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A Little advice for those crying

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Posts: 55

Rickey

Veteran

Joined: Dec, 2005

Posts: 1154

Posted: Jan. 3, 2019 - 7:53 PM ET #51

Quote Originally Posted by Againstuclowns:

when you bet on a team it’s always wise to buy the amount of points it takes to take the line of the team you chose to the opening line VEGAS set out to begin with before people start hammering it for example opening like for example Ohio state opened up at -4.5 and ended up at like -6.5 before the line moved down I took Ohio -4.5 bought 2 points but I did not lose now with Texas I bought up to 13.5 hope this wins also GL guys

it's pretty obvious who you represent, which ISN"T the betting public...

mws

Captain

Joined: Jul, 2004

Posts: 7191

Posted: Jan. 5, 2019 - 10:03 PM ET #52

Quote Originally Posted by gambleholic63:

Thats a fairy tale bro..

The math on buying points is very easy to figure. It reduces EV ALWAYS. That is a fact.

There is no generally applicable math on buying points. Every game has its own bell curve of potential outcomes.

shakey12381

Hall of Fame

Joined: Feb, 2007

Posts: 27750

Posted: Jan. 6, 2019 - 3:28 AM ET #53

or just be smart enough to know where the line is moving then bet it before everyone else does

budwiser

Banned

Joined: Dec, 2007

Posts: 17917

Posted: Jan. 6, 2019 - 5:49 AM ET #54

If it worked it means you're a genius

Surely you would have expected after all that, Washington would lose by 5

mws

Captain

Joined: Jul, 2004

Posts: 7191

Posted: Jan. 6, 2019 - 10:46 PM ET #55

Quote Originally Posted by thorpe:

If there was value in buying points, the book would not sell them to you.

Of course, you could say the same thing about the basic pointspread at -110.

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A Little advice for those crying

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