-total@pinn *BB ...8.5 likely OK; 10 run estimate
🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵
Posted:
#8104
My capping shows Baahhstin with a modest +1.0 run edge over the A's, who - despite a depleted lineup - whacked the BoSox 7 - 3 last night facing a much better starter then than they do today! 
In fact, given that GINN is better than the BoSox starting combo, I am LEANING to the A's at +2.0 possibly ....undecided....but definitely NOT backing the Sox here......or may just pass and avoid the stress.
Posted:
#8107
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Cin/Wash Both teams to score 2+ YES -375 @SIA *BB ...very high risk! tailing NOT recommended!
Cin/Wash Both teams to score 2+ YES -375 @SIA *BB ...very high risk! tailing NOT recommended!
Washington TT over 2.5 or 3.0 if offered looks to me like a solid alternative though I won't play it as it increases my exposure too much on a correlated bet. I am expecting at least 3 from Washington but more probably in the 4 - 6 range......HOT day/ball carries more! Hitter's Park to begin with!! NATS are the highest scoring team in MLB!!! Two sub-par bullpens!!! Starters who appear to be weaker than average!
Damndest thing though .....almost every friggn' time I list all the sound NET POSITIVES for a play, well, it frequently ends up like a bellyflop off the 3 meter board INTO A SHALLOW POOL 
Posted:
#8108
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
My capping shows Baahhstin with a modest +1.0 run edge over the A's, who - despite a depleted lineup - whacked the BoSox 7 - 3 last night facing a much better starter then than they do today! In fact, given that GINN is better than the BoSox starting combo, I am LEANING to the A's at +2.0 possibly ....undecided....but definitely NOT backing the Sox here......or may just pass and avoid the stress.
My capping shows Baahhstin with a modest +1.0 run edge over the A's, who - despite a depleted lineup - whacked the BoSox 7 - 3 last night facing a much better starter then than they do today! In fact, given that GINN is better than the BoSox starting combo, I am LEANING to the A's at +2.0 possibly ....undecided....but definitely NOT backing the Sox here......or may just pass and avoid the stress.
GOOD lefty bat, YOSHIDA, is OUT for BoSox
Posted:
#8109
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: My capping shows Baahhstin with a modest +1.0 run edge over the A's, who - despite a depleted lineup - whacked the BoSox 7 - 3 last night facing a much better starter then than they do today! In fact, given that GINN is better than the BoSox starting combo, I am LEANING to the A's at +2.0 possibly ....undecided....but definitely NOT backing the Sox here......or may just pass and avoid the stress. GOOD lefty bat, YOSHIDA, is OUT for BoSox
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: My capping shows Baahhstin with a modest +1.0 run edge over the A's, who - despite a depleted lineup - whacked the BoSox 7 - 3 last night facing a much better starter then than they do today! In fact, given that GINN is better than the BoSox starting combo, I am LEANING to the A's at +2.0 possibly ....undecided....but definitely NOT backing the Sox here......or may just pass and avoid the stress. GOOD lefty bat, YOSHIDA, is OUT for BoSox
Makes my LEAN to A's for a +2 a wee bit stronger...not much stronger, but a better LEAN for sure
Posted:
#8114
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: My capping has Atla/NYY as a 50/50 coin-flipper! YOU decide what you wanna do... Undecided yet if I will play this but with an estimated 4.0 runs each, this definitely should have "value" grabbing the PLUS $$$ ....assuming I have it capped accurately
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: My capping has Atla/NYY as a 50/50 coin-flipper! YOU decide what you wanna do... Undecided yet if I will play this but with an estimated 4.0 runs each, this definitely should have "value" grabbing the PLUS $$$ ....assuming I have it capped accurately
...that would be on the team getting *significant* PLUS $$$ which is Braves...
However, it is a coin-flipper.....so be prepared for a possible loss too...
Posted:
#8122
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
My capping shows CUBS with only a small +0.5 run edge here!!! Strong LEAN to KC getting +RL esp +2 ....but undecided...
My capping shows CUBS with only a small +0.5 run edge here!!! Strong LEAN to KC getting +RL esp +2 ....but undecided...
Looking like good value on KC getting points.....they still like lose the game but getting +2 or even +1.5 looks enticing given that CUBS pen is thin and DOBNAK is quite decent for Royals.....
Posted:
#8125
August 09:
HOT STREAK WARNING! 
MELTON, Detroit
This STARTER is riding an improbable 8-game HOT STREAK, 
WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!
...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!! 
Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long" especially AFTER 7 straight w/o a "bad outing"....All GOOD pitchers will, from time to time, have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again. 
Best to avoid!
CAVEAT: even if the starter has a "bad outing" doesn't guarantee his team will lose! It just seriously weakens their chances! But his team's bats could come thru with a lot of runs to save the day.....well, maybe. You decide.
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