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Southern Methodist at Nevada (12/24/2009)

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Posted: #101
Quote Originally Posted by NASTYNESS:

GAMBLING RULE 101 NEVER JUMP ON THE LINES EARLY .ALL YOU IDIOTS WHO TOOK THE WOLF PACK ARE SHITTING IN YOUR PANTS RIGHT NOW . YOU WANNA WIN AND MAKE IT A GREAT CHRISTMAS TAKE SMU STR8T UP. JUNE JONES IN HIS HOUSE.HE AINT LOSING THIS ONE .SMU BIG UPSET   HO HO HO ..

jumping on lines early usually gets you better spreads on a favorite.  The damn spread is down to -10 on bowmans, I didn't wanna take wolfpack in this game but at -10 i almost have too.

 
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Posted: #102
I agree there is just to much value in this line now.  I took it at 10.5 and will add more if it drops.
 
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Posted: #103
Quote Originally Posted by hnb1369:

I can't believe how many people like SMU over Nevada.

Before the Boise game people were talking upset, that Nevada was going to give them a game. Well SMU is one of the worst teams out there and I can't see there defense stopping Nevada's Offense even if they are without 2 players. Let's not over think this game too much.

Nevada rolls and almost covers the over themselves

final score Nevada 63

                 Mustangs  27             Pack/ Over   easy pick

Don't over think it fellas!

Nevada 55

SMU 31

I'm taking Nevada and the over. I don't memorize stats, but I have had great success betting over when the O/U is 70+! Good luck no matter how you bet it!

 
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Posted: #104

Quote Originally Posted by 230grains:

I don't get all this June Jones going back to Hawaii stuff.He's not the coach there.Maybe the local fans will pull for him, but maybe they will pull for the WAC team instead of SMU. Even with Nevada missing key players, I think they are still 2 TD's better. Nevada's pass D worries me though. Nevada -10.5 or 11.

My point on the June Jones thing was preparing for this Nevada team that he is very familiar with being that the Warriors played Nevada every year. Most teams never meet each other unless their in the same bowl game and I feel that Coach Jones has a better edge on preparing his team against a Nevada staff that he faced many times before. If I'm not mistaken Colin Kapernick among others were already starting and playing during Coach Jones time with the Warriors.

Well it seems to be nice weather here for a football game with a 20% chance of rain from what my local friends that live around the area tells me if that helps anyone.

 
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Posted: #105

Some of you guys are funny.  You loved Nevada early but are now taking SMU?  Too make a long story short this is the biggest mismatch of the bowl season.  Nevada puts up 50 this game.  SMU will score around 20 because they will put up some garbage points late.  The game or the spread will never be in doubt.

 

Nevada -10.5

 
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Posted: #106

Quote Originally Posted by rusty103:

I'm not concerned over Nevada's RB's not playing they don't do it on their own,it takes an O line to make them go.I haven't been on this site for awhile and I value the opinion of guys like Hawk and Big Daddy but I was always told never change your bet and have been burnt many times for not listening to that advice I loved Nevada and still Like em fora small 3 unit play tonght

Merry Christmas my friend

Good luck on the Nevada play my brother

Quit being a stranger on here bro it's always nice to see some of the old gang on here

 
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Posted: #107
Quote Originally Posted by BergeyJ06:

Some of you guys are funny.  You loved Nevada early but are now taking SMU?  Too make a long story short this is the biggest mismatch of the bowl season.  Nevada puts up 50 this game.  SMU will score around 20 because they will put up some garbage points late.  The game or the spread will never be in doubt.

 

Nevada -10.5



With that being said, I now feel comfortable taking SMU this evening.

Gl all,

Tex
 
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Posted: #108
I'll flip anyone who has 3 black stars!
 
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Posted: #109
41-28 nevada.
 
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Posted: #110

Quote Originally Posted by Tex-101:



With that being said, I now feel comfortable taking SMU this evening.

Gl all,

Tex

 

Smart reason for taking the worst bowl team out there.  Should work out well for you;)

 
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Posted: #111

SMU +11

 

 
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Posted: #112
Quote Originally Posted by NASTYNESS:

GAMBLING RULE 101 NEVER JUMP ON THE LINES EARLY .ALL YOU IDIOTS WHO TOOK THE WOLF PACK ARE SHITTING IN YOUR PANTS RIGHT NOW . YOU WANNA WIN AND MAKE IT A GREAT CHRISTMAS TAKE SMU STR8T UP. JUNE JONES IN HIS HOUSE.HE AINT LOSING THIS ONE .SMU BIG UPSET   HO HO HO ..

And what if you took SMU +15 early and can get Nevada -11.5 now? I would try to middle the spreads and sit back and relax... enjoy the game and the 4 possible differentials (12,13, 14 and 15) for profits. Locking in early has its downside, but also its upside. I cannot agree with your gambling textbook.

 

 
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Posted: #113

Quote Originally Posted by Tex-101:



With that being said, I now feel comfortable taking SMU this evening.

Gl all,

Tex

 

Dont be chasing on Christmas.  Either take the much better team or lay off.  Dont be thinking about the Cal game when making flawed decisions.

 
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Posted: #114
It usually does work out well for me Bergey.  That's why I do things like this.  Just playing bro.
 
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Posted: #115
Cal f'ed up last night, true!  I don't chase because I don't bet.  I supply a company with my games.  I am as impartial a handicapper as could be.  Gotta stay light and loose.  Otherwise you think too much about it.  Anyway, I had capped this one last Saturday so me flipping you was just a joke.  No mean intentions, ask anyone.
 
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Posted: #116

Hope Santa brings me what I wished for

A happy holiday for all the boys so we  can tighten up the rest of this bowl season and the NFL together. A lot of us have been on here for  a while now and it's great to have the diversity of our opinions and locations no matter where we are or who were on we been doing it OK for quite a few years. Here's hoping it continues.

 

 
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Posted: #117
SMU +11.5
 
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Posted: #118

Quote Originally Posted by Tex-101:

Cal f'ed up last night, true!  I don't chase because I don't bet.  I supply a company with my games.  I am as impartial a handicapper as could be.  Gotta stay light and loose.  Otherwise you think too much about it.  Anyway, I had capped this one last Saturday so me flipping you was just a joke.  No mean intentions, ask anyone.

 

No problem.  Im not the average person that comes around posting "This games a lock" or "This game is a 100 unit play."  I just feel really strongly the Nevada is a 3+ td better team.  That really means nothing as Nevada could come out flat or they could turn the ball over 3+ times.  Its my opinion that SMU is only in a bowl because they snuck up on a bunch of weaklins while Nevada played some good teams very tough.  Anyway, Merry X-mas to you and yours.

 
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Posted: #119
Taking Nevada -12 and Under 72 in a small parlay.  Purely a gamble......keeping fingers crossed.
 
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Posted: #120

SMU/Nevada UNDER 72

 
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Posted: #121
GL Bergey, Merry Christmas to you too.  It's the only game in town tonight so it has to be picked and I was/am on the other side even before hearing about the RB misfortunes on Nevada.  I respect the offense of SMU more than anything else and felt the passion this team would have, plus the June Jones angle in HI was good enough for me to keep pace getting 2 TD's to start.
 
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Posted: #122

Quote Originally Posted by Tex-101:

Cal f'ed up last night, true!  I don't chase because I don't bet.  I supply a company with my games.  I am as impartial a handicapper as could be.  Gotta stay light and loose.  Otherwise you think too much about it.  Anyway, I had capped this one last Saturday so me flipping you was just a joke.  No mean intentions, ask anyone.

You supply a CO with your games? 

 
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Posted: #123
Quote Originally Posted by W8LIFTER:

SMU/Nevada UNDER 72

  I think you're right, bud.
 
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Posted: #124
POD  Under 14.5 1Q  
 
 
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Posted: #125
yes, NFL games
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