My 2 cents on Indiana and Mich … Cignetti is a very good coach… I was very surprised he went toe to toe with Ohio St for much of the game…but he did…..this young QB for Mich gonna be in over his head right… can I at least add Indiana ML confidently to a few parlays… is Indiana gonna lose 2 in a row… to this bunch … but I am a very poor picker.
@Mskeets
i do not see them losing either, but wow if Michigan were to win do you know what this would do for their season?? people gave up on them, if they happen to win Michigan is right there, i do not think Indiana hurt themselves by losing last week, i could have even seen them win, they were at home, and remember the line when it comes out is not saying ohio st should win by 3 they are just trying to find a line that will get even action and they did, knowing a lot of people would bet Ohio st as a small road favorite, but also many would also take Indiana as a small home dog, i had that game as a pickem, which to be honest meant i should have taken Indiana + points, and we seen how the game went, defense and turnovers helped each team, and then a players foot goes out of bounds which would have given Indiana the win, i would love to see a game between 2 very good teams get played and not have any turnovers, just raw football, but it does usually comedown to turnovers, giving a team a 10-20 yd field to drive for a td does not mean one team is better, just means the other made a mistake, sometimes the better team loses, and believe me the oddsmakers put all that into their lines the next week, those guys that make the lines and sell them to the books are pretty smart, but again i do not see Indiana losing but this game is crazy, one or 2 mistakes can change everything
Tulane is going to be a play for me this week unless i see some injuries or main guys not playing, but i would love to get 3, right now at Hardrock they have UTSA -2.5 -115 Tulane +2.5 -105 so i am hoping it goes up, but they are who i am favoring again 10 wins in a row at home, this team plays diff at home if it stays like it is i will play Tulane,
tonight thursday
ECU @ Memphis here we have a matchup between 2 teams that are both coming off losses where they were a road favorite and both lost outright, ECU was a 5.5 pt favorite at UAB, and Memphis was a road favorite of 6.5 pts at Tulane, and they started out great, but then to's really cost them, its another game where the losing team outgained the winner by a lot Memphis had 306 yds passing and 182 yds rushing and Tualne had 175 passing and 150 rushing so Tulane had 200 fewer yds of offense yet won the game by 2 td's because Memphis had 3 fumbles and 3 INT's , one fumble led to a 50 yds td drive and one INT was returned 76 yds for a td, ...and ECU had a early lead on UAB up 14-3 and 17-9 in the 4th i give credit to the UAB defense because they didnt get any turnovers really to help their comeback, they got stops by their defense, to go to OT , what i felt bad about was the people on the UNDER in that game, and have a INT returned for a td in OT very rare to have that happen because all you have to do is fall down and game is over but they returned it and it landed on 47 in a game where the total was 46.5 great if you had over but ball breaking if under
so both these teams play at Memphis and Memphis is a big favorite, personally i do not like this game either way 10.5-11 pt favorite If memphis does not turn it over they should win and cover, ECU showed me no offense vs UAB Memphis has offense, they just cannot destroy them self
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well if ya read my write up on JMU you could maybe see where i was leaning going with App st and taking 12.5 -120 hardrock getting every point possible even though i think this covers, going with the history between these 2, and JMU struggled at Ga Southern, App st beat them 2 yrs ago at home and JMU was good then too, i just think if theres a game that App st is going to be UP for this is it, this is the best team in the conf, coming to your home stadium, and they are undefeated , i am hoping for a closer game late JMU 3-7 pt win
App st +12.5 -120
how can you not like Liberty tonight??? but this line has dropped 2 points since yesterday Liberty was -10.5 right now at Hardrock 8.5 Hmmmmm????? head scratcher
I said they might be close in 4th. On opening drive jmu was at 50 and line was 20.5...lol. crazy. Im killing it on props in nfl. I said it would be big night on props. And live props. I mean its crazy. Burden over Rirodon over..Henry over... need Henry to get a td damnit. History baby
Good app st
always feel better about winning games where you at least do a write up and maybe explain why you think it should cover...i dont use numbers unless your talking about stats or my own line i come up with never sure what people mean when they say my numbers have this at this or that what Numbers maybe explain the handicapping method, its not a trade secret , like App st i thought it was more about JMU struggling last game on the road, and that they won by 48 last year at home over app st, and app st had beaten them 2 yrs ago at home when app st was having same kind of year , even though most of the players maybe were not there for the 48 pt blowout, believe me the coach made sure they knew about it, i hated how JMU went right down the field and scored easily on 1st drive, but App st did settle in on defense which was huge it was a good outright win for them maybe see why JMU at 7-0 was still not ranked
Again i am already on Duke tonight, i have been saying for awhile that i dont think Virginia ia a very good team, not sure what happened to them, i think its that they do not pass the ball a lot, they started hot but i think too many people put too much into their early win over NC st, Duke off a home favorite loss to N Car, and Virginia is coming off a road dog loss where they didnt cover either losing 23-13 at SMU in a game where there was just 1 turnover a fumble by Virginia which did cost them points as they fumbled at the SMU 5 yd line on 3rd and goal, in that game Virginia only ran for 121 and passed for about 130 so 250 yds of offense, while SMU put up about 400 ...Duke lost at home 24-20 vs N Car a game where they got down 17-0 and came back and had a chance on their last drive where they got to the NC 34 yd line but threw a INT so they came back well in that game problem for them was they did get 2 to's but couldnt cash in off of them , but they did have it to where they had a chance at the end,
just like Duke here because they have lost their last 2 in games that were close, even the 25-28 loss at G Tech they had the lead in 4th but got beat and had a chance to tie at the end but missed a short fg from the tech 16 yd line ouch both teams avg about 30 a game, Virginia gives up 19 and Duke about 16 , even though on the road i think they straighten things out tonight Duke has BC at home next and Virginia goes to Wakeforest
Lots of people on Utah, and maybe they are right but when i read these articles they all talk about how Houston has not played anyone and are stepping up in competition well hello of course, but who has Utah played??? i do not think they have beaten a winning team yet, so why not mention that, its what i hate about these people who write articles they push who they like at least mention other things...at least houston beat Oregon st who are getting better, losty by 2 to TT, beat UCF, at Kansas st, beat Okla st, and beat Ga southern who almost beat JMU if you look at who each has played Houstons schedule so much stronger, yes its at Utah, hey i am a utah fan, i have been on them a few times, i already have a somewhat bet on Houston, i just do not like how Utah has looked last 2 games at home vs Kansas and at Col its going to be a huge test for Houston for sure i just like how Houston has played so far just point out things about both teams
gl
this Tenn@S Car game line has moved a lot one thing i do not like doing is jumping on a team after the line has already moved a lot to where its not maybe moving anymore, if ya liked S Car early and got them + pts or pick great but even if i like them i hate being late to the dance , so usually stay away or tease it to where it was earlier or maybe a parlay, so many times the money loses, we have a conf call every week with like 6 of us from around the country , i am already on Ole miss, but yesterday 2 of the people are on Texas, they made some good points, i am still on Ole miss but to be honest after talking it had me thinking lol another odd thing we have been doing this for years, its mostly friends from way back all have had jobs in the sportsbook industry , ill say this its very very rare for all of us to agree...lol which is good i think
as of Now i have Duke tonight +2.5 also Ole Miss +4.5, had App st, had New mex st, had Delaware, lost USA over, and USA over TT so all sides i played won lost 2 totals
Have a parlay with Over 58.5 N Texas/Houston +8.5 +169
also Have Tulane +2.5 at home they are very hard to beat, ill grab the points here
ADDED
adding Michigan +7.5 just see a defensive struggle, and i think 7.5 at home is worth a shot here do not see this going up, would noy surprise me to see a 6.5 gameday
another game i am liking is Georgia State on the road -2 to 2.5 at Ark st Ga st is 4-2 coming off their 2nd loss of the year vs JMU a game where they really had a chance to win, they missed a fg late to go to OT but they played well, their other loss was on the road at UCF 44-30 as 17.5 pt dogs so they did cover.....they rush for over 200 yds a game and pass for about 250, while Ark st is avg 133 yds rushing and 230 passing, so they are avg about 100 yds of offense more than ark st , pretty balanced offense, averaging 36 pts a game giving up 24, and Ark st is avg 27 a game and giving up about 27 and Ga st has decent ATS Numbers too , Arkansas st does not even avg 1 sack a game, so Ga st should be able to have time to throw, Ga st avg's over 3 a game...these 2 did not play last year but they did the year before with Ark st winning on the road 27-20 as 2.5 pt dogs, so maybe some revenge here...Ga st has a decent team i think there is a reason they are a road favorite under 4 i like it
Ga state -1.5 -120
Ga st/Ark st trends
another game i am liking is Georgia State on the road -2 to 2.5 at Ark st Ga st is 4-2 coming off their 2nd loss of the year vs JMU a game where they really had a chance to win, they missed a fg late to go to OT but they played well, their other loss was on the road at UCF 44-30 as 17.5 pt dogs so they did cover.....they rush for over 200 yds a game and pass for about 250, while Ark st is avg 133 yds rushing and 230 passing, so they are avg about 100 yds of offense more than ark st , pretty balanced offense, averaging 36 pts a game giving up 24, and Ark st is avg 27 a game and giving up about 27 and Ga st has decent ATS Numbers too , Arkansas st does not even avg 1 sack a game, so Ga st should be able to have time to throw, Ga st avg's over 3 a game...these 2 did not play last year but they did the year before with Ark st winning on the road 27-20 as 2.5 pt dogs, so maybe some revenge here...Ga st has a decent team i think there is a reason they are a road favorite under 4 i like it
Ga state -1.5 -120
also Ga st is 3-0 str up as a fav Ark st is 0-3 as a dog
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