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Week 9

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Posted: #101

Quote Originally Posted by spottie2935:

maybe just maybe Georgia Tech is on another level compared to their previous seasons.  I’ll bet against that as they are traditionally a phony big chalk.   Hard to back Cuse but I’ll buy the Cuse this week getting so many.  The last time GTCH was a -14 conference game favorite was 2011 and before that 2006.   Last weeks +3.5 at Duke was telling the story that this team is not worthy. They should have been a favorite and the lines maker evaluated them poorly.

 

Georgia Tech got it done.bad call again I just felt maybe the spread was too tall.  Not the case. No mojo o. the Cuse this season so far. 

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Posted: #102

Quote Originally Posted by spottie2935:

Virginia: has only been lined an away favorite in a conference game 18 times.  Most of those games were lined -1 to -6.  This will only be the 4th time since 2000 they will be lined higher than -6. 1-2 ATS in those games.  They are outside their norm and could be once again vulnerable ATS.

 

The data, the back up QB and a big road line.  

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Posted: #103

Quote Originally Posted by spottie2935:

S.FLA  They have never been an away chalk to a team that was previously ranked in the top 25.   We are going to find out a lot about both these teams.  Memphis at home after being kicked out of the top 25 and a dog ?   Against a team with little to no history of being lined like this?  im in on Memphis. Let’s see if they are motivated or just a phony.

 

the data snd a good team at home a dog and a win 

 

head to head good teams battle as the team with adversity triumphs over the team that had an outstanding first half of the season. 

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Posted: #104

@spottie2935

Purdue 

 

close but no cigar 

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Posted: #105

Quote Originally Posted by spottie2935:

I don’t respect bad favorites and at the moment Virginia Tech qualifies.  They had a coaching change and with that a few portal leaps.  VTCH already won their big win 2 games ago vs NC St .   There are 2 reasons why they are favored here, that big win is one reason.   The other reason is Cal last 2 games failed.  The game again Duke was a blowout.  That blowout looks worse because the line was only +4.  I believe this line should be even and the reason it’s not is the travel and location of the game. The other is how disappointing Cal has been.  Friday night failed  ATS vs UNC and a big fail at home against a decent Duke team.   It’s a decent spot against A team in disarray.   Cal+

Cal lost a close one last night 

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Posted: #106

Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst:

Quote Originally Posted by spottie2935: S.FLA  They have never been an away chalk to a team that was previously ranked in the top 25.   We are going to find out a lot about both these teams.  Memphis at home after being kicked out of the top 25 and a dog ?   Against a team with little to no history of being lined like this?  im in on Memphis. Let’s see if they are motivated or just a phony.   This is THE battle to see who gets the Group 5 position on the PLAYOFF bracket   I already played Memphis +4 and think a teaser on this is super yummy!! GL

 

nice one last 2 thirst

 

you had a spyglass on this one. 

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Posted: #107

Quote Originally Posted by spottie2935:

Auburn is ripe. I’ll bite    Auburn +1.5    team has played numerous ranked teams recently all those at lines reasonable close to 0.  Arky is the easiest opponent they have faced and this line and matchup is an opportunity.

 

beauty 

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Posted: #108

Quote Originally Posted by spottie2935:

Oklahoma/MISS  this has an over feel to it. Oklahoma has played all games under   Their past season opponents all have issues offensively opponents and points surrendered this season ILL St= 3  Mich= 13 Temple =3 Aub =17 Kent =0 Texas =23 So Car=7   Mississippi has the most potential to put a number on Okie here. under 54 is going to be stressed

 

over good 

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Posted: #109

@smellybunty

 

@River_fish

 Nopean_shake , Auburnmoneybag

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Posted: #110

@RUM151

 

missed your post.  

I don’t like to be opposite

 

I do respect your mind and efforts for the sharing you give to everyone.  I saw your thread today and I think this might be your only loss.  To be honest it was a wild game and can’t expect these types of games too often.  I would not have predicted all the mistakes but I did know Auburn would stress them. Came down to mistakes and bounces.  

 an_cheers

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Posted: #111

@JD5Terps

 Wow thanks I just saw this 

 

an_cheers

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Posted: #112

If I missed anyone here is a an_cheers

 

if you have a question or want an answer post or repost so I see it.  

still lots going on 

 

best wishes to all

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Posted: #113

#21 ranked Cincin elevating.  Baylor far from 2024 Baylor.  

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Posted: #114

Iowa is having another strong cover season.  Last year that was Minne 

 

I have to think some future lines against Iowa will be tall but I have to look and see their schedule 

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Posted: #115

UNC 1 measly inch from the +300 upset but we were so right on that, Auburn, Memphis, and Ole Miss which unfortunately I got spooked off of but a great day so far. Rice is hangin in there. 

I agree Indiana has outperformed and I think there will be a solid opportunity to play against them coming up. @PSU could be the one. What do they have left to play for besides to be spoiler and build momentum for next year. 

 
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Posted: #116

Quote Originally Posted by Yanasaur:

UNC 1 measly inch from the +300 upset but we were so right on that, Auburn, Memphis, and Ole Miss which unfortunately I got spooked off of but a great day so far. Rice is hangin in there.  I agree Indiana has outperformed and I think there will be a solid opportunity to play against them coming up. @PSU could be the one. What do they have left to play for besides to be spoiler and build momentum for next year.

looking ahead against Ohio state Iowa Wazzu if they buck up again hard today.  Looks like I got you off a winner.  Not my intention but my way of thinking ahead is sometimes missing an opportunity.  Non conference matchups when I have other targets 

not my best 

 

let’s keep it going today 

an_cheers

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Posted: #117

I don’t know why I don’t trust Missy state this season.. They are much better than their lines, it  appears too low.

 

 I expect them to get beat down and whipped.  Nope they all about bettors cash.  I think I missed opportunities sitting in the bench. 

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Posted: #118

Quote Originally Posted by spottie2935:

Quote Originally Posted by Yanasaur: UNC 1 measly inch from the +300 upset but we were so right on that, Auburn, Memphis, and Ole Miss which unfortunately I got spooked off of but a great day so far. Rice is hangin in there.  I agree Indiana has outperformed and I think there will be a solid opportunity to play against them coming up. @PSU could be the one. What do they have left to play for besides to be spoiler and build momentum for next year. looking ahead against Ohio state Iowa Wazzu if they buck up again hard today.  Looks like I got you off a winner.  Not my intention but my way of thinking ahead is sometimes missing an opportunity.  Non conference matchups when I have other targets  not my best    let’s keep it going today

Thats alright your reasoning made sense to me so on further consideration I made the decision to get off them. No big deal. 

Miss State has indeed been a money maker, but it hasnt been all about them, though they are much improved. Its also been a function of the way their schedule has worked out with them playing overrated favorites in good spots. Caught them vs ASU, Tennessee, then Florida, and now Texas. 

 
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Posted: #119

Okla state was +50.5 was I right for passing?

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Posted: #120

Quote Originally Posted by Yanasaur:

Quote Originally Posted by spottie2935: Quote Originally Posted by Yanasaur: UNC 1 measly inch from the +300 upset but we were so right on that, Auburn, Memphis, and Ole Miss which unfortunately I got spooked off of but a great day so far. Rice is hangin in there.  I agree Indiana has outperformed and I think there will be a solid opportunity to play against them coming up. @PSU could be the one. What do they have left to play for besides to be spoiler and build momentum for next year. looking ahead against Ohio state Iowa Wazzu if they buck up again hard today.  Looks like I got you off a winner.  Not my intention but my way of thinking ahead is sometimes missing an opportunity.  Non conference matchups when I have other targets  not my best    let’s keep it going today Thats alright your reasoning made sense to me so on further consideration I made the decision to get off them. No big deal.  Miss State has indeed been a money maker, but it hasnt been all about them, though they are much improved. Its also been a function of the way their schedule has worked out with them playing overrated favorites in good spots. Caught them vs ASU, Tennessee, then Florida, and now Texas.

 

part of the reason I missed on Miss state is most often a dog.  It’s hard to get a feel of the lines and ups and downs when a team doesn’t get favorable or. Ad line clues ahead.  Situational line betting on deck games hard to ponder when a good opportunity is on hand. 

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Posted: #121

Wash state is a bet against target next game.  They are not as good as their current elevation against the last 4 lines.  Heck they could enemy sleep walk in the 2nd half here that wouldn’t be rare. 

I have a hunch next week conference game is a bad situation looking forward. 

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Posted: #122

just pondering.  

N.Illinois is 4-13-1 since their 2024 week 2 upset of Notre Dame

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Posted: #123

I’m calling it Toledo +7.5 live.  Wazu isn’t that strong and looking past this game. 

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Posted: #124

Missouri an_speechlesspaint_help

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Posted: #125

NC State an_burningbagan_cannon

 

 

Pitt with 

Stanford on deck big line. Pitt could  be sleep walking. 
Pitt with Notre Dame on deck

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