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🏈🏈🏈 Fubah2's risky CFB bets

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KellyM_1964
fubah2
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KellyM_1964
KellyM_1964
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Joined: May, 2009
Posts: 15752
Posted: Sep. 16, 2023 - 6:33 PM ET #426

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

KSU WILDCATS -3.5  and  KSU WILDCATS -165  *Best Bet   2 more losses That one on an even game.....losing a game that should have gone to OT but for a last play 61 yd fluke FG

rough start     

lets get em back tonite an_cheers

"I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

KSU WILDCATS -3.5  and  KSU WILDCATS -165  *Best Bet   2 more losses That one on an even game.....losing a game that should have gone to OT but for a last play 61 yd fluke FG

rough start     

lets get em back tonite an_cheers

 
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Posted: Sep. 16, 2023 - 7:09 PM ET #427

BEARCATS down 0 - 7 after only one play of the game!!!!

 

 

BEARCATS -325 to win su  *BEST BET

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BEARCATS down 0 - 7 after only one play of the game!!!!

 

 

BEARCATS -325 to win su  *BEST BET

 
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Posted: Sep. 16, 2023 - 10:24 PM ET #428

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

adding OKLA STATE Ka-Boys -275   *BEST BET

Another Big Fat LOSER

And I expect Lou.Tech will fall as well

All favs.........

 

I've had losing weekends in college football before, as have we all.  

an_lightAnd always included laying heavy juice.....usually with GOOD results!

 

But this is the absolute *WORST* in just over 27 years capping the sport.

Oy VEY!!  an_getaway an_smash

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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

adding OKLA STATE Ka-Boys -275   *BEST BET

Another Big Fat LOSER

And I expect Lou.Tech will fall as well

All favs.........

 

I've had losing weekends in college football before, as have we all.  

an_lightAnd always included laying heavy juice.....usually with GOOD results!

 

But this is the absolute *WORST* in just over 27 years capping the sport.

Oy VEY!!  an_getaway an_smash

 
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Posted: Sep. 16, 2023 - 11:52 PM ET #429

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: KSU WILDCATS -3.5  and  KSU WILDCATS -165  *Best Bet   2 more losses That one on an even game.....losing a game that should have gone to OT but for a last play 61 yd fluke FG rough start      lets get em back tonite  BEARCATS down 0 - 7 after only one play of the game!!!!     BEARCATS -325 to win su  *BEST BET Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: adding OKLA STATE Ka-Boys -275   *BEST BET Another Big Fat LOSER And I expect Lou.Tech will fall as well All favs.........   I've had losing weekends in college football before, as have we all.   And always included laying heavy juice.....usually with GOOD results!   But this is the absolute *WORST* in just over 27 years capping the sport. Oy VEY!!

And my LOBOS lose at home too .... sure!.......why not.........sigh........

 

For all those who suffered through a frustrating day of losing more than winning (inexplicably in many cases) well we just have to get up and walk it off because tomorrow is another day..... am I right?! peace_5

I mean, for next week we will have more stats and game info to work with.  Besides, we have to remember that a lot of our losses or wins  (ml or ATS) might well have been  "one-offs"  and those teams may not be near as bad/good as we might feel right now..... We have good weeks and bad weeks and so do football teams!

 

In the NFL tomorrow some team or two are going to have surprisingly unexpectedly GREAT performances, and one or two others are going to suffer "one of those days!"

 

 

 

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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: KSU WILDCATS -3.5  and  KSU WILDCATS -165  *Best Bet   2 more losses That one on an even game.....losing a game that should have gone to OT but for a last play 61 yd fluke FG rough start      lets get em back tonite  BEARCATS down 0 - 7 after only one play of the game!!!!     BEARCATS -325 to win su  *BEST BET Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: adding OKLA STATE Ka-Boys -275   *BEST BET Another Big Fat LOSER And I expect Lou.Tech will fall as well All favs.........   I've had losing weekends in college football before, as have we all.   And always included laying heavy juice.....usually with GOOD results!   But this is the absolute *WORST* in just over 27 years capping the sport. Oy VEY!!

And my LOBOS lose at home too .... sure!.......why not.........sigh........

 

For all those who suffered through a frustrating day of losing more than winning (inexplicably in many cases) well we just have to get up and walk it off because tomorrow is another day..... am I right?! peace_5

I mean, for next week we will have more stats and game info to work with.  Besides, we have to remember that a lot of our losses or wins  (ml or ATS) might well have been  "one-offs"  and those teams may not be near as bad/good as we might feel right now..... We have good weeks and bad weeks and so do football teams!

 

In the NFL tomorrow some team or two are going to have surprisingly unexpectedly GREAT performances, and one or two others are going to suffer "one of those days!"

 

 

 

 
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Posted: Sep. 17, 2023 - 12:44 AM ET #430

WOW!!  RAMS are outplaying the BUFFS "bigly!"

Early into the 3Q,  RAMS driving deep into BUFF territory already leading 21 - 14, but an unlucky fumble at the Buffs 11 halted more points against the fortunate BUFFS......who are playing at home.....

Stats:

RAMS 15 first downs, Buffs only 7

RAMS 315 net yds, Buffs only 108

2 Ts each

RAMS up 7 *DESPITE* a whopping 11 penalties for 128 yards (to benefit of Buffs)

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WOW!!  RAMS are outplaying the BUFFS "bigly!"

Early into the 3Q,  RAMS driving deep into BUFF territory already leading 21 - 14, but an unlucky fumble at the Buffs 11 halted more points against the fortunate BUFFS......who are playing at home.....

Stats:

RAMS 15 first downs, Buffs only 7

RAMS 315 net yds, Buffs only 108

2 Ts each

RAMS up 7 *DESPITE* a whopping 11 penalties for 128 yards (to benefit of Buffs)

 
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Posted: Sep. 17, 2023 - 12:49 AM ET #431

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

   WOW!!  RAMS are outplaying the BUFFS "bigly!" Early into the 3Q,  RAMS driving deep into BUFF territory already leading 21 - 14, but an unlucky fumble at the Buffs 11 halted more points against the fortunate BUFFS......who are playing at home..... Stats: RAMS 15 first downs, Buffs only 7 RAMS 315 net yds, Buffs only 108 2 Ts each RAMS up 7 *DESPITE* a whopping 11 penalties for 128 yards (to benefit of Buffs)
After Buffs go 3 and out, RAMS get the ball at BUFFS 43......attempted FG is blocked and BUFFS get another break to stay within one score despite being vastly OUTPLAYED.........I bet they squeak out an undeserved win somehow.....

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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

   WOW!!  RAMS are outplaying the BUFFS "bigly!" Early into the 3Q,  RAMS driving deep into BUFF territory already leading 21 - 14, but an unlucky fumble at the Buffs 11 halted more points against the fortunate BUFFS......who are playing at home..... Stats: RAMS 15 first downs, Buffs only 7 RAMS 315 net yds, Buffs only 108 2 Ts each RAMS up 7 *DESPITE* a whopping 11 penalties for 128 yards (to benefit of Buffs)
After Buffs go 3 and out, RAMS get the ball at BUFFS 43......attempted FG is blocked and BUFFS get another break to stay within one score despite being vastly OUTPLAYED.........I bet they squeak out an undeserved win somehow.....

 
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Posted: Sep. 17, 2023 - 12:57 AM ET #432

YOWZA!

Jayhawks are a HUGE 28 pt road fav over a weakass Nevada team, but tied 17 apiece with 3 mins left in 3Q.....

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YOWZA!

Jayhawks are a HUGE 28 pt road fav over a weakass Nevada team, but tied 17 apiece with 3 mins left in 3Q.....

 
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Posted: Sep. 17, 2023 - 1:05 AM ET #433

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

WOW!!  RAMS are outplaying the BUFFS "bigly!" Early into the 3Q,  RAMS driving deep into BUFF territory already leading 21 - 14, but an unlucky fumble at the Buffs 11 halted more points against the fortunate BUFFS......who are playing at home..... Stats: RAMS 15 first downs, Buffs only 7 RAMS 315 net yds, Buffs only 108 2 Ts each RAMS up 7 *DESPITE* a whopping 11 penalties for 128 yards (to benefit of Buffs) After Buffs go 3 and out, RAMS get the ball at BUFFS 43......attempted FG is blocked and BUFFS get another break to stay within one score despite being vastly OUTPLAYED.........I bet they squeak out an undeserved win somehow.....

End of 3Q....RAMS lead 21 - 14.....BUFFS ball 3rd & goal at RAMS 2.....

LIVE BET:   BUFFS -225    *BEST BET

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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

WOW!!  RAMS are outplaying the BUFFS "bigly!" Early into the 3Q,  RAMS driving deep into BUFF territory already leading 21 - 14, but an unlucky fumble at the Buffs 11 halted more points against the fortunate BUFFS......who are playing at home..... Stats: RAMS 15 first downs, Buffs only 7 RAMS 315 net yds, Buffs only 108 2 Ts each RAMS up 7 *DESPITE* a whopping 11 penalties for 128 yards (to benefit of Buffs) After Buffs go 3 and out, RAMS get the ball at BUFFS 43......attempted FG is blocked and BUFFS get another break to stay within one score despite being vastly OUTPLAYED.........I bet they squeak out an undeserved win somehow.....

End of 3Q....RAMS lead 21 - 14.....BUFFS ball 3rd & goal at RAMS 2.....

LIVE BET:   BUFFS -225    *BEST BET

 
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Posted: Sep. 17, 2023 - 1:10 AM ET #434

Of course I could still quite easily LOSE that bet......HOME favs have been under-performing all day long....

 

.....and right on Q the BUFFS **FAIL** to punch it in.........of course.......

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Of course I could still quite easily LOSE that bet......HOME favs have been under-performing all day long....

 

.....and right on Q the BUFFS **FAIL** to punch it in.........of course.......

 
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Posted: Sep. 17, 2023 - 1:20 AM ET #435

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

End of 3Q....RAMS lead 21 - 14.....BUFFS ball 3rd & goal at RAMS 2..... LIVE BET:   BUFFS -225    *BEST BETOf course I could still quite easily LOSE that bet......HOME favs have been under-performing all day long....   .....and right on Q the BUFFS **FAIL** to punch it in.........of course.......

Of course, right after Sanders refused to go for it and settled for a FG, the RAMS get the ball and drive it downfield for another TD.........

28 - 17 RAMS with 11 mins left.............. new_poop

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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

End of 3Q....RAMS lead 21 - 14.....BUFFS ball 3rd & goal at RAMS 2..... LIVE BET:   BUFFS -225    *BEST BETOf course I could still quite easily LOSE that bet......HOME favs have been under-performing all day long....   .....and right on Q the BUFFS **FAIL** to punch it in.........of course.......

Of course, right after Sanders refused to go for it and settled for a FG, the RAMS get the ball and drive it downfield for another TD.........

28 - 17 RAMS with 11 mins left.............. new_poop

 
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Posted: Sep. 18, 2023 - 1:03 PM ET #436

BUFFS comeback win over instate rival CSU in OT was electrifying for the home fans to be sure, but they got EXTREMELY LUCKY.

BUFFS were outplayed right through to the middle of the 4th Q AND gained the "home cookin'" officiating to the detriment of the RAMS by +95 free yards!!.....and BUFFS also needed a net of TWO extra lucky turnovers in their favor to escape with their lucky win against a very lowly rated RAMS squad....

 

Where they were UNLUCKY, is the injury to incredible 2-way athlete Travis Hunter will sideline him for AT LEAST the next 3 games and possibly longer.

Judging from the hit he took on replays, I'm betting he has severely bruised ribs......this is a significant loss to the BUFFS....The early line on OREGON at home is -20.5 and I am leaning that way for sure as I believe the "cinderella" BUFFS luck has come to an abrupt end and reality will kick in at OREGON

 

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BUFFS comeback win over instate rival CSU in OT was electrifying for the home fans to be sure, but they got EXTREMELY LUCKY.

BUFFS were outplayed right through to the middle of the 4th Q AND gained the "home cookin'" officiating to the detriment of the RAMS by +95 free yards!!.....and BUFFS also needed a net of TWO extra lucky turnovers in their favor to escape with their lucky win against a very lowly rated RAMS squad....

 

Where they were UNLUCKY, is the injury to incredible 2-way athlete Travis Hunter will sideline him for AT LEAST the next 3 games and possibly longer.

Judging from the hit he took on replays, I'm betting he has severely bruised ribs......this is a significant loss to the BUFFS....The early line on OREGON at home is -20.5 and I am leaning that way for sure as I believe the "cinderella" BUFFS luck has come to an abrupt end and reality will kick in at OREGON

 

 
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Posted: Sep. 18, 2023 - 1:21 PM ET #437

WEEK 4 (Sept.23) early bet:

OREGON -13 -270  (alt-lines @Bet365)   *BEST BET

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WEEK 4 (Sept.23) early bet:

OREGON -13 -270  (alt-lines @Bet365)   *BEST BET

 
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Posted: Sep. 18, 2023 - 1:52 PM ET #438

UTSA?

Playing WITHOUT starting QB Frank Harris, UTSA was outplayed AT HOME, - and lost by 8 pts - to a significantly lower rated opp on Friday.

This week they hit the ROAD to face an angry ranked team that just lost a tightly contested road game....I expect the Volunteers will be looking for retribution "bigly"

 

Lean to Tennessee

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UTSA?

Playing WITHOUT starting QB Frank Harris, UTSA was outplayed AT HOME, - and lost by 8 pts - to a significantly lower rated opp on Friday.

This week they hit the ROAD to face an angry ranked team that just lost a tightly contested road game....I expect the Volunteers will be looking for retribution "bigly"

 

Lean to Tennessee

 
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Posted: Sep. 18, 2023 - 3:05 PM ET #439

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

UTSA?

Playing WITHOUT starting QB Frank Harris, UTSA was outplayed AT HOME, - and lost by 8 pts - to a significantly lower rated opp on Friday.

This week they hit the ROAD to face an angry ranked team that just lost a tightly contested road game....I expect the Volunteers will be looking for retribution "bigly"

Lean to Tennessee

adding for Sept 23:  

VOLUNTEERS -13 -250    *BEST BET

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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

UTSA?

Playing WITHOUT starting QB Frank Harris, UTSA was outplayed AT HOME, - and lost by 8 pts - to a significantly lower rated opp on Friday.

This week they hit the ROAD to face an angry ranked team that just lost a tightly contested road game....I expect the Volunteers will be looking for retribution "bigly"

Lean to Tennessee

adding for Sept 23:  

VOLUNTEERS -13 -250    *BEST BET

 
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Posted: Sep. 19, 2023 - 1:05 AM ET #440

BTW I expect to have several more than the two *BEST BETS posted above....

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BTW I expect to have several more than the two *BEST BETS posted above....

 
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Posted: Sep. 19, 2023 - 5:54 PM ET #441

Looking at the early injury reports it almost appears as if the whole REBELS receiving corps is limping on various injuries paint_help

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Looking at the early injury reports it almost appears as if the whole REBELS receiving corps is limping on various injuries paint_help

 
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Posted: Sep. 19, 2023 - 6:17 PM ET #442

@fubah2

That's part of the reason I'm leaning Bama. Along with the low public perception after their last 2 games. But the spread is right on my number. I'm still looking for a few rogue 6's with some reasonable juice. But I have a feeling I won't see it with it being Bama. Good luck this week. 

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@fubah2

That's part of the reason I'm leaning Bama. Along with the low public perception after their last 2 games. But the spread is right on my number. I'm still looking for a few rogue 6's with some reasonable juice. But I have a feeling I won't see it with it being Bama. Good luck this week. 

 
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Posted: Sep. 19, 2023 - 7:39 PM ET #443

Quote Originally Posted by DrStrangelove:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

BTW I expect to have several more than the two *BEST BETS posted above....Looking at the early injury reports it almost appears as if the whole REBELS receiving corps is limping on various injuries

 

@fubah2

That's part of the reason I'm leaning Bama. Along with the low public perception after their last 2 games. But the spread is right on my number. I'm still looking for a few rogue 6's with some reasonable juice. But I have a feeling I won't see it with it being Bama. Good luck this week.

@DrStrangelove

Agreed! REBELS receivers are indeed a question mark as to how effective they will be playing with injuries. I am sure they will all suit up though......BUT I believe Saban & staff will have the squad fully prepared to meet this challenge after two sub-par performances, and I would consider it a fluke if BAMA loses 2 consecutive home games.   

I expect the TIDE wins outright - figuring about a 70% chance they do - but it might be close regarding ATS cover on a line of 7 or even 6 .....maybe.....

I will likely be taking the TIDE buying off pts to 4 or less.... 

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Quote Originally Posted by DrStrangelove:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

BTW I expect to have several more than the two *BEST BETS posted above....Looking at the early injury reports it almost appears as if the whole REBELS receiving corps is limping on various injuries

 

@fubah2

That's part of the reason I'm leaning Bama. Along with the low public perception after their last 2 games. But the spread is right on my number. I'm still looking for a few rogue 6's with some reasonable juice. But I have a feeling I won't see it with it being Bama. Good luck this week.

@DrStrangelove

Agreed! REBELS receivers are indeed a question mark as to how effective they will be playing with injuries. I am sure they will all suit up though......BUT I believe Saban & staff will have the squad fully prepared to meet this challenge after two sub-par performances, and I would consider it a fluke if BAMA loses 2 consecutive home games.   

I expect the TIDE wins outright - figuring about a 70% chance they do - but it might be close regarding ATS cover on a line of 7 or even 6 .....maybe.....

I will likely be taking the TIDE buying off pts to 4 or less.... 

 
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Posted: Sep. 20, 2023 - 7:17 AM ET #444

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

adding for Sept 23:   VOLUNTEERS -13 -250    *BEST BETBTW I expect to have several more than the two *BEST BETS posted above....Looking at the early injury reports it almost appears as if the whole REBELS receiving corps is limping on various injuries @fubah2 That's part of the reason I'm leaning Bama. Along with the low public perception after their last 2 games. But the spread is right on my number. I'm still looking for a few rogue 6's with some reasonable juice. But I have a feeling I won't see it with it being Bama. Good luck this week.  Quote Originally Posted by DrStrangelove: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: BTW I expect to have several more than the two *BEST BETS posted above....Looking at the early injury reports it almost appears as if the whole REBELS receiving corps is limping on various injuries   @fubah2 That's part of the reason I'm leaning Bama. Along with the low public perception after their last 2 games. But the spread is right on my number. I'm still looking for a few rogue 6's with some reasonable juice. But I have a feeling I won't see it with it being Bama. Good luck this week. @DrStrangelove Agreed! REBELS receivers are indeed a question mark as to how effective they will be playing with injuries. I am sure they will all suit up though......BUT I believe Saban & staff will have the squad fully prepared to meet this challenge after two sub-par performances, and I would consider it a fluke if BAMA loses 2 consecutive home games.    I expect the TIDE wins outright - figuring about a 70% chance they do - but it might be close regarding ATS cover on a line of 7 or even 6 .....maybe..... I will likely be taking the TIDE buying off pts to 4 or less....

Hmmmm upon further review,   the top receivers for the REBELS will be active and BAMA is vulnerable to a very VERY close game that could go either way....so I am backing off my lean to the TIDE......

 

 

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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

adding for Sept 23:   VOLUNTEERS -13 -250    *BEST BETBTW I expect to have several more than the two *BEST BETS posted above....Looking at the early injury reports it almost appears as if the whole REBELS receiving corps is limping on various injuries @fubah2 That's part of the reason I'm leaning Bama. Along with the low public perception after their last 2 games. But the spread is right on my number. I'm still looking for a few rogue 6's with some reasonable juice. But I have a feeling I won't see it with it being Bama. Good luck this week.  Quote Originally Posted by DrStrangelove: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: BTW I expect to have several more than the two *BEST BETS posted above....Looking at the early injury reports it almost appears as if the whole REBELS receiving corps is limping on various injuries   @fubah2 That's part of the reason I'm leaning Bama. Along with the low public perception after their last 2 games. But the spread is right on my number. I'm still looking for a few rogue 6's with some reasonable juice. But I have a feeling I won't see it with it being Bama. Good luck this week. @DrStrangelove Agreed! REBELS receivers are indeed a question mark as to how effective they will be playing with injuries. I am sure they will all suit up though......BUT I believe Saban & staff will have the squad fully prepared to meet this challenge after two sub-par performances, and I would consider it a fluke if BAMA loses 2 consecutive home games.    I expect the TIDE wins outright - figuring about a 70% chance they do - but it might be close regarding ATS cover on a line of 7 or even 6 .....maybe..... I will likely be taking the TIDE buying off pts to 4 or less....

Hmmmm upon further review,   the top receivers for the REBELS will be active and BAMA is vulnerable to a very VERY close game that could go either way....so I am backing off my lean to the TIDE......

 

 

 
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Posted: Sep. 20, 2023 - 1:49 PM ET #445

I am not convinced the EAGLES are as good as they looked when playing at home vs the Seminoles last weekend.  One off.

Louisville very likely to bring them down from the clouds.

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I am not convinced the EAGLES are as good as they looked when playing at home vs the Seminoles last weekend.  One off.

Louisville very likely to bring them down from the clouds.

 
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Posted: Sep. 20, 2023 - 3:39 PM ET #446

Very interesting game if RISING is ready to go against UCLA this weekend.

But I am leaning toward the UTES  su regardless.

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Very interesting game if RISING is ready to go against UCLA this weekend.

But I am leaning toward the UTES  su regardless.

 
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Posted: Sep. 20, 2023 - 9:39 PM ET #447

Auburn @ Tx A&M  looks to me to be an even matchup and a likely coin-flipper.

With a line of +7.5 for the Tigers   it looks tempting here....

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Auburn @ Tx A&M  looks to me to be an even matchup and a likely coin-flipper.

With a line of +7.5 for the Tigers   it looks tempting here....

 
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Posted: Sep. 22, 2023 - 12:21 AM ET #448

WHEW......got a bit of a lucky break of sorts.....

Was leaning to place a bet on Chanticleers on moneyline of -295,   but forgot about it while doing writeups supporting my *BEST BET on the NINERS....

Woulda lost .... "bigly"     bigsmile    an_angel

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WHEW......got a bit of a lucky break of sorts.....

Was leaning to place a bet on Chanticleers on moneyline of -295,   but forgot about it while doing writeups supporting my *BEST BET on the NINERS....

Woulda lost .... "bigly"     bigsmile    an_angel

 
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Posted: Sep. 22, 2023 - 6:56 PM ET #449

WEEK 4 CFB, Sept 22-23

Purdue +10.5 -210    (alt-lines @Bet365)     *BEST BET

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WEEK 4 CFB, Sept 22-23

Purdue +10.5 -210    (alt-lines @Bet365)     *BEST BET

 
 
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Posted: Sep. 22, 2023 - 7:21 PM ET #450

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

WEEK 4 CFB, Sept 22-23 Purdue +10.5 -210    (alt-lines @Bet365)     *BEST BET

Yikes....Purdue goes 3 & out and Badgers takeover at midfield, then drive it in methodically for the first score.

 

While I don't believe Purdue wins this one on homefield, I do think they can and should keep it close...

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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

WEEK 4 CFB, Sept 22-23 Purdue +10.5 -210    (alt-lines @Bet365)     *BEST BET

Yikes....Purdue goes 3 & out and Badgers takeover at midfield, then drive it in methodically for the first score.

 

While I don't believe Purdue wins this one on homefield, I do think they can and should keep it close...

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