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🏈🏈🏈 Fubah2's risky CFB bets

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Posted: #5401

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: LEANING to Montana State in FCS title game but LIVE play and looking for a smaller alt-spread... On ESPN, from Nashville.......7:30 pm ET Should be interesting with two dual-threat QBs. Redbirds won 4 playoff games on the road as underdogs.  Bobcats are a better team however, and heavily favored, so Redbirds will have to overcome large odds.  But Bobcats' BEST defender, Dowler, was hurt last game (arm) and even if he suits up, definitely won't be 100% or anywhere close... THAT alone should shave a few points off the odds..... As stated previously I LEAN to Bobcats to win, but cover is a coin-toss.

He is playing tonight though it remains to be seen how effective on defense...

 

 

 
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Posted: #5402

 Posted by fubah2   LIVE BET mid1Q, no score, MSU ball: Bobcats -3.5 -275 alt@B365 ... missed it good luck... laundry night...an_roll_laugh

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Posted: #5403

First BIG LUCKY BREAK goes to Redbirds on an unforced error to extend a drive when they had been forced to punt!

 
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Posted: #5404

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

First BIG LUCKY BREAK goes to Redbirds on an unforced error to extend a drive when they had been forced to punt!

 

But BOBCATS get a HUGE LUCKY BREAK on a very controversial offensive PI call as the Redbirds receiver lightly touched a Bobcat defender who was falling to the ground anyway.  Would have been Redbirds ball inside the 10, but called back AND 15 yd pen....

Mind you, their extended drive was a result of a LUCKY BREAK too...

1Q ends  7 - 0 Bobcats....who had driven 90 yds for their score late 1Q...

 
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Posted: #5405

i fear my poor timing tonight cost me a good play... lot game left but ill st guy out and montana st moving the ball well 

goldfinger 1964
 
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Posted: #5406

clover     an_popcorn

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Posted: #5407

Quote Originally Posted by PUSSYGALORE333:

23 running back for montana st i think i saw him going off the to locker room and now db with the shoulder likely out ..don't wanna clog the thread so will try comment in another thread.. good luck ... ill st qb missed that one

Yes, Jones jogged off  but MSU have TWO 1,000+ yd rushers and they can't both carry the ball on the same play, so with one out they still have a 1,100 yd rusher on the filed and lose nothing.  In fact Adams has a slightly better ypc...Bobcats Off should be no different, imo.

Yep, SS Caden DOWLER, whom I mentioned previously, has just reinjured his upper arm/shoulder and likely done for the rest of the game (leading 14 -0 )....However after he was injured last week in the first Q, his replacement was more than adequate and they should be just fine in the secondary.

Bobcats are favored to win for a good reason but I still believe the original 10.5 line is a coin-flip...

 
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Posted: #5408

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by PUSSYGALORE333: 23 running back for montana st i think i saw him going off the to locker room and now db with the shoulder likely out ..don't wanna clog the thread so will try comment in another thread.. good luck ... ill st qb missed that one Yes, Jones jogged off  but MSU have TWO 1,000+ yd rushers and they can't both carry the ball on the same play, so with one out they still have a 1,100 yd rusher on the filed and lose nothing.  In fact Adams has a slightly better ypc...Bobcats Off should be no different, imo. Yep, SS Caden DOWLER, whom I mentioned previously, has just reinjured his upper arm/shoulder and likely done for the rest of the game (leading 14 -0 )....However after he was injured last week in the first Q, his replacement was more than adequate and they should be just fine in the secondary. Bobcats are favored to win for a good reason but I still believe the original 10.5 line is a coin-flip...

Should read Davis (not Adams)....6.7 ypc compared to Jones 6.2

 
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Posted: #5409

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Caden DOWLER, whom I mentioned previously, has just reinjured his upper arm/shoulder and likely done for the rest of the game (leading 14 -0 )....However after he was injured last week in the first Q, his replacement was more than adequate and they should be just fine in the secondary. Bobcats are favored to win for a good reason but I still believe the original 10.5 line is a coin-flip...

Well I guess they popped his arm back in the socket and sent him back on the field....

But he just got beat for a TD, leaving the receiver WIDE OPEN

14 - 7  MSU late 1h... Bobcats ball with less than 50 tiks left

 
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Posted: #5410

BTW, for their Dec 20 HOME playoff game vs hated in-state rival Montana, I was considering heading up to Bozeman to take it in...

The cheapest tcks - in the EZ - were going for $700 listed online...over $3000 a seat between the 30s

 

PASS.

 
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Posted: #5411

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Caden DOWLER, whom I mentioned previously, has just reinjured his upper arm/shoulder and likely done for the rest of the game (leading 14 -0 )....However after he was injured last week in the first Q, his replacement was more than adequate and they should be just fine in the secondary. Bobcats are favored to win for a good reason but I still believe the original 10.5 line is a coin-flip... Well I guess they popped his arm back in the socket and sent him back on the field.... But he just got beat for a TD, leaving the receiver WIDE OPEN 14 - 7  MSU late 1h... Bobcats ball with less than 50 tiks left

21 - 7 @HT as Steel made an incredible catch & run for a TD in the dying seconds.

NSD in stats other than Bobcats have 276 yds vs 202 after equal possessions.

 
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Posted: #5412

Posted by fubah2   LIVE BET mid1Q, no score, MSU ball: Bobcats -3.5 -275 alt   ... just can't bring myself to find a way in yet... good luck

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Posted: #5413

Quote Originally Posted by PUSSYGALORE333:

Posted by fubah2   LIVE BET mid1Q, no score, MSU ball: Bobcats -3.5 -275 alt   ... just can't bring myself to find a way in yet... good luck

Yea....not easy.....

Redbirds highly likely to score on this first drive of the 4Q to make it a one score diff and then it's virtually a toss up just to win! an_speechless

 
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Posted: #5414

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by PUSSYGALORE333: Posted by fubah2   LIVE BET mid1Q, no score, MSU ball: Bobcats -3.5 -275 alt   ... just can't bring myself to find a way in yet... good luck Yea....not easy..... Redbirds highly likely to score on this first drive of the 4Q to make it a one score diff and then it's virtually a toss up just to win!

I might even grab Redbirds on the dog spread and go for a middle!

 
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Posted: #5415

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by PUSSYGALORE333: Posted by fubah2   LIVE BET mid1Q, no score, MSU ball: Bobcats -3.5 -275 alt   ... just can't bring myself to find a way in yet... good luck Yea....not easy..... Redbirds highly likely to score on this first drive of the 4Q to make it a one score diff and then it's virtually a toss up just to win!

 

And there it is...

Problem is that neither defense has been able to stop the other team. Right now trailing, the Redbirds have to hope for a LUCKY BREAK for them only...

Bobcats have received an inordinate number of penalty calls...an_lightening

 
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Posted: #5416

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by PUSSYGALORE333: Posted by fubah2   LIVE BET mid1Q, no score, MSU ball: Bobcats -3.5 -275 alt   ... just can't bring myself to find a way in yet... good luck Yea....not easy..... Redbirds highly likely to score on this first drive of the 4Q to make it a one score diff and then it's virtually a toss up just to win!   And there it is... Problem is that neither defense has been able to stop the other team. Right now trailing, the Redbirds have to hope for a LUCKY BREAK for them only... Bobcats have received an inordinate number of penalty calls...

I think now the LUCKY Redbirds' lucky streak will continue.... They will very likely tie the game, at which point my original bet is toast...

 
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Posted: #5417

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

I think now the LUCKY Redbirds' lucky streak will continue.... They will very likely tie the game, at which point my original bet is toast...

Yep,  there it is..... sigh .....

This game is most likely to be decided by a FG either team...

 
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Posted: #5418

8 FALSE STARTS   O/U   WAS 8.5

goldfinger 1964
 
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Posted: #5419

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by PUSSYGALORE333: Posted by fubah2   LIVE BET mid1Q, no score, MSU ball: Bobcats -3.5 -275 alt   ... just can't bring myself to find a way in yet... good luck Yea....not easy..... Redbirds highly likely to score on this first drive of the 4Q to make it a one score diff and then it's virtually a toss up just to win!   And there it is... Problem is that neither defense has been able to stop the other team. Right now trailing, the Redbirds have to hope for a LUCKY BREAK for them only... Bobcats have received an inordinate number of penalty calls...

 

5 pens called against Redbirds;  13 called against MSU (some questionable)

 
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Posted: #5420

THAT SNAP GAVE YOU LIFE... an_angel

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Posted: #5421

Quote Originally Posted by PUSSYGALORE333:

THAT SNAP GAVE YOU LIFE...

YEP.......but I did grab a dog spread on Redbirds (unposted; doesn't count) for a potential middle as I alluded to earlier and should still come out OK if MSU wins su.... otherwise I will lose a few $$ on my MSU bet but regain part of it on my middle shot bet

 
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Posted: #5422

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

LIVE BET mid1Q, no score, MSU ball: Bobcats -3.5 -275 alt@B365

Game in OT, not over but this is a

BIG FAT LOSER 

 
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Posted: #5423

CFB Post-Season: 21 - 7    an_2drinks 75%      [15 - 4 *BB 77.7% ]

 
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Posted: #5424

an_worshipan_worshipan_worship

 

 

"I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
 
 
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Posted: #5425

I'm wondering if defenses might play a stronger role in the Fiesta Bowl to come under the number...

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