Bama,IN Teaser

As posted much earlier in week, got Bama +9.5  and IN +13.5. Feel Buckeyes possibly set for some sort of emotional letdown.No way they will bring the same depth of intensity again. Probably not possible. IN should ,at least, be able to keep it within my nos. Maybe not. 

Expecting better effort, performance from a motivated Tide. Didn't look too hot vs AUB,hence possibly recency bias value here. Don't forget they have beaten four ranked teams,with a higher SOS.  Should b two great games.  Majority of handle on UGA yet line hasn't budged. Now watch it move up,through and off the key 3 tomorrow night before kickoff. GL to all. 

Indiana is playing on adrenaline push.  OSU will wear them out.  31-10 buckeyes.

Massey has Bama slightly higher PR and SOS. Bama five pt better PR with IN higher SOS. The significance of these is questionable as any attempt to quantify momentum and emotions is futile. OSU could blow em out. No biggie. Won't kill me. Btw....talking to gent just yest knew someone had heart attack watching Ala-,AUB game on tv, very provoked,angry,etc...and is no longer amongst us. Seriously. Not that big of a deal to me. Money MGMT.

SOS comment ran on prior comment re their beating ranked teams. They have a higher SOS than ga.  This was misleading. The old brain gets away from me often it seems now...

Georgia ml HUGE BET 

@SixGod76

 Hope that works out for you. Tend not to go huge on any game. Don't like that randomness,variance to sneak up on me. For me,no wager is any more important than another.  Try to keep detached,no expectations. Only probabilities. Let me edge work out longer term over a large sample size. 

In a shocking surprise, McElroy predicted Bama to win. Was mentioned he is quite objective. UGA center Bobo is out. Now that could b significant.  For obvious reasons. His Dad is the controversial OC. 

OSU appears to be a very popular pick as one site showing 70/75% split. Tix,handle. Is recency bias influencing such ?  All interesting part of the puzzle. Let's see what line, participation looks like shortly before kickoff. Thinking probably will be most heavily bet game. 

GL 

So, I see the line has moved down w a 48/64 Tix,handle split on betting. In trading,we refer to this as a possible positive divergence. I am a futures trader. May not be stastically significant.  But,I view these as potential positives. Or,could be Billy Bob  and Elmer type retail from Dothan. 

@fts1409

 And he is horrible.  Trap, screen trap, screen....Go Ala 1st quarter. Ga starts out slow because of Bobo. 

@ocplay

 He certainly is controversial. Yet,KS is best in country making excellent halftime adjustments that often shut down the opposing O. Have seen this over and over.  I like both Stockton and Simpson. Good guys. Obviously,will come down to these two...under pressure. 

Damn....losing my mind. RE prior post....Massey has OSU five pts higher in his PR algorithm.  And I quit burning years ago...lol

Simpson not really built for the pressure like that I saw that early on he has a clock in his head to get rid of the ball even when he’s not being pressured and he’ll make some goofball throws. Also Deboer is too conservative in tight situations. Kirby >> Deboer. I’ve seen so many +9.5 bana teasers and I guess these people feel safe as if no way bama will lose by 10 or more. I can see a 10 pt loss.

I am flabbergasted to read where Saban picked Bama today. So,he and McElroy both. Imagine that. I bet Pollocks on UGA. Gotta go look now.

Well,Pollock got video on YouTube. Picks Bama. Loss of Bobo huge. Saw it in second half of Tech game.  UGA D pressure,havoc on Simpson gotta improve. Thinking 27-14 game. Wowsa.  

Miller is broke up too Bana alreay can’t run the ball which puts more pressure on Simpson. He has only thrown 4 picks all season I think he throws 1 or 2 today. Bana has only had one 100!yard rusher all year. UGA doesn’t get much pressure on qb but I think the keeping things in front of them approach would work fine today. UGA is the 2nd best against the run Bama will face all year 1st was Oklahoma and we know how that went. 

Riley is still broke up too which leaves pretty much only Hill for bama rb gonna have to go deeper into depth chart for bama backup rib today Simpson gonna have to win this game for bama and I expect some trick play’s from m them but not sure if Deboer or bama coordinator does much of that

Right. Apparently his production has gone down of late. Imagine his confidence too.

Simpson ain't looking too good...at all..Dawgs controlling LOS. 

Not feeling too confident...lol.That was pretty much domination. Frankly,I would,at this point,be shocked if Simpson leads em back. Not the same QB from earlier in season. Agst a stout D.

Looks like I could not have been more mistaken. UGA peaking at right time. Was talking w Bama fan this week and he conveyed quite a bit of dissension of late with Daboeur. I'm sure this debacle will get the fan base fired up. Shocking...or just UGA impressive as heck. Masterful.

I have Bama +14.5 in teaser and thought to my self….”how easy!!” Guess im just a dumbass. Thought Bama may loose but never crossed my mind they could be goose egged…