Teaser selections went 2-2 in total but only 1-2 from my system selections. Definitely have to find a way to improve the weeding out process of the losers. It seems that even though we have a very high % rate of overall winners, somehow I am still picking out the wrong teams...lol.
Yesterday there were 30 games. The overall record on those games was 41-8 for 83.7% winners. Selected games went 24-6 for 80%. The numbers sound great but, again, somehow I manage to pick 6 of the 8 losers into my 30 selections...ugh.
Utah's performance was inexplicable...the entire game looked like they were all sick from bad Chinese food or some other illness. I hope that is the report because I would hate to think some serious baseline problem is cropping up with them at this point in the season. They have been golden up to that game.
Anyways, working on today's games.
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Teaser selections went 2-2 in total but only 1-2 from my system selections. Definitely have to find a way to improve the weeding out process of the losers. It seems that even though we have a very high % rate of overall winners, somehow I am still picking out the wrong teams...lol.
Yesterday there were 30 games. The overall record on those games was 41-8 for 83.7% winners. Selected games went 24-6 for 80%. The numbers sound great but, again, somehow I manage to pick 6 of the 8 losers into my 30 selections...ugh.
Utah's performance was inexplicable...the entire game looked like they were all sick from bad Chinese food or some other illness. I hope that is the report because I would hate to think some serious baseline problem is cropping up with them at this point in the season. They have been golden up to that game.
Ya i think you have just had some bad luck. Your picking right teams. Keep plugging away and it will work out for ya. I have been looking at you picks before making my teasers. i will give ya some feedback if thats ok I was gonna yesterday but dont like barging in on peoples threads.
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Ya i think you have just had some bad luck. Your picking right teams. Keep plugging away and it will work out for ya. I have been looking at you picks before making my teasers. i will give ya some feedback if thats ok I was gonna yesterday but dont like barging in on peoples threads.
Ya i think you have just had some bad luck. Your picking right teams. Keep plugging away and it will work out for ya. I have been looking at you picks before making my teasers. i will give ya some feedback if thats ok I was gonna yesterday but dont like barging in on peoples threads.
All feedback appreciated as this is certainly a work in progress and needs help to be refined into a useful tool. I appreciate any good constructive criticism that anyone may have.
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Quote Originally Posted by nmw2486:
Ya i think you have just had some bad luck. Your picking right teams. Keep plugging away and it will work out for ya. I have been looking at you picks before making my teasers. i will give ya some feedback if thats ok I was gonna yesterday but dont like barging in on peoples threads.
All feedback appreciated as this is certainly a work in progress and needs help to be refined into a useful tool. I appreciate any good constructive criticism that anyone may have.
Eureka! I think I have found the criterion that will help us weed out the bad games!!!
I was pouring over sheet after sheet of game stats and a thought popped into my head to check the Home/Away status of the selected games...just for the heck of it I went back through them and the SELECTED GAMES home teams are winning at a 27-3 rate....or...
90%!!!!
Adding that into our criteria will reduce the number of games played and increase our winners by weeding out more losers...no doubt in my mind!
So, with that in mind ...here is today's teaser selection!!
Princeton +11
Penn +9
Fairfield +10.5
I happen to like all the selections today but I am going to be more selective and keep trying to whittle it down to where we have a list that is 90% winners.
Good Luck!
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Eureka! I think I have found the criterion that will help us weed out the bad games!!!
I was pouring over sheet after sheet of game stats and a thought popped into my head to check the Home/Away status of the selected games...just for the heck of it I went back through them and the SELECTED GAMES home teams are winning at a 27-3 rate....or...
90%!!!!
Adding that into our criteria will reduce the number of games played and increase our winners by weeding out more losers...no doubt in my mind!
So, with that in mind ...here is today's teaser selection!!
Princeton +11
Penn +9
Fairfield +10.5
I happen to like all the selections today but I am going to be more selective and keep trying to whittle it down to where we have a list that is 90% winners.
Ryno...thanks man, I really think this system has promise. Last night, I teased the 3 selections from your thread for a very nice win. Thanks for all you do bro!
ReelBigFisch...I have a local who is hooked up with the offshore books out in the islands. If you ask around at any local bar or pool hall, you can find a book. Or just ask around at your local poker room, there is a book hooked up with them I will guarantee it.
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Ryno...thanks man, I really think this system has promise. Last night, I teased the 3 selections from your thread for a very nice win. Thanks for all you do bro!
ReelBigFisch...I have a local who is hooked up with the offshore books out in the islands. If you ask around at any local bar or pool hall, you can find a book. Or just ask around at your local poker room, there is a book hooked up with them I will guarantee it.
The modified system came out swinging like a champ and delivered a knockout blow to the books!!
Princeton +11.......loses by 3
Penn +9...............wins outright by 7.
Fairfield +10.5.......loses by 1.
That's the way its supposed to work 90% of the time and hopefully it will do so with the new modifier installed. Now we just need about 100 selections to get a real picture of how good the system will be long term.
The posted teaser record for the initial system before today was 3-5.
Today, we start again at 1-0 with modified system 1 (MS1). Tomorrow will be a BIG day for the system as we get probably somewhere in the neighborhood of 30 to 40 selections from the system and then reduce them to 10 to 15 actual selections for the MS1 teaser group.
Then its time to rock n roll with something around 90% winners!
Cya tomorrow!
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Big Teaser Winner Tonight!!!
The modified system came out swinging like a champ and delivered a knockout blow to the books!!
Princeton +11.......loses by 3
Penn +9...............wins outright by 7.
Fairfield +10.5.......loses by 1.
That's the way its supposed to work 90% of the time and hopefully it will do so with the new modifier installed. Now we just need about 100 selections to get a real picture of how good the system will be long term.
The posted teaser record for the initial system before today was 3-5.
Today, we start again at 1-0 with modified system 1 (MS1). Tomorrow will be a BIG day for the system as we get probably somewhere in the neighborhood of 30 to 40 selections from the system and then reduce them to 10 to 15 actual selections for the MS1 teaser group.
Then its time to rock n roll with something around 90% winners!
Really intrigued by ur system, what exactly is ur criteria for picking games if u don't mine me asking. If you would rather not say, could you just give me the just? Thx and plan to keep following u
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Really intrigued by ur system, what exactly is ur criteria for picking games if u don't mine me asking. If you would rather not say, could you just give me the just? Thx and plan to keep following u
Huge selection list today for the MS1 system, as I expected there would be, but maybe not quite as many as I thought. I had anticipated 10-15 but the total is right at 10...and thats just fine by me as the goal of the new MS1 was to cut down the losers and get a list that will have 90% winners.
I believe that is this list.
Georgia Tech +8
Pittsburgh+11.5
Seton Hall+8.5
Loyola Chicago+10.5
DePaul+20
UIChicago+18
Northern Iowa+9.5
N.C. Greensboro+10.5
Southern Miss+16.5
Tennessee St.+9
According to the statistics done up to this point in time, there should be 0 to 2 losers from this list with a high expectation of exactly ONE loser on this list.
And there is a pretty damn good chance there are ZERO losers on this list as well. Just won't know what that chance is until we have at least 100 selections sampled...not there for several weeks.
So, your job now, knowing what you know...is to pick out the one loser, apply your handicapping skills to the rest of the lines and correlate it with whatever system you use...
AND SLAM THE BEJEEVERS OUT OF THAT TEASER BABY!!!
Pretty exciting stuff for me as this represents hundreds of man hours of work to get to this point.
Lets GIT R DONE!
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Huge selection list today for the MS1 system, as I expected there would be, but maybe not quite as many as I thought. I had anticipated 10-15 but the total is right at 10...and thats just fine by me as the goal of the new MS1 was to cut down the losers and get a list that will have 90% winners.
I believe that is this list.
Georgia Tech +8
Pittsburgh+11.5
Seton Hall+8.5
Loyola Chicago+10.5
DePaul+20
UIChicago+18
Northern Iowa+9.5
N.C. Greensboro+10.5
Southern Miss+16.5
Tennessee St.+9
According to the statistics done up to this point in time, there should be 0 to 2 losers from this list with a high expectation of exactly ONE loser on this list.
And there is a pretty damn good chance there are ZERO losers on this list as well. Just won't know what that chance is until we have at least 100 selections sampled...not there for several weeks.
So, your job now, knowing what you know...is to pick out the one loser, apply your handicapping skills to the rest of the lines and correlate it with whatever system you use...
AND SLAM THE BEJEEVERS OUT OF THAT TEASER BABY!!!
Pretty exciting stuff for me as this represents hundreds of man hours of work to get to this point.
Ugh..just realized that I put those selections out a few minutes late for some of the games....looked at the clock wrong and thought I had more time.
Sorry guys.
D-dubb. Thanks for your question but for now I will need to keep it private. If it turns out to be trash, I will definitely put it all out so someone else may be able to fix it...lol.
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Ugh..just realized that I put those selections out a few minutes late for some of the games....looked at the clock wrong and thought I had more time.
Sorry guys.
D-dubb. Thanks for your question but for now I will need to keep it private. If it turns out to be trash, I will definitely put it all out so someone else may be able to fix it...lol.
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