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    All Forums | College Basketball

    NCAAB line move system

    «First Previous 123 ... 232425 Next Last»
    sbullet46
    Barnstorm
    jw11
    anthonyshere
    LexingtonTim
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    «First Previous 123 ... 232425 Next Last»
     
    sbullet46
    sbullet46
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2011 - 6:51 PM ET #576

    I locked Vandy +3/1h/ML and Valpo +1.5/1h/ML


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    I locked Vandy +3/1h/ML and Valpo +1.5/1h/ML


     
    Barnstorm
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2011 - 6:59 PM ET #577

    I took Valpo but I was already on Georgia -2.5.

    GL Georgia by 3!
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    I took Valpo but I was already on Georgia -2.5.

    GL Georgia by 3!
     
    sbullet46
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2011 - 7:36 PM ET #578

    Wouldn't that be something!  GL
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    Wouldn't that be something!  GL
     
    jw11
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    Posted: Feb. 17, 2011 - 9:21 AM ET #579

    Wednesday results...

    .....................1H........FG.......ML....

    VANDY +3......L.........W.........W

    VALPO +2......W........L...........L

    VALPO blew a nice 2nd half lead...and lost the game by 3 points. Didn't see the end of the game, so not sure how they lost. If they hang on, it's a great night....But pretty much split results.

    Thanks for the help Barnstorm and SBullet

    ................................................

    UPDATED RECORDS...

    1H.......31-20

    FG.......27-24

    ML...... 25 of 51 plays have been ML wins

    jw11

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    Wednesday results...

    .....................1H........FG.......ML....

    VANDY +3......L.........W.........W

    VALPO +2......W........L...........L

    VALPO blew a nice 2nd half lead...and lost the game by 3 points. Didn't see the end of the game, so not sure how they lost. If they hang on, it's a great night....But pretty much split results.

    Thanks for the help Barnstorm and SBullet

    ................................................

    UPDATED RECORDS...

    1H.......31-20

    FG.......27-24

    ML...... 25 of 51 plays have been ML wins

    jw11

     
    jw11
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    Posted: Feb. 17, 2011 - 9:30 AM ET #580

    Quote Originally Posted by sbullet46:

    jw-

    I used a very similar system in NFL 2 seasons ago.  I always bought the points up because personally for me I would rather lose -140 by a blow out then lose -110 by 1 point.  Just my $.02  I was on fire until I hit a 3 week stretch where I lost every game it seemed, so I retired the system.  After going through this thread, it might be time to bring it back.

    So far today I see a possibility of Vanderbilt and Wyoming...

    Thanks for the great thread!

    Buying up the points is something I am seriously looking into for next year.We have been burned too many times by hooks and 1 or two point losses (VALPO would have been a win last night).

    .......OR playing M/L rather than FG.(and of course I will stick with 1H plays until they fail me).

    Thanks for the kind words sb46.

    jw11

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by sbullet46:

    jw-

    I used a very similar system in NFL 2 seasons ago.  I always bought the points up because personally for me I would rather lose -140 by a blow out then lose -110 by 1 point.  Just my $.02  I was on fire until I hit a 3 week stretch where I lost every game it seemed, so I retired the system.  After going through this thread, it might be time to bring it back.

    So far today I see a possibility of Vanderbilt and Wyoming...

    Thanks for the great thread!

    Buying up the points is something I am seriously looking into for next year.We have been burned too many times by hooks and 1 or two point losses (VALPO would have been a win last night).

    .......OR playing M/L rather than FG.(and of course I will stick with 1H plays until they fail me).

    Thanks for the kind words sb46.

    jw11

     

     
    sbullet46
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    Posted: Feb. 17, 2011 - 9:36 AM ET #581

    No problem.  From what I read, Valpo missed 2 easy put backs at end of game to win, didn't get the rebound and then fouled to give up FT's to blow the cover.

    I need systems to rely on otherwise my money disappears quick.  Systems help with money management and help give a little confidence.

    On to today!  Ill check throughout day and post on this thread.

    Thanks everyone

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    No problem.  From what I read, Valpo missed 2 easy put backs at end of game to win, didn't get the rebound and then fouled to give up FT's to blow the cover.

    I need systems to rely on otherwise my money disappears quick.  Systems help with money management and help give a little confidence.

    On to today!  Ill check throughout day and post on this thread.

    Thanks everyone

     
    anthonyshere
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    Posted: Feb. 17, 2011 - 9:52 AM ET #582

    JW.....Totally agree w/you on the buying pts...I started about 2 months ago and can't tell you how much it has helped....I was just telling my friend I would much rather buy then go against a strong play because of a whole or half pt.Take Uconn for instance last night...I M/L them cause i didn't trust the spread but liked Uconn to win....The last thing i wanted to do was take Gtown cause the hook.Hope this helps man...GL MAN....Send me a friend request if you like to man,
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    JW.....Totally agree w/you on the buying pts...I started about 2 months ago and can't tell you how much it has helped....I was just telling my friend I would much rather buy then go against a strong play because of a whole or half pt.Take Uconn for instance last night...I M/L them cause i didn't trust the spread but liked Uconn to win....The last thing i wanted to do was take Gtown cause the hook.Hope this helps man...GL MAN....Send me a friend request if you like to man,
     
    LexingtonTim
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    Posted: Feb. 17, 2011 - 2:40 PM ET #583

    jw11

    How about line moves on the total? Are these moves a play against?
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    jw11

    How about line moves on the total? Are these moves a play against?
     
    sbullet46
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    Posted: Feb. 17, 2011 - 6:06 PM ET #584

    I don't see anything moving much today...
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    I don't see anything moving much today...
     
    Barnstorm
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    Posted: Feb. 17, 2011 - 6:26 PM ET #585

    Minny has gone to +3.5 from +2. Maybe only with higher juice  on MB.

    GL
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    Minny has gone to +3.5 from +2. Maybe only with higher juice  on MB.

    GL
     
    sbullet46
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    Posted: Feb. 17, 2011 - 7:08 PM ET #586

    Ended up with Richmond, Over of Minn/PSU, and NCST...can't take day off!

    GL
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    Ended up with Richmond, Over of Minn/PSU, and NCST...can't take day off!

    GL
     
    Barnstorm
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    Posted: Feb. 17, 2011 - 9:59 PM ET #587

    I took Minny, but only got +3 so pushed. But I also had the over. 

    But I also had Richmond.  

    Nice hit with NC State.
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    I took Minny, but only got +3 so pushed. But I also had the over. 

    But I also had Richmond.  

    Nice hit with NC State.
     
    jw11
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    Posted: Feb. 18, 2011 - 6:29 AM ET #588

    Thursday's result....

    N.C.ST.....1H (+2).........push

    ................FG (+4)........WIN

    ...............ML +140ish... WIN

    ........................................................

    updated SYSTEM RECORD...

    1H......31-20-1

    FG......28-24

    ML......26 of 52 games played were ML wins

    .............................................

    jw11

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    Thursday's result....

    N.C.ST.....1H (+2).........push

    ................FG (+4)........WIN

    ...............ML +140ish... WIN

    ........................................................

    updated SYSTEM RECORD...

    1H......31-20-1

    FG......28-24

    ML......26 of 52 games played were ML wins

    .............................................

    jw11

     
    CBARocks
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    Posted: Feb. 18, 2011 - 7:27 AM ET #589

    Been playing the consensus top road underdog under the top 10% and team experts. Hit the last 6 in a row. I look at it about 6:30 each night. I think I may be on to something. Jimmy the Greek just bet underdogs.
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    Been playing the consensus top road underdog under the top 10% and team experts. Hit the last 6 in a row. I look at it about 6:30 each night. I think I may be on to something. Jimmy the Greek just bet underdogs.
     
    sbullet46
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    Posted: Feb. 18, 2011 - 1:57 PM ET #590

    Today is shaping up to be Kent St and maybe Uconn
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    Today is shaping up to be Kent St and maybe Uconn
     
    Barnstorm
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    Posted: Feb. 18, 2011 - 6:04 PM ET #591

    Harvard and Kent State up to +5 from +4. If we do Ivy League. Not sure.

    I see UConn opened at +3.5, went to +4 and now back to +3.5. Doubt that it will get to +5.
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    Harvard and Kent State up to +5 from +4. If we do Ivy League. Not sure.

    I see UConn opened at +3.5, went to +4 and now back to +3.5. Doubt that it will get to +5.
     
    Barnstorm
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    Posted: Feb. 18, 2011 - 6:16 PM ET #592

    I meant Cornell +5 (vs Harvard), up from +4. Might not reach +5.5 and Ivy League may or may not qualify.

    Kent State still at +5.
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    I meant Cornell +5 (vs Harvard), up from +4. Might not reach +5.5 and Ivy League may or may not qualify.

    Kent State still at +5.
     
    CBARocks
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    Posted: Feb. 18, 2011 - 6:16 PM ET #593

    If anyone cares my 2 plays today are Dartmouth and U Conn. See if I can go 8-0
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    If anyone cares my 2 plays today are Dartmouth and U Conn. See if I can go 8-0
     
    eastcoastplayer
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    Posted: Feb. 18, 2011 - 6:19 PM ET #594

    Started out early this morning looking at these plays and thought I liked some, now, the more I look the less I like ANY of them.  Still leaning toward UConn, Brown, and Harvard

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    Started out early this morning looking at these plays and thought I liked some, now, the more I look the less I like ANY of them.  Still leaning toward UConn, Brown, and Harvard

     
    sbullet46
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    Posted: Feb. 18, 2011 - 6:30 PM ET #595

    I locked in the Kent 1H/ML/FG

    Ivy League and Summit are excluded I believe however I am leaning Harvard...

    GL
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    I locked in the Kent 1H/ML/FG

    Ivy League and Summit are excluded I believe however I am leaning Harvard...

    GL
     
    jw11
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    Posted: Feb. 19, 2011 - 7:07 AM ET #596

    Quote Originally Posted by CBARocks:

    Been playing the consensus top road underdog under the top 10% and team experts. Hit the last 6 in a row. I look at it about 6:30 each night. I think I may be on to something. Jimmy the Greek just bet underdogs.

    CBA

    l'm interested in your theory...but not quite sure I inderstand 100%.

    Can you explain with a little more detail please sir ?

    Thanks

    jw11

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    Quote Originally Posted by CBARocks:

    Been playing the consensus top road underdog under the top 10% and team experts. Hit the last 6 in a row. I look at it about 6:30 each night. I think I may be on to something. Jimmy the Greek just bet underdogs.

    CBA

    l'm interested in your theory...but not quite sure I inderstand 100%.

    Can you explain with a little more detail please sir ?

    Thanks

    jw11

     
    jw11
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    Posted: Feb. 19, 2011 - 7:12 AM ET #597

    I figure today may be a good day...two reasons....

    1.......the last two Saturdays were tough.

    2.......I have important business to take care of and I won't be around to check the line moves.

    LOL

    ...ain't that how it usually works ?

    ....................................................

    Clarifications...

    No Ivy or Summit League.

    ...but....i see alot of inter-conference games....and we ARE playiong interconference games ....unless they involve IVY or SUMMIT.

     

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    I figure today may be a good day...two reasons....

    1.......the last two Saturdays were tough.

    2.......I have important business to take care of and I won't be around to check the line moves.

    LOL

    ...ain't that how it usually works ?

    ....................................................

    Clarifications...

    No Ivy or Summit League.

    ...but....i see alot of inter-conference games....and we ARE playiong interconference games ....unless they involve IVY or SUMMIT.

     

     
    jakeandba
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    Posted: Feb. 19, 2011 - 8:36 AM ET #598

    Not sure if anyone has been able to back test but started with Jan 10. 

    For Jan based on post 264 filters, found the following results:

    Betting the dog SU:13 W or +239 on risking 10 against 32 loses or -320.

    Betting dog ATS: 26 W or +260 against 19 loses -209

    This was using scoresandodds.  Since did not know the first half lines unable to test for that filter.  These results should be used as a guide since dont have a database and results completed by hand.   

     

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    Not sure if anyone has been able to back test but started with Jan 10. 

    For Jan based on post 264 filters, found the following results:

    Betting the dog SU:13 W or +239 on risking 10 against 32 loses or -320.

    Betting dog ATS: 26 W or +260 against 19 loses -209

    This was using scoresandodds.  Since did not know the first half lines unable to test for that filter.  These results should be used as a guide since dont have a database and results completed by hand.   

     

     
    jakeandba
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    Posted: Feb. 19, 2011 - 9:08 AM ET #599

    To clarify the testing was for jan of 2010 not from this yr.
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    To clarify the testing was for jan of 2010 not from this yr.
     
     
    sbullet46
    sbullet46
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    Posted: Feb. 19, 2011 - 10:43 AM ET #600

    Tulsa +1.5/1H/ML
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    Tulsa +1.5/1H/ML
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