Oregon at Arizona (11/15/2007)

Ducks Offense:

Rush yds/gm- 271.4 (5^th)

Pass yds/gm- 239.1 (48^th)

Total yds/gm- 42.8 (5^th)

Ducks Defense:

Rush yds/gm- (47^th)

Pass yds/gm- 269.9 (106^th)

Total yds/gm- 404.6 (76^th)

Wildcats Offense:

Rush yds/gm- 82.1 (112^th)

Pass yds/gm- 316.4 (9^th)

Total yds/gm- 398.5 (56^th)

Wildcats Defense:

Rush yds/gm- 132.1 (43^rd)

Pass yds/gm- 233.8 (74^th)

Total yds/gm- 365.9 (49^th)

I see this game being a very high scoring affair. You have Oregon’s 106^th ranked pass defense up against Arizona’s 9^th passing attack. We all know that Oregon can put points up like crazy and Arizona has a middle of the pack defense. The recent bye week was beneficial for Dennis Dixon and the entire Oregon program. I see this being a shootout big time my friends.

Trends-

Over is 7-3 in ARZ last 10 games in November

Under is 21-9-3 in ARZ last 33 home games.

Road team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

ORE are 13-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

There is a revenge factor involved for Oregon they lost 37-10 last year at their house to Arizona.

Oregon has won 8 of the past 10 meetings

Strength of schedule factor:

The strength of schedule is almost identical except for the fact that Oregon has played quality opponents like Michigan and Fresno State. Arizona has played Northern Arizona and New Mexico (lost 29-27) the edge here goes to Oregon

Here are some stats for the first half players:

The ducks have a first half record of 8-1 and the Wildcats have a 3-6-1 record. The clear edge here goes to Oregon. The ducks seems to come out of the gates hard and heavy while Arizona appears flat.

After crunching the numbers I have come up with Oregon having a 76% advantage over Arizona. I think Oregon goes up big early and may falter some in the second half. I think Arizona’s passing attack will have its moments but won’t fully click until the second half.

I am a little worried about the line dropping and Oregon being able to cover the spread for the game. I will take Oregon -6.5 in the first half my friends and the over for the game.

Hope my information helps you and makes some of your decisions a little easier . Good luck to everyone and happy wagering