CFB 12/13 3:00 PM (453) Army vs. (454) Navy +38.5 un -110
Historically, service-academy option games skew under due to clock bleed and limited possessions, and your early-down numbers back that: Army’s offense is negative early-down EPA while their defense is roughly neutral; Navy’s offense is great early but will also keep the ball on the ground, reinforcing long drives and fewer total plays
Bucked Up LA Bowl
CFB 12/13 8:00 PM (197) Boise State +10 (-110)
Public perception and market movement have pushed Washington to a “premium” number that outpaces what power ratings, efficiency metrics, and bowl dynamics justify, while Boise owns a good defense and a competent offense that fit the profile of an underdog that hangs inside one score. +10 captures that mispricing
GOOD LUCK & WIN A LOT OF ZITI
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
TIS THE SEASON TO BOWL
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE- LETS HAVE A HUGE BOWL SEASON
SATURDAY DECEMBER 13TH
CFB 12/13 3:00 PM (453) Army vs. (454) Navy +38.5 un -110
Historically, service-academy option games skew under due to clock bleed and limited possessions, and your early-down numbers back that: Army’s offense is negative early-down EPA while their defense is roughly neutral; Navy’s offense is great early but will also keep the ball on the ground, reinforcing long drives and fewer total plays
Bucked Up LA Bowl
CFB 12/13 8:00 PM (197) Boise State +10 (-110)
Public perception and market movement have pushed Washington to a “premium” number that outpaces what power ratings, efficiency metrics, and bowl dynamics justify, while Boise owns a good defense and a competent offense that fit the profile of an underdog that hangs inside one score. +10 captures that mispricing
VETERANS BOWL - CRAMTON BOWL CFB 12/16 9:00 PM (199) Troy vs. (200) Jacksonville State +49 ov -110 Tonight’s over makes sense because both offenses create quality scoring chances while both defenses give up plenty of them. Jacksonville State’s offense is efficient (43.6% success rate, strong rush success, and 52.7% quality drive ratio with solid points per quality drive), and Troy’s game logs show multiple spike outputs when the passing game hits, especially in higher-tempo Sun Belt matchups.
GOOD LUCK & WIN A LOT OF ZITI
BOWL SEASON 1-1-0 -.10
VETERANS BOWL - CRAMTON BOWL CFB 12/16 9:00 PM (199) Troy vs. (200) Jacksonville State +49 ov -110 Tonight’s over makes sense because both offenses create quality scoring chances while both defenses give up plenty of them. Jacksonville State’s offense is efficient (43.6% success rate, strong rush success, and 52.7% quality drive ratio with solid points per quality drive), and Troy’s game logs show multiple spike outputs when the passing game hits, especially in higher-tempo Sun Belt matchups.
232 BYU (BYU / Georgia Tech) Over 28½ -125 for Game 233 Miami Ohio (Fresno State / Miami Ohio) Under 17½ -120 for Game 235 North Texas (San Diego State / North Texas) Over 28½ -120 for Game 237 Virginia (Missouri / Virginia) Under 20½ -115 for Game 239 LSU (Houston / LSU) Under 20½ -110 for Game
GOOD LUCK & WIN A LOT OF ZITI
232 BYU (BYU / Georgia Tech) Over 28½ -125 for Game 233 Miami Ohio (Fresno State / Miami Ohio) Under 17½ -120 for Game 235 North Texas (San Diego State / North Texas) Over 28½ -120 for Game 237 Virginia (Missouri / Virginia) Under 20½ -115 for Game 239 LSU (Houston / LSU) Under 20½ -110 for Game
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