Posted:
#1951
Do u have any NCAAB plays going today?
Ncaab ATS Streak Breakers for 2013/2014
Posted:
#1952
Hey Peeps - Sorry about last night - close one - but a loss is a loss nonetheless. I am 10-4 with these system plays I have going. Got one for tonight.
--- KENT ST. NORTHERN ILL (OVER 29 First 10 MINUTES - Good value here +100 -- I have it capped at 32.5 to 33 --- Should hit!! Putting 3 UNITS on this one (1 UNIT = 100 duckets)
Good luck as always Peace 
BOOYATEE!!
Posted:
#1953
Quote Originally Posted by BooTee:
Hey Peeps - Sorry about last night - close one - but a loss is a loss nonetheless. I am 10-4 with these system plays I have going. Got one for tonight.
Hey Peeps - Sorry about last night - close one - but a loss is a loss nonetheless. I am 10-4 with these system plays I have going. Got one for tonight.
--- KENT ST. NORTHERN ILL (OVER 29 First 10 MINUTES - Good value here +100 -- I have it capped at 32.5 to 33 --- Should hit!! Putting 3 UNITS on this one (1 UNIT = 100 duckets)
Adding --- IOWA ST. KANSAS (OVER 36 First 10 MINUTES - 120) have this one capped at 39 - 5 UNITS on this one!
Good luck as always Peace
BOOYATEE!!
Posted:
#1954
guys look at this from my post on 12/26 this year for NBA and look at the record now(page#600 back in thread)
Posted: 12/26/2013 10:34:43 AM
so what have we learned from NBA is the followingteams on a 5-0 win streak you play them to not cover their next game. RECORD is 8-4 they will not cover (67%)
______________________________________
Teams on a 0-6 no cover streak you play to cover their next GAME Cur Record is 5-1 they will cover at 83%
One problem is we don't have any teams at 0-6 YET
the closest we have is
0-4 Nets
0-4 Portland
also we do not have any at 5-0 yet but we do have
4-0
Pacers
need to watch these teams reach levels we need
and what are the current records as of today 1/29/14
5-0 win streaks to stop as of today are 11-9
5-0 win streaks to stop as of 12/26 were 8-4
look at difference where they stand today 3-5 dif from 12/26 a month ago which shows odds makers are doing a better job a month later than they were back in early december
It has gone from 83% down now to 55% and why NBA has no plays of late
Posted:
#1956
No plays today in ncaab but i'm trying a small parlay Mix of games for a few bucks
730 to cover
742 to cover
759 to cover
#52 Islanders to win
#56 Vancouver to win
will they all cover ?? prob not but willing to give it a try as we have our Biggie coming on 30th (break open those piggy banks boys)
Posted:
#1957
need to correct that NBA fiasco i just posted
on 12/26 0-6 loss streak teams record to cover was 5-1 83% and currently the record is 6-7,,,that is a total reversal of 1-6 in one month of of plays and almost a 100% odds makers turn around record
Likewise 5-0 win streaks to not cover were 8-4 67% and as of today it is at 11-9 55% and the reason we have no NBA plays today
Posted:
#1958
Quote Originally Posted by stevo1:
look at difference where they stand today 3-5 dif from 12/26 a month ago which shows odds makers are doing a better job a month later than they were back in early december
It has gone from 83% down now to 55% and why NBA has no plays of late
Sample size far too small to make that assumption. You'd need dozens, if not hundreds, of games plays to make the determination that "odd makers" are somehow reacting to all of our small penny-ante bets.
Yes penny-ante.
The total betting power of this thread is likely between $25k and $200k on these games, tops. And that's being generous.
Meanwhile the nationwide bets on each individual NCAAB game are estimated to be between $10M-$20M wagered, per game, per day.
The "books are on to us" is just paranoia after a single bad beat.
Keep doing what you're doing, back test your systems to previous years if you have the time, get that sample size up into the 100's-of-games, and you'll see the real picture. THEN it will be ready to take into a software program, which I can help you with.
For now, not enough data to make any conclusions. Keep doin what you're doin, you are awesome to manaully handle the load, appreciate it greatly. 
Posted:
#1960
i have the last 5 years records and back up together and the record are almost identical fron previous years at same time frames so i disagree with you assumption as # of games are too small as the season goes forward will the #'s naturally but i try and plays streaks at same time slots as previous years as posted back in thread
Posted:
#1961
I also like to monitor how streak records progress or not progress and how odds makers correct their point spreads
and to turn a 5-1 win streak back to to 6-7 record says something to me and a lot easier to do with Pro NBA than a NCAAB group of 20 Year olds more interested in getting LAID than collect 5 mil as a NBA player although dream of that day
Posted:
#1962
Quote Originally Posted by stevo1:
i have the last 5 years records and back up together and the record are almost identical fron previous years at same time frames so i disagree with you assumption as # of games are too small as the season goes forward will the #'s naturally but i try and plays streaks at same time slots as previous years as posted back in thread
i have the last 5 years records and back up together and the record are almost identical fron previous years at same time frames so i disagree with you assumption as # of games are too small as the season goes forward will the #'s naturally but i try and plays streaks at same time slots as previous years as posted back in thread
Ah, that's far better. In your post you only indicated a sample size of just this season, and less than 20 total games at that. Under that small sample size there's no disagreement between us: It would be far too little to draw a conclusion on and certainly no action would need to be taken.
BUT...if you're looking at a much larger span of games than you posted, then assumptions could absolutely be made about the books adjusting. 
What is your total sample size for NCAAB/NBA? And thanks again for the work, can't say it enough. 
Posted:
#1963
This is how the records were at same time as last year
Posted: 1/24/2014 6:41:46 PM
Page 608 Went back to CONFIRM win streak records for 2012/13 to
NOT COVER in Ncaab
11-0 streak 0-1 St Louis last to not cover 3/06/13
10-0 streak 1-1 Appalach st last to not cover 1/17/13
9-0 streak 1-2 Geor town last to not cover 2/27/13
8-0 streak 5-3 Samford last to not cover 3/08/13
7-0 streak 8-8 Miss st last to not cover 2/09/13
6-0 streak 18-16 San fran last to not cover 2/14/13
5-0 streak 21-34 Cornell last to not cover 2/22/13
4-0 streak 84-55 Cal Poly last to not cover 2/20/13
Odds makers record to stop all streaks 138 no covers vs 120 covers
2012/2013 Loss streaks to cover
0-10 streak 1-0 IUPUI last to cover 12/23/12
0-9 streak 2-1 Ole Dom last to cover 2/07/13
0-8 streak 3-3 Port St last to cover 2/18/13
0-7 streak 6-6 Utah St last to cover 1/31/13
0-6 streak 15-12 Oregon last to cover 2/13/13
0-5 streak 33-27 S Carolina last to cover 2/16/13
0-4 streak 63-64 Wash St last to cover 2/16/13
Just a review from last year how things are playing out to date
Posted:
#1964
this was the final records at close of 2013 season and sheds some light what to expect in last month of season in comparison of last year
Nothing is fool proof but gives you a feel of what to expect and i have past years also but i think last years reflects same team group to most degree as mix changes the farther you go back and also has an effect of results
Posted:
#1965
Maco -CV
these records are the total results of millions of wagers made on these streak teams,Do not think this apply's to just covers group,,,,and the odds makers ability to balance out these plays as actually is a record of how their line placement record is on every game they posted for season
Posted:
#1966
just one small sample last year level 4
0-4 streak 63-64 Wash St last to cover 2/16/13 (1) diff
0-4 this year to date 53-47 win streaks to date (6) diff
that equates we will see another 12 0-4 loss streaks by seasons end and approx and 17 additional win streaks by seasons end that will have stopped
Posted:
#1971
730 to cover
742 to cover
damnnn bill leave her alone
damnnn bill leave her alone759 to cover
#52 Islanders to win
#56 Vancouver to win
did not expect a win and why i threw away 20 Bucks
____________________________________________
last year 4-0 streaks went 84-55 no covers= 60 %
this year curr 4-0 streaks 47-39 no covers = 55%
thats a shortage of ,,,,,,,,,,,,,37-15 no covers = 71%
4-0 streaks will not cover thru bal of season
__________________________________________
last year 0-5 streaks went 33-27 covers =55%
this year they are currently 21-26 covers = 45%
thats a shortage of ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,12-1 this needs to be watched
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