*Adding ND+5 as it fits the same 31-1 system as LAT & BYU.
SMU +17.5 locked in and posted tuesday
BYU +5 locked in and posted tuesday
LAT +5 locked in and posted tuesday
WYO +14 added wednesday
CFL +7 added wednesday
CAL +7 locked in and posted tuesday
ND +5 locked in and posted friday
For those who asked:
LAT= Louisiana Tech
CFL =Central Florida
By the way...I have a lot of respect for Stanford but here is one little thing that adds up to that 31-1 system that goes against Stanford. Stanford will have to battle some ugly history as well in this game. They are 1-15 SU and 4-12 ATS in last 18 or so years in games played eastern of El Paso, Texas. Their only win came against Navy but they stil failed to cover the spread in that game. So, they have zero covering wins in central and eastern time zone in last 18 years.
Looks like I'll have 7 plays this week.
The systems for those saturday plays will be posted tomorrow.
I'm going against you with So. Miss vs La Tech and AF vs Wyoming. Check out my write-ups
Other than that and the SMU play, I like the plays you did. GL on all bets that aren't going against mine.
0
Quote Originally Posted by DFence:
*Adding ND+5 as it fits the same 31-1 system as LAT & BYU.
SMU +17.5 locked in and posted tuesday
BYU +5 locked in and posted tuesday
LAT +5 locked in and posted tuesday
WYO +14 added wednesday
CFL +7 added wednesday
CAL +7 locked in and posted tuesday
ND +5 locked in and posted friday
For those who asked:
LAT= Louisiana Tech
CFL =Central Florida
By the way...I have a lot of respect for Stanford but here is one little thing that adds up to that 31-1 system that goes against Stanford. Stanford will have to battle some ugly history as well in this game. They are 1-15 SU and 4-12 ATS in last 18 or so years in games played eastern of El Paso, Texas. Their only win came against Navy but they stil failed to cover the spread in that game. So, they have zero covering wins in central and eastern time zone in last 18 years.
Looks like I'll have 7 plays this week.
The systems for those saturday plays will be posted tomorrow.
I'm going against you with So. Miss vs La Tech and AF vs Wyoming. Check out my write-ups
I really appreciate your posting your pics and the system that you've shared that you had received from a friend of yours.
I hear that the BYU starting QB is out, so how would that affect the system pick here? Can't be a positive development, unless the backup is totally capable and ready to roll.
And about your Stanford comment of their consistent bad luck in playing in El Paso, Texas -- such information has to be taken seriously about bad places for certain teams to play in.
One good example is the bad luck that the Colorado Rockies had playing in Arizona Diamondback's home stadium, where Colorado has won only 40% of their games there historically.
Just recently after Colorado's pulling into Arizona for a three-game series in Arizona, Colorado got swept, so the D-Backs were a very good bet everyday there being dogs everyday, and this was when Colorado was high, winning some 11 out of 12 games prior to coming in to Arizona.
So a strong precedence of a place -- positive or negative -- has to be taken seriously, for sure.
And, DFence, please do keep on posting your system picks, if you may.
Hi bud. Jake Heaps played in all three BYU games this season and has the exact same completion % as injured Riley Nelson. His worst stats are from the AF game but he only had 6 passing attempts in that game. He was ranked #1 in the nation while in high school. So, he is definately talented. Is he ready ? Nobody knows. Nevada is the better team and they should be favored. However, I don't have confidence in them laying points on the road against non conference teams.
0
Quote Originally Posted by Mozart:
DFence ~~
I really appreciate your posting your pics and the system that you've shared that you had received from a friend of yours.
I hear that the BYU starting QB is out, so how would that affect the system pick here? Can't be a positive development, unless the backup is totally capable and ready to roll.
And about your Stanford comment of their consistent bad luck in playing in El Paso, Texas -- such information has to be taken seriously about bad places for certain teams to play in.
One good example is the bad luck that the Colorado Rockies had playing in Arizona Diamondback's home stadium, where Colorado has won only 40% of their games there historically.
Just recently after Colorado's pulling into Arizona for a three-game series in Arizona, Colorado got swept, so the D-Backs were a very good bet everyday there being dogs everyday, and this was when Colorado was high, winning some 11 out of 12 games prior to coming in to Arizona.
So a strong precedence of a place -- positive or negative -- has to be taken seriously, for sure.
And, DFence, please do keep on posting your system picks, if you may.
Hi bud. Jake Heaps played in all three BYU games this season and has the exact same completion % as injured Riley Nelson. His worst stats are from the AF game but he only had 6 passing attempts in that game. He was ranked #1 in the nation while in high school. So, he is definately talented. Is he ready ? Nobody knows. Nevada is the better team and they should be favored. However, I don't have confidence in them laying points on the road against non conference teams.
*Adding ND+5 as it fits the same 31-1 system as LAT & BYU.
SMU +17.5 locked in and posted tuesday
BYU +5 locked in and posted tuesday
LAT +5 locked in and posted tuesday
WYO +14 added wednesday
CFL +7 added wednesday
CAL +7 locked in and posted tuesday
ND +5 locked in and posted friday
For those who asked:
LAT= Louisiana Tech
CFL =Central Florida
By the way...I have a lot of respect for Stanford but here is one little thing that adds up to that 31-1 system that goes against Stanford. Stanford will have to battle some ugly history as well in this game. They are 1-15 SU and 4-12 ATS in last 18 or so years in games played eastern of El Paso, Texas. Their only win came against Navy but they stil failed to cover the spread in that game. So, they have zero covering wins in central and eastern time zone in last 18 years.
Looks like I'll have 7 plays this week.
The systems for those saturday plays will be posted tomorrow.
P.S.
Stanford lost 7 straight at ND by about 15 ppg on average.
P.S.II.
Stanford is 0-5 ATS vs ND last 5 times they had the better record
0
Quote Originally Posted by DFence:
*Adding ND+5 as it fits the same 31-1 system as LAT & BYU.
SMU +17.5 locked in and posted tuesday
BYU +5 locked in and posted tuesday
LAT +5 locked in and posted tuesday
WYO +14 added wednesday
CFL +7 added wednesday
CAL +7 locked in and posted tuesday
ND +5 locked in and posted friday
For those who asked:
LAT= Louisiana Tech
CFL =Central Florida
By the way...I have a lot of respect for Stanford but here is one little thing that adds up to that 31-1 system that goes against Stanford. Stanford will have to battle some ugly history as well in this game. They are 1-15 SU and 4-12 ATS in last 18 or so years in games played eastern of El Paso, Texas. Their only win came against Navy but they stil failed to cover the spread in that game. So, they have zero covering wins in central and eastern time zone in last 18 years.
Looks like I'll have 7 plays this week.
The systems for those saturday plays will be posted tomorrow.
P.S.
Stanford lost 7 straight at ND by about 15 ppg on average.
P.S.II.
Stanford is 0-5 ATS vs ND last 5 times they had the better record
did you read the recent covers.com article about the top 5 teams with head coaches covering the spread to gain votes in the polls? i think this article came out after Boise State crushed Wyoming last weekend. obviously, TCU was one of those teams.
i love fading the covers.com articles, so i'm with you on SMU +18.5 (beted.com)
gl
0
did you read the recent covers.com article about the top 5 teams with head coaches covering the spread to gain votes in the polls? i think this article came out after Boise State crushed Wyoming last weekend. obviously, TCU was one of those teams.
i love fading the covers.com articles, so i'm with you on SMU +18.5 (beted.com)
Home dogs of 13 points or more, winning more than 60% of their games are 18-0 ATS after two wins in which they allowed less than 50 pts combined. This system is covering the spread by almost 2 TD's on average. SMU is a 17.5 home dog, with a winning % of over 60% (66.6%) and they won last two games allowing only 28 points combined.
This is a rivalery game and usually SMU players put more emotions and effort into this one than TCU players. Something like that Marshall/WVU game a few weeks back. TCU is almost regularly a huge fave against SMU but even when the difference in quality and talent is huge, SMU stil plays TCU hard. They are 5-2 ATS in last 7 games vs TCU. When Bo Levi Mitchell got hurt against Houston last season, Kyle Padron took the starting QB position for SMU and with him they went 5-1 in the final 6 games of the season upseting Nevada and Tulsa as double digit dogs. They are 8-1 ATS and 4-5 SU in last 9 as underdogs losing once in overtime. At home they either won as favorite or covered as dogs every game since the begining of last season. First true road game for TCU and those are not very easy when comming in week 4. TCU is a complete package. Their team looks to be great in every aspect but I'm not really sold on their passing defense that has 1 interception and 4 td's allowed. That could be a problem against the red hot Kyle Padron at home. And let's not forget that passing the ball is not the only strength of SMU this season. They have been able to outrun all three opponents so far averaging 165 rypg against 82 rypg and 5.4 rushing yards per attempt against 2.7 rushing yards per attempt in those three games. THIS IS A VERY SOLID SMU TEAM THIS SEASON !!!
Personally, I think your "trend" is BS, but don't take it personally, I think most 98% of so called trends posted on here are BS
I think your analysis is solid. That being said, I'm going with TCU. They are BCS bound and will NOT call off the dogs late in the game.
0
Quote Originally Posted by DFence:
Home dogs of 13 points or more, winning more than 60% of their games are 18-0 ATS after two wins in which they allowed less than 50 pts combined. This system is covering the spread by almost 2 TD's on average. SMU is a 17.5 home dog, with a winning % of over 60% (66.6%) and they won last two games allowing only 28 points combined.
This is a rivalery game and usually SMU players put more emotions and effort into this one than TCU players. Something like that Marshall/WVU game a few weeks back. TCU is almost regularly a huge fave against SMU but even when the difference in quality and talent is huge, SMU stil plays TCU hard. They are 5-2 ATS in last 7 games vs TCU. When Bo Levi Mitchell got hurt against Houston last season, Kyle Padron took the starting QB position for SMU and with him they went 5-1 in the final 6 games of the season upseting Nevada and Tulsa as double digit dogs. They are 8-1 ATS and 4-5 SU in last 9 as underdogs losing once in overtime. At home they either won as favorite or covered as dogs every game since the begining of last season. First true road game for TCU and those are not very easy when comming in week 4. TCU is a complete package. Their team looks to be great in every aspect but I'm not really sold on their passing defense that has 1 interception and 4 td's allowed. That could be a problem against the red hot Kyle Padron at home. And let's not forget that passing the ball is not the only strength of SMU this season. They have been able to outrun all three opponents so far averaging 165 rypg against 82 rypg and 5.4 rushing yards per attempt against 2.7 rushing yards per attempt in those three games. THIS IS A VERY SOLID SMU TEAM THIS SEASON !!!
Personally, I think your "trend" is BS, but don't take it personally, I think most 98% of so called trends posted on here are BS
I think your analysis is solid. That being said, I'm going with TCU. They are BCS bound and will NOT call off the dogs late in the game.
Trends like this are complete BS... I guarantee you can find some stupid trend where an away favorite of -17 is 18-0 when they do this, that, and the other has happened in the past.
0
Trends like this are complete BS... I guarantee you can find some stupid trend where an away favorite of -17 is 18-0 when they do this, that, and the other has happened in the past.
I posted in another thread that I thought this game might be a lot closer than people think. But as I said there, too, I'd be deathly afraid of TCU and the fact that they love to play statement games. If I bet this game I'd be on SMU and the under since that's what my database recommends but Having seen TCU smash opponents, I think I'd rather grab some popcorn and watch just for fun. Congrats on what very well might be a great pick.
0
I posted in another thread that I thought this game might be a lot closer than people think. But as I said there, too, I'd be deathly afraid of TCU and the fact that they love to play statement games. If I bet this game I'd be on SMU and the under since that's what my database recommends but Having seen TCU smash opponents, I think I'd rather grab some popcorn and watch just for fun. Congrats on what very well might be a great pick.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.
for those with +17.5 or more 
Hot Forum Topics
