Posted:
#51
Quote Originally Posted by Irisheyez:
For me, this game is similar to the UAB game that UCF was favored by 10. Most people were saying it's too much. The bottom line is the UCF defense is far better than most people understand. Vegas does though. The completely shut down UaB.......They will not hold Marshall to 7 in their house, but like I said before the UAB game, UCF will not allow more than 17 points. If they achieve that limited amount of points allowed, they will cover. I will be again banking on the UCF defense and speed. This team is possibly the best team in conference USA and is better than most under the radar teams that are out there right now.
Go back up the thread and look at what Snowjockey outlined!! I love a good home dog as much as most.......but I can't ignore the mismatch in ATS outcomes, and the defenses that will share the field. Look at the 2 games that UCF played against big boy teams.......17 allowed to K.St and 28 to NC St.......and they were in both games and lost on the road by a td or less!!!! This is a good team and the reverse line movement is Vegas smoke screen with this game......they have the herd moving the way they want......and I'm not talking about the Thundering Herd.......I'm talking about the average person who thinks reverse line movement is some sort of tip of the cap by Vegas as to what they think.
Just one knucklehead's strong opinion here folks. GL tonight if you play and look for better home dogs this weekend.
For me, this game is similar to the UAB game that UCF was favored by 10. Most people were saying it's too much. The bottom line is the UCF defense is far better than most people understand. Vegas does though. The completely shut down UaB.......They will not hold Marshall to 7 in their house, but like I said before the UAB game, UCF will not allow more than 17 points. If they achieve that limited amount of points allowed, they will cover. I will be again banking on the UCF defense and speed. This team is possibly the best team in conference USA and is better than most under the radar teams that are out there right now.
Go back up the thread and look at what Snowjockey outlined!! I love a good home dog as much as most.......but I can't ignore the mismatch in ATS outcomes, and the defenses that will share the field. Look at the 2 games that UCF played against big boy teams.......17 allowed to K.St and 28 to NC St.......and they were in both games and lost on the road by a td or less!!!! This is a good team and the reverse line movement is Vegas smoke screen with this game......they have the herd moving the way they want......and I'm not talking about the Thundering Herd.......I'm talking about the average person who thinks reverse line movement is some sort of tip of the cap by Vegas as to what they think.
Just one knucklehead's strong opinion here folks. GL tonight if you play and look for better home dogs this weekend.
Well said. You have to consider the facts & history, not just line movement. 
0
UCF -5 OVER 45
Hot Forum Topics
