Posted:
#126
12/2 Results: Winthrop put up 88 after a first half of 28, but it included an overtime period against one of the faster paced teams in America in VMI. Didn’t really see Appy State losing or failing to reach the 70 mark. Chattanooga will play at a pace to where they should score in the 75’s and 80’s a majority of their games, except for Morehead and Murray State. St. Peter’s defense continues to impress. Davidson let Goudelock get his points and did a decent job on the supporting cast, but couldn’t find a bucket down the stretch. Should be a nice spot for short home favorite revenge later in the year. Rider didn’t disappoint, wish I had the balls to take the road favorite in that one as mentioned. Cleveland State should be the favorite in the Horizon, they’re 9-0 now against a mid-level strength of schedule and doing it without Brown. Their defense will take a GIANT leap forward when he returns, as now they are relying on their offense to win ballgames. 89 shots in the Murray State game and it flew over the total. Depaul and Northern Illinois put up 113 in ONE HALF. And Missouri ran out of gas in the 2H.
Sides: 19-6, +18.10
Totals: 5-4, -0.50
DNP: 14-11
12/3 Non-Conference Notes: UAB was a 3.5 point dog at Arkansas earlier in the year and I value Georgia as a better team than Arkansas so there is some value in that game. Georgia’s been idle for the better part of a week while UAB has played two times within those dates. Georgia has rival Georgia Tech on deck. St. Joseph’s/Villanova not really interested. Washington State has been putting up some points thus far this year against an easy schedule, so I expect their point total to come back to earth tonight in what should be a defensive battle, noting the travel for Kansas State as well. Should know a lot more about both teams after tonight. No thoughts on Portland at Montana other than I’m not sure how Portland will rebound from playing a slow physical game against St. Louis to the more of an up tempo style on the road in Montana, where I have Montana favored to win the Big Sky. As with any Portland game, their three-point percentage will prove if they win or not (aside from STL of course).
12/3 Conference Notes: Can’t really justify laying three possessions on the road with a Niagara team who owns two weak wins against a #322 strength of schedule. Marist is awful, but they should perform better at home and should pick up a few more victories than last year. They did win a game last year against Manhattan, who was bottom of the conference, so a win or cover here is not out of the questions against in which I project another bottom feeder of the conference in Niagara. Niagara only had three players return, so experience factor of the conference and each team goes to Marist. The spreads of this matchup for the last two years has been double digits, which really shows the drop-off in talent for Niagara. Canisius only lost one player off the squad last year and they brought in a few transfers and juco players so they have a shot to hang. I don’t think we’ve seen the best of what Iona can do on the court this year, as realistically, they should be the favorite to win the conference with Canisius middle to upper half.
Bets: None
DNP: None
GL
0
Thanks NROPP. Have a good weekend. Go Ravens
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