Week 9

I just went opposite against the incumbent and with the dog coming from the bottom the previous season.   
Houston is popular this week so they are not rare. 

you’re awesome Buzz keep killing it 

Thank Joe

Best wishes

I am stepping out on the over and siding with defense and giving Auburns schedule and past  opponents respect because they hung in strong. 

The problem is after the losses do they care anymore?  If they care they can win this and I give them a better opportunity to do so.  They have proven to shut down some good teams so that’s a strong possibility,  they have not proven to score against quality defenses.  That is an opportunity for them today. 

This isn’t a bad game I just can’t grasp out of conference games and NAC  schools, matchups are money burners for me. I can help myself to pick some of the teams. On the other hand there are opportunities.  With a line of only 1 either way and the consensus riding strong on the home team I don’t have a fuzzy feeling here. 

I missed to post a few games, but I think Nebraska continues 7-3 last I checked and they probably cover.  

@spottie2935

Eastern Michigan is never given enough credit against good teams. I only isolate them in home game opportunities they look good so far.  Ohio is not the 2024 Ohio U 

N Carolina playing good D so far.  They need that aspect 100 %.  I guess they are playing a back up QB? Good I need them. 

Mississippi scoring early is what I need cone okie do your part

Anything can happen but Gtch ranked at 7 is a joke.  Oh well they are winning everyone. The pullers don’t handicap that’s for sure and it’s an opportunity for me to bet lines not teams. Syracuse ducks but not so far today 

Indy is going to mop UCLA I missed on that mentally.  I figured they would play to protect tgeir ranking but I guess their protection is stomp and take no chances and take no prisoners.  I’ll adjust.  I’m waiting for them to play in the bracket.  

No upsets last season in the bracket.  I believe to dogs will bite more this season but it can’t be that crazy.  Talent at skill positions rule. 

20 points in Miss/okie now keep scoring 

In response to what you said about the record, I dont think that is the most important thing we do here. Our goal is that the record at the end is a winning one, but I think more important is the process and the discussion. 

Someone yesterday made a thread about just give your pick and record. Personally I dont see what that accomplishes. I gain nothing of value reading over 18k lines of team names and spreads. The reasoning is what determines what we pick. Im not going to tail someone just bc they post a nice record. 

I like your idea of making x amount of favorite picks and x amount of dogs and tally it at the end of the year to see which worked out better. I am mostly a dog bettor so it would probably be hard for me to find say 10 faves I like but easy to find 10 dogs. Sounds like a good exercise though, and who knows maybe results would surprise. 

Westlake my friend,  best wishes always good to see you 

Spot on for spottie on that one. Now im reminded you posted that and I meant to bet it and forgot. Thats what I'm talking about that adds value here. The write up made sense and I wanted to tail. Just posting Ole Miss o50.5 does nothing for me

Let’s go 

Auburn with the early score.  Support my thinking please 

Early support  

I like to see it but the way army scores lotta time remains. 

like to see it but the way army scores lotta time remains. 

Arky not Army.  My typing on a phone is atrocious 

just random thoughts and something to ponder.   All these ex athletes and none of them are line experts or elite bettors? Favorites win but the bookie use a spread and tgat is or can be the killer. Long term is hard to find so many elite teams each week and I try to find a group of good dogs or bad favorites.  It not easy.  

@spottie2935

@Maukaboy

For sure. Hard enough to consistently identify the opportunities. Then you can cap games 100% correct and still lose due to crazy officiating. The roughing the passer calls in the nfl are bad enough, the ones in college are completely out of control. The amount of times you watch a defense get a stop on 3rd and 18 that get a penalty for a perfectly clean hit on a QB are unacceptable. These guys want to stop the game to review every minscule thing but then hand out these egregious penalties with no reviewability. How many referees have friends and family betting on these games that never get found out? The amount of influence they have on the game to swing it at key moments is enormous. 

@Yanasaur

Just heads up on a few teams.  

Ohio state won’t cover and could lose to Penn St.  

Indiana is elevating past what I believe to be their balanced achievement level.  What could happen is they continue on in the bracket and pull a magnificent upset or they could be poised for an upset loss.  My forward thinking is both are possible but the match up and line will have to talk to me.  

Just some thoughts to share 

terrible call I was too far outside the box.  Indiana will be elite until they hit the bracket.  Only team with a chance to upset them: is Penn St