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    All Forums | College Football

    Best way to bet

    123 Next Last»
    Gamebreaker23
    PeAceMaKer7690
    steponaduck
    crafty_cockney
    TRAIN69
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    123 Next Last»
     
    Gamebreaker23
    Gamebreaker23
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2021 - 12:30 PM ET #1

    4 picks out of the whole entire schedule between every sport put down whatever you want pays 14:1.

     

    if you can’t find 4 picks you feel almost certain about, I don’t know what to say.  

    start of like that, see how they are doing, and make more bets accordingly.  

    4 picks a day is not very difficult though.  

    just my 2 cents.

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    4 picks out of the whole entire schedule between every sport put down whatever you want pays 14:1.

     

    if you can’t find 4 picks you feel almost certain about, I don’t know what to say.  

    start of like that, see how they are doing, and make more bets accordingly.  

    4 picks a day is not very difficult though.  

    just my 2 cents.

     
    PeAceMaKer7690
    PeAceMaKer7690
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2021 - 12:34 PM ET #2

    good point. but there is an advantage to being a specialist on a sport / conference. I focus on NCAA football. so I have 30 games in one day. so for me, i have to do three days in one. but i like your strategy. 14-1 pays often enough it is fun and it costs little enough it doesn't hurt. 

    Reply

    good point. but there is an advantage to being a specialist on a sport / conference. I focus on NCAA football. so I have 30 games in one day. so for me, i have to do three days in one. but i like your strategy. 14-1 pays often enough it is fun and it costs little enough it doesn't hurt. 

     
    Gamebreaker23
    Gamebreaker23
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2021 - 12:36 PM ET #3

    For example...I’m pretty sure Houston will win tonight.  There is one pick, only need 3 more.

    Iowa vs. Maryland should be a good game, I don’t know which way to go yet.  However, I really like the over.  That’s pick #2.

    If I had to lean one way in that game I’d go Iowa -3.  There’s pick 3.  

    Try and find one more pick for this 4, throw something on it, and possibly do another 4 teamer with 4 completely different picks.

    Good luck today all.

    Reply

    For example...I’m pretty sure Houston will win tonight.  There is one pick, only need 3 more.

    Iowa vs. Maryland should be a good game, I don’t know which way to go yet.  However, I really like the over.  That’s pick #2.

    If I had to lean one way in that game I’d go Iowa -3.  There’s pick 3.  

    Try and find one more pick for this 4, throw something on it, and possibly do another 4 teamer with 4 completely different picks.

    Good luck today all.

     
    Gamebreaker23
    Gamebreaker23
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2021 - 12:37 PM ET #4

    @PeAceMaKer7690

     Exactly.  Good luck in the NCAA’s.  If you have experience please let me know about the picks listed above.  Thank you.

    Reply

    @PeAceMaKer7690

     Exactly.  Good luck in the NCAA’s.  If you have experience please let me know about the picks listed above.  Thank you.

     
    PeAceMaKer7690
    PeAceMaKer7690
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2021 - 12:44 PM ET #5

    well i am on Maryland, but this game is interseting. Iowa is ranked 4 or 5 and Maryland isn't even top 25. But Maryland has explosive numbers this year with their outstanding QB. I always go by the numbers and prioritize actual points and yards versus schedule difficulty and talent. So I am on Maryland. But BOL! Iowa has good numbers too, I just like whenever I get points with a good team. I would point out, when you take an over/under and a team in the same game you often get a bad +number.

    Reply

    well i am on Maryland, but this game is interseting. Iowa is ranked 4 or 5 and Maryland isn't even top 25. But Maryland has explosive numbers this year with their outstanding QB. I always go by the numbers and prioritize actual points and yards versus schedule difficulty and talent. So I am on Maryland. But BOL! Iowa has good numbers too, I just like whenever I get points with a good team. I would point out, when you take an over/under and a team in the same game you often get a bad +number.

     
    Gamebreaker23
    Gamebreaker23
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2021 - 1:01 PM ET #6

    Okay thanks....if you think Maryland and Iowa have good stats maybe just the over is the play?  I  going to keep on working this.

    Reply

    Okay thanks....if you think Maryland and Iowa have good stats maybe just the over is the play?  I  going to keep on working this.

     
    PeAceMaKer7690
    PeAceMaKer7690
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2021 - 1:02 PM ET #7

    @Gamebreaker23

     Iowa has good D stats, not good O stats. This could easily be a low scoring game. Iowa has given up 11 ppg and Maryland 14ppg... But Iowa offense has scored 29ppg vs Maryland 37ppg. Both teams are 4-0. Meaning both teams have more offensive points and less defensive points. Anything is possible.

    Reply

    @Gamebreaker23

     Iowa has good D stats, not good O stats. This could easily be a low scoring game. Iowa has given up 11 ppg and Maryland 14ppg... But Iowa offense has scored 29ppg vs Maryland 37ppg. Both teams are 4-0. Meaning both teams have more offensive points and less defensive points. Anything is possible.

     
    steponaduck
    steponaduck
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2021 - 1:16 PM ET #8

    @Gamebreaker23

     you sound so stupid. please post tickets to even one 4 team parlay that you have won in the last 21 days...

     

    peace_5

    Until the wallet is full.
    Reply

    @Gamebreaker23

     you sound so stupid. please post tickets to even one 4 team parlay that you have won in the last 21 days...

     

    peace_5

     
    crafty_cockney
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2021 - 1:33 PM ET #9

    I have heard a lot of shit on this site over the years but this conversation has gone into the record books as the biggest pile!

    Reply

    I have heard a lot of shit on this site over the years but this conversation has gone into the record books as the biggest pile!

     
    PeAceMaKer7690
    PeAceMaKer7690
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2021 - 1:44 PM ET #10

    @crafty_cockney

     let the Iowa Maryland game prove you right or wrong. As far as 14-1 odds hitting one in fourteen times... that is pretty self explanatory. Even a blind monkey could get a 14-1 parlay to hit every 14 tries.

    Reply

    @crafty_cockney

     let the Iowa Maryland game prove you right or wrong. As far as 14-1 odds hitting one in fourteen times... that is pretty self explanatory. Even a blind monkey could get a 14-1 parlay to hit every 14 tries.

     
    PeAceMaKer7690
    PeAceMaKer7690
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2021 - 1:48 PM ET #11

    @steponaduck

     he is talking ATS. why does this shock you? I have a 4 team parlay hit every week. they tend to hit as often as the odds pay, or slightly better. as does any gambling bet. not sure why this would surprise you. as long as you pick at at least 14 14-1 bets (that are independent of eachother0, you are gonna hit one nearly 100% of the time. calling someone out on this is like calling someone out who claims they win 50% of their sports bets. it's a laughable thing to call out.

    Reply

    @steponaduck

     he is talking ATS. why does this shock you? I have a 4 team parlay hit every week. they tend to hit as often as the odds pay, or slightly better. as does any gambling bet. not sure why this would surprise you. as long as you pick at at least 14 14-1 bets (that are independent of eachother0, you are gonna hit one nearly 100% of the time. calling someone out on this is like calling someone out who claims they win 50% of their sports bets. it's a laughable thing to call out.

     
    TRAIN69
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2021 - 1:49 PM ET #12

    an_roll_laugh

     

    Im not one to talk bad about parlays, but picking 4 winners a day is way harder than it looks. You would only have 2 hit 2 per month to break even @ 14-1.....Easy enough right?

     

    Yet, I dont see Vegas boarding up its sportsbooks anytime soon.....

    Reply

    an_roll_laugh

     

    Im not one to talk bad about parlays, but picking 4 winners a day is way harder than it looks. You would only have 2 hit 2 per month to break even @ 14-1.....Easy enough right?

     

    Yet, I dont see Vegas boarding up its sportsbooks anytime soon.....

     
    steponaduck
    steponaduck
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2021 - 1:51 PM ET #13

    @PeAceMaKer7690

     please post one 4 team parlay you have ever hit. 

     

    please show us.

    Until the wallet is full.
    Reply

    @PeAceMaKer7690

     please post one 4 team parlay you have ever hit. 

     

    please show us.

     
    steponaduck
    steponaduck
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2021 - 1:53 PM ET #14

    @PeAceMaKer7690

     you sound just as foolish as the other guy...but I will humor you.

     

    please post your 4 team parlay tickets that you consistently hit every week. 

    post the tickets, and I might start to believe what you are saying...because i have been gambling quite successfully for 15 years and no one who actually profits at this bets 4 team parlays every week, and then calls them "easy"

     

    my thoughts: lie

    Until the wallet is full.
    Reply

    @PeAceMaKer7690

     you sound just as foolish as the other guy...but I will humor you.

     

    please post your 4 team parlay tickets that you consistently hit every week. 

    post the tickets, and I might start to believe what you are saying...because i have been gambling quite successfully for 15 years and no one who actually profits at this bets 4 team parlays every week, and then calls them "easy"

     

    my thoughts: lie

     
    steponaduck
    steponaduck
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2021 - 1:54 PM ET #15

    @Gamebreaker23

     show us... post your winning tickets using 4 team-ers 

     

    an_popcorn

    Until the wallet is full.
    Reply

    @Gamebreaker23

     show us... post your winning tickets using 4 team-ers 

     

    an_popcorn

     
    crafty_cockney
    crafty_cockney
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2021 - 2:27 PM ET #16

    Have you worked out that there are 70 combinations in a 4 team parlay 

    you have one combination the book maker has the other 69 this does not hit one in every 14 times

    Reply

    Have you worked out that there are 70 combinations in a 4 team parlay 

    you have one combination the book maker has the other 69 this does not hit one in every 14 times

     
    Gamebreaker23
    Gamebreaker23
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2021 - 2:37 PM ET #17

    It’s not that hard to make picks.  I’ll post one after I win it tonight.  You’re just saying it can’t be done.  I got this, if you think Vegas or wherever your sportsbook is based out of, mine is New Hampshire I use draft kings so it’s completely legal.  If you think getting 4 picks is hard I don’t know how you gamble.  What do you pick one play per day?

    Reply

    It’s not that hard to make picks.  I’ll post one after I win it tonight.  You’re just saying it can’t be done.  I got this, if you think Vegas or wherever your sportsbook is based out of, mine is New Hampshire I use draft kings so it’s completely legal.  If you think getting 4 picks is hard I don’t know how you gamble.  What do you pick one play per day?

     
    crafty_cockney
    crafty_cockney
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2021 - 2:43 PM ET #18

    Yes i do think getting 4 pics is hard !!!!

    if you got 4 for the weekend can you tell me them please?

    Reply

    Yes i do think getting 4 pics is hard !!!!

    if you got 4 for the weekend can you tell me them please?

     
    Fp0688
    Fp0688
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2021 - 2:44 PM ET #19

     

    @Gamebreaker23

     Damn I feel dumb.  How do I upload a picture here ? I need to show him 4 team parley from 2 weeks ago.. too long ago right? Does a 3 team parley counts from NFL? Cuz I have 2 tickets I can gladly upload once I figure that out .. it's hard but not impossible.   

    Reply

     

    @Gamebreaker23

     Damn I feel dumb.  How do I upload a picture here ? I need to show him 4 team parley from 2 weeks ago.. too long ago right? Does a 3 team parley counts from NFL? Cuz I have 2 tickets I can gladly upload once I figure that out .. it's hard but not impossible.   

     
    crafty_cockney
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2021 - 2:48 PM ET #20

    We all know it’s not impossible that is not the argument what we are saying is that you will lose more than you win

    Reply

    We all know it’s not impossible that is not the argument what we are saying is that you will lose more than you win

     
    PeAceMaKer7690
    PeAceMaKer7690
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2021 - 2:55 PM ET #21

    @crafty_cockney

     are you talking about ties? i mean that obviously is where the house gets the edge. but that doesn't hurt the stats more than 1%.

    1/2*1/2*1/2*1/2 = 1/16 - 1% (account for ties) = 1/16. but as a 55-60% winner lifetime, you get to increase odds closer to 1/14

    Reply

    @crafty_cockney

     are you talking about ties? i mean that obviously is where the house gets the edge. but that doesn't hurt the stats more than 1%.

    1/2*1/2*1/2*1/2 = 1/16 - 1% (account for ties) = 1/16. but as a 55-60% winner lifetime, you get to increase odds closer to 1/14

     
    Vegas_local
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2021 - 2:59 PM ET #22

    There is less juice if you bet them individually. 

    Reply

    There is less juice if you bet them individually. 

     
    PeAceMaKer7690
    PeAceMaKer7690
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2021 - 2:59 PM ET #23

    @crafty_cockney

     Parlays are not worse odds than any other bet. This is a common misconception refuted by all sports betting experts. It is just a bet that combines multiple bets together at the same odds. It is just taking the winnings of the first bet and betting it in a second bet, and taking the winnings into a third bet, and putting the winnings into a 4th bet. It just means you are making bigger and bigger bets. It does not change the odds in any way. Just money management / betting $$ strategy.

     

    Parlays have same exact odds as single bets, just multiplied together. Good grief. 

    Reply

    @crafty_cockney

     Parlays are not worse odds than any other bet. This is a common misconception refuted by all sports betting experts. It is just a bet that combines multiple bets together at the same odds. It is just taking the winnings of the first bet and betting it in a second bet, and taking the winnings into a third bet, and putting the winnings into a 4th bet. It just means you are making bigger and bigger bets. It does not change the odds in any way. Just money management / betting $$ strategy.

     

    Parlays have same exact odds as single bets, just multiplied together. Good grief. 

     
    crafty_cockney
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    Posts: 636
    Posted: Oct. 1, 2021 - 2:59 PM ET #24

    What on earth are you talking about?

    are you on drugs ??

    Reply

    What on earth are you talking about?

    are you on drugs ??

     
     
    Silverstones
    Silverstones
    Banned
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2018
    Posts: 2365
    Posted: Oct. 1, 2021 - 3:00 PM ET #25

    4 games is not a good number of games to bet , you have to go 3-1 win anything. it's hard to go 3-1 on consistent basis .

    Better to bet  1 single game  , 2 games , 3 games, or 5 games . 

    Reply

    4 games is not a good number of games to bet , you have to go 3-1 win anything. it's hard to go 3-1 on consistent basis .

    Better to bet  1 single game  , 2 games , 3 games, or 5 games . 

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