Oh boy! stop the presses! you just changed my mind with those mind blowing stats. I change my pick. Oklahoma it is

i had the same conversation at my local poker game last night, im all over oklahoma but ive decided to lay medium sized play, i went big on tulsa last night due to that line movement that i warned everyone about.  JIM HAPPY NEWYEAR

 

Oklahoma's Bradford back at practice after surgery

Dec 22, 2008

NORMAN, Okla. (AP) — Oklahoma quarterback Sam Bradford has returned to practice after undergoing surgery on his left, nonthrowing hand earlier this month.

The Heisman Trophy winner tore ligaments in his left thumb during a win over Oklahoma State on Nov. 29. He played despite the injury as the Sooners routed Missouri in the Big 12 title game Dec. 6. He had surgery the next day.

Bradford said his current crimson cast is smaller than the one he wore during the Heisman ceremony, but that he doesn't know yet when the newer cast will be removed.

Oklahoma offensive coordinator Kevin Wilson says Bradford is taking shotgun snaps in practice but still isn't able to take snaps directly under center.

Bradford, voted AP Player of the Year on Monday, doesn't anticipate any problems during the BCS championship game on Jan. 8 against Florida.

Easy: Oklahoma +5

Line has moved a full point today alone, everybody is on Florida, Big 12 sucks, no defense, Sam "Heisman" Bradford will stink it up b/c he just won the Heisman, Florida will put too much pressure on Oklahoma, blah, blah, blah

Everybody's going one way, goe the other - pretty simple. I trust VERY, VERY few of the "experts" on TV, here, or otherwise. I trust the common sense eyeball test and my pretty good pair says that Oklahoma is a damn good football team who scores @ will on everybody who crosses their path and has only gotten better as the year has gone on. As for Texas being better; well I can't argue that they won the game but that's about it. I watched the game and truly feel they were very fortunate to exit the Red River Shootout with a victory.  OK's defense is very, very formidable - why do you think all the blowouts? It wasn't just offense boys - go back & look @ the 1st qrtr and 1st half scores - unreal.  Am I saying Florida won't win? No. Am I saying that Oklahoma is the best thing since sliced bread? No. But..... I am saying that it is insane to not take a gift of +5 with a team as dominant as OK. Think about this scenario: Can you see Oklahoma scoring 1st? If they do which, following trends from the entire year, is very likely, then you are operating with a 12 point cushion the rest of the night! I can see either Oklahoma jumping on Florida 1st or a dogfight all night long - I don't see the Florida blowout scenario as a possibility.  Book it!

GLTA

posted: 1/7/2009 6:54:30 PM

 

I'm confused Maldini. What is ur point if I might ask?

Posted: 1/7/2009 7:02:32 PM

Easy: Oklahoma +5

Line has moved a full point today alone, everybody is on Florida, Big 12 sucks, no defense, Sam "Heisman" Bradford will stink it up b/c he just won the Heisman, Florida will put too much pressure on Oklahoma, blah, blah, blah

Everybody's going one way, goe the other - pretty simple. I trust VERY, VERY few of the "experts" on TV, here, or otherwise. I trust the common sense eyeball test and my pretty good pair says that Oklahoma is a damn good football team who scores @ will on everybody who crosses their path and has only gotten better as the year has gone on. As for Texas being better; well I can't argue that they won the game but that's about it. I watched the game and truly feel they were very fortunate to exit the Red River Shootout with a victory.  OK's defense is very, very formidable - why do you think all the blowouts? It wasn't just offense boys - go back & look @ the 1st qrtr and 1st half scores - unreal.  Am I saying Florida won't win? No. Am I saying that Oklahoma is the best thing since sliced bread? No. But..... I am saying that it is insane to not take a gift of +5 with a team as dominant as OK. Think about this scenario: Can you see Oklahoma scoring 1st? If they do which, following trends from the entire year, is very likely, then you are operating with a 12 point cushion the rest of the night! I can see either Oklahoma jumping on Florida 1st or a dogfight all night long - I don't see the Florida blowout scenario as a possibility.  Book it!

Excellent analogy bro, but you forgot the first rule in betting a 'dog. If your not SURE the 'dog WILL WIN the game dont bet on them! How can you cap a game and pick a team and hope it ONLY LOSES by a certain amount? Its hard enuff capping, to try to predict the score too is almost impossible. JMO from an old salty dog himself.

Excellent points bro, but you forgot the first rule in betting a 'dog

 thanks for the tip bro but I am going heavier on these last few college games but there is still the NFL left and I don't want to blow my bankroll on 1 game  I normally play prop bets like crazy during the Super Bowl among sides & totals, so I need to save some for that

I do like Florida due to Oklahoma choking in Big Bowl games , but I have a feeling that Oklahoma might come out and put up a fight in this one. That's why I'd rather take my chances on the over.

I might change my mind on Thursday but for now I'm on the total.

I love the speed of Florida......but sometimes speed kills

Good Luck

Guys and Gals - I hear people talk about how good Oklahoma's offense is and how good Florida's defense is... but how do we know this?  Florida hasn't faced a really good offense this year, they have faced some good defenses and put up alot of points against them... Oklahoma faced 1 really good defense (TCU @ home) and scored 35.   So to me those numbers are somewhat skewed for both sides.  I see a tighter game than most I guess 7-13 points.  I'm going with Florida because of Tebow's ability to run, experience, special teams, and the Florida speed.  To me - this is worth the 7 - 13 point difference.  Oklahoma's allowing 31ppg since Reynolds went out, while scoring 60+ points the last 5 games.... and Florida last 9 games was avg score was 49-13.  Good Luck with whatever side you guys take.... this is how I see it, whether you agree or not.  I will go into my state of depression after this game for the next 6 months... but I'll be back in August god willing.  Sharp 

Thanks Dutchman

Guy and Ladies - thanks for all the information this year - I appreciate all that goes into your posts and finding the information that we need to help put a dent in the books wallets.  I hope the information I've provided this year was a help to everyone - I have had a good year - although I wish I could change 4 or 5 weekends - I hate when I lose.  Anywho - before I get all teary eyed - everyone be safe in the offseason and I'll see you guys in the fall - I'll spend my time at the Louisiana casinos and Vegas on the blackjack table - and if any of you'll ever go to Louisiana or Vegas to play blackjack or enter a blackjack tournament - let me know - I might be there and get a chance to meet a few of you.   Again - thanks for the year and may all your wagers be sound ones.  Sharp 

Sure, I thought Flying Dutchman was making over-simplified points about how crappy the Big 12 is and that the conference has awful defenses. So I made an equally stupid argument back to him: The Ole Miss and its SEC defense did worse against Tech than it did against Florida. So maybe there's some pretty good offenses in the Big 12...

Tomorrow night's game is all about matchups. And I'm sick of hearing blanket statements from people that one conference is better than another conference, no questions asked. Obviously if that were the case than Alabama wouldn't have been embarrassed by Utah, Georgia wouldn't have given up 45 points to G Tech, South Carolina wouldn't have been spanked by Iowa, Tennessee wouldn't have lost to Wyoming and Duke wouldn't have beat Vanderbilt.

If you're going to bet on Florida because they're from the SEC, great. Knock yourself out. But that's the kind of gambling logic that bookies love.

See you in the fall Sharp, always enjoy your posts on this site.  Good luck to us both on Florida tomorrow night.  One comment about the TCU game, I read Patterson's comments about this game in SI.  He said they got caught trying to make defensive substitutions against the hurry up offense early in the game.  They fell behind early because of this.  In the middle of the 2nd Qtr he changed stratagies and left his players in.  Oklahoma only scored 7 points after that. 

Florida has been doing extra conditioning to keep their starters in longer for this game.  If TCU can shut the OU offense down with their players, you can believe Florida can.  That is another reason why I am strong on UF, and now considering an under play.   Have a great off season.  (BigDaddy--didn't mean you should put all yours on this one, just meant that I was.  Still feel Florida giving points is a more likely outcome than the over/under play.) 

,

TY Maldini. And I agree with you. Bet the strength of the TEAM. If everyone prescribed to that logic and it was true then Utah would have gotten beat by 100!

QUOTE

See you in the fall Sharp, always enjoy your posts on this site.  Good luck to us both on Florida tomorrow night.  One comment about the TCU game, I read Patterson's comments about this game in SI.  He said they got caught trying to make defensive substitutions against the hurry up offense early in the game.  They fell behind early because of this.  In the middle of the 2nd Qtr he changed stratagies and left his players in.  Oklahoma only scored 7 points after that. 

Florida has been doing extra conditioning to keep their starters in longer for this game.  If TCU can shut the OU offense down with their players, you can believe Florida can.  That is another reason why I am strong on UF, and now considering an under play.   Have a great off season.  (BigDaddy--didn't mean you should put all yours on this one, just meant that I was.  Still feel Florida giving points is a more likely outcome than the over/under play.) 

 I'm not hatin here but that TCU/OK game is misleading. OK led 21-0 after the first QTR! If you look at the box score to that game OK DOMINATED TCU before calling off the dogs. Just some info I found when I looked at the box score.Bol to all

Originally Posted by CollegeSharp:

Florida wins convincingly.  There is probably a good chance that Oklahoma will start slow and fall behind early, and the game will be out of control in the first quarter. 

Whats suppose to happen is the Heisman is to look bad and the other runner up guy is to perform well.

Both teams are scoring machines, thats a fact

i think i saw a stat heisman winners are 1-5 in there last 6 bowl games can anyone confirm that? Just thought it was an interesting fact