cooler - I know it sounds sucky - but I would not play it now at -4. I would wait now for it to come back down (?) or wait for the team total LSU over or MSU under depending on what you can get. Highest I would go is -3 -125 GL !
QB - sadly I watched almost every snap of the UCF game - a DOCUMENTED 422385823490582340 star winner and think I have a good feel for them again this yr...let me check that one out in my next batch of games
temple - MEGALOCKS - "We can't shut our pie holes when discussing NCAA football"
LOL!!
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Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:
thx guys
cooler - I know it sounds sucky - but I would not play it now at -4. I would wait now for it to come back down (?) or wait for the team total LSU over or MSU under depending on what you can get. Highest I would go is -3 -125 GL !
QB - sadly I watched almost every snap of the UCF game - a DOCUMENTED 422385823490582340 star winner and think I have a good feel for them again this yr...let me check that one out in my next batch of games
temple - MEGALOCKS - "We can't shut our pie holes when discussing NCAA football"
Mega!!! Wasuuuup! SweetWeekend. Nice work, and greatly appreciated. I'm just another degenerate that wants to play something on the game tonight. Any leans what-so-ever on the VT OHst?
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Mega!!! Wasuuuup! SweetWeekend. Nice work, and greatly appreciated. I'm just another degenerate that wants to play something on the game tonight. Any leans what-so-ever on the VT OHst?
Now we did not get a chance to watch that apparent #shitshow last wk between WK and Vandy - but we are wondering WHAT THE SAM HILL went on in that game how does WK get only 12 FD and 246Y against anyone let alone Vandy? Yes we know Vandy D is decent but holy moly that has us wondering just a tad if only because LT can play a bit of D and did wax WK 59-10 last yr - now we were keen to go with the revenge angle but after looking over things - just cannot pull the trigger....line seems about right to us....and the better D is not a question here - LT....LT also features and excellent RB and don't look now but COVERS FAV Jeff Driskel is BACK.........Veterans of Covers Nation will know that the just mention of the name Driskel would start 89,789 threads - and that was just in the NBA forum.....Well LT did only play Southern last wk but did win 62-15 and our pal Driskel threw for 274 and 4 TD in limited action. What a stud.
Summary. Sorry boys. No leanage. Would not fault anyone for going back to the well and playing some kind of over but we are gonna stay clear of this game.
mega
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WKU 2 La Tech (67)
Megalocks line 3
Now we did not get a chance to watch that apparent #shitshow last wk between WK and Vandy - but we are wondering WHAT THE SAM HILL went on in that game how does WK get only 12 FD and 246Y against anyone let alone Vandy? Yes we know Vandy D is decent but holy moly that has us wondering just a tad if only because LT can play a bit of D and did wax WK 59-10 last yr - now we were keen to go with the revenge angle but after looking over things - just cannot pull the trigger....line seems about right to us....and the better D is not a question here - LT....LT also features and excellent RB and don't look now but COVERS FAV Jeff Driskel is BACK.........Veterans of Covers Nation will know that the just mention of the name Driskel would start 89,789 threads - and that was just in the NBA forum.....Well LT did only play Southern last wk but did win 62-15 and our pal Driskel threw for 274 and 4 TD in limited action. What a stud.
Summary. Sorry boys. No leanage. Would not fault anyone for going back to the well and playing some kind of over but we are gonna stay clear of this game.
Looking hard at Louisville as well- they put up a ton of yards against Auburn and really should have won that game if you look at the stats- They made a good Auburn team look average if you ask me- The should put the beat down on Houston-
Good luck!
Don't be so sure about this. Last time UH played Louisville (2013) the score was 20-13 with Teddy Bridgewater and being ranked #20 in the nation. This Houston team is very much improved compared to the 2013 team. Most of the defense is back from last year in addition to us finding our own dual threat QB.
In my honest opinion, I think Louisville wins by 7 or less. They may even over look this game being as they play Clemson the next week. They're also starting a true freshmen. Who by the looks of it is going to be a stud, but again, he's a true freshmen and will make true freshmen mistakes eventually.
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Quote Originally Posted by blowoutgm:
Looking hard at Louisville as well- they put up a ton of yards against Auburn and really should have won that game if you look at the stats- They made a good Auburn team look average if you ask me- The should put the beat down on Houston-
Good luck!
Don't be so sure about this. Last time UH played Louisville (2013) the score was 20-13 with Teddy Bridgewater and being ranked #20 in the nation. This Houston team is very much improved compared to the 2013 team. Most of the defense is back from last year in addition to us finding our own dual threat QB.
In my honest opinion, I think Louisville wins by 7 or less. They may even over look this game being as they play Clemson the next week. They're also starting a true freshmen. Who by the looks of it is going to be a stud, but again, he's a true freshmen and will make true freshmen mistakes eventually.
Outstanding research on the Miss State/Southern Miss game. Pretty much why studying = $$$$ because I totally missed it.
I had the line at LSU -3, but I think I overrated Miss State for the reasons you prescribed. Had the anti-LSU glasses on because Brandon Harris was so bad last year but I agree LSU just needs to lean on Fournette he's a machine.
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Outstanding research on the Miss State/Southern Miss game. Pretty much why studying = $$$$ because I totally missed it.
I had the line at LSU -3, but I think I overrated Miss State for the reasons you prescribed. Had the anti-LSU glasses on because Brandon Harris was so bad last year but I agree LSU just needs to lean on Fournette he's a machine.
Is it possible to breakdown the Trees -17 vs Knights? That 17 is tuff number to figure out.
MEGALOCKS ALL REQUEST HOTLINEpresents
Stanford 17.5 UCF (44)
Megalocks line 15
One thing about our hotline is that sometimes we can't answer the question.....other times we answer a question that you didn't ask - an old legal trick. Read on if you feel lucky
We have the fair line pretty close to vegas (89 vs 78 PR...gave Stanford 4 for HF = 15) Thought the total should be 44-45. So this game looks pretty tight.
The primary difficulty was analyzing this game was that we have no idea what to make about NW handling Stanford - I mean the stats look pretty compelling for NW - and they beat them with a FR QB....but NW actually might be a lot better than we all think especially on D. Stanford did a lot of nothing on offense but played solid D themselves allowing Justin Jackson to run for over 134 but held the NW passing game in check. Stanford was outrushed 225-85 in that one which is not a great sign. QB play was avg at best but like we said - NW D is pretty good.
We do not think UCF can take advantage of the Stanford D. Holman is ok but needs a running game to help out. UCF struggled to do anything on the ground last wk vs FIU (1.5 per carry but that includes a couple sacks) and other than hitting the middle of the field with some nice slants did not MATRICULATE consistently in the passing game. Do not see UCF moving the ball consistently at all and will be lucky to get past 14 pts without a couple turnovers. They look well coached again and play hard but lack big time playmakers on offense (RB, WR has potential - esp freakshow Jordan Akins 6-3 237 beeeeeeeeeeeeast) and did not record a sack last wk allowed FIU to go 29-38 for 260.
What worries us to play Stanford ? Tree has USC on deck. They will want this a vanilla get it over quick show nothing kind of game. Also UCF on a 20-12 ATS run as road dog and 10-5 ATS non-conf....Overall 73-54 ATS last 10 yrs so this is not a team you want to fade often....unless you piled on MEGALOCKS 24897390752349572348957390 star winner last wk
Summary - Lean Stanford and lean to UCF team total under....If you can get 14 or better....right now implied score is around 31-13 so we doubt it. Will not add this as an official play for the reasons noted above. 1) USC game next 2) UCF good ATS record in this situation 3) No idea if Stanford is as bad as they looked last wk.....Always have to be careful wk 2'
mega
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Quote Originally Posted by QBoption:
Is it possible to breakdown the Trees -17 vs Knights? That 17 is tuff number to figure out.
MEGALOCKS ALL REQUEST HOTLINEpresents
Stanford 17.5 UCF (44)
Megalocks line 15
One thing about our hotline is that sometimes we can't answer the question.....other times we answer a question that you didn't ask - an old legal trick. Read on if you feel lucky
We have the fair line pretty close to vegas (89 vs 78 PR...gave Stanford 4 for HF = 15) Thought the total should be 44-45. So this game looks pretty tight.
The primary difficulty was analyzing this game was that we have no idea what to make about NW handling Stanford - I mean the stats look pretty compelling for NW - and they beat them with a FR QB....but NW actually might be a lot better than we all think especially on D. Stanford did a lot of nothing on offense but played solid D themselves allowing Justin Jackson to run for over 134 but held the NW passing game in check. Stanford was outrushed 225-85 in that one which is not a great sign. QB play was avg at best but like we said - NW D is pretty good.
We do not think UCF can take advantage of the Stanford D. Holman is ok but needs a running game to help out. UCF struggled to do anything on the ground last wk vs FIU (1.5 per carry but that includes a couple sacks) and other than hitting the middle of the field with some nice slants did not MATRICULATE consistently in the passing game. Do not see UCF moving the ball consistently at all and will be lucky to get past 14 pts without a couple turnovers. They look well coached again and play hard but lack big time playmakers on offense (RB, WR has potential - esp freakshow Jordan Akins 6-3 237 beeeeeeeeeeeeast) and did not record a sack last wk allowed FIU to go 29-38 for 260.
What worries us to play Stanford ? Tree has USC on deck. They will want this a vanilla get it over quick show nothing kind of game. Also UCF on a 20-12 ATS run as road dog and 10-5 ATS non-conf....Overall 73-54 ATS last 10 yrs so this is not a team you want to fade often....unless you piled on MEGALOCKS 24897390752349572348957390 star winner last wk
Summary - Lean Stanford and lean to UCF team total under....If you can get 14 or better....right now implied score is around 31-13 so we doubt it. Will not add this as an official play for the reasons noted above. 1) USC game next 2) UCF good ATS record in this situation 3) No idea if Stanford is as bad as they looked last wk.....Always have to be careful wk 2'
Cannot touch this game - Especially now after what Ohio St displayed against VTech my God what the SAM HILL is going on they look beyond devastating making a very good look silly at times....oh ya - and if Ohio St brings their "scubs" in - not to worry - they will still shred you up like a great white shark taking down a seal colony....No way no how betting against Ohio St in this one - long trip for Hawaii - of course noting that Hawaii was a 4564874897484894 star winner despite making posters throw up in their mouths - we prefer not to bet 38 and 55 point favorites so sometimes the picks look ugly.
summary. no play. (think total might come out low 60s will look at team totals when available)
mega
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Ohio St 38 Hawaii
Megalocks line 35
Cannot touch this game - Especially now after what Ohio St displayed against VTech my God what the SAM HILL is going on they look beyond devastating making a very good look silly at times....oh ya - and if Ohio St brings their "scubs" in - not to worry - they will still shred you up like a great white shark taking down a seal colony....No way no how betting against Ohio St in this one - long trip for Hawaii - of course noting that Hawaii was a 4564874897484894 star winner despite making posters throw up in their mouths - we prefer not to bet 38 and 55 point favorites so sometimes the picks look ugly.
summary. no play. (think total might come out low 60s will look at team totals when available)
Opened in the 9.5 range and has slithered its way down to a more reasonable level IMO.....Bowling Green offense is fantastic MJ at QB looked like he had not missed a step throwing for over 400 but their run D got nuked for almost 400Y which will sadly be the way BG games go this yr - lots of points.....Waiting for MACtion because we really like this team but we cannot take a team with a D this bad on the road vs even an average Maryland team....If we read the game notes properly - Maryland had over 300Y rushing for the first time since 1999 WTF seems like a long time but it looks like that will be their game plan and a smart one - try and protect their SOFT UNDERBELLY on D with a nice running game....BG should have no answer for that - and for that reason - unless we were catching DD cannot play BG.....On the flipside - we have Maryland rated pretty low and do not know what to make of them....Another fun stat provided by our research associate John Cocktoastin - William Likely set a Big 10 record last wk in punt return yards with 233 - shock and amuse your pals with that gem.
summary - no leanage
mega
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Maryland 7.5 Bowling Green (67)
Megalocks line -6
Opened in the 9.5 range and has slithered its way down to a more reasonable level IMO.....Bowling Green offense is fantastic MJ at QB looked like he had not missed a step throwing for over 400 but their run D got nuked for almost 400Y which will sadly be the way BG games go this yr - lots of points.....Waiting for MACtion because we really like this team but we cannot take a team with a D this bad on the road vs even an average Maryland team....If we read the game notes properly - Maryland had over 300Y rushing for the first time since 1999 WTF seems like a long time but it looks like that will be their game plan and a smart one - try and protect their SOFT UNDERBELLY on D with a nice running game....BG should have no answer for that - and for that reason - unless we were catching DD cannot play BG.....On the flipside - we have Maryland rated pretty low and do not know what to make of them....Another fun stat provided by our research associate John Cocktoastin - William Likely set a Big 10 record last wk in punt return yards with 233 - shock and amuse your pals with that gem.
Do have a slight lean to the dog here - if for no other reason than you know how much we love ourselves some VEAL LICATA at QB for Buffalo very underrated and a nice 1400 RB to balance out the offense.....If they had an experienced D back we would make this play automatically but they have 4 RS on D and might be down to 3 this wk...OL on paper inexperienced - even tho we think Penn St is not 20 pts better - just too much we do not know about Buffalo yet - I mean they could score 10 or less making a cover very difficult - love the penn st D - they appear a bit banged up but are very solid gave up just over 300 last wk....As far as the penn st offense - remember when your girlfriend's cat puked all over your desk at work? well that is what the penn st offense is as long as that OL continues to suck large - did not see that coming last wk sure a temple win not a huge shocker especially after the MOB STEAM knocked the line below 7 but they gave up 10 sacks and had less than 200Y offense....cannot be trusted either.
summary - lean penn st team total if it comes out higher than 34 which it should - vegas calling for 34-14 type game......wont make final card but you could do worse than that degenerate play
mega
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Penn St 20 Buffalo (48)
Megalocks line 17
Do have a slight lean to the dog here - if for no other reason than you know how much we love ourselves some VEAL LICATA at QB for Buffalo very underrated and a nice 1400 RB to balance out the offense.....If they had an experienced D back we would make this play automatically but they have 4 RS on D and might be down to 3 this wk...OL on paper inexperienced - even tho we think Penn St is not 20 pts better - just too much we do not know about Buffalo yet - I mean they could score 10 or less making a cover very difficult - love the penn st D - they appear a bit banged up but are very solid gave up just over 300 last wk....As far as the penn st offense - remember when your girlfriend's cat puked all over your desk at work? well that is what the penn st offense is as long as that OL continues to suck large - did not see that coming last wk sure a temple win not a huge shocker especially after the MOB STEAM knocked the line below 7 but they gave up 10 sacks and had less than 200Y offense....cannot be trusted either.
summary - lean penn st team total if it comes out higher than 34 which it should - vegas calling for 34-14 type game......wont make final card but you could do worse than that degenerate play
Freaks Whack-jobs Pathological liars They-Are-Gonna-Kill-Em Guy
Time to get on some early tasters. Write-ups later.
First play
LSU -3 -115
Hello Mega, I have been following your threads for several years but I dont post as often as many here do.
At first I liked the LSU pick. What bothers me is the fact that LSU has not played yet, and Miss St. looked like garbage last week. From reading reports its looks like their last weeks opponent is a much improved team from the bottom feeder they have been for several years. Also Miss St. might have been looking ahead to this weeks LSU game. Last year MSU looked like garbage the week before they beat LSU against UAB. Just some food for thought.
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Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:
Freaks Whack-jobs Pathological liars They-Are-Gonna-Kill-Em Guy
Time to get on some early tasters. Write-ups later.
First play
LSU -3 -115
Hello Mega, I have been following your threads for several years but I dont post as often as many here do.
At first I liked the LSU pick. What bothers me is the fact that LSU has not played yet, and Miss St. looked like garbage last week. From reading reports its looks like their last weeks opponent is a much improved team from the bottom feeder they have been for several years. Also Miss St. might have been looking ahead to this weeks LSU game. Last year MSU looked like garbage the week before they beat LSU against UAB. Just some food for thought.
and think I have a good feel for them again this yr...let me check that one out in my next batch of games
.....Veterans of Covers Nation will know that the just mention of the name Driskel would start 89,789 threads - and that was just in the NBA forum.....Well LT did only play Southern last wk but did win 62-15 and our pal Driskel threw for 274 and 4 TD in limited action. What a stud.
presents
which will sadly be the way BG games go this yr - lots of points.....Waiting for MACtion because we really like this team but we cannot take a team with a D this bad on the road vs even an average Maryland team....If we read the game notes properly - Maryland had over 300Y rushing for the first time since 1999 WTF seems like a long time but it looks like that will be their game plan and a smart one - try and protect their SOFT UNDERBELLY on D with a nice running game....BG should have no answer for that - and for that reason - unless we were catching DD cannot play BG.....On the flipside - we have Maryland rated pretty low and do not know what to make of them....Another fun stat provided by our research associate John Cocktoastin - William Likely set a Big 10 record last wk in punt return yards with 233 - shock and amuse your pals with that gem.
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