Morning guys and i am still majorally pizzed about yesterdays turn of events
ECU was just the 3rd team of 14 teams that had reached level 0-7 loss streaks this year and as noted only 2 others were able to not cover and what pizzes me off is the odds makers did not help them as i had expected as they have done in past for the other ELEVEN TEAMS that did cover and to me a 0-7 loss streak is a call to the odds makers to help these 20 year olds get a cover maybe not a win SU but at least help them to cover a game so they can look at themselves in the mirror and say well we lost but the odds makers helped us cover and to give them confidence for the future.Yes we know there no powerhouse but they still are kids trying their best and in life that is truly all we ask of everyone is to give it your best
From last night on they will have a tough road going forwardas eastern ILL and N Dakota as they too experienced ECU's experience and they both went to 0-11 b 4 odds makers got them a cover so this team is a team to avoid for the next few starts but they will eventually get their cover
Morning guys and i am still majorally pizzed about yesterdays turn of events
ECU was just the 3rd team of 14 teams that had reached level 0-7 loss streaks this year and as noted only 2 others were able to not cover and what pizzes me off is the odds makers did not help them as i had expected as they have done in past for the other ELEVEN TEAMS that did cover and to me a 0-7 loss streak is a call to the odds makers to help these 20 year olds get a cover maybe not a win SU but at least help them to cover a game so they can look at themselves in the mirror and say well we lost but the odds makers helped us cover and to give them confidence for the future.Yes we know there no powerhouse but they still are kids trying their best and in life that is truly all we ask of everyone is to give it your best
From last night on they will have a tough road going forwardas eastern ILL and N Dakota as they too experienced ECU's experience and they both went to 0-11 b 4 odds makers got them a cover so this team is a team to avoid for the next few starts but they will eventually get their cover
WE have 2 new teams pending play currently at 0-7 next and both play on Saturday Central Fla and IUPU
Will the odds makers help them with a more favorable point spread or will they allow them the same fate as ECU,East ILL,and N Dakota,guess we will see on Saturday
0-7 loss streak record stands at 11-3 covers
I say they do and my 10 units says they do
WE have 2 new teams pending play currently at 0-7 next and both play on Saturday Central Fla and IUPU
Will the odds makers help them with a more favorable point spread or will they allow them the same fate as ECU,East ILL,and N Dakota,guess we will see on Saturday
Likewise Chattanooga and Princeton were 5-0 win streak teams that failed to cover as record for season was showing at 24-11 to continue to 6-0 and again only Nebraska was able to support the record and another disappointment at a 69% cover ratio for 2014
The current record for 5-0 win streaks to not cover is 13-25 and why i played it in reverse
Likewise Chattanooga and Princeton were 5-0 win streak teams that failed to cover as record for season was showing at 24-11 to continue to 6-0 and again only Nebraska was able to support the record and another disappointment at a 69% cover ratio for 2014
The current record for 5-0 win streaks to not cover is 13-25 and why i played it in reverse
In reviewing today's match ups we have a lot of level 3 streaks playing today both win and loss(6)
3-0 win streaks to cover for 2014 to date is 142-93 =60% they do not cover today and a 1 unit play they don't
0-3 loss streak teams this year are 96-114 to cover and at 46% to cover and if reverse at 54% both do not meet threads minimum of 60% and a 1 unit play so we pass on all these plays
In reviewing today's match ups we have a lot of level 3 streaks playing today both win and loss(6)
3-0 win streaks to cover for 2014 to date is 142-93 =60% they do not cover today and a 1 unit play they don't
0-3 loss streak teams this year are 96-114 to cover and at 46% to cover and if reverse at 54% both do not meet threads minimum of 60% and a 1 unit play so we pass on all these plays
Stay in the fight brotha...long season still ahead. Its all about money management in this game we call wagering. Take your lumps and live to fight another day...LET'S GO!!!!!
Stay in the fight brotha...long season still ahead. Its all about money management in this game we call wagering. Take your lumps and live to fight another day...LET'S GO!!!!!
That takes us to Saturday but in reviewing streaks we do not have much pending that appear worthwhile to play
Virginia is at the highest win streak at 8-0 but the 8-0 streak record to NOT cover is just 3-2
Nebraska with that cover yesterday is now at 6-0 but streak system record to not cover is just 14-10 = 58% and below Streak System 60% as a play,so we pass this play
5-0 streaks have three teams on Saturday(13-25 to not cover)
so due to record we reverse play to cover at 66% but just 1 unit plays
Siu Edwardville
East ILL
G Washington
4-0 record to not cover (48-40) but below our 60% rule(PASS)
Duke
N Mexico
Delaware
Davidson
N Dakota
appears that is all that is even remotely avail for a discussion in playing on Saturday until some of these streaks get their acts together and excel to a higher streak later in week or weeks
I will look into the NBA and NHL to see what System see's there after yesterday
That takes us to Saturday but in reviewing streaks we do not have much pending that appear worthwhile to play
Virginia is at the highest win streak at 8-0 but the 8-0 streak record to NOT cover is just 3-2
Nebraska with that cover yesterday is now at 6-0 but streak system record to not cover is just 14-10 = 58% and below Streak System 60% as a play,so we pass this play
5-0 streaks have three teams on Saturday(13-25 to not cover)
so due to record we reverse play to cover at 66% but just 1 unit plays
Siu Edwardville
East ILL
G Washington
4-0 record to not cover (48-40) but below our 60% rule(PASS)
Duke
N Mexico
Delaware
Davidson
N Dakota
appears that is all that is even remotely avail for a discussion in playing on Saturday until some of these streaks get their acts together and excel to a higher streak later in week or weeks
I will look into the NBA and NHL to see what System see's there after yesterday
SteveO - my man! I hear ya bro - hard hit - I made my duckets back & then some with my UNDER 10 Min Play last night! I would of followed that play again - that was a tough one - those second half covers kill my brain cells & age my a$$ every damn time! I have faith in ya man - hang tough Brotha - my view is...I will never tail someone UNLESS I have done my own research as well - it does not hold that provider of the pick accountable. Anyhow, off my soap box & onto brighter days ahead kid....
BOO!!
SteveO - my man! I hear ya bro - hard hit - I made my duckets back & then some with my UNDER 10 Min Play last night! I would of followed that play again - that was a tough one - those second half covers kill my brain cells & age my a$$ every damn time! I have faith in ya man - hang tough Brotha - my view is...I will never tail someone UNLESS I have done my own research as well - it does not hold that provider of the pick accountable. Anyhow, off my soap box & onto brighter days ahead kid....
Hey StevO - though u said there was two 10 Unit plays coming this Sat? "WE have 2 new teams pending play currently at 0-7 next and both play on Saturday Central Fla and IUPU.."
Or am I not reading this right?
BOO!
Hey StevO - though u said there was two 10 Unit plays coming this Sat? "WE have 2 new teams pending play currently at 0-7 next and both play on Saturday Central Fla and IUPU.."
correction east Ill did not belong in there but they do play Siu and at dead last #321 in Div 1 ncaab i like the odds and may increase my wager to 5 units on Siu Edwardsville to cover
5-0 streaks have two teams on Saturday(13-25 to not cover)
so due to record we reverse play to cover at 66% but just 1 unit plays
Siu Edwardville
G Washington
correction east Ill did not belong in there but they do play Siu and at dead last #321 in Div 1 ncaab i like the odds and may increase my wager to 5 units on Siu Edwardsville to cover
5-0 streaks have two teams on Saturday(13-25 to not cover)
so due to record we reverse play to cover at 66% but just 1 unit plays
I hear ya - seen that so many times - can not comprehend for the life of me how they can get blown out first half & readjust so much at half to keep it close second half - but....that's gambling for ya....
I hear ya - seen that so many times - can not comprehend for the life of me how they can get blown out first half & readjust so much at half to keep it close second half - but....that's gambling for ya....
I just went thru NBA and Hockey leagues for this evening and nothing reaches system requirements of 60% where records of covers and loss streaks are at currently,
I may need to hit BJ tables t nite
I just went thru NBA and Hockey leagues for this evening and nothing reaches system requirements of 60% where records of covers and loss streaks are at currently,
Morning guys and i am still majorally pizzed about yesterdays turn of events
ECU was just the 3rd team of 14 teams that had reached level 0-7 loss streaks this year and as noted only 2 others were able to not cover and what pizzes me off is the odds makers did not help them as i had expected as they have done in past for the other ELEVEN TEAMS that did cover and to me a 0-7 loss streak is a call to the odds makers to help these 20 year olds get a cover maybe not a win SU but at least help them to cover a game so they can look at themselves in the mirror and say well we lost but the odds makers helped us cover and to give them confidence for the future.Yes we know there no powerhouse but they still are kids trying their best and in life that is truly all we ask of everyone is to give it your best
From last night on they will have a tough road going forwardas eastern ILL and N Dakota as they too experienced ECU's experience and they both went to 0-11 b 4 odds makers got them a cover so this team is a team to avoid for the next few starts but they will eventually get their cover
Let me say first, I appreciate your hard work. I think the way you have crunched numbers is awesome. I am even tailing you on some of these plays. That being said, if you think a college student feels some sort of moral victory by getting inside the number on a game or even better if you feel the oddsmakers are concerned with the feelings of a twenty year when they post the number you are insane. When I say insane I mean the mental capacity to understand how the system works. You have impressed me with your work on here but to start saying the oddsmakers are "on to you", or that they have compassion when creating the line borders on mental instability. The oddsmakers or for that matter could care less about a measly 10 unit bet that doesn't even nudge the line. You are not that important. Maybe 10 dimes each wager over a short successful period, then yes, but only the book is going to take notice. Stevo, if you are going to continue to be successful, you need remove the paranoid and emotional feelings you are having. My suggestion, go play some golf at South Highlands or Rhodes Ranch and take a day or two off. This is just my take on the last few days. Keep up the solid work. I am sure I will continue to tail.
Quote Originally Posted by stevo1:
Morning guys and i am still majorally pizzed about yesterdays turn of events
ECU was just the 3rd team of 14 teams that had reached level 0-7 loss streaks this year and as noted only 2 others were able to not cover and what pizzes me off is the odds makers did not help them as i had expected as they have done in past for the other ELEVEN TEAMS that did cover and to me a 0-7 loss streak is a call to the odds makers to help these 20 year olds get a cover maybe not a win SU but at least help them to cover a game so they can look at themselves in the mirror and say well we lost but the odds makers helped us cover and to give them confidence for the future.Yes we know there no powerhouse but they still are kids trying their best and in life that is truly all we ask of everyone is to give it your best
From last night on they will have a tough road going forwardas eastern ILL and N Dakota as they too experienced ECU's experience and they both went to 0-11 b 4 odds makers got them a cover so this team is a team to avoid for the next few starts but they will eventually get their cover
Let me say first, I appreciate your hard work. I think the way you have crunched numbers is awesome. I am even tailing you on some of these plays. That being said, if you think a college student feels some sort of moral victory by getting inside the number on a game or even better if you feel the oddsmakers are concerned with the feelings of a twenty year when they post the number you are insane. When I say insane I mean the mental capacity to understand how the system works. You have impressed me with your work on here but to start saying the oddsmakers are "on to you", or that they have compassion when creating the line borders on mental instability. The oddsmakers or for that matter could care less about a measly 10 unit bet that doesn't even nudge the line. You are not that important. Maybe 10 dimes each wager over a short successful period, then yes, but only the book is going to take notice. Stevo, if you are going to continue to be successful, you need remove the paranoid and emotional feelings you are having. My suggestion, go play some golf at South Highlands or Rhodes Ranch and take a day or two off. This is just my take on the last few days. Keep up the solid work. I am sure I will continue to tail.
Kid i understand what you are saying and in part i agree with you all i was trying to say was Its the job of odds makers to balance out the playas we all know, to equal the casinos W/L's and balance out the losses they may endure,but after a team has not covereda considerable # of games in a row 0-9 something has to be done to fix this and i do believe the odds makers take these teams under review as other wise the $10 public will fade them and so will the $10,000 guy who's looking for easy money as why not just fade them and collect as many do as its all just a business with that $10,000 guy who wagers those sums and those 10 dollar wagers do add up too down the road
Kid i understand what you are saying and in part i agree with you all i was trying to say was Its the job of odds makers to balance out the playas we all know, to equal the casinos W/L's and balance out the losses they may endure,but after a team has not covereda considerable # of games in a row 0-9 something has to be done to fix this and i do believe the odds makers take these teams under review as other wise the $10 public will fade them and so will the $10,000 guy who's looking for easy money as why not just fade them and collect as many do as its all just a business with that $10,000 guy who wagers those sums and those 10 dollar wagers do add up too down the road
I have been reviewing my Spring Training MLB records for last 5 years and yes the make ups change to some degree but the overall approach for all teams is to be ready for the season ahead but over the years i have found there is $$$$ to be made if follow certain teams and watch their success as they go thru the month of MARCH in preparation for the current season ahead
I don't know how may of you involve yourselves in Spring Training games but i do find there is a lot of easy money to win following these games although most of the time you do not know who is even in game and for how long and that goes for almost every position on the field along with short games and games that end with a tie along with short games due to all reasons,,Bee Attacks,,and etc
What i have found certain teams go on long win streaks and also loss streaks as in Ncaab along with runs scored vs runs allowed with specific and drastic differences and if you can jump on at right time you can build a nice bank roll into the upcoming season ahead
and that is what i will be doing come last week of February
As noted the other day in this thread Kansas City had a hell of a ST last year and that 10-0 win streak was impressive and it will be interesting to see how well they do this Spring and Seattle's 9-0 win streak also was impressive
Jumping on these types of teams early when recognized can be a nice way to enter the season with a nice bankroll and i definitely am ready to comply.
Another thing to watch is teams that can score runs as Rangers did last Spring scoring 199 runs and tops for all teams in AL although they did allow 130, where as Royals scored 183 and only allowed 95
getting ready
I have been reviewing my Spring Training MLB records for last 5 years and yes the make ups change to some degree but the overall approach for all teams is to be ready for the season ahead but over the years i have found there is $$$$ to be made if follow certain teams and watch their success as they go thru the month of MARCH in preparation for the current season ahead
I don't know how may of you involve yourselves in Spring Training games but i do find there is a lot of easy money to win following these games although most of the time you do not know who is even in game and for how long and that goes for almost every position on the field along with short games and games that end with a tie along with short games due to all reasons,,Bee Attacks,,and etc
What i have found certain teams go on long win streaks and also loss streaks as in Ncaab along with runs scored vs runs allowed with specific and drastic differences and if you can jump on at right time you can build a nice bank roll into the upcoming season ahead
and that is what i will be doing come last week of February
As noted the other day in this thread Kansas City had a hell of a ST last year and that 10-0 win streak was impressive and it will be interesting to see how well they do this Spring and Seattle's 9-0 win streak also was impressive
Jumping on these types of teams early when recognized can be a nice way to enter the season with a nice bankroll and i definitely am ready to comply.
Another thing to watch is teams that can score runs as Rangers did last Spring scoring 199 runs and tops for all teams in AL although they did allow 130, where as Royals scored 183 and only allowed 95
correction east Ill did not belong in there but they do play Siu and at dead last #321 in Div 1 ncaab i like the odds and may increase my wager to 5 units on Siu Edwardsville to cover
5-0 streaks have two teams on Saturday(13-25 to not cover)
so due to record we reverse play to cover at 66% but just 1 unit plays
Siu Edwardville
G Washington
So you're saying play G Washington to cover spread , thanks in advance
glta
Quote Originally Posted by stevo1:
correction east Ill did not belong in there but they do play Siu and at dead last #321 in Div 1 ncaab i like the odds and may increase my wager to 5 units on Siu Edwardsville to cover
5-0 streaks have two teams on Saturday(13-25 to not cover)
so due to record we reverse play to cover at 66% but just 1 unit plays
Siu Edwardville
G Washington
So you're saying play G Washington to cover spread , thanks in advance
I really like GW on Saturday and that 5-0 win streak record to continue at 25-13 vs 0-4 Dayton and 0-4 record to cover at 57-51 tells me GW is def the play and will probably be a 5 unit play for me
I really like GW on Saturday and that 5-0 win streak record to continue at 25-13 vs 0-4 Dayton and 0-4 record to cover at 57-51 tells me GW is def the play and will probably be a 5 unit play for me
damnnn odds makers another blown Point Spread game
getting ready
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