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THROUGH ADVERSITY THERE IS REDEMPTION

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Posted: #1
I believe i have pin pointed my problem.  I will no longer be betting 15+ games per week and i will be looking into ALL games instead of selectively 'capping' the ones that jump out to me. 

NCAAF YTD: 20-26 -9.1 Units


Michigan -20.5 (-110)
Clemson -3 (-110)
California -5.5 (-110)
Miami, FL -3 (-110)
BYU -17 (-110)
Georgia -12.5 (-110)
North Texas +5.5 (-110)



teams that may become plays ---

Illinois +14
Boise St. -16.5
Fresno St. +17
Central Michigan -16.5
Mississippi St. +12
Army +10
Marshall +3
Texas A&M -14
San Diego St. +17
UNLV -3.5
Florida -21
Florida St. -14
Georgia Tech -3
Utah -14
Notre Dame -7
Arizona +2.5



As usual, my numbers WILL change based on my local's mood.  All plays will be updated.  Any posted leans that become plays will be posted as well. 

Good luck to all!!
 
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Posted: #2
Play a coule 2-team parlays for lesser amount, that's how you can get paid with less risk. 
 
MVP
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Posted: #3
i never play parlays unless its across sports. 

example:
Red Wings -160 / Titans -4

i learned my lesson playing parlays and teasers.
 
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Posted: #4
Michigan -20.5 (-110)
Clemson -3 (-110)
California -5.5 (-110)
Miami, FL -3 (-110)
BYU -17 (-110)
Georgia -12.5 (-110)
North Texas +5.5 (-110)
 
Love North Texas
No opinion on the others...Cal intrigues me and I'll see how the morning treats me. 
 
I wanted BYU, but the number got to high- had to tease it with some other trash. 
 
I like UGA...haven't wagered it yet, but how the hell is ASU gonna hang with them?  I don't see it.  Fuck it,  I just bet it.  You pushed me over the top.
 
Covers Rehab
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Posted: #5
too many favorites.....just my 2 cents.......don't mind me. I am as bad as you are.  Good luck this week.
 
MVP
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Posted: #6
Quote Originally Posted by ksuwins:

Michigan -20.5 (-110)
Clemson -3 (-110)
California -5.5 (-110)
Miami, FL -3 (-110)
BYU -17 (-110)
Georgia -12.5 (-110)
North Texas +5.5 (-110)
 
Love North Texas
No opinion on the others...Cal intrigues me and I'll see how the morning treats me. 
 
I wanted BYU, but the number got to high- had to tease it with some other trash. 
 
I like UGA...haven't wagered it yet, but how the hell is ASU gonna hang with them?  I don't see it.  Fuck it,  I just bet it.  You pushed me over the top.


ksu, i dont care how high the BYU number gets...their defense will be fired the f**k up after the FSU beat down.  BYU was only outgained by less than 40 yards.  turnovers killed them (-5).  CSU's QB isnt anything special, only averaging 190 ypg with a 4-3 ratio. 

Georgia 9-3-1 ATS vs non-conference opponents.  Arizona St just played 2 high school teams and with a QB makinig his first road start this one has blowout stamped on it...and i dont think State has been this deep in the south since the Clinton administration.

i realize that Cal has USC on deck, but this Jahvid Best kid is an animal!!  Oregon is playing their 3rd ranked team in 4 weeks.  Cal has all the advantages in the trenches. 

North Texas wins outright

good luck this week, ksuwins
 
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Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by buclaoSoCal:

too many favorites.....just my 2 cents.......don't mind me. I am as bad as you are.  Good luck this week.



 
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Posted: #8
updated card:

Michigan -19.5 (-110)
Marshall +3 (-110)
Clemson -3 (-110)
California -5.5 (-110)
Miami, FL -3 (-110)
BYU -17 (-110)
Georgia -12.5 (-110)
North Texas +5.5 (-110)



 
MVP
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Posted: #9
 
MVP
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Posted: #10
Michigan looking like a stinker.


Marshall looking solid.


adding a 3 oclock play pretty soon i believe...
 
Banned
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Posted: #11
try this fade system instead
 
MVP
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Posted: #12
updated card/numbers:

Michigan -19.5 (-110)
Marshall +3 (-110)
UNLV -3 (-110)
Clemson -2.5 (-110)
California -5.5 (-110)
Miami, FL -2.5 (-110)
BYU -17 (-110)
Georgia -12.5 (-110)
North Texas +5.5 (-110)






 
Captain
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Posted: #13
gl bud
 
MVP
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Posted: #14
what a f**king square, sucker bet Michigan was

im feeling better about adding Marshall at this point...

Marshall 24-13

UNLV 7-3


 
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Posted: #15
Well...it is not shaping up to a good day today.

BYU is cancelled...number got too high, as ksu stated above...i know i said i didnt care how high it got, but my day can only get worse at this point. 

there are gonna be some additions...
 
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Posted: #16
updated card:

Michigan -19.5 (-110)  
Marshall +3 (-110)  
UNLV -3 (-110)  
Clemson -2.5 (-110)  
California -5.5 (-110)  
Miami, FL -2.5 (-110)
Georgia -12.5 (-110)
North Texas +6 (-110)
Boise St -16.5 (-110)
Army +10 (-110)
Texas A&M -14 (-110)
Notre Dame -7 (-110)




i know i said i wasnt gonna play so money games this week.........eh

Good luck, everyone...i know i need it
 
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Posted: #17
Michigan -19.5 (-110)  
Marshall +3 (-110)  
UNLV -3 (-110)  
Clemson -2.5 (-110)  
California -5.5 (-110)  
Miami, FL -2.5 (-110)  
Georgia -12.5 (-110)
North Texas +6 (-110)
Boise St -16.5 (-110)
Army +10 (-110)
Texas A&M -14 (-110)
Notre Dame -7 (-110)



this is shaping up to be the worst day of the season for me so far.  is it asking too much for the sweep in the evening games?  i'll glady take 7-5 on the day...
 
MVP
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Posted: #18
corrections on the evening numbers:

Georgia -13 (-110)
North Texas +6 (-110)
Boise St -16.5 (-110)
Army +10 (-110)
Texas A&M -14 (-110)
Notre Dame -6.5 (-110)



 
MVP
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Posted: #19
Michigan -19.5 (-110)  
Marshall +3 (-110)  
UNLV -3 (-110)  
Clemson -2.5 (-110)  
California -5.5 (-110)  
Miami, FL -2.5 (-110)  
Georgia -13 (-110)  
North Texas +6 (-110)  
Boise St -16.5 (-110)  
Army +10 (-110)  
Texas A&M -14 (-110)  
Notre Dame -6.5 (-110)  



good lord...3-9 on the day...i may done with NCAAF

NCAAF YTD: 23-35   -16.0 Units


 
MVP
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Posted: #20
lets hope this day does not affect my NFL picks tomorrow...
 
 
All-Star
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Posted: #21
happens to us all bro, keep your head up
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