No value posted here last week (6-8, .429). Over twelve; just four losing weeks – but with an overall unreflective of that record (79-73-1, .520). Peering into every game as usual, the box likes these for #13:
1) SMU(-2.5)/Louisville
2) KentState(+9)/CentralMich L
3) GeorgiaTech(-2.5)/Pittsburgh
4) Oklahoma(-7.5)/Missouri
5) JamesMadison(-13.5)/WashingtonSt
6) Texas(-10)/Arkansas
7) BoiseState(-16.5)/ColoradoSt
8) WakeForest(-18)/Delaware
9) SanDiegoSt(-11.5)/SanJoseSt
10) TexasSt( -18.5)/LA-Monroe
11) LA-Lafayette(+3)/ArkansasSt
12) UtahSt(+3)/FresnoSt
13) MiamiFlorida(-16.5)/VirTech
14) Hawaii(+3.5)/UNLV
Even though the algorithm’s first pick has held strong (8-4, .667), additional rank-value has been hard to come by this season (???). Conversely, any value lies in the volume.
One positive to share though. The system has been competitive throughout the season -- as measured by SpreadMargin (SM). Normally having the aforementioned robust volume, technical cappers normally have SM as a more-finite means of measuring performance.
For example, how competitive was that 6-8 outing last Saturday? Well, for starters, none of those losses exceeded the historical SM average of 12.2. And despite a losing week, the 14-game SM total was +19.5 points. Quantifiably, that far exceeds the -24.4 (2 x -12.2) that would be expected from an average two-loss outing. Geek stuff to be sure.....
Last week we had a seasonal high with 58 on the board. This week, even more opportunity – 60 games. And looking ahead to Thanksgiving #14, we'll crest at 66.
Good luck,
TheKingfish
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