Home dogs of 13 points or more, winning more than 60% of their games are 18-0 ATS after two wins in which they allowed less than 50 pts combined. This system is covering the spread by almost 2 TD's on average. SMU is a 17.5 home dog, with a winning % of over 60% (66.6%) and they won last two games allowing only 28 points combined.
This is a rivalery game and usually SMU players put more emotions and effort into this one than TCU players. Something like that Marshall/WVU game a few weeks back. TCU is almost regularly a huge fave against SMU but even when the difference in quality and talent is huge, SMU stil plays TCU hard. They are 5-2 ATS in last 7 games vs TCU. When Bo Levi Mitchell got hurt against Houston last season, Kyle Padron took the starting QB position for SMU and with him they went 5-1 in the final 6 games of the season upseting Nevada and Tulsa as double digit dogs. They are 8-1 ATS and 4-5 SU in last 9 as underdogs losing once in overtime. At home they either won as favorite or covered as dogs every game since the begining of last season. First true road game for TCU and those are not very easy when comming in week 4. TCU is a complete package. Their team looks to be great in every aspect but I'm not really sold on their passing defense that has 1 interception and 4 td's allowed. That could be a problem against the red hot Kyle Padron at home. And let's not forget that passing the ball is not the only strength of SMU this season. They have been able to outrun all three opponents so far averaging 165 rypg against 82 rypg and 5.4 rushing yards per attempt against 2.7 rushing yards per attempt in those three games. THIS IS A VERY SOLID SMU TEAM THIS SEASON !!!
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