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    All Forums | College Basketball

    Currently Back Testing A New System

    «First Previous 456 ... 171819 Next Last»
    nygjmap
    smacksmiter
    Veteranpicker88
    Pfotie
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    ...
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    «First Previous 456 ... 171819 Next Last»
     
    nygjmap
    nygjmap
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2015 - 10:57 AM ET #76

    Appreciate all your hard your hard work. 

     I sent you a friend request. If you need any help testing correlations for the system in the future send me a pm.

    Also, if there's a lower probability of the teams not winning outright and only covering, does that then in turn give them a lower probability to cover?
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    Appreciate all your hard your hard work. 

     I sent you a friend request. If you need any help testing correlations for the system in the future send me a pm.

    Also, if there's a lower probability of the teams not winning outright and only covering, does that then in turn give them a lower probability to cover?
     
    smacksmiter
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2015 - 11:05 AM ET #77

    nygjmap...looked for the friend request but could not find it.  Maybe I don't know exactly where to look as I have not had many friends...lol.

    Thanks for the offer to help, will certainly keep it in mind.

    I don't believe it gives them a lower probability to cover as I am using a different statistical toolkit to analyze the outright win/cover only scenarios.  The probability to cover is based off the MS1 tool.  So far, that little jewel is 13-0 for covering and right now that's my main concern with these games.

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    nygjmap...looked for the friend request but could not find it.  Maybe I don't know exactly where to look as I have not had many friends...lol.

    Thanks for the offer to help, will certainly keep it in mind.

    I don't believe it gives them a lower probability to cover as I am using a different statistical toolkit to analyze the outright win/cover only scenarios.  The probability to cover is based off the MS1 tool.  So far, that little jewel is 13-0 for covering and right now that's my main concern with these games.

     
    smacksmiter
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2015 - 11:09 AM ET #78

    Oooook...finally found the friend request button and accepted all friend requests.

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Oooook...finally found the friend request button and accepted all friend requests.

     
    Veteranpicker88
    Veteranpicker88
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2015 - 11:18 AM ET #79

    Ok cool thanks, I'm going to ride with this today for a smaller unit and see how it goes. You did excellent yesterday. Keep up the great work you are putting in. This forum needs a capper like you for all of the teaser players. I play straight up but, if I can gain an advantage in upping my bankroll , I'll try you out. Thanks
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    Ok cool thanks, I'm going to ride with this today for a smaller unit and see how it goes. You did excellent yesterday. Keep up the great work you are putting in. This forum needs a capper like you for all of the teaser players. I play straight up but, if I can gain an advantage in upping my bankroll , I'll try you out. Thanks
     
    Pfotie
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2015 - 11:33 AM ET #80

      I'm looking forward to seeing how today goes.
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      I'm looking forward to seeing how today goes.
     
    smacksmiter
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2015 - 12:59 PM ET #81

    This selection is NOT a MS1 play and will not be counted toward the system record.  It's just one that I like today and will be playing.

    Utah -4
    Cincinnati -3.5
    Western Illinois +12.5

    5 units on the play.

    Good luck today!

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    This selection is NOT a MS1 play and will not be counted toward the system record.  It's just one that I like today and will be playing.

    Utah -4
    Cincinnati -3.5
    Western Illinois +12.5

    5 units on the play.

    Good luck today!

     
    smacksmiter
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2015 - 2:35 PM ET #82

    The MS1 suffers its first teaser loss as Youngstown St. falls to Oakland 96-80.  The difference in the game was the 11 of 28 three point shooting by Oakland for a 39.3 to 26.3 advantage over Youngstown St..

    If they go 8 for 11, we cover the spread..but, twas not to be. 

    MS1 teaser selections now stand at 2-1.

    Once the day is over, I will have updated selection totals.
    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    The MS1 suffers its first teaser loss as Youngstown St. falls to Oakland 96-80.  The difference in the game was the 11 of 28 three point shooting by Oakland for a 39.3 to 26.3 advantage over Youngstown St..

    If they go 8 for 11, we cover the spread..but, twas not to be. 

    MS1 teaser selections now stand at 2-1.

    Once the day is over, I will have updated selection totals.
     
    smacksmiter
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2015 - 12:50 AM ET #83

    Day 3 of the MS1 system ended with the selections going 2-1 with one of them being an outright selection.

    Youngstown St.  +10 .........lost by 7.                  

    Niagara +13..........outright winner by 5.    

    Western Illinois +12.5........winner by 10.             


    This puts the game selections for the MS1 at 15-1 over the 3 days we have been using the system. 

    The loss was reflective of a bad day for the system as a whole as it went 8-4 on the lined board of games for only 66.6%...which is well below its normal 74% to 78% range.

    Onward and upward!

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Day 3 of the MS1 system ended with the selections going 2-1 with one of them being an outright selection.

    Youngstown St.  +10 .........lost by 7.                  

    Niagara +13..........outright winner by 5.    

    Western Illinois +12.5........winner by 10.             


    This puts the game selections for the MS1 at 15-1 over the 3 days we have been using the system. 

    The loss was reflective of a bad day for the system as a whole as it went 8-4 on the lined board of games for only 66.6%...which is well below its normal 74% to 78% range.

    Onward and upward!

     
    smacksmiter
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2015 - 12:50 AM ET #84

    First sentence should have read "outright winner selection.".
    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    First sentence should have read "outright winner selection.".
     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2015 - 10:13 AM ET #85

    Monday, Day 4 of the MS1 system and there are only 2 games selected by the system for play today.  We need 3 to do an official teaser for the system so its an official "no play" day for the 7 point teaser, however, there is another very solid play that we can use to make up a good 7 point teaser.

    One interesting thing I will point out is that of the 15 winning games the system has produced in its 15-1 record on games, all have covered by 5 points or more.  If you were playing these on a 4 point teaser, every one of them would have won.  So, for now, this is showing promise not just on 7 point teasers but also on down to the 4 point teasers as well.

    Today's two selections are...

    North Carolina +9

    Fairfield          +15

    The one other game that has value today but is NOT a MS1 selection is ...

    Iowa St. +14.5

    So the play for today for me are those 3 but it will not be a MS1 system selection.

    Obviously, you could play the two MS1 selections in a 2 team, 4 point teaser with high expectation of success but, again, it would not be an official play.

    Good luck!

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Monday, Day 4 of the MS1 system and there are only 2 games selected by the system for play today.  We need 3 to do an official teaser for the system so its an official "no play" day for the 7 point teaser, however, there is another very solid play that we can use to make up a good 7 point teaser.

    One interesting thing I will point out is that of the 15 winning games the system has produced in its 15-1 record on games, all have covered by 5 points or more.  If you were playing these on a 4 point teaser, every one of them would have won.  So, for now, this is showing promise not just on 7 point teasers but also on down to the 4 point teasers as well.

    Today's two selections are...

    North Carolina +9

    Fairfield          +15

    The one other game that has value today but is NOT a MS1 selection is ...

    Iowa St. +14.5

    So the play for today for me are those 3 but it will not be a MS1 system selection.

    Obviously, you could play the two MS1 selections in a 2 team, 4 point teaser with high expectation of success but, again, it would not be an official play.

    Good luck!

     
    nygjmap
    nygjmap
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2015 - 10:19 AM ET #86

    Looking forward to tonight's selection buddy

    Lets get it


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    Looking forward to tonight's selection buddy

    Lets get it


     
    capskip
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2015 - 1:06 PM ET #87

    Best of luck tonight buddy...

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    Best of luck tonight buddy...

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2015 - 3:51 PM ET #88

    nygjmap...........

    capskip..............
    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    nygjmap...........

    capskip..............
     
    Russ-SVTF150
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2015 - 4:22 PM ET #89

    Smacksmiter.... read up on this thread and it looks promising. Looks like Fairfield is PPD. So I took the other two picks and threw ATL in there + 4.5 as they go for 20 wins! BOL and I will be following your thread!
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    Smacksmiter.... read up on this thread and it looks promising. Looks like Fairfield is PPD. So I took the other two picks and threw ATL in there + 4.5 as they go for 20 wins! BOL and I will be following your thread!
     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2015 - 8:13 PM ET #90

    Russ...thanks for your interest...best of luck tonight bro.  

    Looks like North Carolina is hanging tough in there and has a good shot.  

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Russ...thanks for your interest...best of luck tonight bro.  

    Looks like North Carolina is hanging tough in there and has a good shot.  

     
    nygjmap
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2015 - 11:07 PM ET #91

    Tough loss but no system is 100%. Thanks again for putting the time in, ill still be tailing
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    Tough loss but no system is 100%. Thanks again for putting the time in, ill still be tailing
     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2015 - 11:21 PM ET #92

    North Carolina +9 loser which ended up being the only official game of the night as Fairfield did postpone.

    MS1 selected games are now 15-2.

    There was no teaser selection tonight so the MS1 teaser selection remains at 2-1

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    North Carolina +9 loser which ended up being the only official game of the night as Fairfield did postpone.

    MS1 selected games are now 15-2.

    There was no teaser selection tonight so the MS1 teaser selection remains at 2-1

     
    Russ-SVTF150
    Russ-SVTF150
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2015 - 12:50 AM ET #93

    Thanks Smack... that teaser failed, oh well... still made a profit from NHL so it was an OK night, LOL. Look forward to tmw's picks and tailing....

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    Thanks Smack... that teaser failed, oh well... still made a profit from NHL so it was an OK night, LOL. Look forward to tmw's picks and tailing....

     
    Baby_BA
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2015 - 1:04 AM ET #94

    GL with this   
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    GL with this   
     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2015 - 10:53 AM ET #95

    Tuesday, Day 5 of the MS1 system.

    Two selections on the board today.

    DePaul +11

    Vanderbilt +9

    Not enough to make a MS1 three team teaser with but will be back with a non system recommendation later.

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Tuesday, Day 5 of the MS1 system.

    Two selections on the board today.

    DePaul +11

    Vanderbilt +9

    Not enough to make a MS1 three team teaser with but will be back with a non system recommendation later.

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2015 - 11:10 AM ET #96

    The non MS1 7 point teaser selection for today is

    DePaul +11
    Vanderbilt +9
    UNC Greensboro +13

    Good luck!

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    The non MS1 7 point teaser selection for today is

    DePaul +11
    Vanderbilt +9
    UNC Greensboro +13

    Good luck!

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2015 - 11:13 AM ET #97

    Correction on the lines as I had not put the play in yet...checked lines and locked this down.

    DePaul +10
    Vanderbilt +9.5
    UNC Greensboro +14.5

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Correction on the lines as I had not put the play in yet...checked lines and locked this down.

    DePaul +10
    Vanderbilt +9.5
    UNC Greensboro +14.5

     
    redtagboys
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2015 - 11:23 AM ET #98

    goodluck
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    goodluck
     
    nygjmap
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2015 - 4:29 PM ET #99

    BOL my friend!! *cheers*
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    BOL my friend!! *cheers*
     
     
    Russ-SVTF150
    Russ-SVTF150
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2014
    Posts: 101
    Posted: Feb. 3, 2015 - 6:04 PM ET #100

    Thanks Smack...good luck with the plays tonight!
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    Thanks Smack...good luck with the plays tonight!
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