SHIRLEY'S LINES FOR SATURDAY'S GAMES FOR ALL TO SEE

First of all, thank you for the unreal support from EVERYONE!

I am able tp post here today, because my schedule has been pushed up 36 hours or so.

If you were paying close attention to yesterdays lines, we only had 1 game that qualified a as wager. It wasn't our best play in recent days, but still satisified our paramenters for an investment. Siena

Siena + 11.50   3.80 line difference form the books AND a dog

We are currently on a documented 19-2 streak.

I will post just some of my lines today, and special games of interest involving highly ranked teams.

It is your job to find the plays, and look for 4 point differences. If you must bet, remember edges begin at 3 point differential for underdogs, and 4 points for favorites.

Please have a discussion within this thread to help each other out with the plays. There are some novices in here as well as seasoned pros. Please assist each other.

Also, I welcome all to PLEASE tear into my lines with a vengeance. Tell me that Louisville will crush Syracuse or  that Tulsa has NO SHOT vs UCF. I want to hear what you have to say.

Gamehunter and Camby were dead on with their Washington pick earlier in the week. KUDOS TO THEM . I hope that I was able to help them with my other selections.

Not one of us is as smart as all of us. Keep the wagers within your limits, never wagering more than 1% of your gambling bankroll on any 1 game.

My lines are as follows:

Richmond  3.90 

 NE       7.60

ND      4.90

SYR     2.10

BC       1.1

UNC    6.0

Ark      7.9

ODU    1.20

Cle St   13.0

Wisc      2.30

Hofstra   5.6

Fl St       9.50

N C Wilm   1.70

Wisc GB     3.30

Kansas    23.30

Ala             4.10

Drexel         6.60

N Mex St    5.60

Ga               6.0

Buff             4.70

G Mason    7.40

Davidson    1.40

BYU            15.8

Fla               0.40

Wash St      1.0 ( Be careful here as Cal bombed last outing for us)

S Hall           1.0

E Ky             5.4

Tulsa            4.0

Miss St         5.30

Mia O          13.10

Ok St            0.70

Woff            17.70

Morehead   15.40

SD ST         1.9

Mizz St        9.30

A Peay       6.50

Santa Clara   11.20

Washington   12.90 ( Oh no, again! Can they keep the 3's under 65%)

Kansas St     5.0

Mont             1.90

Utah St        12.50

Gonzaga     14.30

Nevada        4.10

Cal Poly SLO  3.10

Long Beach     9.50

USC                 4.6

Shirley

first post on this forum. been watching here and there but cant seem to figure out how to convert shirley's system into the lines the books have. will someone help me out and post on here how to do it with an exaple, or PM me with the info. either way it would be greatly appreciated. thanks and BOL to all today. lets make that money

I only posted games which had the highest probaility of being potential plays.

Some of these are OBVIOUS selections already, others are not. Since  the lines are dynamic, and constantly changing, you have to be alert at all times to see when a game approaches your 4 point favorite threshold, or the 4 point underdog (edges start with 3) requirement.

Remember prime wagers require a 4 point difference, with extra weighting for an underdog.

Shirley

So what is the picks?

I'll help you with this one, with an example, no problem.

The bookies line for the Louisville game vs Syracuse is Louisville -2.50, Louisville is the favorite and Syracuse is the underdog.

My line on the game is Syracuse -2.10 over Loisville. I list my favorites and  my line in the list above.

Since we are receiving 2.50 points, and I have Syracuse listed as a 2.10 favorite, the "delta", or spread differential from the bookies line is currently at +4.60 points. My suggestion is to wait on the line, to see where it might be going. If it drops somewhere in LV or at Pinnacle, get it at +2.50 fast, if it's stagnant, wait till post time and you're likely to get +3 or even more.

This satisfies our requirements for a prime play of having a 4 point differential, AND the team we are wagering on is an UNDERDOG with the bookies line. We perfor the same analysis for favorites, all the while remembering a 4 point differential is required for favorites.

I hope that my explanation helps you.

Shirley

Yes, theoretically, ever point difference above 4 raises our probability of making a successful wager. It's not a linear correlation, as most aren't in the gambling world. Actually it's a sort of funky looking curve, where positve expectations beging with 4 point differnece and approximate the points on the curve, as that value increases.

We make our largest plays on underdogs with a 4 point diffreence or more.

I hope my response helps.

Shirley

Always good to see those "money knuckles", Mr Knuckles

Thank you

Shirley

so you like underdogs more than a favored team with 4pts or more?

shirley, thanks for posted your line, I have a question for you

your line have richmond 3.90 my book have them at -10 so St louis is a play

That's what she means and if the dog is listed she calculated that the DOG should be favored by that figure!

Great work Shirley. Thanks for posting - we greatly appreciate it. Looks like there are many opportunities today.

Will be watching the numbers and wagering accordingly.

Thanks, and as always GOOD LUCK

K

Shirley, one more example please for the slow folks in here:

NE is 7.60 for you and a 2 pt dog at the books. That's a total of 9.60 for a delta. Would that be a prime play?