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Illinois at Southern California (01/01/2008)

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Posted: #126
Quote Originally Posted by mavirino:

ok. over  on to the next game

 

2nd half over that is ..

 
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Posted: #127
Hard to argue with you Ski re: speed kills.  Wjen in doubt, play the speed...I will lay oiff this one and enjoy a stiff Stoli's and tonic....
 
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Posted: #128
With that said I was down two units on  Florida Until I hedged against 3 to pick up one at half. best Michigan game Ive ever seen them play very NIce
 
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Posted: #129
Quote Originally Posted by teabag69:

PatsGrl I need to sign you up for one of my Over-Analyzers Anonymous classes.  But seriously this is a common problem so you are not alone.  My riule of thumb is about 15-20 minutes on a game.  I look at all the things I keep mentioning in these forums: O vs. D mathc up's each way, like oipponents, styles of coaching, experience, returning starters, what's at stake, injuriesm etc.  I come up with a score, and compare that to the lines and ake a call as to what has more of a chance of hitting - a total or side play.  And only do one or the other.  Rememener, this is gambling, skill has very, very little to do with winning.  It is knowuing the sport and how th eteams play, developing a capping style that gives you a good read oin what the score should be, make your picks confidently, and you'll usually hoit that magic 64% number.  Rememebr how much luck is involved with this as, that's why I laugh at these younger kids who think they  are skillful for going6-1 one night then og f course they loise for three straight.  I won over six figuires in 2007 and close to that in 2006, my last down year was 2003.  ANd i chalk it up to sound capping and mostly luck - not any kind of "skill".  So take that approach and see what happens.  Hope you turn it around.

 

Bet with your gut and believe in your bet is my theory.   Remember THIS IS ONE BIG CRAP SHOOT.

 

bol

 
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Posted: #130
TeaBag:
 
I will enjoy a Kttle and Roses with 6 cubes....maybe several. Maybe I''l call in a small over play as well. 68.5
 
Good Luck
 
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Posted: #131
patsGrl I meant to add, when I say 15-20 minutes per game, that translates to about 45 min to an hour per day and that gets my card which is usually 3-5 plays.  Any more timne than that to me is counter-productive.
 
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Posted: #132
I meant to say Kettle One and Roses. Probably have had too many already.
 
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Posted: #133
Quote Originally Posted by teabag69:

Thanks for the input Tex.  And I agree with your comments re: the showboating.  Way too much of it the last 10 years or so.  The NFL is so lame compared to what it was, and the showboating is a big part of it.  ESPN is ruining sports like MTV f'd up the music industry.
 
Tex / CM, who did you guys take if anybody in the GA / HI game?  I was thiking a small play on Georgia as I mentioned briefly above.
 
 


Exactly, 10 -15 year of this crap.  No discipline from coaches because they're afraid to disturb the apple cart, or something like that.

Tonights game, and I'm REALLY looking forward to it - I have Georgia big.

gl - Tex
 
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Posted: #134
That's what im talking abount, over for the game and over for the second half both

Eastiest bet in months for me and was never in question about it!!!

Congrats to the over backers, love the easy wins!!!!

BOL on our next game!

 
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Posted: #135
drastic turn of events here, this game should be a lot closer if it weren't for those last 3 TOs which then went for USC TDs, got crushed on the spread but at least won the over, oh well

GO HAWAI'I !!!
 
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Posted: #136
Well....Zook may have been prepared but I truly believe his team was star struck and then got him in the chin by a Mack Truck (USC) and were 2 touchdowns down before they got up and realized where they were.

It happens, it's a loss, no big deal.  On to the next game fellers!

Go Dawgs!

woof woof


 
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Posted: #137
Good job today Hawkeye, what seemed to be maybe a so-so day turned out to be a great day!!!  I was behind you all the way  on this game, great play!!!!  



 
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Posted: #138
Quote Originally Posted by Tex-101:

Well....Zook may have been prepared but I truly believe his team was star struck and then got him in the chin by a Mack Truck (USC) and were 2 touchdowns down before they got up and realized where they were.

It happens, it's a loss, no big deal.  On to the next game fellers!

Go Dawgs!

woof woof




The red word was supposed to be HIT not him.  You got the point though, right?
 
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Posted: #139
My bloody Marys are tasting WAY too good and my winnings are making up for the last week! I am one happy man right now. It truly is a HAPPY NEW YEAR!!!
 
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Posted: #140

Quote Originally Posted by Boston3Party:

Good job today Hawkeye, what seemed to be maybe a so-so day turned out to be a great day!!!  I was behind you all the way  on this game, great play!!!!  



Thanks man, i was perfect on the totals today, and not so great on the spread, but the totals were bigger in almost every game, so i did pretty good. Good luck on the sugar bowl.

 
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Posted: #141
I agree Mavir I am making my pick outside of the tread and then checking to see if I missed anything. Unfortunatly, most do't give a reason just go TEAM. I must say this was a scarry day and I have broken all my rules. Only bet teams you know and play tte same thing ie NBA. I has been fun but I was down 3gs at one time and now ahead. FUc kin Gators. Oh well I think Hawaii is the play tonight but might wait until half. GL all
 
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Posted: #142
Hawkeye just think what you would have done if you laid off those side plays?  I gave you Cal yesterday, UT Under or UT today, and USC today, all winners for me and losers for you.  i would consider my suggestion above about playing either a side or a total and not both.  When you bet 3.5 units on a total and 3 units on a side that isnt gioving uou much proft for your efforts.  Again, pick one play you like the most and go harder onit. in the long run you will be much better off.  You have some potential bud, hang ion there, you may also want to cut down on your plays.
 
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Posted: #143

+++

Quote Originally Posted by Chasing:

Here's what I've got for the 2H:
 
Ticket # 45597118
Accepted: 1/1/2008 6:46:22 PM
Wager Type: Total
Risk: 550
Win: 500
Description: Rose Bowl - Rose Bowl - Pasadena, CA - ABCFootball - 471 Illinois/Southern Cal over 21½ -110 for 2nd Half
Ticket # 45597240
Accepted: 1/1/2008 6:50:20 PM
Wager Type: Spread
Risk: 550
Win: 500
Description: Rose Bowl - Rose Bowl - Pasadena, CA - ABCFootball - 472 Southern Cal -7 -110 for 2nd Half
Ticket # 45597256
Accepted: 1/1/2008 6:50:47 PM
Wager Type: Parlay
Risk: 1000
Win: 2457.81
Description: Football - 471 Illinois/Southern Cal over 21½ -120 for 2nd Half Football - 472 Southern Cal -7 -110 for 2nd Half
 
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Posted: #144
Hunted 466 did you take Michgan today?
 
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Posted: #145
Quote Originally Posted by SKIBALL:

I meant to say Kettle One and Roses. Probably have had too many already.

Good mix...

Tex I see your with me on the discipine or lack thereoif in general these days.  i would play Georgia but I laid off. 3-1 for the day up 7 units, time for that Stoli and tonic.

 

 
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Posted: #146
Quote Originally Posted by teabag69:

Hawkeye just think what you would have done if you laid off those side plays?  I gave you Cal yesterday, UT Under or UT today, and USC today, all winners for me and losers for you.  i would consider my suggestion above about playing either a side or a total and not both.  When you bet 3.5 units on a total and 3 units on a side that isnt gioving uou much proft for your efforts.  Again, pick one play you like the most and go harder onit. in the long run you will be much better off.  You have some potential bud, hang ion there, you may also want to cut down on your plays.

Thanks man, once bowl season stops im going to cut down a little.

 
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Posted: #147
No prob, I'm ready for the bowls to end...
 
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Posted: #148
teabag69, I sent you a friend request
 
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Posted: #149
Quote Originally Posted by teabag69:

No prob, I'm ready for the bowls to end...

why man? I also shot you a request.

 
 
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Posted: #150
Popular guy, heh?
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