J Mad was on first before 2024 now ATS they are balancing out. TX rare home dog next away favorites. Away favorites are credible dogs. On an isolated night I like good dog teams and as many times as Texas State has been favorites in recent season tgis is an opportunity to get a cover. Loser of their last 5 ats games but favorites in their last 4 games and in the last 3 game all favorite losses by a combined 11 points. At home getting points evaluated to strongly recently provides a nice home dog line.
Penn St. If they get up for any of their remaining opponents this is the one. I’ll just play it and hope Ohio St doesn’t cover all their games. Yea and because the moneyline will be so huge I’ll stab a bit on that as well. Ohio State won’t lose to Michigan this year so I’ll try this
Mary covered 4 in a row. Indy is elite but not many road games and laying this many is a red flag to me. 
Last road game vs Oregon and won as a dog. Recently the lines have adjusted as Indy is even 4-4 ats. If I’m right and Maryland covers for the 5th in a row then I’ll be looking opposite Maryland as this game might give too much credibility. Depends on how it plays out.
Fres
Boise has been on fire ats since and after the opening week loss to S.Florida
this line has caught up with their recent success.
Head to head comparing lines from the last 8 matchups Fresno has been favorites multiple times and the last 8 meetings are 4-4 SU
Wash St -4 on the road covering the last as a home dog vs Toledo. Wash St has a 4 game ATS streak. Oregon St is crap but in their first conference game this season I expect some home dog fight.
Wazu last line was easy, this line is adjusted to be more difficult.
Army
before last weeks debacle turnovers and mistakes loss, they played 5 ranked teams in a row. 6 losses in a row now.
Even playing top 25 teams has not slowed their offense. Their D can be an issue but they just won’t remain winless the way I see it. They have a bye next and won’t want that week off to be miserable
MSST 2-10 last 12 on the road and one of those wins was against a terrible Southern Miss team -14 point favorites. The road has not been kind.
Louisville not great ATs this season and on the road laying double digits. The good news is it’s Virginia Tech. V.Tech fortunes last week provides an opportunity to their current foe. If Louisville executes they should win by atleast 7 as Cal could have done last week. Cal is Cal, Louisville is not Cal.
Navy +6.5
Service academy running dog can hang in most games and after laying double digits in all their FBS matches this season a rare dog opportunity. Losers of the last 4 covers, like I said all those ats losses as -10 or more points, has them a dog.
Purdue is still one of the worst FBS teams since 2023 at covering. 6-14 ats last 20
Once again though Michigan is laying a bunch and still has issues offensively.
Since 2026 to present Michigan laying -10.5 or higher they are 1-9 ATS at home vs a conference foe if their opponents scores 11+ points. I’ll take my chances
Arky not Army before last weeks debacle turnovers and mistakes loss, they played 5 ranked teams in a row. 6 losses in a row now. Even playing top 25 teams has not slowed their offense. Their D can be an issue but they just won’t remain winless the way I see it. They have a bye next and won’t want that week off to be miserable MSST 2-10 last 12 on the road and one of those wins was against a terrible Southern Miss team -14 point favorites. The road has not been kind.
Nice Spottie, we're on a lot of the same. Only opposite pick is LOU/VT.
I forgot about Stanford. I was looking at that one last night and meant to post it and get an opinion. East coast teams just seem to have a hard time going all the way out there and Stanford as bad as they are the games there seem to always be close.
MD and Arky a couple leans I havent played yet.
I hadnt thought about Fresno but that sounds interesting now.
The other were opposite is I despise CaL but can’t play Virginia. Cal is terrible and only 3 isn’t enough. I’d look for a different game as the game is terrible for both teams. Virginia at #15 is ridiculous as well and if Cal does get it done?
wow 
Colorado in the past with Shedeur could dig themselves out after bad games. Shedeur was/is not a typical college QB. He has the mind to do what he wants and elevate himself past the coaching CU has.
CU has some talent but they lack that Shedeur type leader at QB. CU has no QB coach and Shurmur was an offensive line guy so as we see multiple times Shurmur is terrible in his position. He can not get the players in the right positions and can’t call successful plays. CU has no scheme or brains. The coaches are not getting the players in the right teachings to educate them to be successful.
The reason it was so bad last week? Non if coaches knew how to game plan and teach the players. Add to that no adjustments were made. The CU coaches don’t have it to teach.
It’s an NFL mindset to line up and use one’s talent to win. Well in college we are seeing how different that mindset can affect a game and team. If nothing changes recruiting will follow the bad play out the door.
CU has a premium QB on the bench but if the coaches can adjust he will stink. Starting this season he was 17 year old out of high school. What college mindset does he have? If the coaches don’t have a clue then don’t get a young 17,18 year old kid involved. He is not the answer to this.
Deion has no training in college and clearly tgat is costing him. Don’t get into anything on his personality as I won’t respond. As a coach clearly he needs training.
I’ll make one more point as I have to rewatch a video do the cu reporters that is telling about the stats in 2025
In the past Shedeur would elevate CU off a big loss and embarrassing game. Don’t assume this team will.
If CU elevates its based upon lining up and out skilling their opposition matchup. The defense is a disaster, and the offense can’t maintain the ball against the top division opponents
Arizona has all kinds of film now, do they execute? Does CU adjust? I won’t bet to find out.
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