Colorado rank 15 th in the big 12 on total offense and also total Defense. Yet they are still able to beat some B12 teams. Now I will say they have played some marginal good ranked teams. Close losses against GTCH, BYU beat a ranked at the time Iowa State and bad losses to Houston and Utah. Pretty stout opponents.
Bad favorite
Illinois : data point
t:team=ILL and HFC and season>2010
season after 2010 and home favorite conference game
3-15 ATS
This is the first HFC game this season
In 2024 one game vs Bad Michigan State
that line -3
Rutgers will be my next posted game.
Indiana in away conference games
35-115 SU
on the other hand they are 3-1 AtS as away conference favorites the last 3 seasons.
This -21 or higher line will be the most ever points given up. Then next highest was 2024 @ Northwestern. of note in that game the total was 38.5 just to show how much trouble Northwestern had scoring points. For an Indy total to be that low last year is SOMETHING!
Also in 2024 Indy was -7.5 away chalk at Michigan St
- 7.5! to that putrid team 
-22 Indy can cover but the line is completely crazy above any other game ever for them on the road. The other thing is Maryland isn’t even as bad as the 2024 editions of Northwestern or Michigan State.
The books put a big price tag on this game. Bloomingdale’s for the Bloomingtons
-12.5 to Northwestern - 7.5 to MSU now -21 to Maryland are the 3 highest for Indy
GL My Friend I have to say I agree with a few of your plays and the ones I do not is only because I have not looked yet, I too like Maryland at home, before the collapse of Penn St this would have been a key game to go against Indiana with the away game at Penn St next, now in my opinion this could be the only trip up spot for Indiana, as they have a road game at Penn St next, then Wisconsin and Purdue, on their way to a Big 10 championship game, I will be grabbing the points here also.....Love Marylands defense to be able to keep this within 17, or less Maryland has lost 3 str and in those games they had a lead late in all 3 , if they can somehow win the turnover battle this could be a closer game, but also Indiana could cover, but I think Maryland finds a way to keep this close 37-23 type of game
Also on Texas st tonight, this team has lost some very close games and a few OT games, its a black-out tonight and hopefully the crowd is into it, they need to make this a higher scoring game,
Like Louisville also but have not bet it yet, and Oklahoma to bounce back, and I have been a huge Vandy backer last couple but I also think Texas has a legit shot here, but still have not made up my mind
best of luck brother always enjoy the read
151
thx for the feedback appreciate it.
@GodSquad
They could be and I didnt address future schedules in my posts but its an underdog and in most cases underdogs looing ahead I dont consider as important, They just have to keep it closer not leap over a big line, to me thats a big difference.
more notes from week 10 games
Posted this in another thread
USC has 2 B10 road wins. In 2024 UCLA was basically at home. Vs Purdue, is still climbing out of their hole. Until I see more from USC in these road games it’s a fade or pass. Nebraska not great but lined a favorite at home in most games. Even against Michigan were only +1.5. +6 is easily the best line for Nebraska has seen at home in a long time. As I said USC doesn’t engage me worthy of this line. They need to elevate to prove it to be.
Duke Clemson
Clemson lost its last 2 home games. With a low line it looks like this is a possible 3 in a row. No mention of Davis job on the line? Could that be possible if that occurs this week?
Duke :
ripped into some struggling ACC foes recently but lost last week. It’s Duke with no history of elevating. Clemson sucks but Dukes recent success against their recent opponents don’t impress me. We truly are going to see if Clemson care or how bad the actual are. In game one they were -5 to LSU and lost so the line against this Duke team should be at least -5 if not more. Clemson either cares or they don’t.
Okie vs Tenn
Tenn has very little history of being home vs ranked teams. Their best success in these games is when Tenn is at least -6 point favorites or more. Even then in all the data base I use it’s 6 times and 5-1 ats in those game
This game falls out of that category it falls into this category
t:team=TEN and H and o:rank<26 and line>-6
8-26 SU lifetime. They could beat #18 Oklahoma but the line is suggesting a battle and very poor successful execution on paper.
NotreD vs BC
Ive been trying to find lines and matchups to fade the comers but it’s been inconsistent. They are lined really tight to their outcomes. I believe once again this line is right on the money and Bc with I’Bruan at Coach I’ll find other games. I lean BC but if BC is forced into mistakes The Dame could white them clean
Established in 1995,
Hot Forum Topics
