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    All Forums | College Football

    NPD Bowl System that hit over 70% for all bowl games last year and 11-0su/10-1ats in the college playoff.

    «First Previous 234 ... 121314 Next Last»
    Coach55
    SteamCave
    BigBaller2002
    Timealker
    ATLSHARP
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    «First Previous 234 ... 121314 Next Last»
     
    Coach55
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2025 - 3:09 PM ET #26

    @tony402

     Seriously?

    Member since 2011.
    Reply

    @tony402

     Seriously?

     
    SteamCave
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2025 - 3:11 PM ET #27

    I remember this from last year, it started out hot then as the better teams started playing it started losing, probably because the major players sat out from either transfer portal or entering the draft.

     

    Don't include the playoff games, just the bowls, hit it early then get out, I'd say all the games before NYE

    Reply

    I remember this from last year, it started out hot then as the better teams started playing it started losing, probably because the major players sat out from either transfer portal or entering the draft.

     

    Don't include the playoff games, just the bowls, hit it early then get out, I'd say all the games before NYE

     
    BigBaller2002
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2025 - 3:15 PM ET #28

    @tony402

     No its an annual rivalry matchup 

    Reply

    @tony402

     No its an annual rivalry matchup 

     
    Timealker
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2025 - 3:44 PM ET #29

    Looked at a few, C Michigan is higher than Northwestern and getting 10 1/2, do you have any stats of dogs  winning outright with this?Thanks if so 

    Reply

    Looked at a few, C Michigan is higher than Northwestern and getting 10 1/2, do you have any stats of dogs  winning outright with this?Thanks if so 

     
    ATLSHARP
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2025 - 9:28 AM ET #30

    1-0 ATS so far this bowl season with Washington -10 an easy winner.  Let’s keep this thread going.   

    Next up is Jacksonville State +2.5 in the Veterans Bowl on Tuesday 12/16 9:00 pm EST.

    Troy has an NPD of -.32

    Jax State has an NPD of -.08.

     

    BOL to all.

    AS

    Reply

    1-0 ATS so far this bowl season with Washington -10 an easy winner.  Let’s keep this thread going.   

    Next up is Jacksonville State +2.5 in the Veterans Bowl on Tuesday 12/16 9:00 pm EST.

    Troy has an NPD of -.32

    Jax State has an NPD of -.08.

     

    BOL to all.

    AS

     
    Fjr5600
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2025 - 12:54 PM ET #31

    @ATLSHARP

     can u use this kind of system in the nfl

     

    Reply

    @ATLSHARP

     can u use this kind of system in the nfl

     

     
    eshady29
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2025 - 3:46 PM ET #32

    @Fjr5600

     It doesn’t work that well in the NFL.

    Reply

    @Fjr5600

     It doesn’t work that well in the NFL.

     
    doogie43
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2025 - 10:33 PM ET #33

    @tony402

     You should not be betting. 

    Reply

    @tony402

     You should not be betting. 

     
    rosswin97
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2025 - 9:35 AM ET #34

    I see quite a bit of potential problems with this approach, perhaps it just got lucky last year.

    Reply

    I see quite a bit of potential problems with this approach, perhaps it just got lucky last year.

     
    smellybunty
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2025 - 5:48 PM ET #35

    Basically a home game for Troy though

    Reply

    Basically a home game for Troy though

     
    GuruGambler2001
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2025 - 6:11 PM ET #36

    Following. Best of luck an_popcornpeace_5

    Reply

    Following. Best of luck an_popcornpeace_5

     
    smellybunty
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2025 - 9:16 PM ET #37

    Quote Originally Posted by rosswin97:

    I see quite a bit of potential problems with this approach, perhaps it just got lucky last year.

    Could go back and check previous years.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by rosswin97:

    I see quite a bit of potential problems with this approach, perhaps it just got lucky last year.

    Could go back and check previous years.

     
    smellybunty
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2025 - 11:56 PM ET #38

    For what its worth before last year the npd was 9-6 ats in the playoffs since 2019

    Reply

    For what its worth before last year the npd was 9-6 ats in the playoffs since 2019

     
    BangBang3Up
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2025 - 2:04 AM ET #39

    @ATLSHARP

     So Jax state should win tomorrow 

    Reply

    @ATLSHARP

     So Jax state should win tomorrow 

     
    ATLSHARP
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2025 - 7:00 AM ET #40

    @BangBang3Up

    Based on having a higher Net points per drive, Jacksonville State +2.5 is the play today, yes.  

    AS

    Reply

    @BangBang3Up

    Based on having a higher Net points per drive, Jacksonville State +2.5 is the play today, yes.  

    AS

     
    BeeRich
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2025 - 9:45 AM ET #41

    2022-2023 Key Bowl Results & Spreads - Applying the Net Points per Drive, the system went 9-1 on the below games.   

    *I'll be on Jacksonville St. and South Florida today and tomorrow.  At my own risk, of course!  Hammer 'em!  an_cheers

    •  Georgia 65, TCU 7 (Georgia -12.5)
    • TCU 51, Michigan 45 (TCU +7.5)
    • Georgia 42, Ohio State 41 (Georgia -6.5)
    • Tennessee 31, Clemson 14 (Tennessee -6)
    •  Oregon State 30, Florida 3 (Oregon State -15.5)
    • Notre Dame 45, South Carolina 38 (Notre Dame -3.5)
    • Tulane 46, USC 45 (USC -2.5)
    •  Toledo 21, Liberty 19 (Toledo -4.5)
    •  Marshall 28, UConn 14 (Marshall -10.5) 

     

    Reply

    2022-2023 Key Bowl Results & Spreads - Applying the Net Points per Drive, the system went 9-1 on the below games.   

    *I'll be on Jacksonville St. and South Florida today and tomorrow.  At my own risk, of course!  Hammer 'em!  an_cheers

    •  Georgia 65, TCU 7 (Georgia -12.5)
    • TCU 51, Michigan 45 (TCU +7.5)
    • Georgia 42, Ohio State 41 (Georgia -6.5)
    • Tennessee 31, Clemson 14 (Tennessee -6)
    •  Oregon State 30, Florida 3 (Oregon State -15.5)
    • Notre Dame 45, South Carolina 38 (Notre Dame -3.5)
    • Tulane 46, USC 45 (USC -2.5)
    •  Toledo 21, Liberty 19 (Toledo -4.5)
    •  Marshall 28, UConn 14 (Marshall -10.5) 

     

     
    BeeRich
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2025 - 9:47 AM ET #42

    correction, 8-2, my bad!  

    Reply

    correction, 8-2, my bad!  

     
    BeeRich
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2025 - 9:49 AM ET #43

    Geezuz!  I need coffee!  Sorry, 7-3.  an_brick

    Reply

    Geezuz!  I need coffee!  Sorry, 7-3.  an_brick

     
    rosswin97
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2025 - 10:18 AM ET #44

    Quote Originally Posted by BeeRich:

    Geezuz!  I need coffee!  Sorry, 7-3.
    Try 6-3.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by BeeRich:

    Geezuz!  I need coffee!  Sorry, 7-3.
    Try 6-3.

     
    smellybunty
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2025 - 10:30 AM ET #45

    TCU wasn't the play with npd Michigan was 5-4 is the answer

    Reply

    TCU wasn't the play with npd Michigan was 5-4 is the answer

     
    Chickenzpick
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2025 - 11:19 AM ET #46

    Yall confusing 

    so the records 6-3 or 5-4 that pretty bad lol

    wee need at least like 6-2 atleast if the system is legit  so far is 1-0 with Washington Jax st n D Florida coming up Nxt 

    Reply

    Yall confusing 

    so the records 6-3 or 5-4 that pretty bad lol

    wee need at least like 6-2 atleast if the system is legit  so far is 1-0 with Washington Jax st n D Florida coming up Nxt 

     
    Chickenzpick
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2025 - 11:21 AM ET #47

    Last years it legit 

    goodluck though let go 11-0 this years 

    and over 70% bowls lol

    Reply

    Last years it legit 

    goodluck though let go 11-0 this years 

    and over 70% bowls lol

     
    smellybunty
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2025 - 12:23 PM ET #48

    Quote Originally Posted by Chickenzpick:

    Last years it legit  goodluck though let go 11-0 this years  and over 70% bowls lol

    I think its probably a winning system but things change. 1 year is meaningless. If you expect those same results lol. 9-6 ats is still very good since 2019. But Vegas is smart. Don't be surprised if they heavily use this stuff and reverse the lines based on this and then it becomes a losing system. But thats only if they see heavy action using this. They are smart enough to know if thats the case but remember most people are degenerates and will either bet everything or not necessarily spending time researchingt things they go gut feelings

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Chickenzpick:

    Last years it legit  goodluck though let go 11-0 this years  and over 70% bowls lol

    I think its probably a winning system but things change. 1 year is meaningless. If you expect those same results lol. 9-6 ats is still very good since 2019. But Vegas is smart. Don't be surprised if they heavily use this stuff and reverse the lines based on this and then it becomes a losing system. But thats only if they see heavy action using this. They are smart enough to know if thats the case but remember most people are degenerates and will either bet everything or not necessarily spending time researchingt things they go gut feelings

     
    eshady29
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2025 - 4:05 PM ET #49

    I’m also going to be running a bowl chase system along with the NPD system. Last year the the bowl chase system hit around 80% for the entire bowl season. The bowl chase system is simple. Bet the first half under in every game. If the first half hits you stop. if the first half loses you double up the second half. It’s as simple as that . I don’t recall playing a game where both systems lose on the same game. Btw, it’s 1-0 so far this bowl season.  Good luck to everyone!

    Reply

    I’m also going to be running a bowl chase system along with the NPD system. Last year the the bowl chase system hit around 80% for the entire bowl season. The bowl chase system is simple. Bet the first half under in every game. If the first half hits you stop. if the first half loses you double up the second half. It’s as simple as that . I don’t recall playing a game where both systems lose on the same game. Btw, it’s 1-0 so far this bowl season.  Good luck to everyone!

     
     
    Maukaboy
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2025 - 4:38 PM ET #50

    peace_5

    Reply

    peace_5

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