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    All Forums | College Basketball

    SECURITY SAM'S 357 MONDAY PLAYS

    «First Previous 123 ... 789
    BlackCannons
    djbrow
    camby700
    smacksmiter
    prt
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 7680
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    «First Previous 123 ... 789
     
    BlackCannons
    BlackCannons
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2020 - 9:38 PM ET #201

    Quote Originally Posted by RonBergundy:

    @Barnstorm  It’s called Lying. I don’t think anyone betting over $10k a game is on covers, especially a forum. Fraudulent lies.

     

    I posted an $8000 ticket .. when someone asked

     

    I may have made 20 bets over $3000 this year and about 2000 bets around $50..

     

    In the early 90's i was laying off other peoples money at an offshore book- so much that they invited me down there for a week..They whined me and dined me and showed me thier entire operation.  I watched the bets come in and it was like $5, $12, $7, $3.50, $20, $4, $5, $10, $1 and it went on like that for a half hour with a few 50's and hundreds sprinkled in there...

     

    I think its pretty much the same here

     

     

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by RonBergundy:

    @Barnstorm  It’s called Lying. I don’t think anyone betting over $10k a game is on covers, especially a forum. Fraudulent lies.

     

    I posted an $8000 ticket .. when someone asked

     

    I may have made 20 bets over $3000 this year and about 2000 bets around $50..

     

    In the early 90's i was laying off other peoples money at an offshore book- so much that they invited me down there for a week..They whined me and dined me and showed me thier entire operation.  I watched the bets come in and it was like $5, $12, $7, $3.50, $20, $4, $5, $10, $1 and it went on like that for a half hour with a few 50's and hundreds sprinkled in there...

     

    I think its pretty much the same here

     

     

     
    BlackCannons
    BlackCannons
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2020 - 9:40 PM ET #202

    Quote Originally Posted by camby700:

    ZONA whole forum liking Colorado LAST 7 games in Zona......ARIZONA WINS

     

    Lol...Good luck..I'm a CU fan, one of my kids went there, and as a CU fan- I'd be really impressed if they won this ballgame...Its not really expected here

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by camby700:

    ZONA whole forum liking Colorado LAST 7 games in Zona......ARIZONA WINS

     

    Lol...Good luck..I'm a CU fan, one of my kids went there, and as a CU fan- I'd be really impressed if they won this ballgame...Its not really expected here

     
    djbrow
    djbrow
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2020 - 9:44 PM ET #203

    Quote Originally Posted by BlackCannons:

    A martingale is any of a class of betting strategies that originated from and were popular in 18th-century France. The simplest of these strategies was designed for a game in which the gambler wins the stake if a coin comes up heads and loses it if the coin comes up tails. The strategy had the gambler double the bet after every loss, so that the first win would recover all previous losses plus win a profit equal to the original stake. The martingale strategy has been applied to roulette as well, as the probability of hitting either red or black is close to 50%. Since a gambler with infinite wealth will, almost surely, eventually flip heads, the martingale betting strategy was seen as a sure thing by those who advocated it. None of the gamblers possessed infinite wealth, and the exponential growth of the bets would eventually bankrupt "unlucky" gamblers who chose to use the martingale. The gambler usually wins a small net reward, thus appearing to have a sound strategy. However, the gambler's expected value does indeed remain zero (or less than zero) because the small probability that the gambler will suffer a catastrophic loss exactly balances with the expected gain. In a casino, the expected value is negative, due to the house's edge. The likelihood of catastrophic loss may not even be very small. The bet size rises exponentially. This, combined with the fact that strings of consecutive losses actually occur more often than common intuition suggests, can bankrupt a gambler quickly.

    an_light

    The reason for this is simple. You can have incremental gains on numerous nights, even decent gains by hitting over 50% of wagers. One generally won't employ this strategy in reverse (with the theory that winning very game is uncommon) so its unlikely to have a exponential growth. 

    But the key is one terrible night will erase a bankroll. For this reason, no professional gambler or handicapper would employ this strategy. peace_5

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by BlackCannons:

    A martingale is any of a class of betting strategies that originated from and were popular in 18th-century France. The simplest of these strategies was designed for a game in which the gambler wins the stake if a coin comes up heads and loses it if the coin comes up tails. The strategy had the gambler double the bet after every loss, so that the first win would recover all previous losses plus win a profit equal to the original stake. The martingale strategy has been applied to roulette as well, as the probability of hitting either red or black is close to 50%. Since a gambler with infinite wealth will, almost surely, eventually flip heads, the martingale betting strategy was seen as a sure thing by those who advocated it. None of the gamblers possessed infinite wealth, and the exponential growth of the bets would eventually bankrupt "unlucky" gamblers who chose to use the martingale. The gambler usually wins a small net reward, thus appearing to have a sound strategy. However, the gambler's expected value does indeed remain zero (or less than zero) because the small probability that the gambler will suffer a catastrophic loss exactly balances with the expected gain. In a casino, the expected value is negative, due to the house's edge. The likelihood of catastrophic loss may not even be very small. The bet size rises exponentially. This, combined with the fact that strings of consecutive losses actually occur more often than common intuition suggests, can bankrupt a gambler quickly.

    an_light

    The reason for this is simple. You can have incremental gains on numerous nights, even decent gains by hitting over 50% of wagers. One generally won't employ this strategy in reverse (with the theory that winning very game is uncommon) so its unlikely to have a exponential growth. 

    But the key is one terrible night will erase a bankroll. For this reason, no professional gambler or handicapper would employ this strategy. peace_5

     
    BlackCannons
    BlackCannons
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2020 - 9:45 PM ET #204

    Quote Originally Posted by djbrow:

    Quote Originally Posted by BlackCannons: A martingale is any of a class of betting strategies that originated from and were popular in 18th-century France. The simplest of these strategies was designed for a game in which the gambler wins the stake if a coin comes up heads and loses it if the coin comes up tails. The strategy had the gambler double the bet after every loss, so that the first win would recover all previous losses plus win a profit equal to the original stake. The martingale strategy has been applied to roulette as well, as the probability of hitting either red or black is close to 50%. Since a gambler with infinite wealth will, almost surely, eventually flip heads, the martingale betting strategy was seen as a sure thing by those who advocated it. None of the gamblers possessed infinite wealth, and the exponential growth of the bets would eventually bankrupt "unlucky" gamblers who chose to use the martingale. The gambler usually wins a small net reward, thus appearing to have a sound strategy. However, the gambler's expected value does indeed remain zero (or less than zero) because the small probability that the gambler will suffer a catastrophic loss exactly balances with the expected gain. In a casino, the expected value is negative, due to the house's edge. The likelihood of catastrophic loss may not even be very small. The bet size rises exponentially. This, combined with the fact that strings of consecutive losses actually occur more often than common intuition suggests, can bankrupt a gambler quickly. The reason for this is simple. You can have incremental gains on numerous nights, even decent gains by hitting over 50% of wagers. One generally won't employ this strategy in reverse (with the theory that winning very game is uncommon) so its unlikely to have a exponential growth.  But the key is one terrible night will erase a bankroll. For this reason, no professional gambler or handicapper would employ this strategy.

     

    Good points...

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by djbrow:

    Quote Originally Posted by BlackCannons: A martingale is any of a class of betting strategies that originated from and were popular in 18th-century France. The simplest of these strategies was designed for a game in which the gambler wins the stake if a coin comes up heads and loses it if the coin comes up tails. The strategy had the gambler double the bet after every loss, so that the first win would recover all previous losses plus win a profit equal to the original stake. The martingale strategy has been applied to roulette as well, as the probability of hitting either red or black is close to 50%. Since a gambler with infinite wealth will, almost surely, eventually flip heads, the martingale betting strategy was seen as a sure thing by those who advocated it. None of the gamblers possessed infinite wealth, and the exponential growth of the bets would eventually bankrupt "unlucky" gamblers who chose to use the martingale. The gambler usually wins a small net reward, thus appearing to have a sound strategy. However, the gambler's expected value does indeed remain zero (or less than zero) because the small probability that the gambler will suffer a catastrophic loss exactly balances with the expected gain. In a casino, the expected value is negative, due to the house's edge. The likelihood of catastrophic loss may not even be very small. The bet size rises exponentially. This, combined with the fact that strings of consecutive losses actually occur more often than common intuition suggests, can bankrupt a gambler quickly. The reason for this is simple. You can have incremental gains on numerous nights, even decent gains by hitting over 50% of wagers. One generally won't employ this strategy in reverse (with the theory that winning very game is uncommon) so its unlikely to have a exponential growth.  But the key is one terrible night will erase a bankroll. For this reason, no professional gambler or handicapper would employ this strategy.

     

    Good points...

     
    camby700
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2020 - 9:48 PM ET #205

    Quote Originally Posted by BlackCannons:

    Quote Originally Posted by camby700: ZONA whole forum liking Colorado LAST 7 games in Zona......ARIZONA WINS   Lol...Good luck..I'm a CU fan, one of my kids went there, and as a CU fan- I'd be really impressed if they won this ballgame...Its not really expected here

    They look good early...

    i bet the game simply on their road history as I ve faded them for years on the road and won..

    That being said,,,things change

    GL tonight Cannons

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by BlackCannons:

    Quote Originally Posted by camby700: ZONA whole forum liking Colorado LAST 7 games in Zona......ARIZONA WINS   Lol...Good luck..I'm a CU fan, one of my kids went there, and as a CU fan- I'd be really impressed if they won this ballgame...Its not really expected here

    They look good early...

    i bet the game simply on their road history as I ve faded them for years on the road and won..

    That being said,,,things change

    GL tonight Cannons

     
    BlackCannons
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2020 - 9:53 PM ET #206

    Quote Originally Posted by camby700:

    Quote Originally Posted by BlackCannons: Quote Originally Posted by camby700: ZONA whole forum liking Colorado LAST 7 games in Zona......ARIZONA WINS   Lol...Good luck..I'm a CU fan, one of my kids went there, and as a CU fan- I'd be really impressed if they won this ballgame...Its not really expected here They look good early... i bet the game simply on their road history as I ve faded them for years on the road and won.. That being said,,,things change GL tonight Cannons

     

    Thank you and GL... I mean, I'm not that big a fan, I'm too old to be fanatical, I never was fanatical and I did'nt bet the game, so I hope ya win

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by camby700:

    Quote Originally Posted by BlackCannons: Quote Originally Posted by camby700: ZONA whole forum liking Colorado LAST 7 games in Zona......ARIZONA WINS   Lol...Good luck..I'm a CU fan, one of my kids went there, and as a CU fan- I'd be really impressed if they won this ballgame...Its not really expected here They look good early... i bet the game simply on their road history as I ve faded them for years on the road and won.. That being said,,,things change GL tonight Cannons

     

    Thank you and GL... I mean, I'm not that big a fan, I'm too old to be fanatical, I never was fanatical and I did'nt bet the game, so I hope ya win

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2020 - 9:53 PM ET #207

    @RonBergundy

     Typical comment I have heard repeated on Covers for over 15 years...and as a typical and stereotypical comment will often be, it is patently false as I myself have made several wagers over $10k in the last 15 years and posted them on Covers...I know of many, many other people who factually did the same...

    Why make such stupid blanket statements?....

    Because you think you are right?....

    Jeez...you are NOT right...

    an_baby

    PM for the skinny on the down low
    Reply

    @RonBergundy

     Typical comment I have heard repeated on Covers for over 15 years...and as a typical and stereotypical comment will often be, it is patently false as I myself have made several wagers over $10k in the last 15 years and posted them on Covers...I know of many, many other people who factually did the same...

    Why make such stupid blanket statements?....

    Because you think you are right?....

    Jeez...you are NOT right...

    an_baby

     
    prt
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2020 - 10:22 PM ET #208

    Zona an_cheers

    Reply

    Zona an_cheers

     
    camby700
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2020 - 10:23 PM ET #209

    WHEWWWWWW

    Good Call Sam

    an_cheers

    Reply

    WHEWWWWWW

    Good Call Sam

    an_cheers

     
    ayashifx55
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2020 - 10:23 PM ET #210

    Arizona Sam, I took -1.5 FH, thank you sirpeace_5

    Reply

    Arizona Sam, I took -1.5 FH, thank you sirpeace_5

     
    AC5
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2020 - 10:26 PM ET #211

    Tailed the 1H Arizona bet...thanks SS.moneybagmoneybag

    Reply

    Tailed the 1H Arizona bet...thanks SS.moneybagmoneybag

     
    camby700
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2020 - 10:26 PM ET #212

    Theyve won 7 straight at home as far back as i can xheck....

    Gonna hit them again 2nd half

    GL Fellas

    Reply

    Theyve won 7 straight at home as far back as i can xheck....

    Gonna hit them again 2nd half

    GL Fellas

     
    buffer
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2020 - 11:10 PM ET #213

    Quote Originally Posted by buffer:

    Sam please stop what your doing and listen to me son. Take the Denver Nuggets -6.5 for everything your down to get even today and then some. The Rockets will get blown out tonight playing in the mile high city after going OT at Portland on Saturday night. Denver is at full strength tonight with extra rest. Rockets will have the same 8 players available and Harden still can’t play a complete game b/c he is out of shape. Gordon our Wall out Cousins out just to mention a few. Harden is frustrated with the rookies having to teach them in game. This is as easy and big as it gets. Denver -6.5 is the play. Hammer it.

     

    Ok Sam what I need for you to do is cash out put the money back into safe before the big boss man comes in from Kansas City

    “The average erect gorilla penis is 3cm (1.25 inches) long”
    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by buffer:

    Sam please stop what your doing and listen to me son. Take the Denver Nuggets -6.5 for everything your down to get even today and then some. The Rockets will get blown out tonight playing in the mile high city after going OT at Portland on Saturday night. Denver is at full strength tonight with extra rest. Rockets will have the same 8 players available and Harden still can’t play a complete game b/c he is out of shape. Gordon our Wall out Cousins out just to mention a few. Harden is frustrated with the rookies having to teach them in game. This is as easy and big as it gets. Denver -6.5 is the play. Hammer it.

     

    Ok Sam what I need for you to do is cash out put the money back into safe before the big boss man comes in from Kansas City

     
    Barnstorm
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2020 - 11:50 PM ET #214

    Sam was up $7,566 for the day. 3-2 today. Nice comeback and finish.

    Was down $13,286 yesterday. 2-3 Sunday.

    Was down $14,286 Saturday. 1-2-1 Saturday.

    Still waiting to seen a screen shot of his FanDuel tickets.

    GL

    Reply

    Sam was up $7,566 for the day. 3-2 today. Nice comeback and finish.

    Was down $13,286 yesterday. 2-3 Sunday.

    Was down $14,286 Saturday. 1-2-1 Saturday.

    Still waiting to seen a screen shot of his FanDuel tickets.

    GL

     
    RonBergundy
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    Joined: Jun, 2019
    Posts: 4820
    Posted: Dec. 29, 2020 - 12:25 AM ET #215

    @smacksmiter

     Don’t mean to say I’m right or wrong. Yet, why not just post units instead. I personally think it’s somewhat outlandish for some throwing $10k plus, yet start from $500. Huge difference. Like this way of betting is pressing very very hard. Very scary!

     

    Reply

    @smacksmiter

     Don’t mean to say I’m right or wrong. Yet, why not just post units instead. I personally think it’s somewhat outlandish for some throwing $10k plus, yet start from $500. Huge difference. Like this way of betting is pressing very very hard. Very scary!

     

     
    shortskillz7
    shortskillz7
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2020
    Posts: 55
    Posted: Dec. 29, 2020 - 12:52 AM ET #216

    Who gives a shit what amount he wagers!! Everyone gets hot and cold. So much negative bullshit on his posts (probably Books). Tail or fade that simple. 

    Reply

    Who gives a shit what amount he wagers!! Everyone gets hot and cold. So much negative bullshit on his posts (probably Books). Tail or fade that simple. 

     
     
    TheGreatFalconi
    TheGreatFalconi
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2020
    Posts: 980
    Posted: Dec. 29, 2020 - 1:50 PM ET #217

    Clown show

    Reply

    Clown show

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