Starting up the ole W/L streak system from last year,,,week #2

We did extremely well over 08/09 year,,but we need to await more games to get to a level where we start fading win streaks and play losing streaks,,,along with examing the betting percentages,,,,,

Well what have we learned over the past week

One it was too early to start any wagering,,as this is still in its trial mode to find the correct # to start any real money investments and it may be a few weeks before we really know what system tells us,

Last week i started wirh  # 3 as the minimum # a team had to have either + or - for a possible play

Also before i start all ATS rankings are from COVERS stats and that will be the GOSPEL for entire year,this brings all information right here at covers,Other sites may have different #'s so for this posting all will be here as the legitimate Backup

All ATS rankings will be compiled each sunday for following week

First i want to thank BANDOS for his assistance last week in helping in many ways ,,Keeping records,watching betting trends,etc and without his help i could not do as good a job,,,,, and i am hopeful he will be here all year

What was learned from our first week

That too many teams went 3-0 or 0-3 for # 3 to be the correct play so i am raising it to #4 and am hopeful that will reduce the # of plays a day,,,, and if that gets out of hand,,,, i will raise it to #5

Understand the whole object is that no team can cover or not cover every game,,so where is the breaking point,,i hope to know that in the following weeks,

Last week SYRACUSE was the first to go to 5-0 before not covering and now stands at 5-1 ATS

New Mexico now stands at the top plateau at 6-0 and a ranking of #1

Elon stands at the botton at 0-5 at a ranking of 263

How far either of these two teams go without reversing its trends is what this is all about,,When will the oddsmakers add or deleate the piont spread  necessary for a reversal is the question,Nothing lasts for ever so if i were a betting guy which i am i'd watch these two and others soon to arrive,

Betting trends are also important as maybe vegas doesn't need to help either team as maybe JP will do it themselves thus we have REVERSALS ( thats Bandos job) just trying to watch all 263 teams is a job and if don't think so try it

So where are we at week #2,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

All teams with a 4-0 or 0-4 are definitely on the watch as possible plays,,any thing below is just to be watched and anything above that is a DEFINITE Play for this week,but very light We have a long season ahead and no one is going anywhere

Now for the teams that need watching after the two mentioned above,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

St Bonny is at 5-0

Sac St is at 5-0

These are the only two that have gotten to #5,,there are many at 4-0 and 0-4,,and when they are playing i will post them in this thread on that day

There is nothing that fits today Monday 11/30/09

Bowling Green is the closest today at 0-3 and ranked # 262,,,,

Note,,,,,,,,,,, What we have found is the 0-3,0-4 have a much higher Win percentage than the 3-0 and 4-0 so far,Seems oddsmakers are willing to assist the losers more easily,

Bandos will post the records from last week of all we charted FYI,,but use it as strictly informational and hopefully after another week we will be the much wiser

I will keep this thread alive for one week and then we will post a new one,,next monday,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

GLBob and Bandos:

Thanks to both of you for all of your diligence and hard work. I certainly appreciate it and I'm sure so do a whole bunch of others. Interesting approach and fun to follow.

Bandos posted this for me and i think its very important to understand  of what happened in 08/09 year,this is just one FYI tid bit

Here are the win streaks for these 50 teams:
19 streaks of 4 wins in a row or more.  12 ended at 4, 4 ended at 5, 2 at 7, 1 at 8.  Thus betting on all teams to lose at 4-0 would yield of 12-7 or 63%.

In reviewing plays thru thursday there does not appear very many to deal with as last week with all the tournaments unless there are some this week,,,,,,,,texas yesterday missed a 5-0 by covers point spread per their posting of final at tip by .05 Other sites show them covering,,so again its all about the final point spread

on tueasday we have no plays that meet the criteria but we do have two #3 plays,,(Play as you so desire)

N Mex St at 0-3

Col St at 3-0

on Wed we have <<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

Sac St at 5-0

N Mexico at 6-0

W Kentucky at 0-4

Wofford at 4-0

Portland at 4-0 vs Portland St at 0-4

we do have some 3's but your on your own

Unlv is at 3-0

Nova is at 3-0

Uab is at 3-0

Georgia is at 0-3

Duquense is at 0-3 but i need to chk that

<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

Thursday we have,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

Elon at 0-5 dead last of all 263 teams

Cleve St at 0-4 vs wright St at 4-0 battle of the 4's

#3's,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

Semo st 0-3

Thats as far as i've gone,,,any errors please advise,,,,

bob...only thing that stands out to me is Portland being 4-0 because they did not cover last night as I lost money on them

appreciate all you and bandos have going on here and will be watching this again this year as it was profitable last season

Bob, this is the first day i have looked at the sports forms and sighned up. I am a long time c. football better but have never bet on college basketball this is an interesting system you guys have come up with. In other words your betting that a streek will end not so much as +/- points

 thanks you are correct as portland did not cover so we are looking for port ST to still Cover

Correction,,,,,

Portland at 0-1 vs Portland St at 0-4

i would love for someone to do the same for the NBA as i think the same could be applied but i just don't have the time for both

Also need some one that can chart totals for each day with ,,,,,,,,0-3,,,,0-4,,,0-5,,, 0-6,,,,loss streaks and the same for Win streaks,,,,,,3-0,,4-0,,5-0,,,6-0,,,,,,,when they end for next years back up,,,,,if done every day it becomes fairly easy but it must be done evey day ,,,,,,,,,,Example

day one,,,,0-3 teams went 2-4

day 2,,,,,,,,,,,, teams went 0-3

Ditto

and do for all losing streaks and winning streaks

That way next year we have so very important info

example

for year 2010 ,,,,0-3 streaks went  56-22

for year 2010,,,, 0-4 streaks went 34-26

and do all Losing streaks 0-5,,0-6 ,,ETC

And also all Winning streaks the same,, that would be such GREAT knowledge to have for year 2011,,,,,,,,,,,so any one intrested,,,,,,20,000 people someone must have some time and you only need do a part,,,,,,but you must do it all if volunteer,,and then all you need to do is post totals for each week,,and correlate for year