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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵

    «First Previous 169170171 ... 367368369 Next Last»
    fubah2
    Moose6836
    OO7CRUSHER
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    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posts: 54741
    Posted: May. 6, 2026 - 8:30 AM ET #4201

      It's HUMPING DAY! reallyhappy an_happydude

     

    Blew-it Jays +124 @pinn   "value bet"  ...coin-flipper; I'll always take decent PLUS money

    Reply

      It's HUMPING DAY! reallyhappy an_happydude

     

    Blew-it Jays +124 @pinn   "value bet"  ...coin-flipper; I'll always take decent PLUS money

     
    Moose6836
    Moose6836
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    Posts: 5731
    Posted: May. 6, 2026 - 8:36 AM ET #4202

    With skubel out AL central is up for grabs-don’t think any team runs away with it! Will be tight race with all 5 teams going on final day to determine who wins it
    Reply
    With skubel out AL central is up for grabs-don’t think any team runs away with it! Will be tight race with all 5 teams going on final day to determine who wins it
     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: May. 6, 2026 - 8:57 AM ET #4203

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    It's HUMPING DAY! reallyhappy an_happydude    

    Blew-it Jays +124 @pinn   "value bet"  ...coin-flipper; I'll always take decent PLUS money

    Braves +120  @FD (Perez must go as listed)  *BB    ...I actually have them for a +.09 rpg edge!

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    It's HUMPING DAY! reallyhappy an_happydude    

    Blew-it Jays +124 @pinn   "value bet"  ...coin-flipper; I'll always take decent PLUS money

    Braves +120  @FD (Perez must go as listed)  *BB    ...I actually have them for a +.09 rpg edge!

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: May. 6, 2026 - 9:00 AM ET #4204

    Cardinals -106 @pinn  ...if Pallante does not implode Cards should prevail

    Reply

    Cardinals -106 @pinn  ...if Pallante does not implode Cards should prevail

     
    OO7CRUSHER
    OO7CRUSHER
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    Posted: May. 6, 2026 - 9:06 AM ET #4205

    @fubah2

     clover

    Reply

    @fubah2

     clover

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: May. 6, 2026 - 9:41 AM ET #4206

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    1 - 3  *Best Bets on Tuesday an_burningbag sad

    Twinkies -130 @pinn   *BB an_nailbiter   ...I have them for a fraction more than a full run edge

     

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    1 - 3  *Best Bets on Tuesday an_burningbag sad

    Twinkies -130 @pinn   *BB an_nailbiter   ...I have them for a fraction more than a full run edge

     

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: May. 6, 2026 - 9:49 AM ET #4207

    Wednesday, May 06:

    an_police an_blowhorn  HOT STREAK WARNING!

     

                                    WARREN, NYY

     

               This STARTER is riding a tenuous  7-game  HOT STREAK, an_lightening

                        WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!

     

           ...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!! an_nailbiter an_speechless an_getaway          

     

    Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long"...All GOOD pitchers will have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again. 

    A BAD DAY happens to the best of them.  Just CAN NOT be avoided. an_shake

     

    an_lightCAVEAT: even if the starter has a "bad outing" doesn't mean his team will lose! It just seriously weakens their chances! But his team's bats could come thru with a lot of runs to save the day..... maybe! You decide.

    Reply

    Wednesday, May 06:

    an_police an_blowhorn  HOT STREAK WARNING!

     

                                    WARREN, NYY

     

               This STARTER is riding a tenuous  7-game  HOT STREAK, an_lightening

                        WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!

     

           ...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!! an_nailbiter an_speechless an_getaway          

     

    Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long"...All GOOD pitchers will have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again. 

    A BAD DAY happens to the best of them.  Just CAN NOT be avoided. an_shake

     

    an_lightCAVEAT: even if the starter has a "bad outing" doesn't mean his team will lose! It just seriously weakens their chances! But his team's bats could come thru with a lot of runs to save the day..... maybe! You decide.

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: May. 6, 2026 - 9:59 AM ET #4208

    Cubbies -162 @pinn  *BB      ... about +1.6 run edge ...I think an_nailbiter

    Reply

    Cubbies -162 @pinn  *BB      ... about +1.6 run edge ...I think an_nailbiter

     
    countrybob
    countrybob
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    Posts: 1254
    Posted: May. 6, 2026 - 10:03 AM ET #4209

    @fubah2

     Going against crusher ..hmmm 

    Reply

    @fubah2

     Going against crusher ..hmmm 

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: May. 6, 2026 - 11:31 AM ET #4210

    I have DODGERS for just over a full run edge but that edge is not enough in my capping to justify 2 to 1 odds...

    Reply

    I have DODGERS for just over a full run edge but that edge is not enough in my capping to justify 2 to 1 odds...

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: May. 6, 2026 - 11:31 AM ET #4211

    I have DODGERS for just over a full run edge but that edge is not enough in my capping to justify 2 to 1 odds...

    Reply

    I have DODGERS for just over a full run edge but that edge is not enough in my capping to justify 2 to 1 odds...

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: May. 6, 2026 - 11:44 AM ET #4212

    PHILLIES  have a fair edge over the A's of about .7 runs but not enough to justify such heavy ML odds risk.

    Reply

    PHILLIES  have a fair edge over the A's of about .7 runs but not enough to justify such heavy ML odds risk.

     
    TheVigPodcast
    TheVigPodcast
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    Posts: 3742
    Posted: May. 6, 2026 - 12:33 PM ET #4213

    an_cheers

    Reply

    an_cheers

     
    MedicalMaryJay
    MedicalMaryJay
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    Posts: 271
    Posted: May. 6, 2026 - 1:19 PM ET #4214

    @fubah2

     Hard rock has Astros +2.5, seems like pretty good value according to your numbers??

    Reply

    @fubah2

     Hard rock has Astros +2.5, seems like pretty good value according to your numbers??

     
    trust-me
    trust-me
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    Posts: 7691
    Posted: May. 6, 2026 - 1:32 PM ET #4215

    Your the Man! 

    Feeding them followers cash daily.

    Without a fuss you deserve a Metal Sir for all you do.

    Send cash to me ill make sure he @fubah gets every penny unless he wants a go fund me page seriosly.The very least we can do im not using you these last few days trying my own to see how ill do Thanks and G.L

    Mr Evil.
    Reply

    Your the Man! 

    Feeding them followers cash daily.

    Without a fuss you deserve a Metal Sir for all you do.

    Send cash to me ill make sure he @fubah gets every penny unless he wants a go fund me page seriosly.The very least we can do im not using you these last few days trying my own to see how ill do Thanks and G.L

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posts: 54741
    Posted: May. 6, 2026 - 3:16 PM ET #4216

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    It's HUMPING DAY!     Blew-it Jays +124 @pinn   "value bet"  ...coin-flipper; I'll always take decent PLUS money

    So this coin-flipper is going the way of Tampa......another loss but that's fine in this case because over time I expect to just about split all my coin-flipper bets ....but since I only take the PLUS money, I should profit. Long season.  

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    It's HUMPING DAY!     Blew-it Jays +124 @pinn   "value bet"  ...coin-flipper; I'll always take decent PLUS money

    So this coin-flipper is going the way of Tampa......another loss but that's fine in this case because over time I expect to just about split all my coin-flipper bets ....but since I only take the PLUS money, I should profit. Long season.  

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: May. 6, 2026 - 3:19 PM ET #4217

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Cardinals -106 @pinn  ...if Pallante does not implode Cards should prevail

     

    ...and sure enough, Pallante *DID* implode, in the first half inning, so CARDS will lose sad

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Cardinals -106 @pinn  ...if Pallante does not implode Cards should prevail

     

    ...and sure enough, Pallante *DID* implode, in the first half inning, so CARDS will lose sad

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posts: 54741
    Posted: May. 6, 2026 - 3:42 PM ET #4218

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Cubbies -162 @pinn  *BB      ... about +1.6 run edge ...I think

     

    Adding:

    PADRES +102  @pinn  (Rodriguez must start)

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Cubbies -162 @pinn  *BB      ... about +1.6 run edge ...I think

     

    Adding:

    PADRES +102  @pinn  (Rodriguez must start)

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: May. 6, 2026 - 5:31 PM ET #4219

    Minnesota -111 @pinn   ....2nd bet

    Reply

    Minnesota -111 @pinn   ....2nd bet

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: May. 6, 2026 - 5:31 PM ET #4220

    Quote Originally Posted by OO7CRUSHER:

    @fubah2

    clover

    TY and BoL with your games today! an_2drinks

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by OO7CRUSHER:

    @fubah2

    clover

    TY and BoL with your games today! an_2drinks

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: May. 6, 2026 - 6:41 PM ET #4221

    Quote Originally Posted by TheVigPodcast:

    an_cheers

    And a big BoL to you too! an_cheers

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by TheVigPodcast:

    an_cheers

    And a big BoL to you too! an_cheers

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posts: 54741
    Posted: May. 6, 2026 - 11:26 PM ET #4222

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Wednesday, May 06:

    an_police an_blowhorn  HOT STREAK WARNING!

     

                                    WARREN, NYY

     

               This STARTER is riding a tenuous  7-game  HOT STREAK, an_lightening

                        WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!

           ...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!! an_nailbiter an_speechless an_getaway          

    an_ref His streak ends at 7  and his Yankees LOSE at -171 (close)

     

    cool I'll try to update a running list of these starter "HOT STREAK" warnings/results at the point any starter achieves 7 consecutive starts WITHOUT a "BAD" outing..

     

    NOTE: this is about starters on a streak of personal performances, regardless whether his team ultimately wins or not.  However, probability suggests starter HOT STREAKS get very dicey after reaching 7 (usually a significant fav then) and those games are best skipped until *AFTER* the starter records a BAD performance

     

    May 06: WARREN (NYY -171) BAD outing; his streak of 7 ends....  team loss
    May 05: ELDER (NYY -136) GOOD outing, team win; his HOT streak continues to 8
    May 04: SORIANO (LAA -171) BAD outing; his streak of 7 ends.... team loss

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Wednesday, May 06:

    an_police an_blowhorn  HOT STREAK WARNING!

     

                                    WARREN, NYY

     

               This STARTER is riding a tenuous  7-game  HOT STREAK, an_lightening

                        WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!

           ...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!! an_nailbiter an_speechless an_getaway          

    an_ref His streak ends at 7  and his Yankees LOSE at -171 (close)

     

    cool I'll try to update a running list of these starter "HOT STREAK" warnings/results at the point any starter achieves 7 consecutive starts WITHOUT a "BAD" outing..

     

    NOTE: this is about starters on a streak of personal performances, regardless whether his team ultimately wins or not.  However, probability suggests starter HOT STREAKS get very dicey after reaching 7 (usually a significant fav then) and those games are best skipped until *AFTER* the starter records a BAD performance

     

    May 06: WARREN (NYY -171) BAD outing; his streak of 7 ends....  team loss
    May 05: ELDER (NYY -136) GOOD outing, team win; his HOT streak continues to 8
    May 04: SORIANO (LAA -171) BAD outing; his streak of 7 ends.... team loss

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: May. 7, 2026 - 4:02 AM ET #4223

    an_smash Another significant LOSING day (Wednesday) sad.... 2 - 5  [1 - 2 *BB]

                Tuesday was much worse though:  2 - 9   [1 - 3 *BB] an_speechless

     

                So, just   4 - 14  [2 - 5 *BB] the past 2 days an_getaway

     

    Hoping the early season volatility swings back...

    Reply

    an_smash Another significant LOSING day (Wednesday) sad.... 2 - 5  [1 - 2 *BB]

                Tuesday was much worse though:  2 - 9   [1 - 3 *BB] an_speechless

     

                So, just   4 - 14  [2 - 5 *BB] the past 2 days an_getaway

     

    Hoping the early season volatility swings back...

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: May. 7, 2026 - 4:24 AM ET #4224

    Thursday (as always, listed pitchers at the time of my post):

    Tex/NYY over 8 -125  *BB

    NYY -150   *BB    ....very thin edge, but part of new angle I am tracking

    Wash -114  *BB    ....very thin edge, but part of 2nd new angle I am tracking

    KC -139   *BB    ...could be way off AGAIN but my capping says a +1.6 run edge

    "Cardiac" CUBS -187  *BB  an_nailbiter...could be way off AGAIN but my capping says a +1.5 run edge....also part of new angle I am tracking

    Reply

    Thursday (as always, listed pitchers at the time of my post):

    Tex/NYY over 8 -125  *BB

    NYY -150   *BB    ....very thin edge, but part of new angle I am tracking

    Wash -114  *BB    ....very thin edge, but part of 2nd new angle I am tracking

    KC -139   *BB    ...could be way off AGAIN but my capping says a +1.6 run edge

    "Cardiac" CUBS -187  *BB  an_nailbiter...could be way off AGAIN but my capping says a +1.5 run edge....also part of new angle I am tracking

     
     
    fubah2
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    Posted: May. 7, 2026 - 4:53 AM ET #4225

    Colorado +127    "value bet"  ....virtual coin-flipper

    Reply

    Colorado +127    "value bet"  ....virtual coin-flipper

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