Harness Racing Ontario - Mohawk specialty + other B tracks occasionally

Ya sure, no problem....just want to test it out before I promote it too much and make some bank.

If you are in the U.S., I am not sure it would affect my pools in Canada here so might be willing to actually give the system eventually. I am going to post my tickets around 6:30 - 7 pm but today, I was sidetracked and got them in too late. Once I know the scratches and look at the post parade....will post my plays in the thread. In most instances. I will have one larger play and another or two options to post and once I see the 2 faves on the toteboard, I will place which bets I go with .....UNLESS of course I just make a pre-bet after 6 pm and then go out for dinner with my wife. She loves this idea so I don't have to fret on my own personal handicapping each race....just handicap the best combo using the morning line odds

Capped the 5 races using the odds I utilize in the system and have the strategy for tomorrow ready to go I think......

Tomorrow looks like it could grow a nice payout! 

See you around 630 - 7pm with SYSTEM PLAY #2

System Investment= $69

Recovered Win $$ = $1127.48

NEW SYSTEM PICK #2 (Day 2):

Dec 29, 2023
6:56 PM Bet 23330252689427 Woodbine Stbd, Race 1, $0.20 PK5 6 / 2,4,6,7 / 1,2,4,6,8 / 3-5 / 2-4,6 $48.00
Dec 29, 2023
6:55 PM Bet 47704029864169 Woodbine Stbd, Race 1, $0.20 PK5 3,8 / 2,4,6,7 / 1,2,4,6,8 / 3-5 / 3 $24.00
Dec 29, 2023
6:54 PM Bet 72185339955540 Woodbine Stbd, Race 1, $0.20 PK5 3,6 / 8 / 1,2,4,6,8 / 1-7,10 / 3,4 $32.00

The first race in my view only offers the best chance for a KEY ....but, since they are young horses and its an off track, I believe 2-3 tickets are required.

NOTE: #6  in race one is a 3 yr old with a lot of potential and soon to turn 4 yrs old.....it should not tire if it goes to the lead while the other younger horse might if they get into a speed dual....that is why its a KEY!

I have done a few smaller PICK3's but not going to show......

Hoping to change this status later after RACE 5:

System Investment= $173

Recovered Win $$ = TBD   ($1127.48 so far)

OK....Race #1 >> #6 delivered a resounding win and that is because #3 snapped at the 3/4 pole but even then, it has shown all week that this winter track when sloppy is VERY HARD TO CLOSE on the long stretch if there was no speed battle happening in the first half and there really wasn't much of one in this race with longshots going to the front and the #6 getting the lead

I now have a bunch with a bunch with a few with a bunch ....so let it happen, captain ! 

Results:

R1: KEY WINS > #6  (3-1 ML)

Race 2 > #4  (5-1 ML)

Race 3 > #2  (7-2 ML)

....should be paying out a minimum of $150  to the favorite in race 5 (#3) if the next two races book a morning line favorite

Race #4 - #5 wins unless there is an inquiry and then its #3 for 2nd the winner

Race #5 > 4 horses alive to payout *2,3,4,6 >>> I figure the fave (#3) is paying about $120-150 and the others are $200 -$400 each

I am ahead, if I book a profit here and just 1-2 more wins away from being profitable for the next 30+ days with all wining plays adding to my profits in January

Race #5 - #4 Parisian Blue Chip won at 5 - 1 ML but only paying $107 (frankly, this is light of a payout given the morning line winners tonight)

........but an inquiry has been lit and 2nd was #6 paying the best payout at $167

But nothing there in the inquiry .....we have a small winner here and made $3 on PICK5 profit, but played some PICK3's and alive in the PICK4 but not going to report it...

$0.20 Pick 5 >>>  6 / 4 / 2 / 5 / 4 (5 of 5) $107.67

AFTER 2 SYSTEM CARDS:

2 - 0 

System Investment= $173

Recovered ($$) = $1235.15 

Profit = + $1062

Playing some big tickets tonight....I smell upsets

Race 2 KEY likely is #2

Race 3 KEYs likely are #2,3

Race 5 KEY is Points North dropping down from FreeForAll #4

I wouldn't use all 3 but play around and mix one of those or 2 of those on your tickets ....GOOD LUCK

3 out of 4 faves tonight.....shit.

And likely #4 here?? Looks great on the track but some great horse in here and kind of like #2 or #10 to upset 

Caught a nice bet on #10 in race #2 > #10 exactor with with #2 and $5 across on it

Win tonight was a third in a row but small....got 2x $44.56 with a scratch in one race and the fave winning so it paid 2x

I invested in the PICK5 thought $137 

AFTER 3 SYSTEM CARDS:

3 - 0 

System Investment= $310

Recovered ($$) = $1324.27 

Profit = + $1014

@Last2thirst

 https://idealbet.online

WTF is that for?

I bet and share and don't follow anyone unless ITS FREE

@Last2thirst

 It's a grind but are you letting software handle the intensive amount of data? 

With the chalk winning @ 32%, getting a couple 2nd or 3rd favorites can make a nice payout. However, one 10-1 shot winner & it's kaput.

I'll be watching.

Ahhhh....but I am not doing robotic top morning line horses.... top 5 horses in 3 races and once in a while, top 6-7 horses in one race with a 8-1,10-1 or occasionally, a 15-1 morning line.

You forget, or don't know, I grew up with the horsemen at 16 yrs old and around them to learn the game and what to look for on the track or in a program to know when to place a 10-1 in the race

In general,  I will be doing 5 horses with 5 horses with 5 horses with 2 horses with 2 horses as my data shows this brings in a +250 to +350 return each year on the PICK5's investment $$$  ....but, to make money, you won't have to expect to hit every PICK5 ....will catch 6-10 per 22 PICK5's and you should avg about $250-$375 per as an average. I am not quite done 2022-2023 analysis but I am staying over $300 average and I suspect when I get into May - August, there will be an occasional stretch where this goes up as a lot of faves do not win in the summer, except with big $$ on the line

So far so good, but I do not have stardust in my eyes with believing I will hit more than one $1000 return per month....might get one every 2 months

I personally think, I over extended my betting these last two days

SYSTEM CARD #4 (Week #1 about to be closed)

AFTER 3 SYSTEM CARDS:

3 - 0 

System Investment= $310

Recovered ($$) = $1324.27 

Profit = + $1014

Researched the last 2 yrs of the first card to start the year ...the premise being, everyone, but especially the top drivers, are itching to get off to a new start. This is what I found out by observing both PICK5's

-nothing crazy as far as big favorites

-top two faves win 2 of the 5 races in both years 

- top drivers (McNair, JMAC and Roy or McClure) went  5 out of 10 winners for both years

-JMAC with a DOUBLE in last year's 4th and 5th race and nice odds

- no driver Double completed the year before

The fact that MCNAIR and JMAC both took their vacations BEFORE Jan 1 ....some years they miss week 1 or 2.....tells me they are focused on having a strong start right out of the gate!

Ticket almost ready but still mulling:

Race 4 tonight > beware that there are actually 3 favorites in my opinion in that race and therefore, this is the race I am considering taking 6 horses since I expect a speed battle

Just capping race 5 and putting together system with all thoughts considered 

KEYING PATRIARCH HANOVER IN RACE 5

$64 MAIN ticket tonight

Also playing another ticket with all top 2 morning line odds for 60 cents as well which costs 

-added JMAC horse at 9-2 in race #3 

-added Sylvain on #8 at 6-1 for Jackie Moiseyev as trainer.....won in 154 last week first time and will aim for the front again!

Bet
Woodbine Stbd, Race 1, $0.20 PK5 4,7 / 1,8 / 5-7 / 5,6,8 / 4,5 $14.40
Bet
Woodbine Stbd, Race 1, $0.20 PK5 4,7 / 1,8 / 5-7 / 5,6,8 / 4,5 $14.40
Bet
Woodbine Stbd, Race 1, $0.20 PK5 4-7 / 1,3,6,8 / 3-7 / 4-6,8 / 4 $64.00

60 cents total to mostly faves ....big ticket has a couple of longshots in there

RACE 1 and 2 Results:

FINISH PGM# HORSE MLO FINAL WIN PLACE SHOW
1st

#7  Dontpokethedragon  8/5 $5.50 $3.90 $2.50

2nd

#6  Crystal Baller  7 -1  $16.10 $7.90 $5.00

Lets see what happens and now time to do some DBLS onto ALL WRAPPED UP and GIGONDAS in the last leg

Jan 01, 2024
7:07 PM Bet 48323613052916 Woodbine Stbd, Race 1, $0.20 PK5 4-7 / 1,3,6,8 / 3 4-7 / 4-6,8 / 4 $64.00

8-1 morning odds line won #4 in the 3rd race

This PICK5 is paying minimum $250 now I bet and perhaps higher

GOT #4 at 10-1 morning line in the book !!!

This is paying nicely to the #4 in the next race I bet..... $600 -800 and likely over $1000?

POTENTIAL PAYOUTS....OMG!!!!

1
Rivers
24 $36,637.93 (5 of 5)
2
Walkonthemoon
3 $9,159.48 (5 of 5)
3
Ritson
38 $0 (5 of 5)
4
Patriarch Hanover
5 $4,267.06 (5 of 5)
5
All Wrapped Up
5 $5,821.91 (5 of 5)
6
Buck Dancer
16 $0 (5 of 5)
7
Donatover
2 $0 (5 of 5)
8
Gigondas
6 $25,602.40 (5 of 5)
9
Swan Diego
32 $0 (5 of 5)
10
Radio Lab
34 $0 (5 of 5)

I have a $4 DBL to $5 that will pay back $500+ 

$2 double to #8 that pays $400+

WINNER was #5 with my #4 a close second...... 

If I would have put in #5, the ticket it would have cost me $128 which is within my limit barely but since I spent a little too much, I figured I could back up the #5 more.....as it was, I had to backup #2 as well and a few others but will make $$ tonight as a result!!

All Wrapped Up
#5   $5,821.91 (5 of 5)

Some of my backup payouts bolded /cost in blue colour:

Jan 01, 2024
8:55 PM Bet 60789515127127 Woodbine Stbd, Race 5, $5.00 WIN 2,5,9 $16.50 $15.00

Jan 01, 2024
8:48 PM Bet 16680447954726 Woodbine Stbd, Race 5, $50.00 WIN 5 $165.00 $50.00

Jan 01, 2024
8:20 PM Bet 05239214323503 Woodbine Stbd, Race 4, $4.00 DBL 4 / 5 $458.20 $4.00

Had more costs not shown here but overall, made about $300+ on the night, despite not getting the system win