Posted:
#326
Gl
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Currently Back Testing A New System
Posted:
#327
Finally completed the MS1 list for the night...the system went 4-0 but obviously I did not get the selections out in time for the games so I can't count them for the posting record. I will be keeping track of them separately.
N. Dakota +11
North Texas +11.5
Rutgers +13
UNC Greensboro +9.5
Eventually found these for the SGS1
UT Arlington +2.5
Pepperdine +5
UC Davis -8
Hawaii -10.5
Santa Clara +13.5
Some of those were out before game time so I will go through everything tomorrow to get the records set straight. Pretty beat tonight so hitting the sack.
PM for the skinny on the down low
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Posted:
#335
After thinking about it a bit, I have decided to just go ahead and count all selections in the record...whether or not they were put in before game time or not. It's going to be too hard to keep track of a whole separate number and this is already too much like a second job as it is...lol. So, here are all the selections for tonight for both systems
MS1 ...Day 15....Overall 48-9-3
Washington St. +12
Niagara +11
SGS1...Day 10...Overall 26-20-1
Cornell +5.5
Valpariso -2.5
Brown +8.5
Iona -2
Rider +2.5
PM for the skinny on the down low
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Posted:
#336
Smack thanks for all your hard work. Haven't gotten many plays in the last 2 days, but that's all good. Work can def be a pain and its not easy looking at all these games every night.... whats the plan for sat, post all the picks early or throughout the day? I have to work myself afternoon into evening... so I will get in whatever I can. Again thanks for all the hard work!
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Posted:
#338
Forgot to give a quick update on today...
MS1 1-1
Washington St +12 ......winner
Niagara +11...................loser
Man, that Niagara game was crazy...wish I could have watched it. Niagara is up 14 at one point and St. Peter's ties it up with 10 minutes to go and then blows them out...ugh...
SGS1 ....4-1
Cornell +5.5.....................winner
Valpariso -2.5...................winner
Brown +8.5.......................loser
Iona -2..............................winner
Rider +2.5.........................winner
Nite all.
PM for the skinny on the down low
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Posted:
#340
smack....I too am fond of the teasers...I also sell insurance...lol.
I have done the same thing you have and you really put yourself in danger of burnout...I know its exciting in the beginning, but a couple of heartbreaking losses that shouldnt have lost throws all the numbers off.
The best thing to do I have learned is plan the week with some strong selections that you have researched and like, then throw the big money and tease those...this saves you lots of time...and lots of heartache....its betting smarter not harder.
Vegas has already run every system you have frontwards and backwards in every scenario. The percentages are already there.
Not bashing your hard work...its good experience...you will learn a lot from what you are doing, but I predict in the end you will come to the same conclusions I did.
I am a numbers buffoon, kind of like yourself...I love them. I am also one analytical SOB. In other words, everything has a formula.
In the end, patience, hard work, calculated picks and the good ole gut factor makes the day. Also, when you find yourself frantically trying to recover from an earlier loss in the day, you should probably hit the hay.
You should see how I picked the super bowl winner this year...i will tell the story some time.
Anyway, good luck to you.
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Posted:
#343
Quote Originally Posted by TROYZBOYZ:
smack....I too am fond of the teasers...I also sell insurance...lol.
smack....I too am fond of the teasers...I also sell insurance...lol.
I have done the same thing you have and you really put yourself in danger of burnout...I know its exciting in the beginning, but a couple of heartbreaking losses that shouldnt have lost throws all the numbers off.
The best thing to do I have learned is plan the week with some strong selections that you have researched and like, then throw the big money and tease those...this saves you lots of time...and lots of heartache....its betting smarter not harder.
Vegas has already run every system you have frontwards and backwards in every scenario. The percentages are already there.
Not bashing your hard work...its good experience...you will learn a lot from what you are doing, but I predict in the end you will come to the same conclusions I did.
I am a numbers buffoon, kind of like yourself...I love them. I am also one analytical SOB. In other words, everything has a formula.
In the end, patience, hard work, calculated picks and the good ole gut factor makes the day. Also, when you find yourself frantically trying to recover from an earlier loss in the day, you should probably hit the hay.
You should see how I picked the super bowl winner this year...i will tell the story some time.
Anyway, good luck to you.
I agree with this as i'm constantly crunching numbers and have tried many systems. it can be a manic thing at times. Would like to hear that story.
GL Smack keep grindin'
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Posted:
#345
Hurrying to get these up...
MS1
USF +12.5
Troy +10
Syracuse +14
Rice +4.5
Tenn St. +18.5
Nevada +11.5
Southern Miss +9
SGS1
Akron +1.5
Davidson +1.5
UNLV +1
VCU PK
Miss St. +2.5
LSU +1.5
Evansville +1
Oregon St. -1.5
North Dakota St. +7.5
Eastern Washington -11
Georgia -11
Virginia -10
UT Arlington -4
Villanova -2
Chattanooga -10.5
Georgia Southern -1.5
Florida +2.5
Pennsylvania PK
Boise St. -5
Belmont -5
Dartmouth PK
Gonzaga -18.5
Alabama +1.5
Old Dominion +4.5
BYU -17.5
PM for the skinny on the down low
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Posted:
#347
Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:
Hurrying to get these up...
Hurrying to get these up...
MS1
USF +12.5
Troy +10
Syracuse +14
Rice +4.5
Tenn St. +18.5
Nevada +11.5
Southern Miss +9
SGS1
Akron +1.5
Davidson +1.5
UNLV +1
VCU PK
Miss St. +2.5
LSU +1.5
Evansville +1
Oregon St. -1.5
North Dakota St. +7.5
Eastern Washington -11
Georgia -11
Virginia -10
UT Arlington -4
Villanova -2
Chattanooga -10.5
Georgia Southern -1.5
Florida +2.5
Pennsylvania PK
Boise St. -5
Belmont -5
Dartmouth PK
Gonzaga -18.5
Alabama +1.5
Old Dominion +4.5
BYU -17.5
Virginia is - 17 bro .. heads up
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Posted:
#348
Quote Originally Posted by TROYZBOYZ:
smack....I too am fond of the teasers...I also sell insurance...lol.
smack....I too am fond of the teasers...I also sell insurance...lol.
I have done the same thing you have and you really put yourself in danger of burnout...I know its exciting in the beginning, but a couple of heartbreaking losses that shouldnt have lost throws all the numbers off.
The best thing to do I have learned is plan the week with some strong selections that you have researched and like, then throw the big money and tease those...this saves you lots of time...and lots of heartache....its betting smarter not harder.
Vegas has already run every system you have frontwards and backwards in every scenario. The percentages are already there.
Not bashing your hard work...its good experience...you will learn a lot from what you are doing, but I predict in the end you will come to the same conclusions I did.
I am a numbers buffoon, kind of like yourself...I love them. I am also one analytical SOB. In other words, everything has a formula.
In the end, patience, hard work, calculated picks and the good ole gut factor makes the day. Also, when you find yourself frantically trying to recover from an earlier loss in the day, you should probably hit the hay.
You should see how I picked the super bowl winner this year...i will tell the story some time.
Anyway, good luck to you.
LOL..would love to hear the super bowl story as well. Yes, there are only so many hours in the day that is for sure. When work gets in the way, as it did this week, it really cuts the time down. Sometimes it makes me think if I only had MORE time to crunch MORE numbers, I could do better...but that may be a fantasy as well.
Its going to be very interesting this week with the SGS1. My goal is usually to be more and more selective, but this new tweak found a lot of games. I did a bit of back testing on it and it was showing a 65% to 70% rate so its worth looking at with some volume in my opinion.
We shall see how it does.
PM for the skinny on the down low
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Posted:
#349
Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:
Hurrying to get these up...
Boise ...Hurrying to get these up...
MS1
USF +12.5
Troy +10
Syracuse +14
Rice +4.5
Tenn St. +18.5
Nevada +11.5
Southern Miss +9
SGS1
Akron +1.5
Davidson +1.5
UNLV +1
VCU PK
Miss St. +2.5
LSU +1.5
Evansville +1
Oregon St. -1.5
North Dakota St. +7.5
Eastern Washington -11
Georgia -11
Virginia -10
UT Arlington -4
Villanova -2
Chattanooga -10.5
Georgia Southern -1.5
Florida +2.5
Pennsylvania PK
Boise St. -5
Belmont -5
Dartmouth PK
Gonzaga -18.5
Alabama +1.5
Old Dominion +4.5
BYU -17.5
| 02/11/15 | G | Mikey Thompson | Suspension | doubtful Saturday vs. Fresno State |
| 02/11/15 | G | Montigo Alford | Suspension | doubtful Saturday vs. Fresno State |
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