Boston College at Southern California (12/26/2009)

Away:  Boston College [6-5 ATS]
Home:  Southern California [3-9 ATS]

Game Time: 8:00 PM
Stadium: AT&T Park

Recent Meetings:
09/01/88 - USC 34 vs. BCOLL 7
09/19/87 - BCOLL 17 vs. USC 23

Team Leaders:

Boston College:
Passing: David Shinskie (1831)
Rushing: Montel Harris (1357)
Receiving: Rich Gunnell (750)

Southern California:
Passing: Matt Barkley (2385)
Rushing: Joe McKnight (1016)
Receiving: Damian Williams (821)

More:
Live Odds
In-Depth Matchup Information
Consensus Betting Information

Barkley continues to make big mistakes u might see qb change here if BC can get there def together i'll take them but that last gm against NC demolished will have to lean USC.

One thing I have learn about USC is that they show up for their bowl game. They have under achieved this year but I think the Pac Ten have vastly improved. USC -9 , BC Offense is very vanilla.

USC vs. Boston College..

Some stats...

• Neither of these teams come in playing well. BC has been outscored 46-58 in their last 3 games, while USC has been outscored 66-83 in their last 3
• USC is 3-9 ATS this year, BC is 6-5
• USC is 4-3 against bowl teams, BC is 2-3.
• The record of the teams USC has beaten is 45-51. The record for NC is 31-48 (not including their Division 2 victory)
• When Boston College loses, they lose by and average of 18.5. When USC wins, they win by an average of 17.9.
• Boston College is 10-2 straight up in their last 12 bowl games. USC is 9-3 straight up in their last 12 bowl games.

 

USC Offensive Breakdown:

Points Scored: 64
Total Yards: 58
Pass Yards: 68
Rush Yards: 40

BC Defensive Breakdown

Points Allowed: 18
Total yards allowed:23
Pass Yards Allowed:54
Rush Yards Allowed: 15

Analysis: USC offense has stalled as of late. They have averaged 20 points per game over the last 5 games. Boston college has a very good run defense. If they can shut down the run early, it may force Barkley to throw more often then they want. Boston College then could possibly force the freshman to make some mistakes. No significant advantage one way or another here.

BC Offensive Breakdown:

Points Scored: 71
Total Yards: 97
Pass Yards: 84
Rush Yards: 70

USC Defensive Breakdown

Points Allowed: 22
Total yards allowed: 42
Pass Yards Allowed:52
Rush Yards Allowed: 42

Analysis: Boston College offense is not very good, although they have averaged 24 points over their last 6. I don't expect the BC offense to have a lot of sucess. IF they come out and air it out early and surprise them, I think that may be their best bet. I think this game will depend solely on turnovers and special teams. Who ever can get the most points off of those, I think wins the game.

Other:

Net Punt Avg:
USC: 37.1 yards
BC: 37.2 yards

Yards per Kick Return avg:
USC: 18.9 yards
BC: 21.0 yards

Yards per Kick Return avg AGAINST:
USC: 24.6 yards
BC: 19.3 yards

Penalties / yards per game
USC: 7 / 63.4
BC: 5 /  44.7

3rd Down Conversion (offensive):
USC: 34%
BC: 30%

3rd Down Conversions (defensive):
USC: 38%
BC: 33%

Field Goals:
USC: 11/15 (73.3%)
BC: 13/14 (92.9%)

Red Zone Scores (offensive)
USC: 87%
BC: 90%

Red Zone Scores (defensvie)
USC: 82%
BC: 78%

Red Zone Touchdown (offensive)
USC: 63%
BC: 62%

Red Zone Touchdown (defensive)
USC: 55%
BC: 39%

Analysis: I'd take a long hard look at this section. With the lack of offense, the little things like these will play an even bigger roll. For example, BC is better in both Kick return yards for them and against then USC. That could mean say an avg of 10 yards better for BC then USC, so that would take on a bigger significance when there is lack of offense. Also, BC is much better in the penalty category. BC does not put them in 2 and 20 situations which would be almost impossible to pick up in this game. And then we get to the Red Zone touchdowns  and field goals. BC defense does not allowe many touchdowns in the red zone. In a low scoring affair like this, getting touchdowns when you get in the red zone is huge. BC will be able to hold USC to field goals. Furthermore, BC has the better field goal kicker.


Final Analysis: This will be an ugly game. I just see nothing that will warrant USC winning big. You also have to look at who wants to be here. BC is probably THRILLED to go to a bowl game in California and escape the cold, while USC doesn't leave its home state. Also, will USC really get pumped up to play in the Emerald bowl after so many BCS bowls in a row? Have they already declared this a lost season? I think its a possibility. I think USC does just enough to squeak out the victory, but not enough to cover.

USC: 20
BC: 17

My Irish beat BC this year........so I don't know if I can take them with that being said.......but this ain't the USC we are used to seeing.  I said at the onset of the year that USC would lose 3 games this year and most people told me to take a long walk on a short pier.  That being said, I think that 9 points might be too much for a struggling QB and team to cover.  USC should find a way to win.......Unbelievable that that phase is even uttered after the last 7 years........but that is the way I feel.  BC might be the play here.......but Pete is one of the best in preparing over a month for a game........so maybe USC can roll...........right now.....I have no idea on Dec. 14th

No play yet here for me.  Early lean on BC though.  If the line gets to 10 will probably play BC.  USC was a 7pt favorite against AZ and I played Arizona SU there.  I have no evidence that USC will roll in this game. Just a matter of seeing if the line will move a little more with John Q. Public playing USC as the USC they have been and not who they are this year.

Looks like BC beat alot of bad teams, they lost to the good ones, give me USC. HUGE here.

This is one of my favorite bowl games of the year. The Pac-10 top to bottom is a better conference than the ACC. The players are faster, the skills and the talent are much better in the Pac-10. Pete Carroll is great in bowl games because if you give him a few weeks to prepare, he will dissect your team. I see BC having a lot of trouble scoring as well. Overall, I see this game as a double digit win for USC. Maybe something like 24-7 USC.

USC -7.5

for now, Im leaning BC.  USC has so many issues right now, the latest being an NCAA investigation into their starting star Running Back, who may not be eligible for the bowl game.  Also, LA TIMES reported today that 3 significant starters will be out for the bowl game for SC.  money tends to flow to SC cuz of high roller rich alumni base, so thats why they are 3-9 ATS.  dont get fooled, take a serious look at BC....the line is good right now....waiting to see if it moves any....

  Boston College +7.5  Medium Play.  Final Play.  Sharp 

Hello Everyone, this is my first post, but I have been reading the threads for several months now.  A lot of good info on this site.  Does anyone have any new information on the two starters for USC who may be ineligible to play this Saturday because of Academic reasons?  I believe these are two defensive starters.  Not sure of their names. I will actually be at the game this Saturday vs Boston College.  I will cheering for Boston College seeing as how I am Cal Fan and Grad.  GL to everyone.

Pac 10 is clearly the better conference this year (dare I say the BEST conference top to bottom???), but so far they are flopping BIG time in the bowls (OSU, Cal, and I expect Ohio State to beat Oregon as well).  USC is nowhere near the team they were a few years ago, and BC is not an exciting team at all, but I like more then a TD spread in this game and I will side with the hungrier (you KNOW USC does not want to be at this bowl game) team and back the Eagles

USC on the ML.

USC is my #1 college team but I am fully aware that they have sucked ATS for some time now. Thier offense has been non-existent lately and without that long pass at the end of the UCLA game they would have scored 21 or under in thier last 5 games.

USC FOOTBALL???????

This game is in California but not SoCal, it's NorCal and the weather has been chilly in the Bay Area for a while now. I think the weather favors BC in this game by the Bay. I just don't trust USC enough to lay a TD or more. I'd be more comfartable at USC-3 but since that is not the case I am now considering on putting my money on BC here. I guess I'll hold out until I see the teams in the pregame and see who is gonna miss the game for both sides.

Leaning with BC now.

The under 44 looks very good as well.

Comfartable..... Ha,ha,ha.

THIS IS STILL THE USC THAT WENT INTO THE HORESHOE AND BEAT THE BUCKEYE'S. THIS TEAM WILL GET UP FOR BIG GAMES. I HATE USC, BUT I DON'T THINK BC SCORES IN THIS GAME. USC IS A YOUNG TEAM WITH A FRESHMAN QB AND A LOT OF FRES. AND SOPH'S THIS WILL BE THIER FIRST BOWL GAME.

USC ---BIG

WHEN THE SNIPER SPEAKS SMART PEOPLE LISTEN

USC PLUS 3 ON A TEASER

Boston College will not be intimadated by USC at All. Nore do I think they will be impressed. If USC wins it will not be by more than a touchdown period. BC has been a very competitive team all year long nothing flashy about BC they just come to play football they don't have any pressure on them at all USC needs this game way more than BC

SC easy,  they still have the better athletes,better freshman QB.

I feel that SC reserves will pound BC starters.This gets ugly in the 4th quarter... it is what is....

USC is big in bowl games. 6-1 since 2002 with only loss to TX. Avg margin of victory of 23 points against much better teams than BC. This years team is clearly not as good as in past years, but Carroll and staff need to be given some credit for getting their team ready over the long break in years past. I'll lay the 7 on the better atheletes and proven coaching staff.

 You better watch it .............lots of dogs have won the latest bowl games.....the dogs seem to want it more...BC will be fired up for being back in a Bowl game.....I like the points here.

can;t lay points with USC contingent that was very overrated in the preseason polls,, and BC getting good production from back harris   so will take big number with BC squad  THAT IS  very happy to be bowling,, look fo  r     BC;S  huge O-line to wear down a fast but under sized USC D line....allowing  harris to break some big gainers late in the game...BC WINS  this outright .........BC---38-----17..................................

Early lean is BC and the points.  USC usually gets up for their Bowl games and this year they have something to prove.  Pete has declared this a lost season but I think it effects the players the other way, fires them up !!   Hard to lay the points though, just not sure yet ?? 

 

OK - so what is Part #2. And you really need to do some homework on just how awful CFB Teasrs really are. if you did you'd never play one again. They are stupid plays made by stupid people which you are in you play a CFB Teaser