Despite the below 50% Saturday, still was a good overall last 4-5 days....
I noticed something, that if someone has the time and energy to go back and research each day this past week, to see if it's a trend for a possible "tweak", go right ahead and do it. Here it goes.....
A little back history first
Those of you who were on here last year in Feb. may remember KineProfessor, who I respect a lot as a cbb capper, starting a thread with his system of taking road dogs of +6.5 and higher when facing a team that is ranked below 180 on KenPom's rankings. He said he usually doesn't start playing them until around Feb.15th each year, but if you remember, he had started tracking "pre-system" plays for the first 2 weeks of Feb., and they actually did quite well. They may have actually performed better than the last week of Feb. and early Mar. if I remember correctly. Anyway, I don't have the expertise he does on the system, nor am I going to take time to attempt to breakdown his theory in as much detail as he has done, because it would just be a disservice and insult to his talent.
>>The basic theme is simply, late in the season when weak teams are starting to hit their wall and may be out of their respective conference races they don't take the even weaker road team very seriously. And you also see those road teams playing loose, no pressure, trying different styles, rotations, and maybe new players, since they are most likely out of their conference races too.
On to Saturday 2/4
(I quickly went through the card from Saturday, and found 9 qualifiers of HIS system, and they went 8-1) Wow!
So of course, I wanted to see if any of those games were also games that fit Beaver's system. And there were two I'm finding...
Citadel(#324) +10.5 @ Elon(#272) = Winner
And...
GA Southern(#248) +6.5 @ West Carolina = Winner
And if you remember, I believe Beaver excluded W.Car because it was over 65%. So luckily we didn't play wrong side in that one....
With all of this said, that's why I'm wondering if any of Beaver's system losses over the last week may have been home faves of -6.5 or more that ranked outside top 180 and therefore fit KineProfessor's system to fade AGAINST?
I'm also guessing these kind of low ranked teams would normally have low thrill scores below 30...so if the tracking that someone else is doing regarding low thrill scores turns up to have less profitable results than those above, we should see if only including those that fit Kine's system should be included as plays in Beaver's system?
For the rest of the month, I'll be doubling my unit bet anytime plays match on BOTH Beaver's and Kine's systems. 
MM
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