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    All Forums | College Football

    Hawaii Bowl Info

    Craginator
    venezolanisimo
    gr8grins
    ayashifx55
    HPowerCro
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    Craginator
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    Posted: Dec. 24, 2025 - 12:04 PM ET #1

    Merry Christmas Covers forum! Here's some info on the game I've found around the web and a bit lengthy but a good read.  

     

    This from SI.com:

    The oddsmakers all had Cal as a slight favorite as of Thursday morning (December 11). BetMGM, DraftKings and Caesars Sportsbook all have the Golden Bears as 1.5-point favorites, and FanDuel makes Cal a 2.5-point favorite at the moment. Today were seeing Hawaii now favored 1.5 or so. 

    Cal (7-5) played three games against teams that were ranked in the College Football Playoff rankings at the time of the game, and the Bears won two of them. Cal beat No. 15 Louisville on the road and topped No. 21 SMU at home in the teams’ final regular season game. Cal was very much in its game against No. 15 Virginia before an interception in the final minute ended Cal’s bid.

    Meanwhile, Hawaii (8-4) faced no team that was ranked when the game was played. And the best team the Rainbow Warriors faced was Arizona, which finished with a 9-3 record and a No. 17 ranking and beat Hawaii 40-6 early in the season.

    Hawaii finished tied for fifth in the Mountain West Conference with a 5-3 conference mark, and although the ACC was not particularly strong this season, it still was considered better than the Mountain West. 

    According to the ESPN analytics, Hawaii has a 59.7% chance to win the Hawaii Bowl while Cal has just a 40.3% chance. Cal was 3-3 in road games this season, and that comes with caveats. One of the road wins came against an Oregon State team that won just one game against an FBS opponent this season, and another came against a lousy Boston College team (the Eagles finished 2-10) when Cal intercepted a pass in the end zone after the Eagles got to the Cal 5-yard line with 15 seconds left in a four-point Cal victory.

    And there is one other factor that the oddsmakers and number machines probably did not consider: Cal performed better when it was an underdog than when it was favored this season.

    Oddsmakers made Cal the underdog in eight of 11 games against FBS opposition this season, but the Bears went 5-3 in those games as the underdogs. Cal defeated Louisville when the Cardinals were favored by 18.5 points and knocked off SMU when the Mustangs were 13.5-point favorites.

     Cal’s lone win as a favorite came against North Carolina, when a Tar Heels ball-carrier fumbled at the Cal half-yard line going for the go-ahead touchdown with less than four minutes remaining in a three-point Cal triumph.

    Cal and Hawaii played two common opponents this season – Stanford and San Diego State.

    Cal lost to both those opponents by wide margins, getting clobbered by San Diego State by a score of 34-0 and losing to Stanford by three touchdowns, 31-10.

    Meanwhile, Hawaii beat Stanford 23-20 and crushed San Diego State 38-6.

    You might note that both of Cal’s losses in those two games were on the road, while both of Hawaii’s wins were on their home field. Hawaii was 6-1 at home this season, its only defeat coming in a 23-21 loss to Fresno State.

     

    “Luck is what happens when preparation meets opportunity.”
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Merry Christmas Covers forum! Here's some info on the game I've found around the web and a bit lengthy but a good read.  

     

    This from SI.com:

    The oddsmakers all had Cal as a slight favorite as of Thursday morning (December 11). BetMGM, DraftKings and Caesars Sportsbook all have the Golden Bears as 1.5-point favorites, and FanDuel makes Cal a 2.5-point favorite at the moment. Today were seeing Hawaii now favored 1.5 or so. 

    Cal (7-5) played three games against teams that were ranked in the College Football Playoff rankings at the time of the game, and the Bears won two of them. Cal beat No. 15 Louisville on the road and topped No. 21 SMU at home in the teams’ final regular season game. Cal was very much in its game against No. 15 Virginia before an interception in the final minute ended Cal’s bid.

    Meanwhile, Hawaii (8-4) faced no team that was ranked when the game was played. And the best team the Rainbow Warriors faced was Arizona, which finished with a 9-3 record and a No. 17 ranking and beat Hawaii 40-6 early in the season.

    Hawaii finished tied for fifth in the Mountain West Conference with a 5-3 conference mark, and although the ACC was not particularly strong this season, it still was considered better than the Mountain West. 

    According to the ESPN analytics, Hawaii has a 59.7% chance to win the Hawaii Bowl while Cal has just a 40.3% chance. Cal was 3-3 in road games this season, and that comes with caveats. One of the road wins came against an Oregon State team that won just one game against an FBS opponent this season, and another came against a lousy Boston College team (the Eagles finished 2-10) when Cal intercepted a pass in the end zone after the Eagles got to the Cal 5-yard line with 15 seconds left in a four-point Cal victory.

    And there is one other factor that the oddsmakers and number machines probably did not consider: Cal performed better when it was an underdog than when it was favored this season.

    Oddsmakers made Cal the underdog in eight of 11 games against FBS opposition this season, but the Bears went 5-3 in those games as the underdogs. Cal defeated Louisville when the Cardinals were favored by 18.5 points and knocked off SMU when the Mustangs were 13.5-point favorites.

     Cal’s lone win as a favorite came against North Carolina, when a Tar Heels ball-carrier fumbled at the Cal half-yard line going for the go-ahead touchdown with less than four minutes remaining in a three-point Cal triumph.

    Cal and Hawaii played two common opponents this season – Stanford and San Diego State.

    Cal lost to both those opponents by wide margins, getting clobbered by San Diego State by a score of 34-0 and losing to Stanford by three touchdowns, 31-10.

    Meanwhile, Hawaii beat Stanford 23-20 and crushed San Diego State 38-6.

    You might note that both of Cal’s losses in those two games were on the road, while both of Hawaii’s wins were on their home field. Hawaii was 6-1 at home this season, its only defeat coming in a 23-21 loss to Fresno State.

     

     
    venezolanisimo
    venezolanisimo
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    Posted: Dec. 24, 2025 - 12:17 PM ET #2

    peace_5

    Reply

    peace_5

     
    Craginator
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    Posted: Dec. 24, 2025 - 12:17 PM ET #3

      This from Mwcconection.com: 

    “Luck is what happens when preparation meets opportunity.”
    Reply

      This from Mwcconection.com: 

     
    Craginator
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    Posted: Dec. 24, 2025 - 12:30 PM ET #4

    MWCC.com 

    Head-to-Head: According to the Hawaii Athletics website, Hawaii won the first contest between the Rainbows and Golden Bears back in the “New Year’s Classic” in 1935. Cal leads the series 3-2, swapping road victories in a home-and-home series back in the 90s. The most recent contest was, of course, in Sydney, Australia in 2016. That was Nick Rolovich’s debut game as head coach of Hawaii. Nine years later, Rolovich is the interim head coach for Cal in this Hawaii Bowl. Funny how things play out.

     

    “Luck is what happens when preparation meets opportunity.”
    Reply

    MWCC.com 

    Head-to-Head: According to the Hawaii Athletics website, Hawaii won the first contest between the Rainbows and Golden Bears back in the “New Year’s Classic” in 1935. Cal leads the series 3-2, swapping road victories in a home-and-home series back in the 90s. The most recent contest was, of course, in Sydney, Australia in 2016. That was Nick Rolovich’s debut game as head coach of Hawaii. Nine years later, Rolovich is the interim head coach for Cal in this Hawaii Bowl. Funny how things play out.

     

     
    gr8grins
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    Posted: Dec. 24, 2025 - 12:34 PM ET #5

    Looks like the obvious play on Cal is not so obvious, meaning a no play?  Great intel, sometimes winning is not playing!?

    Reply

    Looks like the obvious play on Cal is not so obvious, meaning a no play?  Great intel, sometimes winning is not playing!?

     
    gr8grins
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    Posted: Dec. 24, 2025 - 12:34 PM ET #6

    Looks like the obvious play on Cal is not so obvious, meaning a no play?  Great intel, sometimes winning is not playing!?

    Reply

    Looks like the obvious play on Cal is not so obvious, meaning a no play?  Great intel, sometimes winning is not playing!?

     
    ayashifx55
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    Posted: Dec. 24, 2025 - 12:34 PM ET #7

    none of what anyone says matters in these bowl games. Doesn’t matter the stats or history, I know that’s my opinion but I have watched a couple of bowl games for now (I’m Canadian) and the outcome depends ONLY on what team shows up to play / who’s more motivated during THAT moment 

    Reply

    none of what anyone says matters in these bowl games. Doesn’t matter the stats or history, I know that’s my opinion but I have watched a couple of bowl games for now (I’m Canadian) and the outcome depends ONLY on what team shows up to play / who’s more motivated during THAT moment 

     
    Craginator
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    Posted: Dec. 24, 2025 - 12:43 PM ET #8

    had more posted and got dropped. server issues i gather.  will try again in a few.  Meantime, Leans to both overs 1st half and game due to lackluster rushing stats for both and feel passing game gets into a shootout with clock stoppers on incompletes. Also like Cals receiver Jacob De Jesus to go over 93.5 rcv yds down from earlier 98.5, with a last name like that playing christmas eve, ya gotta believe! lol   Will wait to put anything in until at least an hour before kickoff and see how the lines move and await more piks N posts from the fine people here in the NCAAF forum. Till then all have a merry christmas eve!

    “Luck is what happens when preparation meets opportunity.”
    Reply

    had more posted and got dropped. server issues i gather.  will try again in a few.  Meantime, Leans to both overs 1st half and game due to lackluster rushing stats for both and feel passing game gets into a shootout with clock stoppers on incompletes. Also like Cals receiver Jacob De Jesus to go over 93.5 rcv yds down from earlier 98.5, with a last name like that playing christmas eve, ya gotta believe! lol   Will wait to put anything in until at least an hour before kickoff and see how the lines move and await more piks N posts from the fine people here in the NCAAF forum. Till then all have a merry christmas eve!

     
    HPowerCro
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    Posted: Dec. 24, 2025 - 12:49 PM ET #9

    Lots of Hawaii Ties on this Cal team, Not sure if Cal is focused on today’s game, Regular Season I would say Cal wins. I’m from Hawaii my sons played football with JKS, Cal looks to be on Vacation here not sure how it plays out, JKS brother got cut from Hawaii a few years ago, I know Rolo wants to win, JKS and Manutai wants to play well in front there Families and Cal just recruited about 7 kids from Hawaii. I think the safe play is the Over. Timmy Chang wants to Win to prove to the Hawaii kids they should stay home but Hawaii doesn’t have the NIL money to keep these guys here. GL to everyone which ever way you go, I’ll be at the game hoping for points.

    Aloha,Wayne.

    Reply

    Lots of Hawaii Ties on this Cal team, Not sure if Cal is focused on today’s game, Regular Season I would say Cal wins. I’m from Hawaii my sons played football with JKS, Cal looks to be on Vacation here not sure how it plays out, JKS brother got cut from Hawaii a few years ago, I know Rolo wants to win, JKS and Manutai wants to play well in front there Families and Cal just recruited about 7 kids from Hawaii. I think the safe play is the Over. Timmy Chang wants to Win to prove to the Hawaii kids they should stay home but Hawaii doesn’t have the NIL money to keep these guys here. GL to everyone which ever way you go, I’ll be at the game hoping for points.

    Aloha,Wayne.

     
    HPowerCro
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    Posted: Dec. 24, 2025 - 12:51 PM ET #10

    Lots of Hawaii Ties on this Cal team, Not sure if Cal is focused on today’s game, Regular Season I would say Cal wins. I’m from Hawaii my sons played football with JKS, Cal looks to be on Vacation here not sure how it plays out, JKS brother got cut from Hawaii a few years ago, I know Rolo wants to win, JKS and Manutai wants to play well in front there Families and Cal just recruited about 7 kids from Hawaii. I think the safe play is the Over. Timmy Chang wants to Win to prove to the Hawaii kids they should stay home but Hawaii doesn’t have the NIL money to keep these guys here. GL to everyone which ever way you go, I’ll be at the game hoping for points.

    Aloha,Wayne.

    Reply

    Lots of Hawaii Ties on this Cal team, Not sure if Cal is focused on today’s game, Regular Season I would say Cal wins. I’m from Hawaii my sons played football with JKS, Cal looks to be on Vacation here not sure how it plays out, JKS brother got cut from Hawaii a few years ago, I know Rolo wants to win, JKS and Manutai wants to play well in front there Families and Cal just recruited about 7 kids from Hawaii. I think the safe play is the Over. Timmy Chang wants to Win to prove to the Hawaii kids they should stay home but Hawaii doesn’t have the NIL money to keep these guys here. GL to everyone which ever way you go, I’ll be at the game hoping for points.

    Aloha,Wayne.

     
    Craginator
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    Posted: Dec. 24, 2025 - 1:00 PM ET #11

    @HPowerCro

    Mele Kalikimaka to you and yours HPowerCro !  agree on the overclover , it's now at 51 so put a small play on it as think it goes up some.  Thanks for that info and Enjoy the game! 

    “Luck is what happens when preparation meets opportunity.”
    Reply

    @HPowerCro

    Mele Kalikimaka to you and yours HPowerCro !  agree on the overclover , it's now at 51 so put a small play on it as think it goes up some.  Thanks for that info and Enjoy the game! 

     
    HPowerCro
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    Posted: Dec. 24, 2025 - 1:05 PM ET #12

    Lots of Hawaii Ties on this Cal team, Not sure if Cal is focused on today’s game, Regular Season I would say Cal wins. I’m from Hawaii my sons played football with JKS, Cal looks to be on Vacation here not sure how it plays out, JKS brother got cut from Hawaii a few years ago, I know Rolo wants to win, JKS and Manutai wants to play well in front there Families and Cal just recruited about 7 kids from Hawaii. I think the safe play is the Over. Timmy Chang wants to Win to prove to the Hawaii kids they should stay home but Hawaii doesn’t have the NIL money to keep these guys here. GL to everyone which ever way you go, I’ll be at the game hoping for points.

    Aloha,Wayne.

    Reply

    Lots of Hawaii Ties on this Cal team, Not sure if Cal is focused on today’s game, Regular Season I would say Cal wins. I’m from Hawaii my sons played football with JKS, Cal looks to be on Vacation here not sure how it plays out, JKS brother got cut from Hawaii a few years ago, I know Rolo wants to win, JKS and Manutai wants to play well in front there Families and Cal just recruited about 7 kids from Hawaii. I think the safe play is the Over. Timmy Chang wants to Win to prove to the Hawaii kids they should stay home but Hawaii doesn’t have the NIL money to keep these guys here. GL to everyone which ever way you go, I’ll be at the game hoping for points.

    Aloha,Wayne.

     
    HPowerCro
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    Posted: Dec. 24, 2025 - 1:15 PM ET #13

    Sorry for the double post.

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    Sorry for the double post.

     
    Biscuiteater1
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    Posted: Dec. 24, 2025 - 1:23 PM ET #14

    Right about both teams rather weak running attack but I don't think that they will abandon the run and esp.if it remains a competitive game. When I first saw the total I almost jumped on it but the fact that its rather has given me serious pause.As for motivation I think HPCro is correct, no way Hawaii is not hyped...but hype alone does not win games.

    Reply

    Right about both teams rather weak running attack but I don't think that they will abandon the run and esp.if it remains a competitive game. When I first saw the total I almost jumped on it but the fact that its rather has given me serious pause.As for motivation I think HPCro is correct, no way Hawaii is not hyped...but hype alone does not win games.

     
    Biscuiteater1
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    Posted: Dec. 24, 2025 - 1:25 PM ET #15

    " rather low"  an_arsed

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    " rather low"  an_arsed

     
    PNbeinganSN
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    Posted: Dec. 24, 2025 - 1:59 PM ET #16

    cool

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    cool

     
    monkeybutt
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    Posts: 739
    Posted: Dec. 24, 2025 - 2:07 PM ET #17

    @Biscuiteater1

     read on here it is going to be windy

    Reply

    @Biscuiteater1

     read on here it is going to be windy

     
    HPowerCro
    HPowerCro
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2017
    Posts: 359
    Posted: Dec. 24, 2025 - 3:06 PM ET #18

    Hawaii’s Biggest Recruiting Platform, Playing on ESPN, Not sure if they will but Hawaii will want to score alot, We had some rain the last few days but it’s nice and sunny today

    Reply

    Hawaii’s Biggest Recruiting Platform, Playing on ESPN, Not sure if they will but Hawaii will want to score alot, We had some rain the last few days but it’s nice and sunny today

     
    camby700
    camby700
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2011
    Posts: 34392
    Posted: Dec. 24, 2025 - 6:16 PM ET #19

    WHY IS NOBODY talking bout the Cal QB...

    Hes a Heisman candidate next season....

    Hes ALSO FROM HAWAII.....

    CAL IS WINNING THIS GAME.....

    Both QBs in game grew up together...

    Its a homecoming and im taking the better team and QB in a game that he definately wants to win...

    CAL BY 10

     

    Reply

    WHY IS NOBODY talking bout the Cal QB...

    Hes a Heisman candidate next season....

    Hes ALSO FROM HAWAII.....

    CAL IS WINNING THIS GAME.....

    Both QBs in game grew up together...

    Its a homecoming and im taking the better team and QB in a game that he definately wants to win...

    CAL BY 10

     

     
    HPowerCro
    HPowerCro
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2017
    Posts: 359
    Posted: Dec. 24, 2025 - 6:19 PM ET #20

    I’ll just be cheering for points by any team

    Reply

    I’ll just be cheering for points by any team

     
     
    Docfergie
    Docfergie
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2022
    Posts: 64
    Posted: Dec. 24, 2025 - 6:42 PM ET #21

    @ayashifx55

     Very well said

    Reply

    @ayashifx55

     Very well said

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