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Currently Back Testing A New System

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smacksmiter

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Joined: Dec, 2004

Posts: 14064

Posted: Feb. 22, 2015 - 11:46 AM ET #426

Quote Originally Posted by MercyRules:

system prolly evening out now. it happens with these i know bcuz i try a lot of them myself. gl

The SGS1 certainly looks like its evened out but thats basically because I have been trying different things to find a winning setup for it. No surprise to me that its around .500. Once I find a setup that looks like it is crushing, I will probably reset the counter on it to see how it does.

I did like that 4-0 last night, will be using that modifier again today for the SGS1 top plays.

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smacksmiter

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Joined: Dec, 2004

Posts: 14064

Posted: Feb. 22, 2015 - 11:52 AM ET #427

Ack!

Right after I type I will be using that new modifier that produced a 4-0 on SGS1 top plays yesterday, I realized that none of the plays qualified for that modifier today. So, no top plays today, only regular ones.

Lets start with the MS1 selection today...only 1.

UCF +14.5

SGS1 Regular Plays

Washington +1

Iona -9

Western Kentucky +3.5

William and Mary +4

My teaser selection today is...

UCF +14.5

Wichita St. -8

Virginia -8.5

The Money Line Parlay selection for today is...

Washington +1

William and Mary +4.5

100 to win 260

good luck!

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smacksmiter

Banned

Joined: Dec, 2004

Posts: 14064

Posted: Feb. 22, 2015 - 11:55 AM ET #428

Just rechecked lines..

Washington moved to +2

William and Mary at +4.5

Taking those numbers.

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smacksmiter

Banned

Joined: Dec, 2004

Posts: 14064

Posted: Feb. 22, 2015 - 9:04 PM ET #429

Teaser winner in the books! 1-0

UCF +14.5...........Cover winner 65-75

Wichita St. -8.........winner 62-43

Virginia -8.5.............winner 51-41

Virginia was sleepwalking through that game...lucky to get that one.

MS1 selection wins 1-0

UCG +14.5

And the money line parlay only needs Washington +2 to win.

William and Mary +4.5...............outright winner 80-78

Washington +2...........................Pending

SGS1 is 2-1 with Washington pending.

Iona -9...................................loser 69-68

Western Kentucky +3.5..........cover winner 66-68

William and Mary +4.5............outright winner 80-78

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smacksmiter

Banned

Joined: Dec, 2004

Posts: 14064

Posted: Feb. 22, 2015 - 10:50 PM ET #430

Washington wins 87-84 to close out a successful day.

Teaser wins. +2 units

ML Parlay wins! +2.6 units

MS1 selection wins 1-0

SGS1 goes 3-1.

On to tomorrow. Going to be iced in tomorrow it seems...probably no work so should have selections up earlier than normal.

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dabreeze

Veteran

Joined: Feb, 2006

Posts: 1630

Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 1:57 AM ET #431

DaBreeze

8888Vegas

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Joined: Oct, 2009

Posts: 3011

Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 2:24 AM ET #432

WarrENDeatH

Rookie

Joined: Dec, 2014

Posts: 654

Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 4:17 AM ET #433

I need to start tailing this from now on. Damn!

Upside

Captain

Joined: Feb, 2007

Posts: 8003

Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 7:27 AM ET #434

Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

Washington wins 87-84 to close out a successful day.

Teaser wins. +2 units

ML Parlay wins! +2.6 units

MS1 selection wins 1-0

SGS1 goes 3-1.

On to tomorrow. Going to be iced in tomorrow it seems...probably no work so should have selections up earlier than normal.

With SGS 1 , hope you finally found what you were looking for ???

smacksmiter

Banned

Joined: Dec, 2004

Posts: 14064

Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 2:33 PM ET #435

Quote Originally Posted by Upside:

With SGS 1 , hope you finally found what you were looking for ???

Hope so bud. Guess we will see as we go through this next week.

Working on today's selections now.

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dabreeze

Veteran

Joined: Feb, 2006

Posts: 1630

Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 2:37 PM ET #436

Tweak away Smack. Just don't fiddle to much with your ML Parlays. They have been

recently. Teasers ??

DaBreeze

Upside

Captain

Joined: Feb, 2007

Posts: 8003

Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 5:04 PM ET #437

smacksmiter

Banned

Joined: Dec, 2004

Posts: 14064

Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 6:06 PM ET #438

Ready to rock with the selections for today! REALLY liking the teaser for today AND the Money Line Parlay looks very solid as well!

MS1.......... Overall 71-20-4

Marist +11

Tennessee St. +15

SGS1

TOP PLAY... Tracked back with a 9-2 record in last 11.

Eastern Kentucky -14

Regular play

St. Johns -1

7 point Teaser Play...Overall 17-13

Marist +11

Tennessee St. +15

Eastern Kentucky -7

Really high as a kite on this teaser...going 5 unit max.

Money Line Parlay......Overall 3-3. Swinging for a home run tonight with this one boys. Its got a damn good chance.

Georgia Tech +225

Delaware St. +240

1 unit pays 10.05 units.

Time to rock da books!

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Upside

Captain

Joined: Feb, 2007

Posts: 8003

Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 6:12 PM ET #439

smacksmiter

Banned

Joined: Dec, 2004

Posts: 14064

Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 6:57 PM ET #440

Quote Originally Posted by dabreeze:

Tweak away Smack. Just don't fiddle to much with your ML Parlays. They have been

recently. Teasers ??

I think I have finally found the setup for the SGS1. Back tested to 75% on the last 100 games.

Going to stick with that from now on to the end of the year.

That 9-2 top play modifier is downright amazing. Hope it keeps up.

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dabreeze

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Joined: Feb, 2006

Posts: 1630

Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 7:07 PM ET #441

Sounds like a plan..Got home late. Missed East Kentucky and Marist on the Teaser. If you think of it, look in on those games and see if any 2nd half move is warranted. Keep up the fine work. GLTA..

DaBreeze

natedogg052010

Prospect

Joined: Sep, 2013

Posts: 164

Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 7:18 PM ET #442

Great work man

dabreeze

Veteran

Joined: Feb, 2006

Posts: 1630

Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 7:46 PM ET #443

E Kentucky up 3 at half. 2nd half line EK-8. Any thoughts ??

DaBreeze

smacksmiter

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Posts: 14064

Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 7:51 PM ET #444

This is pretty much like their last meeting went where E. KY went on to dominate in the 2H. Cant guarantee that but I believe thats the outcome. Last game was E KY 96...AP 75...but end of first half was almost exactly like this score...bout 3 points apart with E KY leading.

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smacksmiter

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Posts: 14064

Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 7:52 PM ET #445

Actually, it was E KY 40 AP 34 in that last game at the end of 1H. E. KY had been favored by 6 in that game at AP.

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smacksmiter

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Posts: 14064

Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 7:54 PM ET #446

I'm a little more concerned in this game as E KY is being dominated on the boards 18-10 and has only 1 offensive rebound. The rebounding advantage is what has kept AP in the game. E. KY is playing 4 guards and a forward and just not getting any rebounding production so far.

Hope that turns around. If it does, this turns into a E. KY rout.

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