NCAAB line move system

I just checked....the # went to 6.5 10 minutes before tipoff.

Not much time to hit it.

 

I won't count the DRAKE WIN  towards the system record...the # didn't go to +6.5 until 2:50 ET...10 minutes before tip.

But at least we know the system worked .

This is  all about educating ourselves and moving forward.

jw11

 

excellent work this week jw11.  

jw-

Great job on figuring out a great system.  I am sure it will hit a few bumps in the road, but you are already starting to adjust for those bumps (i.e. taking out the favs).  Congrats on a great week man.

jwll, you should count Drake most of us that follow were all on it.

will ....aggie...no-contest...and everyone else

thanks

it was a good week.

jw11

WINNER !!!

great system you got there! just to see if i have it right.....if favorite line is at least -6 or less(opening line)and moves to -7.5(at least 1.5 or higher) take the dog.....first half or game?      which has best results?           also what if say team A opens-1 but it moves to team B -1(bet team A?)     greatly appreciate your efforts and info                             GL ALL

You got the system correct RG.

I'm ruling out the FAV's (although MD won last night,the FAV's are2-3 the last 2 wks)...and I believe I will rule out the flip flops you described above .(teamA to teamB).

In the two weeks of posting the system...1stH plays have actually done better, but the system was originally for Full Game plays.It was only this past week that I realized the success of the 1stH plays....will have to watch those closely this week. 

I have come up with a way to split the action into 3 bets on one game and will be back later to unveil it.

I figure we have to start playin a little on the money line and have some 1stH action...as well, of course,as full game.

GL2us

jw11

 

 

System record updated....17-9

14 of the 17 wins have an underdog winning outright.

SUMMARY as of 01-30-11

17 wins............

TENN +5...................won the game outright

ILLINI-3.5..................won by 10

ARK LR +3.5..............won the game outright

ST PETE pick............won

ST BON +4................won the game outright

FURMAN +6...............won the game outright

RIDER +1.5................won the game outright

RICHM +3..................won the game outright

W.CAROLINA +3.5.....won the game outright by 24

SAMFORD +2.5......,...won the game outright

SAN FRAN +5.5..........won the game outright

WRIGHT ST +4...........won the game outright

LOUISVILLE +5 .........won the game outright by 1 in OT

NC GREENS +6.5........won the game outright by 19

SANTA CLARA +2.......won the game outright by 7

CAL IRVINE +4............lost game by 1pt, but W ats

UL LAFAYETTE +4.......won the game outright by 6

9 losses...................

ELON +7...................lost by 8

FORDH +6.................lost by 12 (had 2H lead)

LOY MRMNT +1.5......lost by 2 

BALL ST -1.5.............lost by 2

E.CAR. +3..................lost by 8

S.E MO.ST +2.5........ lost by 9

CHARLESTON -2........lost by 11

ARK LIL ROCK -3.......lost by 11

SAN FRAN +1.5..........lost by 6

System record updated....17-9

***14 of the 17 wins have an underdog winning outright.

*** 1stH plays would be 19-7

******SUMMARY of games as of 01-30-11*******

17 wins............

TENN +5...................won the game outright

ILLINI-3.5..................won by 10

ARK LR +3.5..............won the game outright

ST PETE pick............won

ST BON +4................won the game outright

FURMAN +6...............won the game outright

RIDER +1.5................won the game outright

RICHM +3..................won the game outright

W.CAROLINA +3.5.....won the game outright by 24

SAMFORD +2.5......,...won the game outright

SAN FRAN +5.5..........won the game outright

WRIGHT ST +4...........won the game outright

LOUISVILLE +5 .........won the game outright by 1 in OT

NC GREENS +6.5........won the game outright by 19

SANTA CLARA +2.......won the game outright by 7

CAL IRVINE +4............lost game by 1pt, but W ats

UL LAFAYETTE +4.......won the game outright by 6

9 losses...................

ELON +7.....................lost by 8

FORDH +6...................lost by 12 (had 2H lead)

LOY MRMNT +1.5......lost by 2 

BALL ST -1.5.............lost by 2

E.CAR. +3...................lost by 8

S.E MO.ST +2.5........ lost by 9

CHARLESTON -2........lost by 11

ARK LIL ROCK -3.......lost by 11

SAN FRAN +1.5..........lost by 6

***notes and quotes

(1st Half plays might be 20-6, but wasn't keeping official track at first, so we'll call it 19-7)

(Favorites are 1-3 so far...so if the system were dog only,the record would be 16-6)

(making changes to the system today...will update when I get time)

Have a great day.

GL2usTHISweek

jw11

My New System Guidelines...

*** Will NOT play teams that are favored............ (however ,I will track them and possibly re-instate them in the future)

*** WILL  play DOGS ONLY................................ (  the FAVORITE has to  OPEN @ pickem  thru -6....if it opens @ -6.5 or higher...it doesn't fit the system )...( then...the line has to rise AT LEAST 1.5 points... EXAMPLE -2 to -3.5...then the play is ON THE DOG @ +3.5 )

*** Will NOT play the flip-floppers.......................(these are the games that go from TeamA as the favorite ...to TeamB as the favorite)

*** WILL start playing 1stH and MoneyLine ...... some suggestions.... ( if you will continue playing 1 UNIT....a 30/30/40%split...or ....20/40/40%.....or 25/25/50% ) ...

( if you choose to go to 1.5 UNIT's ...either a 50/50/50% split...or  40/40/70% ...or 30/50/70% )

( 1h / ML / FullGame examples )

*** I DO NOT suggest doubling or tripling your plays....or spike betting.

The system has worked recently, but their are no guarentee's of that continueing...there are ALWAYS peaks and valley's.

*** Will NOT play on IVY LEAGUE or SUMMIT LEAGUE games

*** WILL play Conference AND Non-Conference games ( There are so few non conference games for the rest of the regular season , we will play on all games from now until the 64 team tournament begins... if the system is still working then...and we are up... it may continue  thru the tourney..)

These are MY guidelines to the system. You,of course ,can choose to tweek the system any way you would like to.

*** This system is used for entertainment purposes ONLY....real money is not to be used unless you are in the state of Nevada or any other country where it is legal to wager.

GL2us

jw11

For entertainment purposes only. I love it. We have a great country. But it makes absolutely no sense that one can go buy a Glock with a 35 round clip but I cant lay $100 dollars on Weber State.
 Anyway, why take out flip-floppers. UMASS moved into our play range for about an hour yesterday and covered easily for Will and I.

  Great Work

Northen Arizona - No Colorado
Northen Arizona open line -2 and now is -3.5 if stil this line until few minutes before the start games will betting no colorado +3.5 ? and how units will bet for no carolina +3.5 how units for money win , and hoy much money for first half ? give one example with units plan thanks mate good luck to your picks.

yeah, seems like Northern Colorado looking like a play by this criteria. Will be curious to see how this works out this week. GL

my stake plan  is 5 units , will bet money line and half time 2.5 units and handicap line 5 units right ?

where did northern colorado open at 2?

 

Good question

Yeah -if you look @ covers line history N. Arizona opened @ 2.5 on to books and 3 on over 20 others. The only one i see @ 2 is scores and odds.

 scoresandodds is the website he has been using since this thread started.   hope the hot streak continues....

We had been using https://www.scoresandodds.com/. If we think that opener is bogus or not representative, then it may not be a play.