Posted:
#51
What a shame. Two guys I have a lot of respect for on this board arguing like this. Ugh. I like Memphis too. Good luck man
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One of the biggest line movements of the year on a side is happening right now....
Posted:
#52
Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:
You mean the under you hedged and lost....said no more posting....
You mean the under you hedged and lost....said no more posting....
Yet here you are.....
Scal ain’t leaving, he’s our people Train
shake the man’s hand & quit trolling him, I know you aren’t serious whatsoever but the board probably doesn’t
Scal, back to your novel bro
.
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Posted:
#53
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:
Hoku, it’s very hard for me to believe that a Memphis team up 30-17 at the half (I believe the only time they trailed at the half all year), in the previous match-up this year (granted it was at Memphis), now translates into a 9.5 line or 7 (where it stayed for 2 days) or even 3.5 or 3 without Milton.
Hoku, it’s very hard for me to believe that a Memphis team up 30-17 at the half (I believe the only time they trailed at the half all year), in the previous match-up this year (granted it was at Memphis), now translates into a 9.5 line or 7 (where it stayed for 2 days) or even 3.5 or 3 without Milton.
scalabrine
UCF has only trailed twice at halftime this year. Including this year's Memphis game, they also trailed Temple 34-28 at halftime. During the current UCF 24 game win streak, UCF has only trailed 3 times at halftime, Temple and Memphis this year, and Memphis again in last year's AAC title game, where UCF trailed Memphis 31-24 at the half.
Memphis didn't injure Milton or did they? Can't blame Memphis here. I think Memphis smells blood with Milton out this time around. GL
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Posted:
#55
I hedged and still profited. That’s the entire point of hedging. I came out with 25% more money on the RSW minus the Tulsa loss than you did sitting on your hands.
Do you see a pick in the OP?
Aaaaaaand it was a clean tackle BY RULE. We all know that or there would have been a flag. It wasn’t a “tackle” at all though. The guy threw his body into Mitlon’s legs. It served as a chop block. Which IS a penalty. Why? It can end careers...just like this one did. (I also watched the play a dozen times on rewind so before you correct someone, know what is being discussed in detail).
And it’s fans like you and delusional refs who will penalize the slightest incidental head bump for targeting, and wouldn’t think of what happened on this play warrants even the remotest discussion. Enablers. And that’s why it will continue. And when it happens again, you’ll say the Sam: “It was clean!” Rinse and repeat and more careers end...
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Posted:
#56
Quote Originally Posted by Courtesy_Flush:
scalabrine
UCF has only trailed twice at halftime this year. Including this year's Memphis game, they also trailed Temple 34-28 at halftime. During the current UCF 24 game win streak, UCF has only trailed 3 times at halftime, Temple and Memphis this year, and Memphis again in last year's AAC title game, where UCF trailed Memphis 31-24 at the half.
Memphis didn't injure Milton or did they? Can't blame Memphis here. I think Memphis smells blood with Milton out this time around. GL
Courtesy, that Memphis +4.5 Over UCF was one of the sharpest sides of the year. Never in doubt and every point the books gave you was used to perfection (ie, it’s better to hit a side with the spread helping you or you would have profited more with the Memphis ML).
I see this side as no different. Wahoo
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Posted:
#57
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:
I hedged and still profited. That’s the entire point of hedging. I came out with 25% more money on the RSW minus the Tulsa loss than you did sitting on your hands.
Ya cant block a ball carrier. It was a clean play with a bad result. I hedged and still profited. That’s the entire point of hedging. I came out with 25% more money on the RSW minus the Tulsa loss than you did sitting on your hands.
Do you see a pick in the OP?
Aaaaaaand it was a clean tackle BY RULE. We all know that or there would have been a flag. It wasn’t a “tackle” at all though. The guy threw his body into Mitlon’s legs. It served as a chop block. Which IS a penalty. Why? It can end careers...just like this one did. (I also watched the play a dozen times on rewind so before you correct someone, know what is being discussed in detail).
And it’s fans like you and delusional refs who will penalize the slightest incidental head bump for targeting, and wouldn’t think of what happened on this play warrants even the remotest discussion. Enablers. And that’s why it will continue. And when it happens again, you’ll say the Sam: “It was clean!” Rinse and repeat and more careers end...
Yep, im a delusional fanboy.
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Posted:
#59
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:
This is a great example line to quote when there are massive moves and who gets the money in the end: the books or the public...Memphis @ UCF Opened at Memphis +9.5 on BetOnlineCurrently Memphis +3Yes B.O. opened it at +9.5 knowing Milton was finished. That was the line they chose.I can’t think more than 10% of the money has come in on UCF at the moment.So the books are going to pay out a MAJOR side of they misjudged this opener. Or they will collect massively.This could be like Giants vs Patriots SB part 2 side where the line was Giants +3.5 and all I heard was “The wrong team is favored.”Keep an eye on this one as it is still dropping and a great example for future reference.
I live in vegas and UCF opened at -4.5, gl, ff.
This is a great example line to quote when there are massive moves and who gets the money in the end: the books or the public...Memphis @ UCF Opened at Memphis +9.5 on BetOnlineCurrently Memphis +3Yes B.O. opened it at +9.5 knowing Milton was finished. That was the line they chose.I can’t think more than 10% of the money has come in on UCF at the moment.So the books are going to pay out a MAJOR side of they misjudged this opener. Or they will collect massively.This could be like Giants vs Patriots SB part 2 side where the line was Giants +3.5 and all I heard was “The wrong team is favored.”Keep an eye on this one as it is still dropping and a great example for future reference.
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Posted:
#60
Ff. The game opened at -9.5 on BetOnline. That has been established.
It is documented that it opened at 9 elsewhere.
“Vegas” as a term is meaningless as it has dozens of casinos and they typically wait for markets to settle. So opening at -4.5 is not a surprise.
It’s one of the reasons people told CollegeGambler NOT to go Ron vegas because he gets the worst lines (in this case, +4.5 backing Memphis instead of 9.5)
He didn’t listen....
(And lost it all)...
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Posted:
#61
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:
Ff. The game opened at -9.5 on BetOnline. That has been established.It is documented that it opened at 9 elsewhere.“Vegas” as a term is meaningless as it has dozens of casinos and they typically wait for markets to settle. So opening at -4.5 is not a surprise.It’s one of the reasons people told CollegeGambler NOT to go Ron vegas because he gets the worst lines (in this case, +4.5 backing Memphis instead of 9.5)He didn’t listen....(And lost it all)...
All good. go get um my friend, one day my friend walk into I think it was the flamingo hilton wanted to bet 2000 on a NBA total they told him for every dime you bet we move the line a hook up or down depending on how you will bet. so vegas are box's true story. gl, ff.
Ff. The game opened at -9.5 on BetOnline. That has been established.It is documented that it opened at 9 elsewhere.“Vegas” as a term is meaningless as it has dozens of casinos and they typically wait for markets to settle. So opening at -4.5 is not a surprise.It’s one of the reasons people told CollegeGambler NOT to go Ron vegas because he gets the worst lines (in this case, +4.5 backing Memphis instead of 9.5)He didn’t listen....(And lost it all)...
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Posted:
#62
Quote Originally Posted by ff99l1:
I guess I used a bad word were it says box's, sorry covers.
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:
Ff. The game opened at -9.5 on BetOnline. That has been established.It is documented that it opened at 9 elsewhere.“Vegas” as a term is meaningless as it has dozens of casinos and they typically wait for markets to settle. So opening at -4.5 is not a surprise.It’s one of the reasons people told CollegeGambler NOT to go Ron vegas because he gets the worst lines (in this case, +4.5 backing Memphis instead of 9.5)He didn’t listen....(And lost it all)...
All good. go get um my friend, one day my friend walk into I think it was the flamingo hilton wanted to bet 2000 on a NBA total they told him for every dime you bet we move the line a hook up or down depending on how you will bet. so vegas are box's true story. gl, ff.Ff. The game opened at -9.5 on BetOnline. That has been established.It is documented that it opened at 9 elsewhere.“Vegas” as a term is meaningless as it has dozens of casinos and they typically wait for markets to settle. So opening at -4.5 is not a surprise.It’s one of the reasons people told CollegeGambler NOT to go Ron vegas because he gets the worst lines (in this case, +4.5 backing Memphis instead of 9.5)He didn’t listen....(And lost it all)...
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Posted:
#65
Quote Originally Posted by Urbanwildlife:
You have any thoughts on the over 78.5 in the Oklahoma/Texas game Scalabrine? It looks to easy as Texas is not going to stop the Sooner offense, and the Sooner defense has no knowledge on how to tackle.
No, as I never play over unders.
But a very big heavyweight title fight is tonight:
Deonte Wilder vs. Tyson Fury
I just got done watching several of Deonte Wilder's fights and I'll say this:
This is perhaps the most undisciplined 'champion' I've ever seen in the ring. A wild, 'always look for the knockout' puncher who has a poor jab and very little gameplan going into these fights.
He quickly goes down on the cards in most of his fights, requiring him to get a knockout (something he's amazingly done 39 of 40 times).
But this is no Mike Tyson.
And Tyson Fury, undfeated himself has a great comeback story after a 2.5 year layoff, is also undefeated, has about 40 pounds and several inches in height and reach on Wilder.
If Tyson doesn't get knocked out he'll likely win by decision and at +135, I'm going to play him.
Best of all 24 of 26 ESPN 'experts' picked Wilder to win the fight. You have to love that backing Tyson.
https://www.espn.com/boxing/story/_/id/25354568/deontay-wilder-vs-tyson-fury-wilder-fury-predictions
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Posted:
#67
Line is now a FULL TD from the opening line to UCF -2.5 (as I said all week, I had this at a pickum and it is now functioning as a de facto pickum). And this is also a signifiant move off 3.
And yet, a resident Covers college football 'guru' Train states, in this thread:
The linemakers didnt make a mistake with the opening line.
Let the proof be in the pudding as to who knows what they are talking about when it comes to CFB...
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Posted:
#73
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:
No, as I never play over unders.
But a very big heavyweight title fight is tonight:
Deonte Wilder vs. Tyson Fury
I just got done watching several of Deonte Wilder's fights and I'll say this:
This is perhaps the most undisciplined 'champion' I've ever seen in the ring. A wild, 'always look for the knockout' puncher who has a poor jab and very little gameplan going into these fights.
He quickly goes down on the cards in most of his fights, requiring him to get a knockout (something he's amazingly done 39 of 40 times).
But this is no Mike Tyson.
And Tyson Fury, undfeated himself has a great comeback story after a 2.5 year layoff, is also undefeated, has about 40 pounds and several inches in height and reach on Wilder.
If Tyson doesn't get knocked out he'll likely win by decision and at +135, I'm going to play him.
Best of all 24 of 26 ESPN 'experts' picked Wilder to win the fight. You have to love that backing Tyson.
https://www.espn.com/boxing/story/_/id/25354568/deontay-wilder-vs-tyson-fury-wilder-fury-predictions
I've been looking forward to this fight for a very long time. The expert picks all over the world, not just ESPN, are heavily tilted in Wilder's favor, including many active professional boxers. And for good reason.
Take it from the reigning heavyweight king himself, Anthony Joshua..
https://talksport.com/sport/boxing/454110/deontay-wilder-tyson-fury-anthony-joshua-wladimir-klitschko/
Fury hasn't fought anyone credible in 3 years. And he also blew all his money on alcohol and cocaine during that layoff you mentioned. Oh and he ballooned all the way up to 400 pounds as well.
When he out-pointed Klitschko he had the luxury of somehow taking Vlad's best weapons away due to his quick feet and "ugly" fighting style. This can't happen tonight. Wilder will not be afraid or too timid to throw bombs. You could argue that this might get Wilder into trouble with Fury's counter punches, but if Luis Ortiz couldn't put Wilder down, I'm doubting Fury's chances.
Tyson was able to avoid Vlad's big right hand because he wasn't throwing it. Wilder won't stop throwing it. I managed to get down on Deontay Wilder at -150 on Thursday. It's back to -175 last I checked. When this bout was announced I expected -300/-400. I think Wilder holds the value here. Good luck holding your breath all night and hoping for a boring decision.
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