Posted:
#151
ALL losing streaks to cover are 30-29
All Win Streaks to not cover are 27-30
Combined are 57-59
Odds makers right on track to balance out teams
Ncaab ATS Streak Breakers for 2013/2014
Posted:
#152
This is for Rickster
thank god i don't count on 20 year olds to win me money at sports or any thing else for that matter as other wise i would be broke,,,,Give me a BJ table and i'll be fine but the small wagers i make on sports even if won i'd still need public transportation if that was my only vice i had going
Give me a stupid Dealer and we do have them here in Vegas and i'll be fine .If you ever want to pizz them off don't give hand signals till they ask what you want, really pizzes them off
Posted:
#153
appears i read it right but not over yet 
This Wright St Play goes against the systems thread objective but lets remember this level is at 0-5 and so far the odds makers are not helping these losing streak teams if their 0-3 record is reviewed and just assisting with a +1 and on road
guess we will have to wait and see
wright St to 0-6 Knew odds makers shorted them points
Posted:
#160
Well gents its now December and the Teams should be heating up and so should the wagers ( First the top 31 ATS teams per Covers)
Drexel 6-0-0
Oregon 6-0-0
Drake 6-0-0
Wyoming 6-0-0
Charlotte 5-0-0
Pacific 6-1-0
Iowa St 4-0-0
Utah St 5-1-0
Penn St 4-0-1
Umass 5-1-0
Indiana 5-1-0
Fsu 5-1-0
Wichita St 5-1-1
Semo 5-1-0
Pepp 5-1-0
SC Upstate 3-0-0
San Diego St 4-1-0
St Mary's 4-1-0
Dayton 4-1-0
Wis Milw 5-2-0
Nova 4-1-0
Memphis 4-1-0
Vir tech 4-1-0
Maryland 4-1-0
Hofstra 4-1-1
Arizona 5-2-0
Mid Tenn St 4-1-0
Morehead St 5-2-0
Tex tech 5-2-0
Ucla 5-2-0
12/2 None play todayof the top ATS this week we have
of the top ATS this week we haveOn 12/3 we have 3,,Penn St,Umass,and Ind,
On 12/4 we have Nova,Md,Pepp,Hofstra,(Drexel can they go 7-0) or do odds makers lay points on them
On 12/5 we have 1,,San Diego St
Posted:
#161
One problem with Most teams in top ATS is they do not all have Large win Streaks other than very top teams(6/7) so can they continue is the question or does the odds makers start applying enough points against them to slow them down and their followers who are wagering on them to continue to assist the books bank.
We all know, nothing lasts forever and that goes for every thing in life and ncaab is no different
So who covers and who does not is the current QUESTION
Time will tell
Posted:
#162
Just as the TOP ATS need to be controlled you have the same for the WORST teams that need help,One problem with them is finding the correct # of points to assist them a few W's in season.This usually can be longer trial period in finding the correct Points to assist a possible COVER as without it they could go win less for the year
Cal Northridge is one that appears needing help at 0-6 ATS and plays on 12/3 so do the odds makers try and help them ???
Otherwise it could be a long 2013/14 season and even then it still could be a long season
S Dakota St and Wright St are also in need of assistance at 0-6 and play later in week
What i have found in most cases teams at 0-4's seem to cover more than any other group or level and at a current record of 10-4 to cover does perk my interest
S Utah is at that level and plays on 12/3,you may want to review that game as at 10-4 to cover is pretty good odds
Murray St follows in their foot steps on 12/4 (FYI) and on 12/5 we have Providence and E kentucky all at 0-4
So the 10-4 record (0-4) will be tested early this week and will be interesting to see where it is by weeks end
Stay Tuned
Posted:
#163
Post page 160 was to be posted last night,prior to game starts but has all the ATS records,so though would assist some
0-6 Cal Nothridge (If Northridge should not cover they will be the first at 0-7)
0-4 S Utah (looking for a cover) at 10-4 to cover
0-3 we have 5 teams( I normally do not play this level) more for watching,unless i get some good feed back
Alr
S Louis
Geo tech
Stetson
Minn
___________________________
Win streaks on tap today
5-0 ( Cur record 1-4 ) to stop (2012/13 Rec was 21-34)
Indiana ( They could go to 6-0) per this years record 1-4
______________
4-0 ( Cur record 7-7 to stop ) (2012/13) rec was 84-57
Penn St
Umass
May need to review opposition on these 2 for final decision
Posted:
#164
Syracuse at 3-0 and home is playing Indiana at 5-0 getting 6.5
3-0 win record is 19-20 to stop (50-50)
5-0 records to date are 1-4 to stop ( 75%) to continue
I do not see Indiana not covering today with this years record at 1-4 to stop at 5-0 This goes against threads objective but just as last night it just was not wright St's time to cover and i see the same for Cuse
______________________________________________________
In reviewing Pitt vs Penn St i do not see Pitt covering 13 points but anything can happen
and with a 7-7 for 4-0's to cover i think psu could cover.Pitt also did beat Stanford 88-67 so that bothers me so may pass this play unless someone can talk me into it
4-0's are not strong plays imo either and at 7-7
_______________________________________
Umass on the other hand appears as an easier play as although at 4-0 to at 7-7 to cover vs #92 ATS East Mich (2-1-0) does not appear as a Stronger team although at home getting 6
___________________________________________________
Posted:
#165
0-6 Northridge appears to have a great chance t nite in covering and getting a very needed WIN as if they can't cover against southern Utah it could be a very long 2014 season
S Utah's scoring of 57,47,59,57 ave (55) vs an aver of 72 (6 games) for Cal Nrthdge sure appears as 13 could be acceptable for them to cover
Posted:
#166
0-6 Northridge appears to have a great chance t nite in covering and getting a very needed WIN as if they can't cover against Southern Utah it could be a very long 2014 season
S Utah's scoring of 57,47,59,57 ave (55) vs an aver of 72 (6 games) for Cal Nrthdge sure appears as 13 could be acceptable for them to cover
There's only one problem with this match up
0-4's are 10-4 to cover and if do then Cal Northridge goes to 0-7
Northridge is saddled with a 13/14 point disparity in this contest and if S Utah does not cover then the 0-4's to cover go to 10-5
Something has to give this evening
Posted:
#170
On that E.Mich play,I had them against Kent.FH and game,but the line was 14 and 21,they have good size and guard play and should do will in conf.,but against UMass as Kent.wore them down,I almost took Kent.sec.half-10.5 but passed on it,but it would of hit as they loss sec.half by 15.
I'm not sure they can hang with them all game,but was thinking if I could get 3 or 4 FH I might play them,I have 2.5 now so going to wait and see if it moves.Also Kent.was the only game they played away from home,but do have a couple decent wins,but not a tuff sch.overall.
I'm not sure they can hang with them all game,but was thinking if I could get 3 or 4 FH I might play them,I have 2.5 now so going to wait and see if it moves.Also Kent.was the only game they played away from home,but do have a couple decent wins,but not a tuff sch.overall.
Posted:
#171
Jegg, yes i agree with a lot you post but i am counting on odds makers to continue to place the proper points on games to minimize outcome in games.E Mich may have edge but i think if they were that much stronger the points would be less for Umass to give.All i can hope for is a poss reduction prior to start but i don't really see that happening this late in day
Posted:
#172
Cap
Drudatt
I have to go with ATS and streak records and odds makers decisions as supposedly they are the experts and to date they have done an excellent JOB
Pg 151
ALL losing streaks to cover are 30-29
All Win Streaks to not cover are 27-30
Combined are 57-59
Odds makers right on track to balance out teams Can't do much better than this
Posted:
#174
As we all know its not about all the hype,$$$, and ability, as odds makers already have factored all that in. Home/Away,etc.if they want to be correct and continue on a very nice record i see games materializing as they have done in this very short season.There will always be exceptions to the rule but that error in point placement lies with Odds Makers and supposedly they get paid to be correct or good bye.To date they have been EXCELLENT Overall
Thus my $$$ will follow their lead
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