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Illinois at Southern California (01/01/2008)

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Posted: #101
Here's what I've got for the 2H:
 
Ticket # 45597118
Accepted: 1/1/2008 6:46:22 PM
Wager Type: Total
Risk: 550
Win: 500
Description: Rose Bowl - Rose Bowl - Pasadena, CA - ABCFootball - 471 Illinois/Southern Cal over 21½ -110 for 2nd Half
Ticket # 45597240
Accepted: 1/1/2008 6:50:20 PM
Wager Type: Spread
Risk: 550
Win: 500
Description: Rose Bowl - Rose Bowl - Pasadena, CA - ABCFootball - 472 Southern Cal -7 -110 for 2nd Half
Ticket # 45597256
Accepted: 1/1/2008 6:50:47 PM
Wager Type: Parlay
Risk: 1000
Win: 2457.81
Description: Football - 471 Illinois/Southern Cal over 21½ -120 for 2nd Half Football - 472 Southern Cal -7 -110 for 2nd Half
 
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Posted: #102
USC at the half

Thank you USC

Now my head feels better

That's all I have on this one my friends good luck on the rest.


Now on to the Warriors!!!!!!!!!!!!!
 
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Posted: #103
Over for second half (1.5 units)
 
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Posted: #104
Over 2nd half 21 and a half for $1,000 and USC -7 2nd half to win $1,000
 
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Posted: #105
Aw come on Hawkeye dont tellk me you took Illinois.  I told you earlier today, take USC and Clemson in hoop.  Hope you get it turn around bud. (I don't know if Clemson won but they were up by 17 last I heard.)
 
I suggest doing one play on a game only.  Pick a side or a total, don;t do both.  In the long run it costs you .  Sure, it's OK to hedge once in awhile, but consistently doing that puts the odds against you, because you have to get both plays right 64% to win (assuming 10% juice).
 
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Posted: #106
Quote Originally Posted by Hunted466:

BigD-Happy new year my friend! I'm feelin your pain today!
 
I'm gonna ride your coat tails on the USC at the half and I'm also on the over 48.5. Having a fair day on the games I just wish I could open my eyes to see them.
 
Cut me Mick!


Happy New year's my friend

Good luck on your over play
 
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Posted: #107
Going with the over in the 2nd half as well...looking for a huge day today

I like USC at -7 but on my book they are -130....not worth it to me for that juice...but best of luck to you all!

Hope we cash in on the over's HAWK, good luck my friend


I want to see this in your next post :)
 
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Posted: #108
Teabag - thank you sir, appreciate, of course, always looks better when it comes through - Trojans, lay down the hammer, and finish these guys off
 
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Posted: #109
Quote Originally Posted by Hunted466:

BigD- Another nice pick my friend.
 
Now I don't have to go searching for change in my sofa. I just called my wife and told her that she doesn't have to give blood again today! 
 
I hope you know I'm just kidding! Any thoughts on 2nd half?




Originally I was going with USC at the half and Illinois final but I just took the USC at the half.

USC is a great 1st half team and has made me some money this season. They tend to ball control in the 2nd half esp with the lead.

I trust that Ron Zook will make the adjustments at halftime and juice will come out to run the spread a lot better than he did in the first half.

Good luck my friend
 
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Posted: #110
Anyone else have a opinion on what i said about not laying multiple plays on one game?  personally i thinbk it is best to pick a side or total, do one or the either.  I guess some people can make the combo plays work, I just dont see it happening consistently enough.
 
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Posted: #111
Teabag - any thoughts on Georgia Hawaii game
 
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Posted: #112
Touchdown Illinois
 
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Posted: #113
I laid off that one C-Sharp.  My lean is Georgia but not enough to pull the trigger on it yet.  Similar situation to the Rose Bowl, like Illinois hawaii is not used to this environment.  They may have their momenbts but in the end GA, like USC, is just too much better. I may throw a few hundred on the Dawgs since I am playing with house money..
 
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Posted: #114
Another SC player hurts his team with a penalty for crap in the endzone. Typical BS. Coaches have no control.
 
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Posted: #115
Quote Originally Posted by teabag69:

Anyone else have a opinion on what i said about not laying multiple plays on one game?  personally i thinbk it is best to pick a side or total, do one or the either.  I guess some people can make the combo plays work, I just dont see it happening consistently enough.


Teabag69, I totally agree with you.  I personally only play 1 or the other not both, very few par's, and absolutely no teasers.

Occasionally I will do both but in rare circumstances and mostly to have fun while up.  A par will get you 2.5 or 2.6 to 1 while charging double juice and the odds aren't with you to hit both.  Not worth it.

JMHO

Tex

PS: Still rooting in IL +13'
 
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Posted: #116
Just a couple more scores and then I can focus on the game later on
 
USC 1st half  
 
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Posted: #117
Quote Originally Posted by SKIBALL:

Another SC player hurts his team with a penalty for crap in the endzone. Typical BS. Coaches have no control.


One of the announcers at halftime actually said that kid should have been pulled completely off the sidelines for the remainder of the game as punishment.  And I agree.  Way too much showboating and it's usually only 1 type of player, IMO.
 
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Posted: #118
Unbelievable.  When this line first came out I was  when I saw the over/under at 50 and I planned to make my biggest and I mean BIGGEST play of the year on it going over.  Somehow as the days passed and as I over analyzed the game I convinced myself not to pound and just play a normal amount on the under instead.   I know it's not over yet but I'm watching this game as I only need 2 more touchdowns and it's not even the 4th quarter yet..and USC is on a good drive right now.  I am really kicking myself in the ass for this....  why do I always over analyze games???  Am I the only one who does this?    
 
oh, and on top of that I also put my money on Illinois +14 and that's not looking too good either.  But I won't rule that one out yet, we still got a whole quarter to go...
 
 
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Posted: #119
I agree and I know what you're saying.
 
It took a freshman to have a little class. McKnight scored and flipped the ball to the ref. Too much BS. Just starp it on and play football. Mental midgets................................................players and coaches.
 
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Posted: #120
Thanks for the input Tex.  And I agree with your comments re: the showboating.  Way too much of it the last 10 years or so.  The NFL is so lame compared to what it was, and the showboating is a big part of it.  ESPN is ruining sports like MTV f'd up the music industry.
 
Tex / CM, who did you guys take if anybody in the GA / HI game?  I was thiking a small play on Georgia as I mentioned briefly above.
 
 
 
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Posted: #121
I know it's early but congrats to the over players....nice call.
 
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Posted: #122
Got Hawaii for a small play and enjoy a large cocktail. More speed on Hawaii than any other team in the SEC that Georgia sees throughout the whole season. Forget sechedules and SOS. Speed kills. Hawaii is #42 on D and are underrated on team speed on D. They are so quick. Their receivers are probably the quickest in the NCAA. Should be a fast track on the turf and a track meet.
 
Good Luck
 
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Posted: #123
ok. over  on to the next game
 
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Posted: #124
PatsGrl I need to sign you up for one of my Over-Analyzers Anonymous classes.  But seriously this is a common problem so you are not alone.  My riule of thumb is about 15-20 minutes on a game.  I look at all the things I keep mentioning in these forums: O vs. D mathc up's each way, like oipponents, styles of coaching, experience, returning starters, what's at stake, injuriesm etc.  I come up with a score, and compare that to the lines and ake a call as to what has more of a chance of hitting - a total or side play.  And only do one or the other.  Rememener, this is gambling, skill has very, very little to do with winning.  It is knowuing the sport and how th eteams play, developing a capping style that gives you a good read oin what the score should be, make your picks confidently, and you'll usually hoit that magic 64% number.  Rememebr how much luck is involved with this as, that's why I laugh at these younger kids who think they  are skillful for going6-1 one night then og f course they loise for three straight.  I won over six figuires in 2007 and close to that in 2006, my last down year was 2003.  ANd i chalk it up to sound capping and mostly luck - not any kind of "skill".  So take that approach and see what happens.  Hope you turn it around.
 
 
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Posted: #125
USC first half 2 Units Game bought to -10 1 unit. Second half USC 1 unit and Over 2 units. LOVE IT
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