BRIDGE PLAYS WEEK 10

WK9 RECAP
BP 0-0, YTD 8-11
SM 1-2, YTD 25-21

SMALLER
E.CAROLINA -4 
ARIZONA +4.5 
MICH / RUT U46.5 

Slow week .. halloween .. other junk going on .. no BP's and kinda glad I didn't punch one up although the likely candidate was ECU -3.5 .. surprising line with a decent team and solid D Front .. surprised that line moved how it did Temple is a sad sack of crap .. 

Fun bets .. 

Total whiff on Kent State .. shoulda played into the horrible spot for them not against .. right idea with the under .. man o man what kinda odds could we get for Sac State -9.5 and under 44 or something huh??!! .. massive .. 

Wake .. right idea with WAKE D dominating .. had a bunch of WAKE - a bunch but landslide went AVALANCHE and Wake has been piling on in their games .. good for them but yeah missed out on the fun bet odds banger .. 

ECU .. aaaagh .. we needed one more point to hit paydirt .. super under in hand and just needed ECU to go -9.5 or better I feel like we had a chance to cash that one for sure and coulda easily had the others for a real fun payday .. eh .. next time .. 

FUTURES ROUNDUP .. 

SSN WINS
UCLA OVER 5.5 -144 
WK3 TEXAS A&M UNDER 8.5 -152 
WK2 W.KENTUCKY UNDER 6.5 -130 
BOISE STATE OVER 7.5 -160  
SAC STATE UNDER 4.5 -111 
TULSA OVER 5.5 -120 
UMASS OVER 5.5 -144 
FRESNO ST OVER 6.5 +110 
COLORADO STATE OVER 3.5 -150 
IOWA STATE UNDER 4.5 +130 
WK2 NEVADA OVER 5.5 -130 
MARYLAND O4.5 -210 

SSN FUTURES

CONF WINNER
ARMY 8-1 - THIN ICE
FRESNO STATE 8-1  
WK9 N'WESTERN 100-1 - THIN ICE
TULSA 50-1
UMASS 50-1
WK8 W.KENTUCKY 25-1  

MAKE CHAMP GAME 
UMASS 50-1 
CHARLOTTE 200-1 

MAKE PLAYOFFS 
NDSU 10-1
UMASS 250-1
AIR FORCE 40-1
FRESNO STATE 30-1
JVILLE STATE 100-1

SSN CONF PASS YDS LEADER 
STEVE ANGELLI 14-1 (ACC)
MASON MCKENZIE 100-1 (ACC)
KENNY MINCHEY 100-1 (SEC)
JOHN MATEER 18-1 (SEC)

HEISMAN
WK8 MALACHI TONEY 50-1 
DARIAN MENSAH 20-1  
LJ MARTIN 250-1 
AHMAD HARDY 100-1 
TURBO RICHARD 300-1 
HUSAN LONGSTREET 500-1 

NATTY

LSU 20-1 

SSN WINS TALK .. 

UCLA first play of the year .. big fun one .. 6 up 6 down .. Shame I didn't post my more fun play for you .. give you a hint .. it was 125-1 and now its maybe 6-1 and they're taking the cash out pretty seriously at this point .. I mean at this point I should know better and just post every wacky long odds conference banger I play no matter how ridiculous .. but be honest .. you weren't tailin it lol .. 

2 IN THE BAG .. 

3 SHADES DROPPED ..  shades are droppin and the parlay for any of these to lose is probably like 1 million -1 for each .. WKY only one with a bit of a chance to fail but they need to go on an epic run .. if they did I think good chance they'd make the CUSA champ game and then we'd revive that play .. 

4 POPCORN .. Supposed to be tossups but as it happens I still lean toward a win for each of these .. tulsa needs 2 more and we have FAU / Charlotte at home but can get a win @tulane this week and pretty much lock us up .. and maaaan Tulsa had 3 ultra close last play losses so far with UNT OT 2XP play and L's to Navy up 17 or so .. then Army was a straight up miracle loss .. power of the play is we're in decent shape .. UMASS started 4-0 now 4-4 after losing POP for a few games .. still had 2 last play losses w out the key to the whole play .. got him back now with him back now and still have the MAJOR goal for umass of landing a bowl bid and have Ball State and Akron at home, @BG, @Toledo, think we'll get there ...  Fresno retarded loss vs SDSU was shameful .. re-asserted themselves last week and think great chance to close this out and have the flex non-con at home in a get it back spot vs SDSU I believe .. Fres can still make the champ game too they need to win out and for Boise to as well .. Boise has some major motivation to do just that ... COLO St needs 1 win but is the toughest spot here Boise @WAZZOO, @FRES .. they are likely to get Texas State in the finale at home .. tough draw but horrible spot for Bobs in the cold on the road and doesn't count for conference ... legit good chance to win the finale but yeah I'd say close to 50/50 unless we really see RAMS improve their D in some way .. 

3 HELP!! .. Nevada is probably toast at 5.5 .. I posted that number my bigger play is 4.5 which was not widely available .. 4.5 is possible but I'm gunna be counting 5.5 as a loss unless something dramatic happens .. Iowa St we're sitting on the cusp now .. really wanted an L last week .. team has been so much scrappier than expected and done so in pretty much every game this year .. Maryland has been one of the biggest disappointments of the year and continue to be .. shoulda won last week .. very very outside chance still but .. yeah .. 

PROJECTING .. HIGH .. 10-2 .. LOW .. 7-5

I mean for having a bit of a botched off-season this feels pretty good .. probably lands 8-4 or 9-3 .. 

FUTURES .. 

CONF 

Yeah didn't make as many plays this year ..

ARMY has had actually a better run than expected after seeing their defense staaaaanks .. but truth be told I don't think there's a true to form head and shoulders better than everyone team in the AAC this year and while Army needs a few things to go their way they can still make the champ gm .. I think there's still room for a play in this league but hard to say who exactly .. 

FRESNO .. BIIIIG win last week .. Need BULLDOGS to win out and for Boise to win out and we're at least punching a ticket for a rematch vs BOISE .. yeah we're gunna lose likely as gm will be at Boise but we can at least get our money back for this .. not bad play IMO .. didn't see Boise being a totally unstoppable force this year .. it happens .. 

N'WESTERN .. took 100-1 last week and the hope was beat Oregon and Iowa and if Ohio State loses we have a true nice hedge shot vs Ohio State and have something fun left over to root for if NU can close the season out / make the champ gm .. CATS up 20-6 last week blew it on the road .. we still have a shot here to make it we need OSU to lose to NU and one more Oregon, @Nebraska, Michigan .. the schedule is very tough down the stretch .. we'd also need UCLA to have 2 losses which I do think is possible .. look at their schedule so far it rachets up big time with tough roadies and big games .. can NU beat Indy in the champ gm .. if Indy is not healthy its a definite yes .. 

HEISMAN

MALACHI .. Hope you caught my note the other week! .. 50-1 at MGM and coulda bagged this dude for 25-1 at a few other shops .. didn't know he'd VAULT to top of the charts but I did expect him to make a trip to NY if OSU took on water .. 

MENSAH .. Played that as soon as the transfer orders came in pre-ssn and caught it 20x before it dropped .. major dude hasn't disappointed us at all .. 

ADD: DEVON DAMPIER 125-1 .. Posted note in the ssn thread .. the odds are long for a reason and basically needs to win out, look good, big showing this week and dazzle us in the champ gm .. we also need a few others to get out the way .. namely Miami lose, OSU doesn't win B10 champ gm etc .. lot to happen but think he's better than 125x given the assumptions going on right now, think good chance he's in the top 5 or so after this week if he looks the part ..

NATTY 

LSU 20-1 .. one of my first bets .. and after an ugly loss they are now quietly climbing back up the SP+ and looking like a potential contender with a legit defense .. offense still kinda needs to click .. big home gm vs Bama if they do their thing then we'll be talking more about them ..  

good luck Bridge