Sparty v.s. Purdue for Sunday...

They made this line knowing that information so making an argument that this should be a play based off of that incident is nonsense. Vegas took those players into account. Starting players are almost never worth more than a point or two. 

If there is a play on this game, its purdue with the points. 

Good luck with your plays but I don't think this is a "play of the century" as many are calling it.

People don't realize how hard it is to win on the road in college basketball....let alone the big 10 against a team who is desperate to get some wins so they can solidify its resume. 

Like I said, I would've been all over PU at any line (even a small fav) with these two guys playing.  I never said Vegas was unaware of Byrd/Barlow situation.  I think you're undervaluing their worth.  In the last 5 games, Byrd had averaged 17 ppg and 4 rbg, and Barlow averaged 8 ppg and 4 rbg for the season.  You take those numbers away from a team that lacks depth and talent to begin with, they're gonna be in trouble.  Both of these guys are also known as hustling/glue guys.  They make plays that excite the crowd, Barlow has had some big dunks over the last couple of years that get the crowd going and the Boilers feed off of that.  I don't doubt we get a great effort from PU today, but they'll need someone that we've never heard of to step up and have a huge game.  If you wanna bet on that happening, be my guest.  

I suppose, but I think small teams get up for the "Bracketbuster" games too, 

I wouldn't, I think the value is gone at 3 possessions   

Like I stated, byrd has been on fire as of late but mich st.'s defense wouldn't have given him open looks at 3. If he was in and would have scored 15+, PU probably would have won this game outright. And I am not valuing players, that is how vegas views STARTERS. Heck if you take out Harrison Barnes, Vegas would only make that about a 2 point difference in the spread. It is not that I am undervaluing these players, I'm telling you that Vegas (who knows more than any of us) doesn't put much value on players in college....especially role players. If both players were in, this game would have been at a PK with States struggles on the road.

+5 for PU right now at home is great value. Its just annoying knowing that if PU covers, everyone will complain saying it was rigged or some dumb shit and if State wins by 20+, everyone backing PU or saying no play on this game as it is a bad line (State is the better team but not 5 points on the road) will get crushed and people will pound their chests saying how dumb we are yet they don't do this for a living and know almost to nothing about sports-betting. You may ask why I bother on different sports forums then. Well actually every once in a while I come across some good people who know what they are talking about so its good discussion....wish I could steer more people that way but who am I kidding. Plus, there is always something to learn.

I understand what you're saying. Remember, I'm not the one who labeled this game as a HUGE play, or lock, etc.  I simply bet MSU thinking they win this game by more than the 3 points I had to give up last night.  That's it.  Sole possession of 1st place is at stake and who knows how PU will respond to the Byrd/Barlow incident?  Vegas doesn't even know that answer.  

Agreed, 

Hey sparty, Yeah, I agree, Payne, Nix, and Green may combine for 45 today.  They should have their way.  As of right now, I'm expecting MSU to lose at IU for sure and possibly at Minny.  But I really don't think anybody can beat them at the Breslin.  That should be good enough to at least tie for the title.  

Lik'em all