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Ncaab ATS Streak Breakers for 2013/2014

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Posts: 3174

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Feb. 21, 2014 - 11:39 AM ET #2976

yesterdays streaks went as follows

3-0,,,,2-2

4-0,,,,2-1

5-0,,,,2-0 this level is doing well lately and could be back(37-23) to go to 6-0 to date and 7-3 over the last 10 plays

6-0,,,No plays yest

7-0,,,2-0,,, both covered and against streak sys now overall 7-8 and 3-3 last 6 plays

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0-3 ,,,2-3

0-4,,,,0-1

0-6,,, 0-1 Sys expected this level to cover at 9-1 to cover over last 10 plays and overall for season is 20-17 to cover and now 9-2

at 82% this level will cover from 90% only a fool would go the other way and yes the fool won last night but it will not continue

Okla St is the next team at 0-6 and plays on 2/22 and yes i will wager 10 units on them to cover what ever the point spread will be

Quone

Veteran

Joined: May, 2007

Posts: 1212

Posted: Feb. 21, 2014 - 11:41 AM ET #2977

It just hurt to lose 30 units last night stevo. Keep up the work though.

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Feb. 21, 2014 - 11:57 AM ET #2978

Quone i agree as it hurts when ever you lose at what ever the $$$$ is as we all are at various $$$ levels in our lives but everybody must manage their bankroll within their station in life that allows them to do.You do not bet 10 units on a game if you only make 300/500 a week unless your nuts as there will always be another game and another wager. Play within your means and what you can afford to lose

This is my policy and let your bankroll build as season progresses.Then possibly you can raise your wager levels as i have done but i've been at this since day one and fortunate to hit some very nice parlays and straight wagers.

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Feb. 21, 2014 - 12:07 PM ET #2979

MLB is soon to start on 26th and i will be exiting this thread soon as MLB is my best sport over the years and i love wagering in ST as i find it a very lucrative time to win easy money if there ever is any thing called easy

in gambling but i usually do very well and i don't have to count on a bunch of college kids to win me some $$$

Although there are a lot of AAA ball players in ST but we also do have pros too in mix

Visit me over there and i have a group of guys that are excellent gamblers there that usually join me and they have a wealth of info between them and we all accept our losses as well as our wins with respect to each other as there are no guarantees in gambling even with the most knowledgeable minds

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Feb. 21, 2014 - 12:13 PM ET #2980

https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=101818698

earlbii

Rookie

Joined: Jan, 2012

Posts: 606

Posted: Feb. 21, 2014 - 12:20 PM ET #2981

thx stevo.

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Feb. 21, 2014 - 12:28 PM ET #2982

Now here is where you can really win some $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

2/26/14 opening day ST

give me some small ball

and did anybody look at my first day winner predictions( posted in my MLB thread)

Detroit over Atlanta

Toronto over Phillies

Giants over Oakland

Cleve over Cinn

Dodgers over Ariz

hyvong

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2008

Posts: 1077

Posted: Feb. 21, 2014 - 12:49 PM ET #2983

"0-6,,, 0-1 Sys expected this level to cover at 9-1 to cover over last 10 plays and overall for season is 20-17 to cover and now 9-2

at 82% this level will cover from 90% only a fool would go the other way and yes the fool won last night but it will not continue

Okla St is the next team at 0-6 and plays on 2/22 and yes i will wager 10 units on them to cover what ever the point spread will be

Stevo, Be careful with the way you analyzed the data. All the trends are very much go back to 45-55% average. The whole season results for this streak is 20-17 or 54%. So you should not base on a streak 9-1 or 9-2 to continue to cover. Since 90% or 81.8% is totally different with 54% for the season average for this 0-6 ats.

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Feb. 21, 2014 - 2:06 PM ET #2984

hyvong i understand as no streak can continue and overall record finally did catch up with 9 straight wins but with winning the last 8 times i felt i was in a pretty good financial position to push it.Also understand although the pendulem swings both ways had i played them to not cover and had they covered everybody would had said WHY did you stop

So as they say your dammed if you do and dammed if you don't

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Feb. 21, 2014 - 2:18 PM ET #2985

If your referring to this next play i can see your concern as it could go the other way and i do need to rethink that play with Okie St onSaturday although with the streak now broken it could reappear as a good play due to Momentum of that streak level winning i need to research my records in how the % is after a no cover for a cover

but that will entail a mountain of work for a good result which way to go over the past 4 /5 years

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Feb. 21, 2014 - 2:32 PM ET #2986

2009/2010 Loss streaks to cover

0-14 streak 1-0 Tenn Martin last to cover 2/04/10

0-13 streak 0-1

0-12 streak 0-1

0-11 streak 0-1

0-10 streak 0-1

0-9 streak 2-1 Rutgers last to cover 1/30/10

0-8 streak 1-3 Texas last to cover 2/01/10

0-7 streak 1-4 Stanford last to cover 1/09/10

0-6 streak 9-5 Boise last to cover 1/25/10

0-5 streak 27-14 EMU last to cover 2/01/10

0-4 streak 52-41 EKU last to cover 1/31/10

One problem in 2010 i did not follow thru to end of season

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Loss Streaks to cover at Close YEAR 2011

Losing streak Teams with a Cover Streak

0-12 to cover ( 0-0)

0-11 to cover ( 2-0) exactly the same as this year 2014

0-10 to cover ( 1-2)

0-9 to cover,,,( 3-3)

0-8 to cover ,,( 7-6)

0-7 to cover ,,(14-13)

0-6 to cover,,,(19-27)

0-5 to cover,,,(40-46),

0-4,to cover,,,(94-86),

0-3 to cover,,,(188-180)

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Streak records as of close of 01/23/12

Losing Teams with a ATS cover Streak

0-13 to cover ( 1-0)

0-12 to cover ( 0-0)

0-11 to cover ( 0-0)

0-10 to cover ( 0-1)

0-9 to cover,,,( 1-1)

0-8 to cover ,,( 2-2)

0-7 to cover ,,( 8-4)

0-6 to cover,,,(12-12)

0-5 to cover,,,(22-24)

0-4,to cover,,,(44-46), 8 Pending

0-3 to cover,,,(121-98) 24 Pending

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Feb. 21, 2014 - 2:33 PM ET #2987

would not let me post last year 2013 at close

2012/2013 Loss streaks to cover

0-10 streak 1-0 IUPUI last to cover 12/23/12

0-9 streak 2-1 Ole Dom last to cover 2/07/13

0-8 streak 3-3 Port St last to cover 2/18/13

0-7 streak 6-6 Utah St last to cover 1/31/13

0-6 streak 15-12 Oregon last to cover 2/13/13

0-5 streak 33-27 S Carolina last to cover 2/16/13

0-4 streak 63-64 Wash St last to cover 2/16/13

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Feb. 21, 2014 - 2:35 PM ET #2988

NOT COVER in Ncaab 2010

11-0 streak 0-0 no Streaks reached this Level

10-0 streak 1-0 Tex A&M last to not cover 3-11-10

9-0 streak 1-1 N Iowa last to not cover 1-30-10

8-0 streak 2-2 San Fran last to not cover 3-6-10

7-0 streak 6-4 Tenn St last to not cover 3-2-10

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Not Cover) Ncaab 2011

10-0 win streaks,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,to not Cover,,,,,,( 0-0 )

9-0 win streaks,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,to not cover,,,,,,,( 0-0 )

8-0 win streaks,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,to not cover,,,,,,,( 1-0 )

7-0 win streaks,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,to not cover,,,,,,,( 11-1 )

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NOT COVER in Ncaab 2012

10-0 win streaks,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,to not Cover,,,,,,( 1-0 )

9-0 win streaks,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,to not cover,,,,,,,( 3-1 )

8-0 win streaks,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,to not cover,,,,,,,( 3-4 )

7-0 win streaks,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,to not cover,,,,,,,( 4-7 )

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NOT COVER in Ncaab 2013

11-0 streak 0-1 St Louis last to not cover 3/06/13

10-0 streak 1-1 Appalach st last to not cover 1/17/13

9-0 streak 1-2 Geor town last to not cover 2/27/13

8-0 streak 5-3 Samford last to not cover 3/08/13

7-0 streak 8-8 Miss st last to not cover 2/09/13

________________________________________________

Not Cover in Ncaab 2014 as of 2/5/14

9-0 win streak 3-0

8-0 win streak 3-3

7-0 win streak 4-6

6-0 win streak 15-10,,2 pend play

5-0 win streak 18-27,,1 pend

4-0 win streak 56-46 ,,6 pend

3-0 win streak 147-108

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Feb. 21, 2014 - 2:59 PM ET #2989

Okla St is at 0-7 so i made a mistake i believe so that play is void saying they are 0-6

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Feb. 21, 2014 - 3:19 PM ET #2990

From my records i see there are 3 teams at 0-6 and i would assume all 3 are playing tomorrow due to saturday

0-6

Western Kentucky

Wake

Pitt

___________

0-7

Okie St

loy marymt

_________________

8-0

Wofford

Unc

but may not play till Sun or later since played yest

_____________________

7-0

Fresno

_________________________

6-0

S dakota St

Tulsa

N ILL

_______________

5-0

East wash

S ILL

Portland

_______________

4-0 ( need to confirm play dates)

Nebraska

Sna fran

Louv

Detroit

Tx tech

Ucla

will confirm all upon Covers posting plays later this afternoon as sure i missed a few

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Feb. 21, 2014 - 3:53 PM ET #2991

Not much t nite in Ncaab Taking a pass as need to work on Saturday

3-0 Manhattan

_______________

4-0 Delaware and Yale

__________________________

5-0 Dartmouth

_______________________

Heads up in NBA

the 0-5 loss streaks in NBA have not been covering and current record is 15-7 they will not cover going in the reverse as system is designed for loss streaks to cover This is big in % for NBA

On the last game 2/18,,, 0-5 Denver could not cover and went to 0-6 and record prior to their play was 7-14 to cover and with their no cover the record went to 7-15 and if reverse it at 15-7 we have a play t nite they do not Cover at 68%

0-5 Atlanta Hawks will not cover t nite so play is Detroit

Mrbmw

Rookie

Joined: Dec, 2013

Posts: 602

Posted: Feb. 21, 2014 - 4:18 PM ET #2992

I play to get my money back and this is the last bullet I have for this basketball season.

Tonight play

Over mercer game 139

Mercer +2

Vcu +2

Nba

Denver +7

Atlanta +4 ....seating at 0-6 (not 0-5)

20 units each.

Hoyasaxa

Captain

Joined: Nov, 2008

Posts: 5248

Posted: Feb. 21, 2014 - 4:31 PM ET #2993

I'm new here but does a 20-17 ATS record justify a 10 unit wager? What is the overall record over 5 years for a team with 6 straight covers? If that is a lot better than this year, then it looks really good, no?

Appreciate the sharing and here's where I excel-local information like for MLB ST-consider the Angels-the GM came out and said today-we have to be more ready in April with 2 very disappointing bad starts the last 2 years-they plan to take ST very seriously, let the pitchers go harder and longer and forget about burning out later-they need to start strong, worry about summer later.

Mrbmw

Rookie

Joined: Dec, 2013

Posts: 602

Posted: Feb. 21, 2014 - 5:06 PM ET #2994

Adding

Rider +5

RLeith35

Legend

Joined: Jan, 2012

Posts: 59248

Posted: Feb. 21, 2014 - 5:09 PM ET #2995

Playing UNDER Portland-Utah game 203

Supersonic2k

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2014

Posts: 40

Posted: Feb. 21, 2014 - 5:30 PM ET #2996

Denver covered yesterday ATS in the NBA

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Feb. 21, 2014 - 6:56 PM ET #2997

02/20/14	@MIL	W 101-90	W -5	U 202.5
02/18/14	PHO	L 107-112 (OT)	L 2	O 215.5
02/12/14	@MIN	L 90-117	L 6.5	U 209
02/10/14	@IND	L 80-119	L 10.5	O 197
02/08/14	@DET	L 109-126	L 2	O 216
02/07/14	@NY	L 90-117	L 2	U 210
02/05/14	MIL	W 110-100	L -11.5	U 210.5