KScapping write ups and plays archived #2

 Already posted my Bears play tonight BoL

 Chicago 

Haha, I do nothing other than being realistic and state facts, but I am the hater, as I said, it just hurts you that not everyone around here is willing to ass lick you, I will admire you when you do well, and I will also speak my mind when you do something idiotic, why? because I can, and because it's a public thread, and btw, thanks for the bears pick, now I know where to put my money on, what a happy xmas I'm gonna have with packers -11.5, thank you Ugly woman!

oh and.. "chronic ADD or some other affliction" says the old ugly lady who spends 20 hours a day capping? cool, I couldn't wish but to be just as healthy as you are.

Nessa .... Go find something else to do man.... leave this thread alone

KS thanks ... I just missed read it somehow

Nessa-You're holding the wrong end of the joint, holmes.

Nessa - It is unrealistic to think someone is going to win every game they handicap.

I know dougie, I haven't said otherwise, as a matter of fact one of my main points is that everything evens out eventually, Bol to everyone on the bears, but the money is on the packers today.

Nessa....The correct term is OCD, NOT ADD....AGAIN, LET THE CAPPERS DO THEIR THING!....They know if they're doing good or bad!

I was quoting KSCapping, but thanks for the correction.

UNDER 41.5 Packers

nessa, i feel  i sorry for you,of all the idiots i have seen on here you top them all. Move on, your not wanted or liked here. why would you even want to hang around. Good luck to both guys.

been reading these threads for 4 years. Both of these guys have made me money. Cant believe i let an idiot like that get the best of me and waste my 1st post. GO BEARS!

Well sir, you're about to give some of that money back to the house, gl.

Raving lunatic alert!!!

Nessa has lost her bankroll following KS in his cold streak and is hellbound on polluting this thread with her rants and raves.  Boys and girls, it's a marathon and not a sprint.  Bet more than 25% percent of your roll on a game like Nessa has done and that will be the outcome.  

New odds pending outcome of the football game. 

Yes cutebrute, I've tailed KSCapping on every game with 25% of my bankroll, just like im surely playing the bears now, of course I am, Marry christmas sir.


It's so amazing how it is so hard for people to have an open mind and analyze things by themselves, it's just obviously a bad idea to bet against the packers when you put your money on a palko-type quarterback. Good luck nonetheless.

Fcuk. I have GB and now I'm worried b/c I see Nessa is on them, too. I hate having the same pick as a raving jackass. 

Im not a raving jackass nybartender, but thank you, i'm trying to be thoughtful only, I like discussing stuff, and don't worry with your packers, we got this.

[Quote: Originally Posted by KScapping]

and that has dropped to 17^th allowing 7.1 in L3.  Atlanta’s secondary is inferior to NO wideouts, but the question is how much time is Brees going to have to ‘check down’?

Running games:  We really only need to talk about Atlanta’s run game here; NO will pass pass pass as usual.  Atlanta averages 110 yds per game (ranked 19^th), but has only averaged 84 pg in L3.  NO gives up 109 pg on the ground.  NO is near last in the NFL in opponent yards per attempt, allowing 4.9 per. 

 

Time of Possession:  Mike Smith is a ball control HC, and his Falcons are 2^nd in the NFL in TOP with 32:32 pg, while Peyton’s quick strike Saints are at a surprisingly high @ 31:53.

Sharps vs Squares:  Squares are on the Saints @ about 61% and they are swarming to the Over.

Game plans:  Sean Peyton is no strategical genius; he has one of the best passers in the NFL and he tells him to pass a lot, and then pass some more.  Mike Smith in my opinion, is one of the best adjusting HC’s in the NFL (trust me, I am not an Atlanta fan by any stretch…or any team for that matter).  Smith always closes out seasons well by adjusting his game plans.  There are few surprises when you play the Saints, and you know how they are going to come at you (passing and passing).  Smith knows if they lose the turnover battle, or if they don’t dominate TOP they will lose.  The short game is going to be the key in this one for the Falcons.  The Saints really can’t stop the Falcons from this game plan; they just don’t have the qualified defensive personnel to do so.  Brees is likely to throw a pick or two in this game because of the pass rush, and when games are close….Brees takes chances.

Monday Night games:  Nobody shines like Brees on Monday nights.  That is the only portion of my take that causes trepidation on my play here. 

Motivation:  If I have to tell you what is on the line for both these teams, then you need to read a more basic write up of this game (division, seed position, play off berth, Marinos passing record, ect)

Recent opening drives:

 In the previous 4 weeks, Atlanta and NO (combined 8 opening drives)—on their opening drives—scored a total of 10 pts—that is 10 pts in 8 total opening drives— (Atlanta 7 and NO scored 3).  In those 8 combined games, these two teams went 3 and out 5 times.  The majority of their opponents during this span of games are in the top 5 (in the NFL) in allowed points (Minnesota X 2, Carolina, and NY Giants).

Summary:

A summary is almost pointless; I have made all the points above.  If Atlanta gets the ball first, I think this will be a fairly easy Under first half, if not it will at worst be close.  Michael Turner loves playing the Saints, and I think the Falcons are going to feature him big time in this game to chew up clock and grind this game out.  They want to minimize Bree’s appearance on the field, and I think they have the team that can pull that off.

Atlanta / Saints Under 26.5 first half

Atlanta +6.5 game

Atlanta Under 52.5 game

I think taking under for the contest for first half and game is the type of pick where you go 2-0 or 0-2.I do not think this should count as 2 picks its either one or the other.As you know parlays are not allowed with these type of plays because most likely u hit or miss both.This in my opinion is not a great way to decide a contest.Had I done 1st half and 2nd halfs in the same game to date I would have been something like 16-2 already.In essence it becomes a 15 game contest instead of 30.Its your call but if I knew earlier I would have played some of my games like this.Let me know what you think.

I think taking under for the contest for first half and game is the type of pick where you go 2-0 or 0-2.I do not think this should count as 2 picks its either one or the other.As you know parlays are not allowed with these type of plays because most likely u hit or miss both.This in my opinion is not a great way to decide a contest.Had I done 1st half and 2nd halfs in the same game to date I would have been something like 16-2 already.In essence it becomes a 15 game contest instead of 30.Its your call but if I knew earlier I would have played some of my games like this.Let me know what you think.

Ilprato can you post all plays? Or do you post them seperate on a different post?

KS back to my comments its your call it doesn't matter to me .I just want to be clear moving forward.

Nessa don't be a hater, you can make your plays and I think we can all respect that. These two handicappers put a lot of thought and homework into their picks and analysis. No one says that you have to agree with their picks. Obviously you can start your own thread and tally your picks. Whatever you decide, peace be with you.